Luis ParababireC FCL Braves
Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj PA
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .281 / .300
PA50
HR1
K%29
BB%8
ISO98
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -2.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.01.12.10.20.61.01.31.51.61.61.51.31.20.8+$88M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.6$8M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.6$8M+$7M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.5$7M+$6M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.3$5M+$4M
2036Arb-2$4M+1.2$4M+$3M
2037Arb-3$3M+0.8$1M+$0.3M
Totals $13M $33M +$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Braves 113100 18602 7396 21 180274300574 120271 356 261 58
202317 ROKDSL Braves 11394 24802 13256 21 255381404785 149328 2212 359 133
202418 ROKFCL Braves 8367 12800 12204 00 179337299636 119255 2414 283 75
202418 ROKFCL Braves 8361 161100 18154 00 262458443900 180348 1822 411 173
202519 ROKFCL Braves 4033 4000 4233 10 121275121396 400 5710 191 4
202519 ROKFCL Braves 4030 6000 7153 10 200400200600 400 3818 313 98
▸ 2026 Season
202620 MLBATL 5045 9201 4151 10 200280311591 111288 308 268 63 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBATL 34% 138123 26612 11393 20 211292325617 114290 288 279 71 -4 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.2
202822 MLBATL 48% 277247 531215 23785 31 215295332627 117291 288 286 77 -7 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
202923 MLBATL 54% 376335 741727 311047 41 221300346647 125292 288 291 81 -8 +0 +0 +7 +11 1.0
203024 MLBATL 55% 443396 882029 361218 52 222300351651 129293 278 295 84 -8 +0 +0 +8 +13 1.3
203125 MLBATL 56% 482430 9621310 401329 52 223303356659 133293 278 296 85 -8 +0 +0 +9 +14 1.5
203226 MLBATL 56% 505449 10022311 421389 62 223302359661 136293 278 298 86 -8 +0 +0 +9 +14 1.6
203327 MLBATL 55% 515458 10223311 431419 62 223302358660 135293 278 298 86 -8 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.6
203428 MLBATL 55% 517459 10223311 441439 62 222303357660 135293 289 297 85 -9 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.5
203529 MLBATL 53% 511453 9922211 441429 52 219300349649 130292 289 295 84 -9 +0 -1 +9 +14 1.3
203630 MLBATL 57% 503446 9722210 431419 51 217299343642 126290 289 292 82 -10 +1 -2 +9 +14 1.2
203731 MLBATL 60% 476424 9120210 411358 41 215296342638 127288 289 288 78 -12 +0 -3 +8 +13 0.8
203832 MLBATL 61% 445396 831828 381288 31 210292326618 116284 299 282 74 -13 +0 -4 +8 +13 0.4
203933 MLBATL 62% 404360 741627 341187 21 206287319606 114280 298 275 69 -14 +0 -4 +7 +11 0.0
204034 MLBATL 58% 351313 621316 291056 10 198279304582 105273 308 267 62 -15 +0 -5 +6 +10 -0.4
202721 MLBATL 34% 4742 9201 4131 10 214298333631 119290 289 265 61 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202822 MLBATL 48% 134120 26612 11382 20 217293333627 117291 288 272 67 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.2
202923 MLBATL 54% 204181 40914 17564 21 221302348650 127292 278 278 71 -7 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.3
203024 MLBATL 55% 246220 481115 20674 31 218295345641 127293 278 281 74 -7 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.4
203125 MLBATL 56% 270241 541216 22745 31 224302357659 133293 278 283 75 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203226 MLBATL 56% 284254 571326 23785 31 224301362664 138293 278 284 76 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203327 MLBATL 55% 285254 561316 24785 31 220300350651 130293 278 284 76 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203428 MLBATL 55% 283252 551216 24785 31 218299345644 127293 288 283 75 -8 +0 -0 +5 +8 0.5
203529 MLBATL 53% 273243 531216 23765 31 218299350649 132292 288 282 74 -8 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.4
203630 MLBATL 57% 287255 551216 25805 31 216298341639 125290 289 279 72 -9 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.3
203731 MLBATL 60% 284253 541216 24805 21 213294340634 126288 288 275 69 -10 +0 -2 +5 +8 0.1
203832 MLBATL 61% 273243 511115 23785 21 210292325617 115284 298 269 64 -11 +0 -2 +5 +8 -0.1
203933 MLBATL 62% 252225 471015 21744 10 209288329617 120280 298 263 59 -12 +0 -3 +4 +7 -0.2
204034 MLBATL 58% 203181 35713 17613 10 193274293566 99273 308 254 53 -11 +0 -3 +4 +6 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 33252964 6401421467 27893158 3210 216296341637 125290 288 277 70 -113 +2 -12 +59 +94 3.2
/ 162G 650579 12628313 5418211 62 218296344640 126292 288 277 70 -22 +0 -2 +12 +18 0.6
Career 62295534 119027129121 5261762120 6119 215297340637 125290 288 288 79 -149 +5 -20 +111 +176 12.7
/ 162G 650577 12428313 5518413 62 215298341639 127290 288 288 79 -15 +0 -2 +12 +18 1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Braves 11394 24802 13256 21 255381404785 149328 2212 359 133 +4 +0 +3 0.8
202418 ROKFCL Braves 8361 161100 18154 00 262458443900 180348 1822 411 173 +7 +0 +2 0.9
202519 ROKFCL Braves 4030 6000 7153 10 200400200600 400 3818 313 98 -0 +0 +1 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA
123,7531342235284407+60+3015.816.0
/162664240+10.7+5.32.8pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
93,3756831218295345+60+367.56.5
/162664136+11.9+7.11.5pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Luis Parababire (OGILVIE) 20 203/281/300 97288 11 29% 8% 63 -0.1
Miguel Palma
2022 · A
20 43 44→45 47→40 49 207/309/323 116287 119 29% 10% 82 +0.5 218/279/333 115290 134 28% 7% 70 -0.3 214/272/31810428512228%6%61-0.5
Sam McMillan
2019 · A
20 47 41→40 47→45 49 227/314/329 102280 86 21% 8% 85 +0.7 215/317/292 77291 47 25% 10% 77 +0.1 211/334/282712734721%12%79+0.1
Jeferson Quero
2022 · A
19 48→42 43→50 47→45 50 230/306/345 115283 910 21% 8% 85 +0.7 221/273/345 124289 148 27% 6% 70 -0.3 225/289/37014526918423%7%82+0.3
Ricardo Olivar
2023 · A
21 47→53 42→45 47→50 42 221/292/340 118325 89 32% 7% 77 +0.1 226/304/344 118318 119 30% 9% 84 +0.6 217/298/334116297131029%9%76+0.0
Luis Alvarez
2011 · A
21 47 42→45 48→45 45 228/296/337 109289 96 24% 7% 78 +0.2 219/274/328 109275 105 24% 5% 66 -0.6 209/262/31710825012121%4%55-0.3
Jeferson Morales
2019 · A
20 47→45 38→50 50 54 218/320/316 97274 315 20% 10% 84 +0.6 207/296/329 122258 99 22% 9% 77 +0.1 221/296/35713627513823%7%81+0.2
Leo Jiménez
2023 · A
22 47→49 41→45 49→45 50 221/327/317 97287 89 24% 9% 88 +0.9 227/313/341 114287 117 24% 7% 88 +0.9 227/317/34211428611523%7%86+0.4
Shawn Zarraga
2009 · A
20 48 40 51→45 49 226/308/322 96306 77 26% 9% 79 +0.3 223/295/301 78305 56 26% 7% 69 -0.4 277/347/362843224214%8%106+0.8
Jhoneiker Betancourt
2022 · A
22 48 40→55 47→40 48 231/310/327 96292 77 22% 8% 82 +0.5 204/279/334 130274 154 30% 7% 71 -0.3 186/269/36117523526033%7%79+0.1
Michael Arroyo
2023 · A
18 48→42 42→50 44→50 45 227/318/334 107303 87 26% 7% 88 +0.9 214/310/343 129287 128 28% 8% 88 +0.9 219/307/369150281181327%8%90+0.9
Héctor Sánchez
2010 · A
20 50 40→50 48→30 49 238/311/337 99289 74 20% 8% 84 +0.6 245/285/359 114300 102 21% 5% 78 +0.2 252/291/37312131013022%4%83+0.3
Roberto Pérez
2010 · A
21 51→42 40→55 46→30 42 235/306/326 91339 77 30% 7% 79 +0.3 201/286/284 83289 43 29% 10% 60 -1.0 224/314/36414029415127%11%90+0.4
Harry Ford
2022 · A
19 45→47 47→45 52→55 43 223/287/366 143309 149 32% 8% 82 +0.5 211/317/346 135289 1416 29% 11% 91 +1.1 204/318/335131272142128%12%85+0.6
Jesus Rodriguez
2023 · A
21 50→55 41→45 50 49 236/301/346 110285 612 19% 7% 82 +0.5 249/307/362 113307 914 21% 7% 89 +0.9 254/315/36210830991620%7%88+0.7
Yeiner Fernandez
2023 · A
20 51→52 41→40 42→45 45 246/305/343 97305 84 22% 6% 83 +0.6 232/294/313 81280 65 18% 7% 71 -0.3 228/290/294672725517%6%62-0.6
Randy Florentino
2019 · A
19 46 45→50 45 51 220/308/355 135308 108 30% 11% 88 +0.9 191/266/284 93290 75 34% 9% 52 -1.6 183/233/258752428427%6%29-0.9
Ronaldo Hernández
2018 · A
20 50→44 43→55 40→45 44 245/288/356 111285 94 18% 5% 79 +0.3 227/267/356 129268 157 21% 4% 71 -0.3 216/261/38516924324123%4%74-0.0
Juan Fernandez
2018 · A
19 48→57 41→40 48→50 47 230/294/335 105278 86 20% 7% 77 +0.1 200/257/274 74263 44 24% 6% 45 -2.1 239/301/3329329710922%6%74-0.0
Meibrys Viloria
2017 · A
20 51→47 41→45 45→40 45 245/298/350 105302 73 21% 6% 82 +0.5 233/278/335 102311 93 27% 5% 69 -0.4 205/291/302973079333%10%64-0.4
Austin Romine
2009 · A
20 50→53 43→45 50→45 43 248/282/359 111286 114 18% 4% 77 +0.1 241/278/363 122295 136 22% 5% 76 +0.1 252/290/39214031618226%5%88+0.3