Adriander Mejía

C FCL Orioles

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKBAL	122	.268/.398/.351	1	3	51	—	.192/.288/.250
2026	19	ABAL	89	.250/.326/.325	0	1	50	—	.220/.281/.280
2026	19	ROKBAL	114	.320/.381/.495	4	2	71	—	.238/.292/.362
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBBAL	313	.209/.272/.300	4	5	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBBAL	94	.217/.282/.322	1	2	68	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBBAL	185	.221/.287/.334	3	3	73	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Z-Con%83

Whiff%69

K%52

wRC+36

wOBA30

BB%23

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsSammy Hernandez (age 20) · Gilberto Vizcarra (age 20) · Christian Cerda (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 190 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .270 / .297

PA190

HR2

K%25

BB%7

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	178	155	43	9	0	1	19	27	2	1	2	277	364	355	718	77	328	15	11	327	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	198	158	46	6	2	2	33	15	4	6	0	291	426	392	818	101	306	8	17	372	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	122	97	26	5	0	1	17	27	4	3	0	268	398	351	749	82	347	22	14	339	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	89	80	20	6	0	0	8	21	1	1	0	250	326	325	651	75	339	24	9	300	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	114	103	33	6	0	4	6	24	4	2	0	320	381	495	876	175	382	21	5	386	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	178	162	30	6	0	1	12	35	2	1	2	185	250	241	491	56	218	20	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	198	169	31	4	1	1	22	19	4	6	0	183	292	237	529	53	198	10	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	122	104	20	3	0	1	10	40	4	3	0	192	288	250	538	58	270	33	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	89	82	18	5	0	0	6	29	1	1	0	220	281	280	561	61	322	33	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	114	105	25	4	0	3	4	35	4	2	0	238	292	362	654	124	304	31	4	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	178	162	30	6	0	1	12	35	2	1	2	185	250	241	491	56	228	20	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	178	155	43	9	0	1	19	27	2	1	2	277	364	355	718	77	328	15	11	327	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	198	169	31	4	1	1	22	19	4	6	0	183	292	237	529	53	197	10	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	198	158	46	6	2	2	33	15	4	6	0	291	426	392	818	101	306	8	17	372	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	122	104	20	3	0	1	10	40	4	3	0	192	288	250	538	58	288	33	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	122	97	26	5	0	1	17	27	4	3	0	268	398	351	749	82	347	22	14	339	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	203	188	42	9	0	3	9	63	5	3	0	223	277	319	596	96	317	31	4	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	203	183	53	12	0	4	14	45	5	3	0	290	356	421	777	131	363	22	7	348	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	178	162	30	6	0	1	12	35	2	1	2	185	250	241	491	56	218	20	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	198	170	31	4	1	1	22	19	4	6	0	182	292	235	528	53	198	10	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	122	107	20	3	0	1	10	40	4	3	0	187	288	243	531	56	270	33	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	203	187	42	9	0	3	9	63	5	3	0	225	277	321	598	96	312	31	4	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	198	170	31	4	1	1	22	19	4	6	0	182	292	235	528	53	198	10	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	122	107	20	3	0	1	10	40	4	3	0	187	288	243	531	56	270	33	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	203	187	42	9	0	3	9	63	5	3	0	225	277	321	598	96	312	31	4	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	313	285	60	11	2	4	21	78	4	5	1	209	272	300	572	91	271	25	7	260	62	-14	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	273	248	53	10	1	4	19	67	4	5	1	214	279	315	594	101	273	25	7	269	68	-10	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	381	346	76	14	2	7	27	92	5	7	2	218	283	327	611	109	275	24	7	276	73	-12	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	451	410	91	17	2	9	32	108	6	9	2	221	287	336	623	115	276	24	7	281	76	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	498	453	102	19	3	10	36	119	6	10	3	223	290	342	632	119	278	24	7	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	520	470	107	20	3	11	38	123	7	10	3	225	292	346	638	122	279	24	7	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	520	470	107	20	3	11	38	123	7	10	3	224	292	346	638	122	278	24	7	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	BAL	60%	520	471	106	20	3	11	38	124	6	10	3	223	291	343	634	120	278	24	7	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2035	28	MLB MLE	BAL	62%	520	471	104	19	3	10	38	125	6	9	3	221	289	339	627	117	277	24	7	283	77	-14	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	BAL	63%	520	471	103	19	2	10	38	127	6	8	3	219	286	332	618	113	275	24	7	279	75	-16	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	BAL	63%	520	471	102	19	2	9	38	128	6	7	3	216	282	324	606	109	273	25	7	274	72	-18	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	493	450	94	17	2	8	35	124	5	5	4	212	277	315	592	103	270	25	7	268	68	-19	-1	-3	+9	+11	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	94	87	18	4	0	1	6	23	1	2	0	217	282	322	604	105	277	24	6	273	68	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	185	168	37	7	1	3	13	45	2	3	1	221	287	334	621	113	279	24	7	280	73	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	245	222	49	9	1	5	18	59	3	5	1	224	290	343	634	119	280	24	7	285	76	-7	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	276	250	57	11	1	6	20	66	4	5	1	227	293	350	643	123	282	24	7	289	79	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	291	264	60	11	2	6	21	69	4	6	2	228	295	354	650	126	283	24	7	292	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	292	265	60	11	2	6	21	69	4	6	2	228	295	354	649	126	282	24	7	291	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	BAL	60%	310	280	65	12	2	7	23	74	4	6	2	227	294	351	645	124	282	24	7	290	79	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	BAL	62%	321	290	66	12	2	7	24	77	4	5	2	225	292	346	638	121	281	24	7	287	77	-9	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	BAL	63%	326	295	66	12	2	6	24	79	4	5	2	223	289	340	629	117	279	24	7	283	75	-10	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	BAL	63%	330	299	65	12	1	6	24	81	4	5	2	219	285	332	617	112	277	25	7	278	72	-11	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	320	290	63	12	1	6	23	80	4	3	2	215	280	321	602	106	274	25	7	272	68	-12	-0	-2	+6	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2990	2710	606	113	15	59	217	722	38	51	17	224	290	342	632	118	281	24	7	284	72	-87	+3	-4	+53	+65	3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	132	25	3	13	47	157	8	11	4	224	290	343	633	119	282	24	7	284	72	-19	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6107	5527	1204	223	28	108	443	1464	81	106	33	218	286	327	613	109	275	24	7	275	72	-160	+6	-7	+97	+117	5.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	128	24	3	11	47	156	9	11	4	218	286	325	611	107	275	24	7	275	72	-19	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.8	3,180	59	53	220	283	334	+57	+28	5.2	4.8
/162	664	12	11	+11.9	+5.8	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adriander Mejía (OGILVIE)	20	31→36	35→40	46→51	48	207/270/297	90	271	2	3	25%	7%	62	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sammy Hernandez 2024 · A	20	37	43→40	51→50	40	188/254/301	113	262	11	5	31%	6%	57	-1.8	203/291/298	95	270	8	9	26%	9%	71	-0.8	201/300/298	97	262	9	13	24%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	34	37→45	47→40	47	164/238/229	66	203	5	3	22%	7%	35	-3.4	205/261/282	77	259	5	4	22%	6%	55	-2.0	227/269/318	92	274	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40	39→45	50→40	53	189/279/278	88	244	6	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	198/297/302	104	263	10	4	26%	12%	74	-0.5	187/288/292	105	240	12	2	26%	12%	67	-0.7
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	39	37→50	47→45	46	188/260/261	73	250	5	9	26%	8%	50	-2.3	207/250/323	116	289	11	6	31%	5%	60	-1.6	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Manuel Beltre 2024 · A	20	40→43	38→40	49→50	47	194/274/271	78	257	5	10	25%	8%	58	-1.7	202/270/282	80	269	6	15	26%	7%	59	-1.7	196/263/273	77	259	6	17	26%	7%	52	-1.3
✕Danny De Andrade 2024 · A	20	41	42→45	51→50	45	201/277/305	104	269	9	11	28%	8%	67	-1.1	201/270/315	114	278	10	11	30%	7%	66	-1.1	190/254/309	120	266	11	10	31%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	37	42→45	49→40	41	187/250/292	105	255	9	5	30%	6%	53	-2.1	203/260/303	100	308	8	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	195/253/292	98	300	8	2	36%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	47→50	45	194/259/280	86	254	7	8	26%	7%	54	-2.0	210/288/337	127	293	13	8	31%	9%	78	-0.3	174/246/297	123	248	13	14	34%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	40	39→45	46→50	45	192/269/279	87	247	7	7	24%	7%	58	-1.7	210/272/303	93	266	5	11	22%	5%	63	-1.3	210/267/312	102	264	5	11	22%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Leonel Espinoza 2023 · A	20	37→45	39→40	50→55	44	182/256/262	80	244	7	11	27%	7%	49	-2.4	209/274/296	87	297	6	14	30%	6%	63	-1.4	209/269/290	80	296	6	18	30%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	75	292	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	193/262/269	76	307	6	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Geoandry Montilla 2016 · A	20	40	38→40	48→50	45	196/254/274	78	261	5	7	26%	7%	50	-2.3	187/259/275	88	267	6	8	30%	8%	53	-2.1	155/239/242	87	222	6	9	31%	8%	37	-1.0
✕Alex Murphy 2015 · A	20	42→37	39→45	49→40	42	201/259/289	88	278	5	8	28%	6%	55	-1.9	200/256/315	115	293	11	3	34%	6%	61	-1.5	186/246/309	123	271	13	1	35%	6%	53	-1.2
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	39	38→40	48→40	56	186/292/260	74	232	6	6	21%	11%	63	-1.3	186/285/262	76	274	6	4	31%	11%	61	-1.5	167/269/232	65	254	5	2	33%	11%	47	-0.9
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Cam Gallagher 2012 · A	19	36	38→45	48→30	42	181/228/254	72	232	7	5	25%	6%	35	-3.4	196/248/282	86	230	7	3	17%	6%	49	-2.4	215/276/319	104	267	9	0	22%	7%	69	-0.2

Adriander Mejía

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps