Javier González

P FCL Orioles

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 150 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	18	ROKDSL Orioles B…	10	8	34	3.93	1.85	25.3%	7.3%	—	K 17.2% · BB 9.2% · FIP 2.81
2025	19	MIX2 levels	13	4	39	5.77	3.13	23.3%	10.8%	—	K 15.5% · BB 12.1% · FIP 4.38
2026	20	MIX2 levels	22	0	29	2.76	3.61	24.8%	10.5%	—	K 17.3% · BB 13.0% · FIP 4.90
2027PROJ	21	MLBBAL	17	0	18	4.99	4.99	19.3%	11.8%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBBAL	17	0	18	4.78	4.68	20.9%	10.6%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJuan Mendez (age 22) · Tanner Cooper (age 21) · Brandon Komar (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%19.3%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%7.6%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	11	11	43	184	42	16	6	100%	3.9	15.5%	10.9%	4.7%	5.4%	5.48	6.12	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	11	11	43	184	42	16	6	100%	3.9	22.8%	8.7%	14.1%	3.3%	5.48	4.08	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	10	8	34	150	38	11	0	80%	3.4	17.2%	9.2%	8.1%	0.0%	3.93	2.81	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	10	8	34	150	38	11	0	80%	3.4	17.2%	9.2%	8.1%	0.0%	3.93	2.81	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	10	8	34	150	38	11	0	80%	3.4	25.3%	7.3%	18.0%	0.0%	3.93	1.85	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	4	39	176	41	19	2	31%	3.0	15.5%	12.1%	3.4%	1.9%	5.77	4.38	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	4	39	176	41	19	2	31%	3.0	15.5%	12.1%	3.4%	1.9%	5.77	4.38	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	4	39	176	41	19	2	31%	3.0	23.3%	10.8%	12.5%	1.1%	5.77	3.13	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	29	133	33	14	3	0%	1.3	17.3%	13.0%	4.3%	2.9%	2.76	4.90	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	29	133	33	14	3	0%	1.3	17.3%	13.0%	4.3%	2.9%	2.76	4.90	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	29	133	33	14	3	0%	1.3	24.8%	10.5%	14.3%	2.3%	2.76	3.61	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	BAL	17	0	18	76	15	9	2	0%	1.1	19.3%	11.8%	7.6%	3.0%	4.99	4.99	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BAL	35	0	37	156	32	16	5	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.6%	10.3%	3.0%	4.78	4.68	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	BAL	17	0	18	76	16	8	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.6%	10.3%	3.0%	4.78	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	77	16	8	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.6%	10.3%	3.0%	4.78	4.30	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	88	22	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.6%	10.3%	3.0%	4.78	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		56	23	145	643	105	72	17	41%	2.6	16.3%	11.2%	5.0%	2.7%	4.64	4.62	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	32	200	885	144	99	24	41%	2.6	16.3%	11.2%	5.0%	2.7%	4.64	4.62	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Javier González (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	19.3%	11.8%	3.0%	—	4.68	20.9%	10.3%	37	-0.31	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	86
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	85
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	84
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	82
Luis Rujano R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	21	SW	4.54	17.0%	12.3%	2.4%	.361	4.80	17.9%	-0.8%	97	+0.26	4.54	203	82
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	81
Luis F. Castillo R 2016 · 4.51 FIP	21	SU	4.51	16.7%	10.5%	2.7%	.337	3.50	19.7%	12.3%	96	-1.01	2.95	254	80
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	80
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	80
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	80
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	80
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	80
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	79
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	79
Jose Vasquez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	19	SW	4.12	21.9%	13.4%	2.1%	.359	6.49	15.6%	-10.2%	66	+2.37	4.12	123	79
Jeral Vizcaino R 2023 · 3.81 FIP	21	SW	3.81	15.9%	12.1%	1.0%	.250	4.27	16.4%	5.2%	67	+0.46	3.56	138	79
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	79
Simon Mathews R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	21	SW	4.09	17.7%	7.5%	2.8%	.326	4.42	16.0%	5.9%	167	+0.33	4.09	215	79
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	79
Huei-Sheng Lin R 2019 · 4.59 FIP	20	SW	4.59	17.4%	7.4%	3.7%	.360	5.64	16.1%	3.7%	88	+1.05	4.59	120	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	20.4%	11.0%	1.15	4.85
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*