Jaeden Calderon — OGILVIE

Jaeden CalderonOF Clearwater Threshers

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 208 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION231 act + 154 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .261 / .270

PA154

HR2

SB5

K%29

BB%9

BABIP242

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	152	133	24	5	2	2	14	46	5	13	5	180	283	293	576	113	259	30	9	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	152	123	34	8	3	3	24	34	5	13	5	276	414	463	878	187	360	22	16	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	184	152	31	5	1	5	16	59	13	7	4	204	331	349	680	145	286	32	9	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	184	142	40	7	2	4	26	40	13	7	4	282	436	444	880	162	356	22	14	395	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	41	36	6	2	0	0	5	13	0	3	0	167	268	222	491	56	261	32	12	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	41	34	8	3	0	0	7	9	0	3	0	235	366	324	689	88	320	22	17	323	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	PHI	—	231	202	27	5	3	2	22	80	3	11	0	134	229	218	447	84	202	35	10	213	21	-21	+2	+0	-1	+7	-1.3
YTD	20	A	PHI	—	231	192	36	7	5	3	32	56	3	11	0	188	313	323	636	135	241	24	14	289	80	-5	+2	+0	-1	+7	0.2
ROS	20	A	PHI	0%	154	137	24	5	1	2	14	45	2	5	0	175	261	270	532	95	250	29	9	256	54	-8	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
ROS	20	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		251	—	—	247	48	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	A	PHI	—	231	203	27	5	3	2	22	80	3	11	0	133	229	217	446	84	200	35	10	213	21	-21	+2	+0	-1	+7	-1.3
TOT	20	A	PHI	—	385	339	51	10	4	4	36	125	5	16	0	150	242	239	481	88	219	32	9	230	35	-28	+3	+0	-2	+11	-1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	PHI	34%	334	296	58	11	3	7	30	94	5	7	1	196	281	324	605	128	256	28	9	271	66	-13	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
2027	21	MLB	PHI	34%	115	102	20	4	1	2	10	32	2	2	0	196	281	314	594	118	258	28	9	263	59	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	115	103	20	4	1	2	10	32	2	2	0	194	281	311	591	117	257	28	9	263	59	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	113	23	6	11	57	181	11	11	0	194	281	311	592	117	258	28	9	263	59	-30	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	865	754	143	28	7	16	79	257	25	35	10	190	288	309	597	119	261	30	9	269	64	-35	+3	+0	-5	+25	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	107	21	5	12	59	193	19	26	8	189	287	307	594	118	259	30	9	269	64	-26	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	152	123	34	8	3	3	24	34	5	13	5	276	414	463	878	187	360	22	16	394	160	+10	+1	—	—	+4	1.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	184	142	40	7	2	4	26	40	13	7	4	282	436	444	880	162	356	22	14	395	160	+13	-0	—	—	+5	1.8
2025	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	41	34	8	3	0	0	7	9	0	3	0	235	366	324	689	88	320	22	17	323	106	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	241	5	5	204	283	325	-1	+0	-0.3	-0.1
	/162	664	13	14	204	283	325	-4.0	+0.0	-0.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaeden Calderon (OGILVIE)	20	28→33	40→45	51→56	58	150/242/239	88	219	4	16	32%	9%	35	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	45→55	50	46	193/270/323	130	263	12	8	30%	9%	64	-0.8	183/268/311	128	268	12	8	34%	10%	60	-1.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→40	43→50	47→55	47	208/276/316	107	257	11	9	23%	7%	64	-0.8	211/277/355	144	271	15	17	27%	7%	75	-0.0	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	39→43	45→50	49→50	40	199/265/323	124	270	13	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	211/270/351	140	268	18	5	28%	6%	72	-0.2	205/264/342	137	255	19	5	27%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2021 · A	20	41→40	44→55	47→45	41	205/267/321	116	274	12	7	29%	6%	62	-0.9	215/265/384	169	280	22	5	31%	5%	78	+0.2	194/257/378	183	244	25	1	32%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Zack Larson 2014 · A	20	46→35	41→45	53→50	41	222/281/319	97	293	8	13	26%	6%	67	-0.5	197/253/262	65	273	3	10	27%	6%	40	-2.4	177/233/223	47	249	1	10	27%	5%	21	-2.0
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	42	40→45	54→60	47	195/295/296	102	308	7	8	35%	10%	69	-0.4	201/299/281	80	274	6	17	26%	10%	66	-0.6	179/307/226	46	224	4	30	20%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Alexy Palma 2013 · A	20	41	44→40	47→50	50	205/278/323	117	251	11	10	22%	8%	67	-0.5	186/254/279	93	304	7	6	38%	7%	46	-2.0	162/245/263	101	286	9	0	43%	8%	36	-0.6
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Malcom Nuñez 2021 · A	20	46→42	46→45	50→45	44	229/285/358	129	285	14	6	25%	6%	79	+0.3	223/284/344	121	292	14	6	27%	7%	75	-0.0	217/283/338	121	282	16	4	28%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Stanley Martinez 2018 · A	21	42	41→45	49→50	46	203/276/300	97	261	8	8	25%	7%	61	-1.0	227/289/332	105	321	9	7	30%	7%	74	-0.1	220/280/293	72	342	5	3	34%	6%	56	-0.4
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	41	40→45	50	42	202/257/291	89	262	7	13	26%	6%	49	-1.8	224/280/353	129	280	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.0	226/277/353	127	285	14	8	25%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	43	39→40	53→55	44	205/260/298	92	275	5	6	27%	7%	52	-1.6	224/299/302	78	328	5	17	30%	8%	70	-0.3	213/301/307	94	348	8	27	37%	9%	69	-0.1
✕Garrett Whitley 2017 · A	20	40→36	42→50	47→55	44	197/267/302	105	280	9	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	191/270/310	119	334	12	13	42%	9%	61	-1.0	169/260/316	147	293	15	18	44%	10%	55	-0.9
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Yordyn Calderon 2014 · A	20	41	45	47→50	44	205/278/332	128	282	12	11	30%	8%	70	-0.3	190/262/281	91	293	7	11	35%	7%	50	-1.8	122/202/172	50	212	2	13	40%	6%	-4	-2.0
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	46→55	52→50	39	205/249/339	134	269	14	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	183/230/341	158	264	20	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	38→40	44→50	51→55	40	195/255/315	120	270	12	13	32%	6%	55	-1.4	189/251/317	128	263	13	17	32%	6%	54	-1.4	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
✕Franklin Paz 2011 · A	20	42	40→50	53→50	44	204/270/305	101	280	7	12	28%	7%	59	-1.1	209/265/324	115	278	11	11	28%	6%	62	-0.9	193/244/323	130	242	15	12	27%	5%	49	-0.8