Luis Parababire

C FCL Braves

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1557ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	17	ROKATL	113	.255/.381/.404	2	2	45	—	.163/.274/.245
2024	18	ROKATL	83	.262/.458/.443	0	0	81	—	.179/.337/.299
2025	19	ROKATL	40	.200/.400/.200	0	1	19	—	.121/.275/.121
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBATL	150	.196/.286/.284	1	1	65	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBATL	24	.201/.290/.297	0	0	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBATL	74	.205/.293/.308	1	1	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

BB%77

Z-Con%57

wRC+56

wOBA41

Speed25

Whiff%8

CompsNiko Vasquez (age 21) · Jhostynxon Garcia (age 21) · Pablo Aliendo (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .284 / .282

PA26

HR0

K%31

BB%9

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	113	94	24	8	0	2	13	25	6	2	1	255	381	404	785	149	328	22	12	359	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	83	61	16	11	0	0	18	15	4	0	0	262	458	443	900	180	348	18	22	411	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	40	30	6	0	0	0	7	15	3	1	0	200	400	200	600		400	38	18	313	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	113	98	16	5	0	1	9	32	6	2	1	163	274	245	519	82	221	28	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	83	67	12	8	0	0	12	21	4	0	0	179	337	299	636	119	257	25	14	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	40	33	4	0	0	0	4	22	3	1	0	121	275	121	396		329	55	10	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	113	98	16	5	0	1	9	32	6	2	1	163	274	245	519	82	231	28	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	113	94	24	8	0	2	13	25	6	2	1	255	381	404	785	149	328	22	12	359	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	83	67	12	8	0	0	12	21	4	0	0	179	337	299	636	119	261	25	14	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	83	61	16	11	0	0	18	15	4	0	0	262	458	443	900	180	348	18	22	411	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	40	33	4	0	0	0	4	22	3	1	0	121	275	121	396		364	55	10	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	40	30	6	0	0	0	7	15	3	1	0	200	400	200	600		400	38	18	313	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	113	97	16	5	0	1	9	32	6	2	1	165	274	247	522	82	221	28	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	83	67	12	8	0	0	12	21	4	0	0	179	337	299	636	119	257	25	14	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	40	33	4	0	0	0	4	22	3	1	0	121	275	121	396		329	55	10	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	83	67	12	8	0	0	12	21	4	0	0	179	337	299	636	119	257	25	14	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	40	33	4	0	0	0	4	22	3	1	0	121	275	121	396		329	55	10	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	150	132	26	7	1	1	14	46	3	1	0	196	286	284	571	88	289	31	9	264	65	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	70	63	12	3	0	1	6	21	1	1	0	201	290	297	587	96	290	30	9	271	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	153	135	28	7	1	2	14	45	3	2	1	205	293	308	601	103	291	29	9	276	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	235	208	43	11	1	3	21	69	4	2	1	208	296	318	614	109	292	29	9	281	76	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	305	268	57	14	2	4	28	88	6	3	1	211	298	325	623	114	292	29	9	284	78	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	352	311	67	16	2	6	32	101	6	3	1	213	299	331	631	118	292	29	9	287	80	-8	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	375	331	70	17	2	6	34	108	7	3	1	212	298	328	627	117	291	29	9	285	79	-9	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	383	338	71	17	2	6	35	111	7	2	1	210	296	324	620	114	290	29	9	283	77	-10	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	381	337	69	17	2	5	34	111	7	1	1	207	293	317	611	110	289	29	9	279	75	-11	-0	-1	+7	+8	0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	374	331	68	17	2	5	34	111	6	1	1	204	290	309	599	105	286	30	9	274	72	-13	-0	-2	+7	+8	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	201	290	297	587	96	290	29	8	271	69	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	74	66	13	3	0	1	7	22	1	1	0	205	293	308	601	103	291	30	9	276	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	124	110	24	6	1	2	11	36	2	1	0	208	296	318	614	109	292	29	9	281	76	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	167	147	31	8	1	2	15	48	3	2	1	211	298	325	623	114	292	29	9	284	78	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	196	172	37	9	1	3	18	56	4	2	1	213	299	331	631	118	292	29	9	287	80	-5	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	206	181	38	9	1	3	19	59	4	2	1	212	298	328	627	117	291	29	9	285	79	-5	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
2034	28	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	209	184	39	10	1	3	19	61	4	1	1	210	296	324	620	114	290	29	9	283	77	-6	-0	-0	+4	+5	0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	203	179	37	9	1	3	18	59	4	1	0	207	293	317	611	110	289	29	9	279	75	-6	+0	-1	+4	+4	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	213	188	39	10	1	3	19	63	4	0	0	204	290	309	599	105	286	30	9	274	72	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1416	1249	262	65	7	20	128	411	26	10	4	210	297	321	618	111	293	29	9	281	74	-40	+0	-2	+25	+31	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	120	30	3	9	59	189	12	5	2	209	297	319	616	110	294	29	9	281	74	-18	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2890	2543	521	133	14	39	265	848	61	21	9	205	295	314	609	109	289	29	9	278	74	-75	+0	-4	+47	+58	2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	117	30	3	9	60	191	14	5	2	205	296	315	611	110	288	29	9	278	74	-18	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKFCL Braves · 40 PAwOBA .307 → .197 (−110)K% 37.5% → 55.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	37.50%	÷0.980	×1.440	—	—	55.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.50%	÷1.013	×0.620	—	×1.008	10.79%
HBP% /PA	7.50%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	5.44%
Singles /BIP	40.00%	÷1.005	×0.820	—	×1.008	32.87%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.996	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.856	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .307 → .197; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .400 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Braves · 83 PAwOBA .402 → .288 (−114)K% 18.1% → 25.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.07%	÷1.037	×1.440	—	—	25.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.69%	÷0.965	×0.620	—	×1.022	14.24%
HBP% /PA	4.82%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	3.55%
Singles /BIP	10.87%	÷1.047	×0.820	×0.990	×1.022	8.62%
Doubles /BIP	23.91%	÷1.022	×0.720	×0.990	×1.022	17.05%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.720	×0.990	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.266	×0.780	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 109, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 107, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .402 → .288; ISO .180 → .133; BABIP .348 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Braves · 113 PAwOBA .350 → .235 (−116)K% 22.1% → 28.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.12%	÷0.961	×1.220	—	—	28.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.50%	÷1.048	×0.700	—	×1.022	7.86%
HBP% /PA	5.31%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	3.80%
Singles /BIP	20.29%	÷1.004	×0.680	×0.995	×1.022	13.99%
Doubles /BIP	11.59%	÷0.913	×0.600	×0.995	×1.022	7.76%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.141	×0.600	×0.995	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.90%	÷0.816	×0.470	—	×1.022	1.71%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 128, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .350 → .235; ISO .149 → .093; BABIP .328 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Marc Hill'73-'86 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,047 PA	3.1	2,047	34	1	218*	292*	337*	+35	-0	2.6	3.3
/162	664	11	0	+11.4	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.2	1,443	21	10	210	293	322	+26	+24	2.5	2.4
/162	664	10	5	+11.9	+11.0	1.1	pk7: 2
#4Mike Difelice'96-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,714 PA	2.6	1,714	28	3	226*	277*	345*	+30	+0	0.6	1.5
/162	664	11	1	+11.7	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 2
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Steve Swisher'74-'82 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,577 PA	2.4	1,577	20	4	211*	275*	330*	+28	+0	-0.1	0.6
/162	664	8	2	+11.9	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Parababire (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	194/284/282	87	289	0	0	31%	9%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41→42	37→50	46→45	43	196/264/267	72	292	5	6	33%	8%	53	-2.1	200/274/309	109	277	10	3	29%	9%	66	-1.1	220/276/351	131	285	16	6	28%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	40	39→50	44→45	38	188/266/266	78	300	7	6	37%	6%	55	-2.0	211/277/337	126	307	14	5	34%	6%	74	-0.5	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→47	39→45	48→50	45	184/277/270	87	267	6	10	31%	8%	60	-1.6	204/274/301	97	277	7	11	27%	6%	65	-1.2	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Mike Ohlman 2012 · A	21	41→51	37→45	44→40	41	195/259/269	74	291	5	3	32%	7%	51	-2.3	228/291/331	103	316	7	3	28%	8%	77	-0.3	237/299/344	107	320	7	2	26%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	39→45	48→30	38	194/254/281	87	293	7	4	35%	6%	52	-2.2	180/236/264	84	253	7	3	31%	6%	41	-3.0	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→50	37→45	48→45	45	190/266/265	75	277	4	7	31%	8%	53	-2.1	214/286/312	98	294	8	5	28%	8%	72	-0.7	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Geovanny Planchart 2023 · A	21	41	36→40	50→40	45	190/269/255	65	295	3	5	34%	9%	52	-2.2	190/270/268	78	274	6	4	30%	9%	55	-1.9	174/258/250	76	242	6	2	29%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Narbe Cruz 2022 · A	21	43	37→45	45	41	201/278/275	74	300	5	7	32%	7%	60	-1.6	203/255/288	85	280	7	6	28%	5%	54	-2.0	201/251/290	89	279	8	6	30%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	290	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	200/254/277	77	265	5	3	25%	5%	51	-2.3	195/253/281	87	245	8	0	23%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Freuddy Batista 2021 · A	21	38	39→50	48→40	36	186/240/272	87	288	7	5	36%	6%	45	-2.7	203/268/343	140	296	15	6	35%	6%	72	-0.7	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	42	200/270/298	98	297	8	11	33%	8%	62	-1.4	192/261/284	92	292	6	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→49	35→40	48→60	44	184/266/243	59	279	2	9	32%	8%	49	-2.4	191/294/274	83	293	6	15	33%	11%	68	-1.0	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Dusty Ryan 2006 · A	21	37→47	40→50	43→40	38	184/237/271	87	270	8	6	34%	6%	43	-2.8	201/266/308	107	313	11	4	37%	7%	63	-1.4	212/290/364	152	313	17	3	35%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	39→32	41→45	46→30	38	189/254/293	104	302	8	3	38%	7%	55	-2.0	185/251/286	101	320	10	2	43%	6%	53	-2.1	244/299/348	104	334	12	0	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Javier Valdes 2021 · A	22	40	37→55	50→30	45	190/265/263	73	265	4	7	28%	8%	53	-2.1	210/293/324	114	277	11	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	206/302/346	140	255	16	3	25%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	42→46	40→45	47→60	43	203/269/295	92	295	8	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	197/255/288	91	320	7	24	38%	7%	53	-2.1	210/270/327	118	310	11	32	34%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A	21	39	38→40	45→55	39	187/243/268	81	270	4	8	31%	6%	45	-2.7	194/262/265	71	270	4	15	28%	7%	51	-2.2	186/265/247	62	244	4	22	24%	8%	47	-0.7

Luis Parababire

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps