Mario BaezSS FCL Braves
Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION76 act + 50 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .276 / .241
PA50
HR0
K%22
BB%8
BABIP260
ISO44
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -9.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
0.01.12.30.30.71.11.31.61.71.81.81.61.41.2+$98M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 33
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT57
scouting grade only
POWER33
scouting grade only
EYE51
scouting grade only
SPEED61
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.7$9M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.8$8M+$8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.8$8M+$7M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.6$6M+$5M
2036Arb-2$5M+1.4$5M+$3M
2037Arb-3$6M+1.2$4M+$2M
Totals $18M $41M +$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202316 ROKDSL Braves — 206189 47614 11395 245 249307354662 106293 195 287 78 — — — — — —
202316 ROKDSL Braves — 206180 56723 20255 245 311395422817 111346 1210 368 140 — — — — — —
202417 ROKFCL Braves — 193179 26310 10482 162 145199173372 28197 255 169 -12 — — — — — —
202417 ROKFCL Braves — 193173 35510 15362 162 202272243515 40254 198 239 41 — — — — — —
202518 ROKFCL Braves — 134115 18200 12237 134 157276174450 17196 179 218 25 — — — — — —
202518 ROKFCL Braves — 134106 22300 20157 134 208366236602 28242 1115 300 87 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ROKATL — 7670 12400 6140 22 171237229465 57214 188 206 16 -7 -0 +0 +1 +2 -0.5
YTD19 ROKATL — 7666 15500 10100 22 227329303632 76268 1313 295 84 -1 -0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
ROS19 ROKATL 0% 5045 9200 4111 10 197276241517 44274 228 269 64 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
ROS19 MLBATL 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 274 —— 260 58 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL19 ROKATL — 7671 12400 6140 22 169237225462 56211 188 206 16 -7 -0 +0 +1 +2 -0.5
TOT19 ROKATL — 126115 21600 10251 32 182253233486 52232 208 231 35 -9 -0 +0 +1 +4 -0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBATL 34% 200181 41813 15422 51 227293331624 105277 218 282 74 -6 +1 +0 +2 +6 0.3
202821 MLBATL 48% 332300 701426 25684 82 233301353654 120279 208 291 81 -7 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.7
202922 MLBATL 54% 429387 911828 33886 103 235305354659 119280 218 296 85 -7 +1 +0 +5 +12 1.1
203023 MLBATL 57% 493446 10520310 381006 124 235304361665 126282 208 300 88 -7 +1 +0 +5 +14 1.3
203124 MLBATL 57% 535481 11522311 421087 134 239309366675 127282 208 302 89 -7 +1 +0 +6 +15 1.6
203225 MLBATL 57% 560504 12023312 441137 144 238308367675 129282 208 303 90 -6 +1 +0 +6 +16 1.7
203326 MLBATL 56% 573515 12324312 451158 144 239310367677 128282 208 303 90 -6 +1 +0 +6 +16 1.8
203427 MLBATL 55% 576517 12324312 461168 144 238310366676 128282 208 303 90 -6 +1 +0 +6 +16 1.8
203528 MLBATL 55% 574516 12324312 461167 144 238309366676 128282 208 302 90 -7 +1 -1 +6 +16 1.6
203629 MLBATL 53% 566508 12023311 461167 134 236308358667 122281 208 301 88 -8 +1 -1 +6 +16 1.4
203730 MLBATL 53% 556499 11823311 451157 134 236309361669 124281 218 298 86 -9 +1 -2 +6 +16 1.2
203831 MLBATL 57% 542486 11222210 441147 124 230304346649 115279 218 294 83 -10 +1 -3 +6 +15 0.9
203932 MLBATL 59% 524470 1062029 431126 113 226299334633 109276 218 289 79 -12 +1 -4 +6 +15 0.6
204033 MLBATL 61% 495446 981828 401096 103 220293323616 103272 228 282 74 -14 +1 -4 +5 +14 0.2
204134 MLBATL 57% 448404 871527 361015 82 215288314602 99267 238 274 68 -16 +1 -5 +5 +13 -0.3
202720 MLBATL 34% 6963 14301 5141 20 222290317607 95277 207 273 67 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202821 MLBATL 48% 161146 35713 12332 41 240306363669 123279 207 281 73 -5 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.2
202922 MLBATL 54% 233210 491014 18483 62 233303348651 114280 218 287 78 -6 +0 +0 +2 +7 0.4
203023 MLBATL 57% 279251 601216 22574 72 239310367677 127282 208 290 80 -6 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.5
203124 MLBATL 57% 302271 651326 24614 72 240311369680 129282 208 292 82 -6 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.6
203225 MLBATL 57% 316284 681327 25644 82 239310373683 134282 208 293 82 -6 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.7
203326 MLBATL 56% 324291 701327 26654 83 241312371683 131282 208 293 83 -6 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.7
203427 MLBATL 55% 319286 691327 26644 82 241313374687 133282 208 294 83 -6 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.7
203528 MLBATL 55% 315283 681327 25644 82 240311375685 134282 208 293 82 -6 +1 -0 +3 +9 0.7
203629 MLBATL 53% 303271 631216 25624 72 232307351657 118281 208 291 81 -7 +1 -1 +3 +9 0.5
203730 MLBATL 53% 293263 621216 24614 72 236309357667 122281 218 289 79 -7 +1 -1 +3 +8 0.4
203831 MLBATL 57% 306274 631216 25644 72 230304347650 117279 218 285 76 -8 +1 -2 +3 +9 0.3
203932 MLBATL 59% 310278 631216 25664 62 227300342641 115276 218 280 72 -10 +0 -2 +3 +9 0.1
204033 MLBATL 61% 302271 601115 24664 62 221294325619 103272 228 274 68 -11 +0 -3 +3 +9 -0.1
204134 MLBATL 57% 253228 49914 20573 51 215287316603 101267 238 265 61 -11 +1 -3 +3 +7 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 40853671 8581651981 32684653 9627 234306355661 121281 218 286 77 -104 +8 -11 +44 +116 5.4
/ 162G— — 650584 13626313 521358 154 233304354659 122280 218 286 77 -17 +1 -2 +7 +18 0.9
Career— — 79867188 165231139146 6251654108 22561 230301345646 115277 218 291 81 -172 +21 -20 +86 +226 14.4
/ 162G— — 650585 13425312 511359 185 229301344644 115277 218 291 81 -14 +2 -2 +7 +18 1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202316 ROKDSL Braves — 206180 56723 20255 245 311395422817 111346 1210 368 140 +9 +3 — — +6 1.8
202417 ROKFCL Braves — 193173 35510 15362 162 202272243515 40254 198 239 41 -13 +2 — — +5 -0.5
202518 ROKFCL Braves — 134106 22300 20157 134 208366236602 28242 1115 300 87 -2 +1 — — +4 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Royce Claytonlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA
83,9205470256311365+18+1710.110.0
/162664912+3.1+2.91.7pk7: 10
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
94,1978097234302353+43+279.17.7
/1626641315+6.8+4.31.4pk7: 6
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Mario Baez (OGILVIE) 19 52→57 28→33 56→61 51 182/253/233 52232 03 20% 8% 35 -0.5 ————————— —————————
✕Luis Santana
2018 · A 		19 52 39→45 54→50 50 243/311/343 100274 511 13% 7% 85 +0.7 245/315/335 90288 69 16% 7% 85 +0.7 225/297/334109287111024%7%74-0.0
✕Jett Williams
2023 · A 		19 45→46 41→45 56→55 43 214/285/313 99288 714 27% 7% 68 -0.5 203/314/320 117299 923 31% 12% 83 +0.6 201/310/335134289102630%12%81+0.3
✕Luisangel Acuña
2021 · A 		19 49→55 38→45 51→60 51 232/298/315 83281 513 18% 8% 72 -0.2 229/285/335 106315 1130 29% 7% 72 -0.2 236/292/342106319113928%7%74-0.1
✕Jose Astudillo
2023 · A 		19 44 37→30 54→50 47 207/264/281 74251 314 19% 6% 50 -1.8 245/295/318 73283 314 14% 5% 72 -0.2 293/336/3909732081910%4%104+0.6
✕Pedro Ramírez
2023 · A 		19 51→55 40→45 53→55 43 245/292/346 101303 714 21% 5% 78 +0.2 237/292/339 102303 814 23% 6% 76 +0.1 255/306/365110315102221%6%86+0.6
✕Andruw Monasterio
2016 · A 		19 44→54 36→45 53→55 47 207/266/272 65255 313 20% 6% 48 -1.9 209/262/268 59269 210 22% 6% 45 -2.1 246/325/351106317102324%9%92+0.6
✕Eury Pérez
2009 · A 		19 47→57 37→40 54→65 47 223/297/296 73290 520 23% 8% 68 -0.5 259/303/332 73320 428 19% 5% 78 +0.2 296/331/3909535933718%4%102+0.6
✕Ryan Brett
2012 · A 		20 48→58 40→45 57→60 47 227/276/330 103266 518 16% 6% 66 -0.6 250/293/351 101309 726 20% 5% 79 +0.3 263/305/36910532483020%5%85+0.5
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr.
2023 · A 		20 51→53 39→40 54→50 56 239/327/329 91293 614 19% 11% 89 +1.0 243/317/334 91314 814 23% 8% 86 +0.8 243/318/3318831381423%8%83+0.4
✕Manuel Joseph
2014 · A 		20 49 40→45 51→50 44 234/287/326 92283 616 20% 5% 71 -0.3 246/305/362 116287 1014 17% 6% 88 +0.9 277/338/426150303141713%6%120+1.3
●L.J. Hoes
2009 · A 		19 50→60 37→40 56→50 52 233/301/304 71285 411 19% 9% 70 -0.3 238/285/305 67306 412 22% 6% 64 -0.8 278/336/3699133451517%7%97+1.5
✕Robert Vasquez
2006 · A 		19 49 40 52→50 47 232/289/326 94289 612 22% 7% 72 -0.2 206/273/275 69276 48 25% 8% 52 -1.6 196/269/254582725927%8%44-0.6
✕Jose Paez
2013 · A 		19 49 40→45 51→50 43 233/286/331 98308 613 25% 6% 71 -0.3 210/256/293 83314 411 32% 5% 49 -1.8 178/220/2466828331236%4%17-1.1
✕Rubén Tejada
2008 · A 		18 50→60 38→40 51→50 50 237/313/315 78287 513 18% 8% 79 +0.3 227/281/295 68275 39 18% 6% 60 -1.0 246/313/343972867115%8%81+0.2
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2014 · A 		19 50→56 34→40 50→55 44 234/282/287 53301 214 22% 6% 57 -1.2 235/286/279 44295 19 19% 5% 57 -1.2 264/312/3417729962114%5%81+0.3
✕Jonathan Ornelas
2019 · A 		19 46→55 40→45 53→50 44 216/279/314 98304 714 30% 7% 64 -0.8 199/257/288 89280 610 30% 6% 48 -1.9 235/295/3248832691229%7%70-0.3
✕Jesus Rodriguez
2021 · A 		19 46→55 42→45 49→50 46 224/285/337 113288 99 25% 8% 72 -0.2 235/300/339 104298 612 22% 8% 80 +0.4 254/315/36210830991620%7%88+0.7
✕Gorkys Hernández
2007 · A 		19 49→59 41→45 54→55 41 239/268/338 99285 917 20% 4% 65 -0.7 246/287/331 85313 522 22% 5% 71 -0.3 263/321/381118325111621%7%95+1.0
●Derek Hill
2015 · A 		19 41→51 40→50 55→60 47 200/269/291 91259 713 25% 8% 55 -1.4 199/251/270 71293 325 31% 6% 40 -2.4 248/301/422175338222932%6%100+0.7
✕Derrik Gibson
2010 · A 		20 48→54 37→40 56→55 45 223/290/300 76303 316 26% 7% 66 -0.6 200/260/251 51275 118 26% 7% 40 -2.4 236/301/3087231131123%8%69-0.2