Jaeden Calderon — OGILVIE

Jaeden CalderonOF Clearwater Threshers

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 208 lbs A HR +11%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.1 · 2033

wRC+†24

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .298 / .351

PA66

HR2

K%28

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

31↗36

PWR

41↗46

SPD

51↗56

EYE

54↗59

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.1peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.9	$18M	+$17M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.0	$19M	+$18M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.1	$21M	+$20M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.0	$20M	+$16M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.8	$19M	+$13M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.6	$17M	+$10M
Totals		$20M		$114M	+$93M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	152	133	24	5	2	2	14	45	5	13	5	.180	.283	.293	.576	.113	.256	30	9	.257	55	-8	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	184	152	31	5	1	5	16	59	13	7	4	.204	.331	.349	.680	.145	.286	32	9	.292	82	-4	-0	+0	-1	+5	0.0
2025	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	41	36	6	2	0	0	5	13	0	3	0	.167	.268	.222	.491	.056	.261	32	12	.224	30	-3	+1	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	54	48	6	0	1	0	6	17	0	4	0	.125	.222	.167	.389	.042	.194	31	11	.201	12	-5	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
ROS	20	MLB	PHI	12	11	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	.091	.167	.091	.258	.000	.276	25	8	.284	76	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	MLB	PHI	66	59	7	0	1	0	7	20	0	4	0	.119	.212	.153	.365	.034	.179	30	11	.216	24	-6	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	PHI	176	154	34	6	1	5	18	41	2	5	1	.221	.310	.370	.680	.149	.272	23	10	.307	93	-1	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.3
2028	22	MLB 28%	PHI	307	268	62	11	3	9	32	70	4	8	1	.231	.322	.396	.718	.164	.274	23	10	.317	101	+0	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.8
2029	23	MLB 48%	PHI	397	345	80	14	3	12	43	89	6	10	2	.232	.327	.394	.722	.162	.275	22	11	.323	105	+2	+1	+0	-2	+11	1.3
2030	24	MLB 62%	PHI	457	398	93	16	4	14	50	101	6	11	2	.234	.328	.399	.728	.166	.276	22	11	.327	108	+4	+1	+0	-3	+13	1.6
2031	25	MLB 80%	PHI	492	427	101	17	4	16	55	108	7	12	2	.237	.333	.407	.741	.171	.276	22	11	.330	111	+6	+2	+0	-3	+14	1.9
2032	26	MLB 94%	PHI	511	441	105	18	4	17	58	112	7	12	2	.238	.336	.413	.749	.175	.277	22	11	.332	112	+7	+2	+0	-3	+14	2.0
2033	27	MLB	PHI	519	447	106	18	4	17	60	114	7	12	2	.237	.337	.409	.746	.172	.277	22	12	.332	112	+7	+2	+0	-3	+15	2.1
2034	28	MLB	PHI	520	448	106	18	4	17	60	115	7	11	1	.237	.336	.408	.744	.172	.276	22	12	.331	111	+7	+2	-1	-3	+15	2.0
2035	29	MLB	PHI	513	441	103	18	4	16	60	115	7	11	1	.234	.335	.401	.736	.168	.275	22	12	.329	110	+6	+2	-1	-3	+15	1.8
2036	30	MLB	PHI	505	434	101	17	4	16	59	115	7	10	0	.233	.334	.401	.735	.168	.274	23	12	.325	107	+4	+2	-2	-3	+14	1.6
2037	31	MLB	PHI	492	425	97	16	4	15	57	114	7	9	0	.228	.329	.391	.720	.162	.272	23	12	.322	104	+2	+2	-3	-3	+14	1.3
2038	32	MLB	PHI	475	411	91	15	3	14	55	113	6	8	0	.221	.322	.375	.697	.153	.271	24	12	.317	101	+0	+2	-4	-3	+13	0.9
2039	33	MLB	PHI	446	386	84	14	3	12	51	109	6	8	0	.218	.318	.363	.681	.145	.269	24	11	.311	97	-2	+2	-4	-3	+13	0.6
2040	34	MLB	PHI	400	346	74	12	3	11	46	101	5	7	0	.214	.315	.361	.676	.147	.267	25	12	.305	92	-4	+1	-5	-2	+11	0.2
2041	35	MLB	PHI	347	301	62	10	2	9	39	91	4	6	0	.206	.305	.342	.647	.136	.265	26	11	.297	86	-6	+1	-6	-2	+10	-0.2
2042	36	MLB	PHI	288	250	51	8	2	7	32	79	4	5	0	.204	.304	.336	.640	.132	.262	27	11	.288	79	-7	+1	-6	-2	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7234	6254	1412	240	55	214	811	1707	110	168	23	.226	.325	.384	.710	.159	.274	24	11	.318	101	+11	+24	-31	-43	+205	16.9
/ 162G	—			650	562	127	22	5	19	73	153	10	15	2	.226	.326	.384	.710	.158	.275	24	11	.318	101	+1	+2	-3	-4	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	152	123	34	8	3	3	24	34	5	13	5	.276	.414	.463	.878	.187	.360	22	16	.394	160	+10	+1	—	—	+4	1.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	184	142	40	7	2	4	26	40	13	7	4	.282	.436	.444	.880	.162	.356	22	14	.395	160	+13	-0	—	—	+5	1.8
2025	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	41	34	8	3	0	0	7	9	0	3	0	.235	.366	.324	.689	.088	.320	22	17	.323	106	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaeden Calderon (OGILVIE)	20	31→36	41→46	51→56	59	.216/.298/.351	.135	.286	2	1	28%	9%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	41→51	47→60	46→45	46	.210/.298/.347	.138	.263	15	10	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.215/.301/.412	.197	.284	25	6	32%	9%	101	+1.8	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
●Coby Mayo 2022 · A	20	49→46	51→60	55→45	46	.247/.313/.408	.161	.309	18	12	26%	8%	104	+2.0	.226/.295/.404	.178	.302	21	6	31%	8%	95	+1.4	.224/.304/.422	.198	.291	24	4	30%	9%	102	+1.6
✕Brennen Davis 2021 · A	21	47→41	46→50	51→45	44	.234/.299/.364	.130	.297	14	10	25%	7%	87	+0.8	.205/.283/.348	.143	.298	17	8	35%	7%	77	+0.1	.172/.265/.319	.148	.217	21	9	31%	7%	61	-0.4
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2015 · A	19	45→40	48→55	53→50	47	.223/.299/.376	.153	.295	14	8	28%	9%	90	+1.0	.190/.274/.321	.131	.267	13	8	31%	9%	66	-0.6	.191/.263/.361	.170	.260	21	12	35%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Harry Ford 2023 · A	20	47→48	47→45	52→55	51	.222/.325/.360	.138	.317	14	14	32%	11%	98	+1.6	.212/.315/.336	.124	.285	12	17	27%	11%	87	+0.8	.208/.314/.324	.116	.273	12	19	26%	11%	80	+0.3
✕Jason Taylor 2009 · A	21	43→40	45	52→55	51	.212/.298/.333	.121	.262	13	19	24%	10%	79	+0.3	.213/.277/.328	.115	.263	11	18	22%	7%	67	-0.5	.203/.251/.303	.099	.247	8	18	21%	6%	48	-0.6
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	43→49	45→60	49→50	53	.215/.299/.346	.130	.255	12	15	21%	10%	82	+0.5	.228/.299/.394	.166	.292	19	11	28%	7%	95	+1.4	.238/.311/.439	.201	.293	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
✕Francisco Murillo 2007 · A	20	42	47→50	49→50	43	.213/.279/.345	.133	.294	15	8	32%	8%	73	-0.1	.199/.259/.322	.123	.301	13	6	36%	7%	59	-1.1	.150/.210/.278	.128	.229	14	3	40%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Oliver Carrillo 2023 · A	21	47→27	51→50	52→45	45	.230/.306/.392	.162	.324	19	7	33%	9%	97	+1.5	.204/.307/.350	.146	.309	17	5	36%	11%	88	+0.9	.169/.276/.297	.128	.264	17	3	39%	10%	60	-0.5
✕Noelvi Marte 2022 · A	20	45→53	50	51→55	43	.227/.286/.379	.153	.297	17	14	29%	7%	85	+0.7	.232/.294/.366	.134	.298	15	17	26%	7%	85	+0.7	.241/.288/.377	.137	.301	14	21	24%	5%	83	+0.4
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→52	51→65	52→45	44	.239/.294/.391	.152	.285	20	9	24%	6%	92	+1.2	.256/.303/.451	.195	.298	27	6	24%	6%	111	+2.5	.258/.305/.479	.221	.284	33	5	22%	6%	116	+2.6
●Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	48→52	49→55	58→50	45	.235/.304/.393	.158	.314	14	16	29%	8%	96	+1.5	.241/.304/.403	.162	.308	17	10	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.241/.312/.408	.167	.299	18	5	25%	8%	96	+1.3
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	43	50	50→45	45	.215/.318/.372	.157	.292	18	8	31%	8%	98	+1.6	.214/.320/.369	.155	.268	17	7	26%	8%	98	+1.6	.212/.320/.363	.151	.264	17	7	25%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	46→50	52→40	44	.205/.283/.341	.136	.298	13	8	34%	9%	74	-0.1	.199/.260/.324	.125	.272	14	4	31%	7%	60	-1.0	.192/.251/.302	.111	.255	13	1	29%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Miguel Palma 2022 · A	20	42	43→45	47→40	47	.204/.301/.317	.113	.282	11	9	29%	9%	77	+0.1	.216/.277/.335	.119	.281	14	4	27%	6%	70	-0.3	.209/.267/.315	.106	.274	13	2	27%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Heriberto Hernández 2019 · A	19	44→45	53→55	46→45	55	.224/.324/.409	.186	.277	19	7	26%	12%	109	+2.4	.223/.304/.395	.172	.319	18	6	33%	9%	97	+1.5	.213/.297/.387	.174	.298	22	7	34%	10%	90	+0.8
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	48→49	43→60	53→50	45	.233/.286/.344	.111	.281	10	17	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.207/.254/.310	.103	.281	9	15	28%	5%	53	-1.5	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)