Mario Baez

SS FCL Braves
Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#801ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKATL193.202/.272/.2430165—.156/.209/.190
202518ROKATL134.208/.366/.23601336—.165/.284/.183
202619ROKATL79.232/.329/.3040226—.164/.228/.205
2027PROJMLE20MLBATL189.224/.291/.30724710.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBATL34.229/.297/.32301760.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBATL91.232/.301/.33512810.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
K%89
Whiff%67
BB%31
ISO26
Z-Con%25
wRC+20
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsDerrik Gibson (age 20) · Isiah Kiner-Falefa (age 20) · Nick Morabito (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA
wRC+†71
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .289 / .304
PA45
HR0
K%24
BB%7
ISO83
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +1.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.40.50.50.50.40.30.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 65 / POW 33
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT65
scouting grade only
POWER33
scouting grade only
EYE57
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.4M
2036Arb-1$2M+0.3$0.6M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-2$2M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2038Arb-3$1.0M———
Totals $3M $4M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202316 ROKDSL Braves — 206180 56723 20255 245 311395422817 111346 1210 368 55 — — — — — —
202417 ROKFCL Braves — 193173 35510 15362 162 202272243515 40254 198 239 5 — — — — — —
202518 ROKFCL Braves — 134106 22300 20157 134 208366236602 28242 1115 300 36 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Braves — 7969 16500 10100 22 232329304633 72271 1313 296 26 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202316 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 206186 40512 14325 245 215288285573 70241 167 250 55 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 193179 28410 10502 162 156209190399 34207 265 176 5 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 134115 19200 12227 134 165284183466 17199 169 221 36 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 7973 12300 6140 22 164228205433 41210 188 207 26 — — — — — —
202316 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 206186 40512 14325 245 215288285573 70248 167 250 55 — — — — — —
202316 ROK RAWDSL Braves — 206180 56723 20255 245 311395422817 111346 1210 368 55 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 193179 28410 10502 162 156209190399 34215 265 176 5 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWFCL Braves — 193173 35510 15362 162 202272243515 40254 198 239 5 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 134115 19200 12227 134 165284183466 17204 169 221 36 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWFCL Braves — 134106 22300 20157 134 208366236602 28242 1115 300 36 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 7973 12300 6140 22 164228205433 41203 188 207 26 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWFCL Braves — 7969 16500 10100 22 232329304633 72271 1313 296 26 — — — — — —
202316 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 206185 40512 14325 245 216288286574 70241 167 250 55 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 193179 28410 10502 162 156209190399 34207 265 176 5 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 134114 19200 12227 134 167284184468 18199 169 221 36 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 7973 12300 6140 22 164228205433 41210 188 207 26 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 193179 28410 10502 162 156209190399 34207 265 176 5 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 134114 19200 12227 134 167284184468 18199 169 221 36 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 7973 12300 6140 22 164228205433 41210 188 207 26 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEATL 0% 189171 39712 14462 41 224291307598 83293 247 272 71 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEATL 34% 10092 21411 7241 21 229297323619 94294 247 281 76 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202922 MLB MLEATL 48% 187169 39713 14442 51 232301335636 103295 247 288 81 -4 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.2
203023 MLB MLEATL 54% 283256 611125 22653 72 235304345648 110295 238 293 84 -5 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.5
203124 MLB MLEATL 55% 363328 771426 28834 92 237306352658 115296 238 296 87 -6 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.7
203225 MLB MLEATL 56% 408368 881628 32945 102 238307356663 118296 238 298 88 -6 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.9
203326 MLB MLEATL 56% 435393 941738 341005 103 238307357664 119296 238 299 88 -6 +1 +0 +5 +9 0.9
203427 MLB MLEATL 55% 445402 951738 351035 113 237306354660 117295 238 297 87 -7 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.9
203528 MLB MLEATL 55% 446403 951738 351045 103 235305350654 114295 238 295 86 -8 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.7
203629 MLB MLEATL 53% 439397 921628 341045 93 233302344646 111294 248 291 83 -9 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.5
203730 MLB MLEATL 53% 428387 891627 331025 83 230299337635 106293 248 287 80 -10 +0 -2 +5 +9 0.2
203831 MLB MLEATL 52% 413374 851526 321004 63 227294327622 101290 248 281 77 -11 +0 -3 +4 +9 -0.1
202821 MLB CTXATL 34% 3431 6100 380 10 229297323619 94294 249 281 76 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202922 MLB CTXATL 48% 9183 19311 7211 21 232301335636 103295 238 288 81 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
203023 MLB CTXATL 54% 153138 32612 12352 41 235304345648 110295 238 293 84 -3 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.3
203124 MLB CTXATL 55% 201181 43814 16462 51 237306352658 115296 238 296 87 -3 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.4
203225 MLB CTXATL 56% 228205 48914 18523 61 238307356663 118296 238 298 88 -3 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.5
203326 MLB CTXATL 56% 245221 52915 19563 61 238307357664 119296 238 299 88 -3 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.5
203427 MLB CTXATL 55% 246222 52915 19573 62 237306354660 117295 238 297 87 -4 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.5
203528 MLB CTXATL 55% 245221 51914 19573 51 235305350654 114295 238 295 86 -4 +1 -0 +3 +5 0.4
203629 MLB CTXATL 53% 235212 49914 18553 51 233302344646 111294 238 291 83 -5 +1 -1 +3 +5 0.3
203730 MLB CTXATL 53% 225204 47814 17542 41 230299337635 106293 248 287 80 -5 +0 -1 +2 +5 0.1
203831 MLB CTXATL 52% 215195 44813 16522 32 227294327622 101290 247 281 77 -6 -0 -1 +2 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 21181913 443791036 16449324 4712 232300340640 108292 238 293 77 -40 +5 -4 +23 +46 3.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 13624311 501517 144 232299339638 107292 238 293 77 -12 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.9
Career— MLE — 46044163 9441662570 351105259 14339 227296329625 102286 238 282 77 -76 +7 -7 +43 +86 5.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 13323410 501498 206 226296330626 104285 238 282 77 -12 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Braves · 79 PAwOBA .289 → .207 (−82)K% 12.7% → 18.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.66%÷1.000×1.440——18.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.66%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9957.81%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP18.64%÷1.000×0.820×0.985×0.99514.99%
Doubles /BIP8.47%÷1.000×0.720×0.985×0.9955.98%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.985×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .289 → .207; ISO .072 → .051; BABIP .271 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Braves · 134 PAwOBA .293 → .221 (−72)K% 11.2% → 16.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.19%÷0.980×1.440——16.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.93%÷1.013×0.620—×1.0089.20%
HBP% /PA5.22%—×0.720—×1.0083.79%
Singles /BIP20.88%÷1.005×0.820×1.019×1.00817.49%
Doubles /BIP3.30%÷0.996×0.720×1.019×1.0082.45%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×1.019×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.856×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .293 → .221; ISO .028 → .022; BABIP .242 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Braves · 193 PAwOBA .235 → .176 (−59)K% 18.7% → 25.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.65%÷1.037×1.440——25.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.77%÷0.965×0.620—×1.0225.10%
HBP% /PA1.04%—×0.720—×1.0220.76%
Singles /BIP21.17%÷1.047×0.820×1.041×1.02217.65%
Doubles /BIP3.65%÷1.022×0.720×1.041×1.0222.74%
Triples /BIP0.73%÷1.150×0.720×1.041×1.0220.49%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.266×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 109, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 107, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .235 → .176; ISO .040 → .028; BABIP .254 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Braves · 206 PAwOBA .361 → .250 (−111)K% 12.1% → 15.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.14%÷0.961×1.220——15.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.71%÷1.048×0.700—×1.0226.63%
HBP% /PA2.43%—×0.700—×1.0221.74%
Singles /BIP28.39%÷1.004×0.680×1.026×1.02220.17%
Doubles /BIP4.52%÷0.913×0.600×1.026×1.0223.11%
Triples /BIP1.29%÷1.141×0.600×1.026×1.0220.71%
Home runs /BIP1.94%÷0.816×0.470—×1.0221.14%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 128, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .361 → .250; ISO .111 → .069; BABIP .346 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).