Jesus Alexander

C ACL Giants

Age 21 L/R 6'1" / 214 lbs ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	197	.381/.441/.597	5	1	68	—	.227/.282/.331
2025	19	ROKSF	125	.248/.339/.294	0	1	22	—	.174/.234/.200
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBSF	235	.214/.273/.303	3	3	63	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBSF	40	.215/.275/.312	1	1	68	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBSF	122	.218/.279/.324	2	2	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

K%58

Whiff%44

BB%39

Chase%34

Z-Con%32

wRC+24

CompsAngel Ortiz (age 21) · Carlos Rodriguez (age 21) · Joe Mack (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .271 / .300

PA66

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	85	76	13	4	0	1	7	18	2	0	0	171	259	263	522	92	211	21	8	245	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	197	176	67	17	3	5	19	28	0	1	0	381	441	597	1.038	216	428	14	10	448	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Giants	—	125	109	27	5	0	0	15	25	0	1	0	248	339	294	632	46	318	20	12	294	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	85	78	8	2	0	0	5	22	2	0	0	103	176	128	305	26	147	26	6	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	197	181	41	9	2	2	14	35	0	1	0	227	282	331	614	105	262	18	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	125	115	20	3	0	0	9	34	0	1	0	174	234	200	434	26	241	27	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	85	78	8	2	0	0	5	22	2	0	0	103	176	128	305	26	143	26	6	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	85	76	13	4	0	1	7	18	2	0	0	171	259	263	522	92	211	21	8	245	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	197	181	41	9	2	2	14	35	0	1	0	227	282	331	614	105	267	18	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	197	176	67	17	3	5	19	28	0	1	0	381	441	597	1.038	216	428	14	10	448	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	125	115	20	3	0	0	9	34	0	1	0	174	234	200	434	26	244	27	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	—	125	109	27	5	0	0	15	25	0	1	0	248	339	294	632	46	318	20	12	294	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	85	78	8	2	0	0	5	22	2	0	0	103	176	128	305	26	147	26	6	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	197	181	41	9	2	2	14	35	0	1	0	227	282	331	614	105	262	18	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	125	115	20	3	0	0	9	34	0	1	0	174	234	200	434	26	241	27	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	197	181	41	9	2	2	14	35	0	1	0	227	282	331	614	105	262	18	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	125	115	20	3	0	0	9	34	0	1	0	174	234	200	434	26	241	27	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SF	0%	235	216	46	8	2	3	16	63	1	3	1	214	273	303	576	89	286	27	7	261	63	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SF	34%	117	107	24	4	1	2	8	31	1	1	1	218	278	319	597	100	287	26	7	269	68	-4	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	SF	48%	252	230	51	9	2	4	18	65	2	3	1	222	283	331	614	109	288	26	7	276	73	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	SF	53%	351	321	72	13	2	7	25	90	2	5	2	225	287	342	628	117	290	26	7	282	77	-10	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	SF	55%	411	375	85	15	3	8	30	105	3	5	2	227	289	350	639	123	290	26	7	286	80	-10	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	SF	56%	448	409	94	17	3	10	33	114	3	6	2	229	291	356	647	127	290	25	7	290	82	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2033	27	MLB MLE	SF	55%	466	426	96	17	3	10	34	119	3	6	2	228	290	353	643	125	289	26	7	288	81	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2034	28	MLB MLE	SF	55%	474	433	98	18	3	10	35	122	3	6	3	226	288	348	637	123	288	26	7	285	79	-12	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	SF	53%	472	432	96	17	3	9	34	123	3	5	3	223	285	342	627	119	287	26	7	282	77	-13	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	SF	53%	466	426	95	17	3	9	34	123	3	5	4	220	282	334	616	114	285	26	7	277	74	-15	-1	-2	+8	+10	0.1
2037	31	MLB MLE	SF	56%	441	405	86	15	2	8	31	118	2	4	7	216	277	324	601	109	282	27	7	271	69	-16	-2	-3	+8	+10	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	SF	34%	40	37	8	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	215	275	312	587	97	284	28	8	265	68	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	SF	48%	122	111	25	5	1	2	9	32	1	2	1	218	279	324	603	105	285	26	7	272	73	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	SF	53%	185	169	37	7	1	3	13	48	1	2	1	221	283	333	617	112	286	26	7	277	77	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	SF	55%	225	205	45	8	1	4	16	57	2	3	1	223	286	341	626	117	286	25	7	281	80	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	SF	56%	249	227	51	9	2	5	18	63	2	3	1	225	288	346	634	122	286	25	7	284	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	SF	55%	256	233	53	10	2	5	19	65	2	3	1	224	287	344	630	120	285	25	7	283	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	SF	55%	259	236	53	10	2	5	19	67	2	3	1	222	285	339	624	117	284	26	7	280	79	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	SF	53%	252	230	50	9	1	5	18	66	2	3	2	219	282	333	615	114	283	26	7	277	77	-7	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	SF	53%	245	224	48	9	1	4	18	65	1	3	2	216	278	326	604	109	281	27	7	272	74	-8	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	SF	56%	249	228	48	9	1	4	18	67	1	2	4	212	273	316	590	104	278	27	7	266	69	-9	-1	-2	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2082	1900	418	77	12	38	151	541	14	25	14	220	282	333	615	113	286	26	7	277	73	-57	-1	-4	+37	+45	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	131	24	4	12	47	169	4	8	4	221	282	336	618	115	287	26	7	277	73	-18	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4371	3999	878	158	27	80	315	1119	27	49	27	220	281	333	614	113	283	26	7	276	73	-110	-1	-7	+71	+86	3.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	130	23	4	12	47	166	4	7	4	218	280	331	611	113	281	26	7	276	73	-18	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.2	2,149	42	26	225	283	343	+38	+24	3.7	3.5
/162	664	13	8	+11.9	+7.4	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Al Spohrer'28-'35 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,383 PA	3.6	2,383	6	13	230*	282*	337*	+43	+0	2.6	2.9
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Alexander (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	212/271/300	89	286	1	1	27%	7%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Angel Ortiz 2024 · A	21	40→45	39→50	47→45	40	197/244/283	86	268	6	8	28%	6%	48	-2.5	228/285/354	126	301	11	6	26%	7%	80	-0.1	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2024 · A	21	40	38→45	48→45	46	192/271/267	75	284	6	7	32%	9%	55	-1.9	191/263/273	82	291	6	4	33%	8%	53	-2.1	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Joe Mack 2024 · A	21	41→44	39→55	45	43	198/267/273	75	282	8	2	31%	8%	55	-1.9	218/280/363	145	290	18	5	30%	7%	81	-0.1	220/283/384	165	281	22	4	29%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	40	39→45	50→40	40	193/257/281	88	286	5	5	33%	7%	53	-2.1	202/288/313	111	362	10	4	42%	10%	73	-0.6	187/282/297	110	342	11	2	44%	11%	65	-0.7
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→49	39→55	49→45	44	198/268/289	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.6	217/280/371	154	321	18	7	36%	7%	83	+0.1	222/291/386	164	273	18	6	25%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Juan Centeno 2011 · A	21	43	37→45	50→40	44	205/259/273	67	267	4	9	24%	6%	51	-2.2	255/296/318	63	315	2	6	19%	5%	75	-0.5	279/317/335	56	337	1	3	17%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→46	39→50	48→45	42	174/249/268	95	270	5	6	35%	8%	47	-2.5	202/266/320	118	277	11	6	30%	7%	66	-1.1	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	43→40	37→45	49→55	47	202/280/276	75	285	5	6	29%	9%	61	-1.5	191/285/298	107	268	9	9	29%	11%	69	-0.9	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A	22	37→47	40→50	50	43	184/249/278	93	269	7	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	210/269/296	86	292	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	224/304/369	145	297	14	13	28%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	40→48	41→55	46→55	42	198/255/291	92	273	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	206/267/338	132	276	14	13	29%	7%	70	-0.8	229/297/399	170	285	18	21	26%	8%	94	+0.9
✕Joe Rizzo 2019 · A	21	44→50	38→50	48→40	41	211/266/286	75	302	6	5	31%	7%	57	-1.8	228/275/335	107	298	11	4	26%	6%	72	-0.7	235/283/369	133	291	16	2	25%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Creed Willems 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→50	48→30	35	182/242/277	95	274	7	4	35%	5%	47	-2.6	193/255/332	139	255	17	3	31%	6%	65	-1.2	210/277/346	136	255	18	1	25%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/262/292	91	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/270/308	113	293	13	8	36%	7%	65	-1.2	180/256/294	114	253	15	7	34%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	40	37→45	55→45	39	195/234/270	75	262	4	7	27%	5%	40	-3.0	244/269/336	92	305	5	7	21%	3%	69	-0.9	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Izaac Pacheco 2023 · A	20	41→40	42→50	47→45	42	201/260/306	105	290	10	8	33%	7%	59	-1.6	187/250/307	120	297	13	5	39%	7%	57	-1.8	185/263/344	159	294	20	3	41%	9%	69	-0.6
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2023 · A	21	45→46	39→55	49→50	44	216/270/309	94	286	6	8	26%	6%	63	-1.3	219/270/344	125	280	13	10	26%	6%	72	-0.7	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Yasmil Bucce 2024 · A	19	41	38→55	49→40	44	194/265/274	79	279	5	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	199/299/306	107	308	10	4	35%	11%	76	-0.4	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Charles Mack 2021 · A	21	44	37→45	49→40	42	207/268/285	77	297	4	7	30%	7%	57	-1.8	183/261/286	103	304	10	4	39%	9%	57	-1.8	154/240/258	104	248	11	1	40%	10%	40	-1.3

Jesus Alexander

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps