Mario Baez — OGILVIE

Mario BaezSS FCL Braves

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 175 lbs ROK BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.8 · 2033

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .301 / .343

PA112

HR2

K%23

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

51↗56

PWR

28↗33

SPD

58↗63

EYE

45↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.8peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.6	$34M	+$33M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.8	$37M	+$36M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.8	$39M	+$38M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.7	$39M	+$31M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+3.5	$38M	+$26M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+3.2	$35M	+$20M
Totals		$38M		$222M	+$184M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	16	ROK	DSL Braves	206	188	46	6	1	3	12	39	5	24	5	.245	.307	.335	.642	.090	.293	19	6	.284	76	-6	+3	+0	+2	+6	0.5
2024	17	ROK	FCL Braves	193	179	26	3	1	0	10	49	2	16	2	.145	.199	.173	.372	.028	.198	25	5	.170	-12	-24	+2	+0	+2	+5	-1.5
2025	18	ROK	FCL Braves	134	115	18	2	0	0	12	22	7	13	4	.157	.276	.174	.450	.017	.194	16	9	.219	26	-11	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	ATL	112	101	23	4	1	2	9	25	1	3	1	.228	.297	.347	.644	.119	.287	22	8	.293	82	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	ATL	200	177	43	8	1	4	18	43	3	5	1	.243	.323	.367	.690	.124	.295	22	9	.313	98	-0	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.8
2028	21	MLB 28%	ATL	332	293	72	13	2	8	31	70	5	10	2	.246	.328	.386	.714	.140	.296	21	9	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.6
2029	22	MLB 48%	ATL	429	379	95	18	2	11	41	88	6	12	3	.251	.333	.396	.729	.145	.296	21	10	.328	109	+4	+1	+0	+5	+12	2.3
2030	23	MLB 65%	ATL	493	434	110	20	3	14	49	99	7	14	3	.253	.339	.410	.749	.157	.296	20	10	.333	113	+7	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.9
2031	24	MLB 82%	ATL	535	468	119	22	3	15	54	106	8	15	3	.254	.342	.410	.752	.156	.297	20	10	.338	117	+10	+2	+0	+6	+15	3.3
2032	25	MLB	ATL	560	488	126	23	3	17	58	110	9	15	3	.258	.348	.422	.770	.164	.297	20	10	.341	119	+12	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.6
2033	26	MLB	ATL	573	499	128	23	3	17	60	112	9	15	3	.257	.347	.417	.764	.160	.298	20	10	.342	120	+13	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.8
2034	27	MLB	ATL	576	501	129	24	3	17	61	114	9	15	3	.257	.349	.419	.768	.162	.298	20	11	.343	120	+13	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.8
2035	28	MLB	ATL	574	498	128	23	3	17	62	114	9	15	3	.257	.350	.418	.767	.161	.298	20	11	.342	120	+13	+2	-1	+6	+16	3.7
2036	29	MLB	ATL	566	491	126	23	3	17	61	114	9	14	2	.257	.349	.420	.769	.163	.297	20	11	.340	118	+12	+2	-1	+6	+16	3.5
2037	30	MLB	ATL	556	483	122	22	3	16	60	114	8	13	2	.253	.345	.410	.755	.157	.296	21	11	.337	116	+10	+2	-2	+6	+16	3.2
2038	31	MLB	ATL	542	471	118	21	3	15	58	114	8	12	1	.251	.343	.403	.746	.153	.295	21	11	.333	113	+8	+2	-3	+6	+15	2.9
2039	32	MLB	ATL	524	455	112	20	2	14	56	113	8	11	0	.246	.339	.391	.730	.145	.294	22	11	.329	110	+6	+2	-4	+6	+15	2.5
2040	33	MLB	ATL	495	432	104	18	2	13	53	110	7	10	0	.241	.333	.382	.715	.141	.293	22	11	.323	106	+3	+2	-4	+5	+14	2.1
2041	34	MLB	ATL	448	391	93	16	2	11	48	103	6	9	0	.238	.330	.373	.704	.136	.292	23	11	.317	101	+0	+2	-5	+5	+13	1.5
2042	35	MLB	ATL	394	345	80	14	2	9	41	95	5	9	0	.232	.322	.362	.685	.130	.290	24	10	.309	95	-2	+2	-6	+4	+11	1.0
2043	36	MLB	ATL	334	292	65	11	1	7	35	84	4	8	0	.223	.314	.339	.653	.116	.288	25	10	.301	88	-4	+2	-6	+4	+9	0.4
2044	37	MLB	ATL	270	236	52	9	1	5	28	70	4	6	0	.220	.313	.331	.644	.110	.285	26	10	.291	81	-6	+1	-7	+3	+8	-0.1
2045	38	MLB	ATL	201	176	37	6	1	3	20	54	3	4	0	.210	.302	.307	.608	.097	.281	27	10	.281	73	-6	+1	-8	+2	+6	-0.5
2046	39	MLB	ATL	128	113	24	4	1	2	12	35	2	3	0	.212	.299	.319	.618	.106	.276	27	9	.271	65	-5	+1	-8	+1	+4	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9375	8205	1996	353	47	237	949	1997	144	271	41	.243	.332	.384	.717	.141	.292	21	10	.322	104	+46	+38	-55	+100	+266	40.3
/ 162G	—			650	569	137	24	3	16	66	138	10	19	3	.241	.330	.378	.708	.137	.289	21	10	.322	104	+3	+3	-4	+7	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	16	ROK	DSL Braves	206	180	56	7	2	3	20	25	5	24	5	.311	.395	.422	.817	.111	.346	12	10	.368	140	+9	+3	—	—	+6	1.8
2024	17	ROK	FCL Braves	193	173	35	5	1	0	15	36	2	16	2	.202	.272	.243	.515	.040	.254	19	8	.239	41	-13	+2	—	—	+5	-0.5
2025	18	ROK	FCL Braves	134	106	22	3	0	0	20	15	7	13	4	.208	.366	.236	.602	.028	.242	11	15	.300	87	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mario Baez (OGILVIE)	19	51→56	28→33	58→63	50	.229/.301/.343	.113	.287	2	3	23%	8%	82	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	55→60	49	.241/.304/.317	.076	.306	3	17	21%	8%	75	-0.0	.250/.296/.310	.060	.296	1	19	15%	6%	69	-0.4	.299/.358/.381	.081	.343	4	36	13%	8%	110	+2.1
✕Adrian Pinto 2022 · A	19	52	40→45	60→65	54	.246/.324/.349	.103	.283	6	30	14%	9%	92	+1.2	.229/.317/.327	.098	.291	6	24	21%	9%	85	+0.7	.223/.315/.325	.103	.290	7	23	23%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	51	39→45	54→50	50	.241/.308/.340	.098	.273	5	11	13%	6%	83	+0.6	.247/.317/.339	.092	.288	6	9	15%	7%	88	+0.9	.229/.296/.343	.114	.285	12	10	23%	6%	76	+0.0
●Alex Verdugo 2015 · A	19	52→58	40→50	56→45	48	.249/.301/.351	.102	.285	6	11	15%	6%	83	+0.6	.253/.290/.359	.106	.289	9	7	16%	5%	80	+0.4	.289/.349/.442	.153	.326	15	7	16%	8%	121	+2.1
●Lorenzo Cain 2006 · A	20	50→60	42→50	53→55	43	.239/.292/.353	.114	.300	8	10	22%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.297/.340	.095	.323	6	16	24%	6%	78	+0.2	.299/.370/.422	.123	.348	12	25	16%	9%	126	+3.3
★Jean Segura 2009 · A	19	49→59	36→50	52→60	47	.233/.287/.295	.062	.281	4	15	18%	6%	62	-0.9	.255/.293/.356	.101	.296	7	20	16%	5%	80	+0.4	.304/.351/.439	.135	.338	12	24	13%	6%	123	+3.5
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	47→57	43→50	56→70	38	.227/.269/.356	.129	.308	8	18	28%	5%	71	-0.3	.204/.253/.311	.107	.309	9	27	35%	5%	53	-1.5	.264/.338/.396	.132	.327	13	74	22%	6%	108	+1.6
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	.228/.289/.349	.121	.291	8	9	24%	7%	77	+0.1	.249/.303/.399	.150	.321	15	8	26%	6%	97	+1.5	.288/.348/.497	.209	.353	27	29	25%	7%	136	+3.8
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→54	45	52→40	48	.224/.296/.359	.134	.268	11	6	21%	7%	84	+0.6	.237/.302/.349	.112	.294	10	3	22%	7%	84	+0.6	.234/.338/.350	.116	.305	12	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	52→62	42→50	53→55	48	.250/.318/.360	.110	.306	9	11	21%	7%	93	+1.3	.269/.332/.397	.128	.319	12	17	19%	7%	108	+2.3	.268/.333/.391	.123	.317	12	18	19%	7%	103	+1.6
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	49→59	37→40	56→50	52	.231/.299/.304	.073	.285	4	11	19%	9%	70	-0.3	.234/.279/.300	.066	.300	4	12	22%	6%	60	-1.0	.277/.336/.366	.089	.333	5	15	17%	7%	97	+1.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45	41→55	55	43	.216/.285/.315	.099	.290	7	13	27%	7%	68	-0.5	.204/.313/.323	.119	.295	10	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	.202/.308/.336	.135	.284	11	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
●Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	53→52	46→55	58→50	43	.255/.310/.394	.139	.339	12	15	27%	7%	98	+1.6	.238/.301/.397	.159	.313	16	13	28%	7%	95	+1.4	.241/.312/.408	.167	.299	18	5	25%	8%	96	+1.3
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	49→51	39→40	54→50	55	.233/.320/.324	.091	.289	6	13	20%	10%	85	+0.7	.236/.309/.326	.090	.301	8	14	23%	8%	81	+0.4	.235/.310/.323	.088	.300	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Victor Robles 2016 · A	19	50	42→50	55→60	45	.239/.309/.350	.112	.290	8	21	20%	6%	87	+0.8	.239/.306/.357	.118	.298	8	23	22%	5%	88	+0.9	.244/.313/.382	.138	.303	11	27	22%	6%	94	+1.0
●César Hernández 2009 · A	19	48→58	38→45	54→55	48	.224/.278/.312	.088	.269	4	13	18%	6%	63	-0.9	.222/.274/.287	.065	.277	3	16	20%	6%	54	-1.4	.277/.367/.382	.105	.344	8	16	20%	12%	114	+2.9
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	49→37	40→45	54→55	45	.229/.303/.328	.098	.328	7	17	30%	8%	79	+0.3	.197/.323/.323	.126	.275	12	20	30%	11%	89	+1.0	.179/.324/.312	.133	.244	14	22	29%	12%	86	+0.5
✕Gorkys Hernández 2007 · A	19	49→57	41→45	54→55	41	.238/.268/.336	.099	.284	9	17	20%	4%	65	-0.7	.248/.289/.333	.085	.311	5	22	21%	5%	72	-0.2	.251/.311/.366	.115	.310	11	16	22%	7%	87	+0.6
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→49	41→60	54→50	47	.220/.290/.316	.096	.269	8	15	21%	7%	70	-0.3	.218/.267/.324	.106	.281	10	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	.212/.301/.276	.064	.273	3	16	22%	11%	65	-0.7	.218/.304/.295	.077	.280	4	15	21%	9%	71	-0.3	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)