Jerson Alejandro

P FCL Yankees

Age 21 RHP 6'6" / 255 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	18	ROKDSL NYY Bombe…	12	11	38	5.02	2.78	31.7%	18.9%	—	K 21.5% · BB 23.6% · FIP 4.27
2026	20	ROKNYY	8	4	12	6.00	3.85	28.6%	23.8%	—	K 19.4% · BB 29.8% · FIP 5.23
2027PROJ	21	MLBNYY	2	2	9	5.72	5.72	22.5%	20.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBNYY	2	2	10	5.34	5.18	23.5%	16.6%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsWilian Bormie (age 22) · Chris Viall (age 20) · Marco Jimenez (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.72

FIP5.72

K%22.5%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%2.5%

Proj IP9

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	10	9	36	157	36	17	3	90%	3.6	15.6%	13.5%	2.1%	1.6%	4.50	4.35	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	10	9	36	157	36	17	3	90%	3.6	22.9%	10.8%	12.1%	1.9%	4.50	3.60	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	12	11	38	180	57	34	0	92%	3.1	21.5%	23.6%	-2.1%	0.0%	5.02	4.27	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	12	11	38	180	57	34	0	92%	3.1	21.5%	23.6%	-2.1%	0.0%	5.02	4.27	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	12	11	38	180	57	34	0	92%	3.1	31.7%	18.9%	12.8%	0.0%	5.02	2.78	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	8	4	12	63	18	15	0	50%	1.5	19.4%	29.8%	-10.3%	0.0%	6.00	5.23	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	8	4	12	63	18	15	0	50%	1.5	19.4%	29.8%	-10.3%	0.0%	6.00	5.23	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	8	4	12	63	18	15	0	50%	1.5	28.6%	23.8%	4.8%	0.0%	6.00	3.85	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	NYY	2	2	9	38	9	8	1	100%	4.5	22.5%	20.0%	2.5%	2.9%	5.72	5.72	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	NYY	4	4	20	84	20	14	2	100%	5.0	23.5%	16.6%	6.9%	2.9%	5.34	5.18	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	NYY	2	2	10	42	10	7	1	100%	5.0	23.5%	16.6%	6.9%	2.9%	5.34	5.18	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	10	7	1	100%	4.9	23.5%	16.6%	6.9%	2.9%	5.34	4.80	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	203	142	20	100%	5.1	23.5%	16.6%	6.9%	2.9%	5.34	4.80	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		30	24	86	400	75	82	2	80%	2.9	18.9%	20.6%	-1.8%	0.6%	4.94	4.45	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	56	200	934	176	193	6	80%	2.9	18.9%	20.6%	-1.8%	0.6%	4.94	4.45	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jerson Alejandro (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.72	22.5%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.18	23.5%	6.9%	20	-0.54	—	—	—
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	87
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	84
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	84
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	84
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	216	80
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	79
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	77
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	77
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	76
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	76
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	76
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	75
Chen-Wei Lin R 2023 · 6.48 FIP	21	SP	6.48	21.3%	22.0%	4.4%	.379	3.81	20.5%	8.4%	257	-2.67	3.05	269	75
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.39	20.2%	8.6%	215	-1.21	4.29	257	75
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	75
Omar Victorino R 2024 · 5.88 FIP	19	SP-	5.88	19.5%	30.3%	1.1%	.302	5.30	13.2%	-5.7%	97	-0.58	5.26	182	75
Fernando Baez R 2015 · 6.56 FIP	23	SP-	6.56	18.6%	18.8%	4.8%	.322	4.51	26.9%	7.8%	94	-2.05	3.45	129	74
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	74
Wellington Aracena R 2024 · 5.43 FIP	19	SP-	5.43	18.9%	24.7%	1.5%	.343	3.94	20.0%	4.8%	196	-1.49	3.20	304	74
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	74