Darling Reyes — OGILVIE

Darling Reyes P DSL Nationals

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 11 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.41

FIP5.41

K%19.4%

BB%15.7%

K-BB%3.8%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	14	0	25	123	28	20	0	0%	1.8	15.5%	20.3%	-4.8%	0.0%	3.96	4.37	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	14	0	25	123	28	20	0	0%	1.8	15.5%	20.3%	-4.8%	0.0%	3.96	4.37	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	14	0	25	123	28	20	0	0%	1.8	22.8%	16.3%	6.5%	0.0%	3.96	3.26	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	15	0	24	148	23	15	1	0%	1.6	10.6%	12.7%	-2.1%	1.1%	13.50	4.43	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	15	0	24	148	23	15	1	0%	1.6	10.6%	12.7%	-2.1%	1.1%	13.50	4.43	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	15	0	24	148	23	15	1	0%	1.6	15.5%	10.1%	5.4%	0.7%	13.50	3.60	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	14	0	15	76	18	13	0	0%	1.1	16.1%	21.4%	-5.3%	0.0%	7.04	4.45	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	14	0	15	76	18	13	0	0%	1.1	16.1%	21.4%	-5.3%	0.0%	7.04	4.45	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	14	0	15	76	18	13	0	0%	1.1	23.7%	17.1%	6.6%	0.0%	7.04	3.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	WSH	10	0	11	46	9	7	1	0%	1.1	19.4%	15.7%	3.8%	2.9%	5.41	5.41	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	WSH	21	0	22	95	20	13	3	0%	1.1	20.8%	13.5%	7.2%	2.9%	5.12	5.01	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	WSH	10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	20.8%	13.5%	7.2%	2.9%	5.12	5.01	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	20.8%	13.5%	7.2%	2.9%	5.12	4.63	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	109	18	0%	1.1	20.8%	13.5%	7.2%	2.9%	5.12	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		43	0	64	347	47	60	2	0%	1.5	13.5%	17.3%	-3.8%	0.5%	8.25	4.41	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		134	0	200	1079	146	187	5	0%	1.5	13.5%	17.3%	-3.8%	0.5%	8.25	4.41	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Darling Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.41	19.4%	15.7%	2.9%	—	5.01	20.8%	7.2%	22	-0.40	—	—	—
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	92
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	92
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	91
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	90
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	89
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	88
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	88
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	87
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	87
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87
Jason Ruffcorn R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	23	SU	4.74	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	.297	4.69	17.6%	4.2%	136	-0.05	4.01	283	87
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	87
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	87
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	87
Miguel Alfonseca R 2022 · 4.78 FIP	22	SU	4.78	20.1%	16.4%	2.4%	.354	5.73	11.6%	-3.8%	56	+0.95	4.19	123	86
Drew Pestka R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	20	SU	4.26	19.0%	15.1%	1.6%	.298	4.55	18.1%	0.7%	83	+0.29	3.42	100	86
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	86
Cayne Ueckert R 2019 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	17.5%	14.9%	1.4%	.306	5.92	22.7%	5.0%	78	+1.66	3.95	205	86
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	86
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	86