Whilmer Guerra — OGILVIE

Whilmer Guerra P FCL Braves

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 160 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.41

FIP5.41

K%20.3%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%4.5%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	11	3	33	149	15	9	3	27%	3.0	6.8%	7.6%	-0.7%	3.5%	4.91	5.37	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	11	3	33	149	15	9	3	27%	3.0	10.1%	6.0%	4.0%	2.0%	4.91	4.19	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	11	6	37	175	23	23	3	55%	3.4	8.9%	16.4%	-7.5%	1.9%	3.38	5.47	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	11	6	37	175	23	23	3	55%	3.4	8.9%	16.4%	-7.5%	1.9%	3.38	5.47	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	11	6	37	175	23	23	3	55%	3.4	13.1%	13.1%	0.0%	1.7%	3.38	4.76	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	13	0	27	121	23	20	2	0%	2.1	12.9%	20.7%	-7.7%	2.7%	4.61	6.11	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	13	0	27	121	23	20	2	0%	2.1	12.9%	20.7%	-7.7%	2.7%	4.61	6.11	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	13	0	27	121	23	20	2	0%	2.1	19.0%	16.5%	2.5%	1.7%	4.61	4.56	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	ATL	17	0	18	76	15	12	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	15.8%	4.5%	3.0%	5.41	5.41	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ATL	25	0	26	109	23	15	3	0%	1.0	21.6%	13.5%	8.0%	2.9%	5.11	4.98	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	ATL	12	0	13	55	12	7	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	13.5%	8.0%	2.9%	5.11	4.98	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	54	12	7	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	13.5%	8.0%	2.9%	5.11	4.60	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	110	32	0%	1.1	21.6%	13.5%	8.0%	2.9%	5.11	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		35	9	98	445	41	65	12	26%	2.8	9.3%	14.6%	-5.3%	2.6%	4.24	5.61	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	18	200	911	85	133	24	26%	2.8	9.3%	14.6%	-5.3%	2.6%	4.24	5.61	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Whilmer Guerra (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.41	20.3%	15.8%	3.0%	—	4.98	21.6%	8.0%	26	-0.43	—	—	—
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	87
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	86
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	83
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	83
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	82
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	82
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	82
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	81
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	81
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	81
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	79
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	79
Alix Hernandez R 2024 · 4.44 FIP	20	SU	4.44	21.7%	13.7%	2.6%	.300	5.16	23.0%	11.4%	78	+0.72	3.55	170	79
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	79
Jose Romero R 2022 · 4.29 FIP	21	SW	4.29	22.7%	17.2%	1.7%	.200	4.34	21.6%	3.9%	100	+0.05	3.71	163	79
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	79
Dylan King R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	22	SW	4.43	21.4%	20.5%	1.0%	.233	4.79	27.1%	17.7%	90	+0.36	3.78	121	78
Luis Rujano R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	21	SW	4.54	17.0%	12.3%	2.4%	.361	4.80	17.9%	-0.8%	97	+0.26	4.54	203	78
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	78
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	78