Juan Archbold
P
DSL Cubs Red
Age 22
RHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120110vR 101
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%22.9%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP12
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cubs Blue | 12 | 12 | 37 | 175 | 37 | 22 | 2 | 100% | 3.1 | 14.4% | 15.7% | -1.3% | 1.6% | 5.65 | 4.75 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cubs Blue | 12 | 12 | 37 | 175 | 37 | 22 | 2 | 100% | 3.1 | 21.1% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 1.1% | 5.65 | 3.59 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 8 | 5 | 15 | 82 | 14 | 19 | 1 | 62% | 1.9 | 11.6% | 29.0% | -17.4% | 1.6% | 11.15 | 6.68 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 8 | 5 | 15 | 82 | 14 | 19 | 1 | 62% | 1.9 | 17.1% | 23.2% | -6.1% | 1.2% | 11.15 | 5.84 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | CHC | 2 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CHC | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.7% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CHC | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.7% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.7% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.88 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.7% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.88 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 20 | 17 | 52 | 257 | 35 | 51 | 4 | 85% | 2.6 | 13.5% | 19.9% | -6.4% | 1.6% | 7.27 | 5.37 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 65 | 200 | 988 | 133 | 197 | 16 | 85% | 2.6 | 13.5% | 19.9% | -6.4% | 1.6% | 7.27 | 5.37 | +0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Juan Archbold (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.9% | 9.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.26 | 23.7% | 14.4% | 20 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Caleb Sampen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 85 |
| Clarke Schmidt R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.53 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 108 | -0.30 | 2.76 | 537 | 84 |
| Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 84 |
| River Ryan R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.58 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .321 | 3.86 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 134 | +0.28 | 2.13 | 218 | 78 |
| Jeff Criswell R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.20 | 18.5% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .242 | 5.37 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 306 | +1.17 | 4.20 | 336 | 78 |
| Eric Cerantola R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.56 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | .392 | 4.05 | 24.8% | 9.6% | 198 | -0.51 | 3.53 | 281 | 77 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 77 |
| Jared Ruxer R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.3% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .333 | 4.68 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 240 | +0.52 | 3.38 | 270 | 77 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 77 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2028 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.29 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .316 | 4.60 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +1.31 | 3.29 | 142 | 76 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 76 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 76 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 236 | -0.19 | 3.12 | 482 | 76 |
| Michael Grove R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.46 | 24.3% | 9.5% | 4.0% | .409 | 5.62 | 21.8% | 11.5% | 176 | +1.16 | 3.54 | 377 | 76 |
| Drew Rasmussen R 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.62 | 24.6% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .312 | 3.26 | 22.7% | 16.2% | 237 | -0.36 | 1.21 | 621 | 76 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2028 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 75 |
| Levi Wells R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.32 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .360 | 3.85 | 19.2% | 9.8% | 132 | -0.47 | 3.70 | 192 | 75 |
| Grant Judkins R 2027 · 5.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.40 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.85 | 16.4% | 5.4% | 150 | +0.45 | 5.40 | 322 | 75 |
| Miguelangel Boadas R 2025 · 3.44 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.44 | 20.6% | 11.0% | 1.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 129 | 75 |
| Nate Dohm R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 21.1% | 11.5% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.59 | 17.7% | 2.6% | 40 | -0.27 | 4.59 | 115 | 75 |