Derek Arellan
P
DSL Miami
Age 21
RHP
6'2" / 175 lbs
ROK
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 10 ip · rates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120
ERA5.44
FIP5.44
K%22.2%
BB%17.3%
K-BB%4.9%
ROS IP10
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | 2 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 100% | 2.5 | 25.0% | 4.2% | 20.8% | 4.2% | 9.00 | 3.80 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Marlins | 2 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 100% | 2.5 | 25.0% | 4.2% | 20.8% | 4.2% | 9.00 | 3.90 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Miami | 12 | 0 | 16 | 85 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.2% | 26.5% | -11.3% | 1.2% | 7.31 | 5.80 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Miami | 12 | 0 | 16 | 85 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.2% | 26.5% | -11.3% | 1.2% | 7.31 | 5.80 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Miami | 12 | 0 | 16 | 85 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.4% | 21.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 7.31 | 4.91 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 17.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.44 | 5.44 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 4.98 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIA | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 4.60 | -0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 122 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 4.60 | -0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 14 | 2 | 21 | 109 | 19 | 24 | 2 | 14% | 1.5 | 17.4% | 21.6% | -4.2% | 1.8% | 7.71 | 5.36 | -0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 133 | 19 | 200 | 1038 | 180 | 224 | 19 | 14% | 1.5 | 17.4% | 21.6% | -4.2% | 1.8% | 7.71 | 5.36 | -1.0 | |