Randry De Leon

P DSL Giants Black

Age 22 RHP 6'4" / 201 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038 peak 0.5 · 2030

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	20	ROKDSL Giants Or…	17	6	32	3.66	2.85	32.6%	19.9%	—	K 22.2% · BB 24.8% · FIP 4.37
2026	21	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	12	12	48	5.21	3.89	23.8%	9.5%	—	K 16.2% · BB 11.9% · FIP 5.44
2027PROJ	22	MLBSF	5	5	26	5.20	5.20	20.3%	14.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBSF	4	4	22	4.84	4.74	21.4%	12.3%	0.0
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBSF	6	6	32	4.63	4.53	22.1%	11.2%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRyan Atkinson (age 23) · Ray Gaither (age 24) · Ryan Harvey (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.20

FIP5.20

K%20.3%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%6.2%

Proj IP26

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	11	9	31	142	37	23	4	82%	2.8	17.7%	20.2%	-2.5%	4.2%	8.51	6.45	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	11	9	31	142	37	23	4	82%	2.8	26.1%	16.2%	9.9%	2.8%	8.51	4.63	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	12	11	42	174	46	16	3	92%	3.5	18.0%	11.5%	6.5%	2.6%	3.19	4.49	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	12	11	42	174	46	16	3	92%	3.5	18.0%	11.5%	6.5%	2.6%	3.19	4.49	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	12	11	42	174	46	16	3	92%	3.5	26.4%	9.2%	17.2%	1.7%	3.19	2.98	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	17	6	32	141	46	28	0	35%	1.9	22.2%	24.8%	-2.6%	0.0%	3.66	4.37	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	17	6	32	141	46	28	0	35%	1.9	22.2%	24.8%	-2.6%	0.0%	3.66	4.37	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	17	6	32	141	46	28	0	35%	1.9	32.6%	19.9%	12.8%	0.0%	3.66	2.85	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	12	12	48	210	50	20	6	100%	4.0	16.2%	11.9%	4.3%	4.0%	5.21	5.44	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	12	12	48	210	50	20	6	100%	4.0	16.2%	11.9%	4.3%	4.0%	5.21	5.44	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	12	12	48	210	50	20	6	100%	4.0	23.8%	9.5%	14.3%	2.9%	5.21	3.89	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	SF	5	5	26	110	22	15	3	100%	5.2	20.3%	14.1%	6.2%	3.0%	5.20	5.20	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SF	8	8	45	190	41	24	6	100%	5.6	21.4%	12.3%	9.0%	3.0%	4.96	4.86	+0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	SF	8	8	46	195	43	22	6	100%	5.8	22.1%	11.2%	10.8%	2.9%	4.75	4.65	+0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	SF	8	8	47	198	44	21	6	100%	5.8	22.5%	10.5%	12.0%	2.9%	4.60	4.51	+0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	SF	8	8	47	198	45	21	6	100%	5.8	22.7%	10.5%	12.3%	2.9%	4.53	4.49	+0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	SF	8	8	46	195	44	20	6	100%	5.8	22.7%	10.5%	12.2%	3.0%	4.53	4.52	+0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	SF	7	7	45	189	43	20	6	100%	6.4	22.6%	10.7%	11.9%	3.1%	4.58	4.61	+0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	SF	4	4	22	93	20	11	3	100%	5.5	21.4%	12.3%	9.0%	2.7%	4.84	4.74	+0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	SF	6	6	32	135	30	15	4	100%	5.3	22.1%	11.2%	10.8%	2.7%	4.63	4.53	+0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	SF	6	6	38	160	36	17	4	100%	6.3	22.5%	10.5%	12.0%	2.7%	4.48	4.39	+0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	SF	7	7	41	173	39	18	5	100%	5.9	22.7%	10.5%	12.3%	2.7%	4.41	4.37	+0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	SF	7	7	42	177	40	19	5	100%	6.0	22.7%	10.5%	12.2%	2.7%	4.41	4.40	+0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	SF	7	7	41	173	39	18	5	100%	5.9	22.6%	10.7%	11.9%	2.8%	4.45	4.48	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		37	37	216	912	205	99	25	100%	5.8	22.4%	10.8%	11.6%	2.7%	4.51	4.08	+2.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	190	92	23	100%	5.8	22.4%	10.8%	11.6%	2.7%	4.51	4.08	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		52	38	153	667	122	109	19	73%	2.9	18.2%	16.3%	1.9%	2.8%	4.99	5.18	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	50	200	870	159	142	25	73%	2.9	18.2%	16.3%	1.9%	2.8%	4.99	5.18	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Randry De Leon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.20	20.3%	14.1%	3.0%	—	4.67	22.0%	10.6%	138	-0.53	—	—	—
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	86
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	84
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	83
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	83
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.4%	8.5%	211	-0.23	3.28	265	82
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	82
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	82
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	82
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	81
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.39	20.2%	8.6%	215	-1.21	4.29	257	81
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	81
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	80
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	79
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	79
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	79
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	79
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	79
Christian Roa R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	22	SP	4.94	19.6%	12.4%	3.5%	.321	4.90	22.5%	6.9%	260	-0.04	4.14	414	79
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	79
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.5	43	22.2%	11.2%	1.15	4.70
Jorge Julio ('09)	2.3	58	21.7%	11.3%	1.25	4.43
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.6	51	21.6%	10.5%	1.24	4.71
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*