Jaeden Calderon

1B Clearwater Threshers
Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 208 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Phillies …184.282/.436/.4444762—.167/.309/.247
202519ROKPHI41.235/.366/.3240335—.167/.268/.222
202620A/ROKPHI258.190/.331/.32431233—.144/.244/.248
2027PROJMLE21MLBPHI368.175/.257/.2665750-0.5
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBPHI69.182/.264/.2861156-0.3
Next 2 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed97
Max EV84
Z-Con%79
Whiff%62
BB%52
K%44
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%
CompsNelson Medina (age 21) · Chris Roller (age 21) · Misael Urbina (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 152 proj PA
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .255 / .263
PA152
HR2
K%29
BB%9
ISO91
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -9.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +3.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.5-0.32728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 39
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER39
scouting grade only
EYE61
scouting grade only
SPEED57
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Phillies Red — 152123 34833 24345 135 276414463878 187360 2216 394 50 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Phillies White — 184142 40724 264013 74 282436444880 162356 2214 395 62 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Phillies — 4134 8300 790 30 235366324689 88320 2217 323 35 — — — — — —
202620 AClearwater Threshers — 151130 18322 18401 90 138248238487 100178 2612 228 2 — — — — — —
202620 ROKFCL Phillies — 10780 22631 22203 30 275448463910 188344 1921 402 77 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 152131 21521 16405 135 160276252528 92216 2611 242 50 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 184150 25412 184913 74 167309247556 80218 2710 260 62 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 4136 6200 5130 30 167268222491 56247 3212 220 35 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEClearwater Threshers — 151135 15222 13541 90 111195200395 89154 369 171 2 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 10789 17421 13293 30 191314315629 124252 2712 282 77 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 152131 21521 16405 135 160276252528 92222 2611 242 50 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Phillies Red — 152123 34833 24345 135 276414463878 187360 2216 394 50 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 184150 25412 184913 74 167309247556 80225 2710 260 62 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Phillies White — 184142 40724 264013 74 282436444880 162356 2214 395 62 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 4136 6200 5130 30 167268222491 56261 3212 220 35 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWFCL Phillies — 4134 8300 790 30 235366324689 88320 2217 323 35 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 258224 31642 26834 120 138240228468 89203 3210 217 33 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW2 teams — 258210 40953 40604 120 190331324655 133245 2316 301 33 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 152130 21521 16405 135 162276254530 92216 2611 242 50 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 184151 25412 184913 74 166309245554 79218 2710 260 62 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 4136 6200 5130 30 167268222491 56247 3212 220 35 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 258226 31642 26834 120 137240226466 88195 3210 217 33 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 184151 25412 184913 74 166309245554 79218 2710 260 62 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 4136 6200 5130 30 167268222491 56247 3212 220 35 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 258226 31642 26834 120 137240226466 88195 3210 217 33 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEPHI 0% 368329 571125 321064 71 175257266523 91239 299 242 50 -22 +1 +0 -7 +8 -0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEPHI 34% 200179 32613 17572 41 181263281545 101242 288 250 56 -11 +0 +0 -4 +4 -1.0
202822 MLB CTXPHI 34% 6962 11201 6201 10 182264286550 104243 299 252 56 -4 +0 +0 -1 +1 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 6962 11201 6201 10 177261258519 81244 299 252 48 -4 +0 +0 -1 +1 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 1031909 571889 90 176260255515 79243 299 252 48 -34 +2 +0 -12 +14 -3.1
Career— MLE — 987856 13827910 9528626 4211 161265249514 88225 2910 240 48 -20 +1 +0 -6 +8 -1.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650564 921867 6318817 287 163267254521 90227 2910 240 48 -36 +1 +0 -12 +14 -3.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AClearwater Threshers · 151 PAwOBA .226 → .171 (−55)K% 26.5% → 36.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.49%÷1.000×1.360——36.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.92%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0158.35%
HBP% /PA0.66%—×0.780—×1.0150.52%
Singles /BIP12.22%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×1.01510.84%
Doubles /BIP3.33%÷1.000×0.830×0.950×1.0152.67%
Triples /BIP2.22%÷1.000×0.910×0.950×1.0151.95%
Home runs /BIP2.22%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0151.80%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .226 → .171; ISO .100 → .077; BABIP .178 → .154. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Phillies · 107 PAwOBA .401 → .282 (−119)K% 18.7% → 26.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.69%÷1.000×1.440——26.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.56%÷1.000×0.620—×0.98512.56%
HBP% /PA2.80%—×0.720—×0.9851.99%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.000×0.820×0.957×0.98515.46%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.957×0.9856.79%
Triples /BIP5.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.957×0.9853.39%
Home runs /BIP1.67%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9851.28%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .401 → .282; ISO .188 → .136; BABIP .344 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Phillies · 41 PAwOBA .316 → .220 (−96)K% 22.0% → 31.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.95%÷1.000×1.440——31.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.07%÷0.928×0.620—×0.99511.35%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.004×0.820—×0.99516.26%
Doubles /BIP12.00%÷1.015×0.720—×0.9958.47%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.917×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 100, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .316 → .220; ISO .088 → .058; BABIP .320 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Phillies White · 184 PAwOBA .392 → .260 (−132)K% 21.7% → 26.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.74%÷0.990×1.220——26.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.13%÷0.997×0.700—×0.9959.87%
HBP% /PA7.07%—×0.700—×0.9954.92%
Singles /BIP26.47%÷1.011×0.680×0.950×0.99516.84%
Doubles /BIP6.86%÷0.947×0.600×0.950×0.9954.11%
Triples /BIP1.96%÷1.150×0.600×0.950×0.9950.97%
Home runs /BIP3.92%÷0.812×0.470—×0.9952.26%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 102, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .392 → .260; ISO .162 → .097; BABIP .356 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Phillies Red · 152 PAwOBA .385 → .242 (−142)K% 22.4% → 26.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.37%÷1.035×1.220——26.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.79%÷1.036×0.700—×1.00810.75%
HBP% /PA3.29%—×0.700—×1.0082.32%
Singles /BIP22.47%÷1.028×0.680×0.954×1.00814.30%
Doubles /BIP8.99%÷1.032×0.600×0.954×1.0085.03%
Triples /BIP3.37%÷0.981×0.600×0.954×1.0081.98%
Home runs /BIP3.37%÷1.046×0.470—×1.0081.53%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 96, K 107, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .385 → .242; ISO .187 → .102; BABIP .360 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).