Moises Lopez — OGILVIE

Moises Lopez3B FCL Twins

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .267 / .294

PA4

HR0

K%33

BB%8

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	174	145	39	7	3	5	22	52	5	10	1	269	384	462	846	193	378	30	13	373	139	+8	+2	—	—	+4	1.4
2024	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	68	52	6	0	0	2	15	26	1	0	2	115	324	231	554	115	167	38	22	279	75	-2	-1	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	174	153	27	5	2	3	14	75	5	10	1	176	267	294	562	118	302	43	8	252	57	-9	+2	—	—	+4	-0.4
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	68	58	3	0	0	1	9	38	1	0	2	52	191	103	295	52	131	56	13	169	1	-8	-1	—	—	+1	-0.8
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	174	153	27	5	2	3	14	75	5	10	1	176	267	294	562	118	312	43	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	174	145	39	7	3	5	22	52	5	10	1	269	384	462	846	193	378	30	13	373	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	68	58	3	0	0	1	9	38	1	0	2	52	191	103	295	52	105	56	13	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	68	52	6	0	0	2	15	26	1	0	2	115	324	231	554	115	167	38	22	279	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	174	153	27	5	2	3	14	75	5	10	1	176	267	294	562	118	302	43	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	68	58	3	0	0	1	9	38	1	0	2	52	191	103	295	52	131	56	13	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	174	153	27	5	2	3	14	75	5	10	1	176	267	294	562	118	302	43	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	68	58	3	0	0	1	9	38	1	0	2	52	191	103	295	52	131	56	13	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						288	25	0	258	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	116	105	22	4	1	2	9	37	1	2	0	210	278	324	602	114	290	32	8	269	68	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	261	235	48	8	2	5	21	81	3	4	1	204	278	319	597	115	291	31	8	277	73	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	365	328	70	12	3	8	29	111	5	6	1	213	287	341	629	128	292	30	8	282	77	-10	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	436	393	83	14	3	10	35	132	5	7	2	211	284	338	622	127	293	30	8	285	79	-11	+1	+0	+2	+9	0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	478	430	93	16	4	11	39	144	6	7	2	216	291	349	639	133	293	30	8	287	80	-11	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	503	451	98	17	4	12	41	152	6	8	2	217	291	353	644	135	293	30	8	288	81	-11	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	514	460	99	17	4	12	42	155	7	8	2	215	291	348	639	133	293	30	8	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	517	462	99	17	4	12	43	157	7	7	2	214	291	346	637	132	292	30	8	287	80	-12	+1	-1	+2	+11	0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	512	458	97	16	4	12	43	157	6	7	2	212	288	343	631	131	291	31	8	285	79	-13	+1	-1	+2	+11	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	194	275	306	581	111	290	32	8	260	68	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	126	113	24	4	1	3	10	39	2	2	0	212	288	345	633	133	291	31	8	268	73	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	198	178	39	7	2	4	16	60	2	3	1	219	291	348	639	129	292	30	8	273	77	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	242	217	47	8	2	6	20	73	3	4	1	217	292	355	647	138	293	30	8	276	79	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	268	241	52	9	2	6	22	81	3	4	1	216	289	344	634	129	293	30	8	278	80	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	283	254	55	9	2	7	23	85	4	4	1	217	292	350	642	134	293	30	8	279	81	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	284	255	55	9	2	7	23	86	4	4	1	216	291	349	640	133	293	30	8	279	81	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	283	253	54	9	2	7	24	86	4	4	1	213	292	348	640	134	292	30	8	278	80	-7	+0	-0	+1	+6	0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	274	246	52	9	2	6	23	84	3	4	1	211	287	337	624	126	291	31	8	276	79	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1998	1793	385	65	15	47	164	607	26	30	7	215	290	346	636	132	295	30	8	276	77	-50	+3	-1	+7	+43	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	125	21	5	15	53	197	8	10	2	214	288	345	633	130	294	30	8	276	77	-16	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3948	3537	739	126	31	88	325	1240	52	66	17	209	285	337	622	128	292	31	8	281	77	-93	+6	-2	+13	+80	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	121	21	5	14	54	204	9	11	3	208	286	333	619	125	291	31	8	281	77	-16	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,048	47	30	215	286	345	+7	+3	1.6	1.6
/162	664	15	10	+2.4	+1.0	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Moises Lopez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	195/267/294	99	288	1	1	33%	8%	60	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A	20	41	44→50	47→50	41	198/276/319	121	305	10	9	36%	8%	70	-0.9	189/268/291	102	310	9	8	39%	8%	61	-1.5	158/247/253	95	261	8	8	39%	9%	43	-0.7
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Izaac Pacheco 2023 · A	20	41→40	42→50	47→45	42	199/260/306	108	293	10	8	34%	8%	60	-1.6	180/243/297	117	298	12	5	41%	7%	52	-2.2	178/255/335	157	290	20	3	43%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	39→47	41→55	46→55	42	195/250/286	91	268	9	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	201/262/331	130	269	14	13	29%	7%	67	-1.1	222/289/387	165	276	18	21	26%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	41	41→45	50	40	196/269/296	100	293	8	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	199/266/318	119	286	10	9	32%	7%	65	-1.2	149/220/307	158	194	15	9	31%	7%	43	-0.7
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A	20	41	40→45	47→50	40	198/265/294	96	288	7	11	32%	6%	59	-1.6	218/287/329	111	286	11	9	26%	7%	76	-0.4	218/293/335	117	266	14	9	23%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→50	53→50	41	180/242/256	76	270	4	13	33%	7%	42	-2.9	209/260/327	118	304	9	6	32%	7%	64	-1.3	213/280/360	147	293	15	9	31%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	37→47	43→55	45→50	46	184/266/293	108	267	10	7	33%	10%	60	-1.6	197/285/328	131	277	13	9	31%	11%	75	-0.5	225/304/406	181	290	21	8	29%	10%	98	+1.1
✕Isan Díaz 2015 · A	19	34→41	39→55	47→45	39	169/233/258	89	267	6	8	37%	7%	39	-3.1	207/271/343	136	302	13	8	34%	8%	73	-0.6	206/286/370	164	268	21	5	30%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Ryan Mount 2007 · A	20	42	42→50	49→50	42	207/266/309	103	292	10	8	32%	7%	63	-1.4	223/268/340	117	293	12	11	27%	5%	70	-0.8	249/293/390	141	308	15	8	23%	5%	90	+0.2
✕Yeicok Calderon 2012 · A	20	42	44→45	49→45	40	205/264/325	120	302	11	7	34%	7%	65	-1.2	191/241/311	120	309	13	5	40%	6%	54	-2.0	180/228/298	118	286	14	3	41%	6%	44	-0.9
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Juan Silva 2011 · A	20	40→46	39→45	52→55	40	190/249/284	95	293	5	8	35%	7%	50	-2.3	212/282/311	99	311	8	13	32%	9%	70	-0.9	229/311/332	104	311	8	29	27%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2022 · A	20	44	40→55	52→50	40	212/257/310	97	289	6	9	28%	5%	59	-1.7	208/259/315	107	277	10	9	27%	6%	61	-1.5	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Thomas Milone 2015 · A	20	41→45	36→45	51→55	38	194/246/266	72	293	3	10	33%	6%	45	-2.7	197/251/260	63	283	3	13	29%	6%	45	-2.7	237/293/354	117	331	7	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2017 · A	20	43→44	44→50	51→50	37	216/262/334	118	301	12	6	32%	5%	67	-1.1	204/260/331	127	291	12	7	33%	6%	66	-1.1	205/278/354	149	273	18	6	31%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→46	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	94	272	5	6	36%	8%	48	-2.5	200/267/315	115	279	11	6	30%	7%	65	-1.2	210/283/339	129	268	13	5	26%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.7	212/274/363	151	314	18	7	36%	7%	79	-0.2	218/289/380	162	269	18	6	25%	8%	85	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps