Moises Lopez — OGILVIE

Moises Lopez3B FCL Twins

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .266 / .294

PA50

HR1

K%33

BB%8

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	174	153	27	5	2	3	14	75	5	10	1	176	267	294	562	118	312	43	8	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	174	145	39	7	3	5	22	52	5	10	1	269	384	462	846	193	378	30	13	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	68	59	3	0	0	1	8	40	1	0	2	51	176	102	278	51	111	59	12	167	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	68	52	6	0	0	2	15	26	1	0	2	115	324	231	554	115	167	38	22	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	MIN	—	50	45	8	1	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	178	260	267	527	89	288	34	8	257	55	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	MIN	34%	116	105	22	4	1	2	9	37	1	2	0	210	278	324	602	114	290	32	8	269	64	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	MIN	48%	261	235	48	8	2	5	21	82	3	4	1	204	278	319	597	115	291	31	8	277	70	-9	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.0
2029	23	MLB	MIN	54%	365	328	70	12	3	8	29	112	5	6	1	213	287	341	629	128	292	31	8	282	74	-11	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.2
2030	24	MLB	MIN	55%	436	393	84	15	3	10	35	133	5	7	2	214	286	344	630	130	293	31	8	285	76	-12	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.3
2031	25	MLB	MIN	56%	478	430	93	16	4	11	39	145	6	7	2	216	291	349	639	133	293	30	8	287	78	-12	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.4
2032	26	MLB	MIN	56%	503	451	98	17	4	12	41	153	6	8	2	217	291	353	644	135	293	30	8	288	78	-12	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.5
2033	27	MLB	MIN	55%	514	460	99	17	4	12	42	156	7	8	2	215	291	348	639	133	293	30	8	288	78	-13	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.5
2034	28	MLB	MIN	55%	517	462	99	17	4	12	43	158	7	7	2	214	291	346	637	132	292	31	8	287	78	-13	+1	-1	+2	+15	0.3
2027	21	MLB	MIN	34%	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	194	275	306	581	111	290	32	8	260	57	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB	MIN	48%	126	113	24	4	1	3	10	39	2	2	0	212	288	345	633	133	291	31	8	267	63	-5	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	MIN	54%	198	178	38	7	2	4	16	61	2	3	1	213	286	343	628	129	292	31	8	273	67	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2030	24	MLB	MIN	55%	242	217	47	8	2	6	20	74	3	4	1	217	292	355	647	138	293	31	8	276	70	-8	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.0
2031	25	MLB	MIN	56%	268	241	52	9	2	6	22	81	3	4	1	216	289	344	634	129	294	30	8	278	71	-9	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.0
2032	26	MLB	MIN	56%	283	254	54	9	2	7	23	86	4	4	1	213	288	346	635	134	293	30	8	279	71	-9	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.0
2033	27	MLB	MIN	55%	284	255	54	9	2	7	23	86	4	4	1	212	287	345	632	133	293	30	8	279	71	-9	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.0
2034	28	MLB	MIN	55%	283	253	54	9	2	7	24	87	4	4	1	213	292	348	640	134	292	31	8	278	71	-9	+0	-0	+1	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1724	1547	330	56	13	41	141	527	23	26	6	213	289	346	635	133	293	31	8	276	69	-60	+3	-0	+6	+49	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	124	21	5	15	53	199	9	10	2	213	288	343	631	130	293	31	8	276	69	-22	+1	-0	+2	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	3482	3121	651	112	27	77	285	1108	47	60	15	209	285	336	620	127	294	32	8	280	73	-107	+6	-1	+12	+99	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	121	21	5	14	53	207	9	11	3	208	284	333	617	125	292	32	8	280	73	-20	+1	-0	+2	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	174	145	39	7	3	5	22	52	5	10	1	269	384	462	846	193	378	30	13	373	144	+9	+2	—	—	+5	1.5
2024	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	68	52	6	0	0	2	15	26	1	0	2	115	324	231	554	115	167	38	22	279	72	-2	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,774	41	27	214	286	345	+6	+2	1.1	1.2
	/162	664	15	10	214	286	345	+2.4	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Moises Lopez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	194/266/294	100	288	1	1	33%	8%	55	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A	20	41	45→50	47→50	41	200/276/327	127	305	11	9	36%	8%	68	-0.5	188/268/292	104	312	9	8	39%	8%	56	-1.3	154/245/248	94	260	8	8	40%	9%	34	-0.7
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	41	41→45	50	40	196/269/296	100	293	8	11	34%	7%	56	-1.3	199/266/318	119	286	10	9	32%	7%	61	-1.0	149/220/307	158	194	15	9	31%	7%	36	-0.7
✕Izaac Pacheco 2023 · A	20	40→39	42→55	47→45	41	197/258/304	107	294	9	8	35%	7%	53	-1.5	182/243/308	126	303	14	5	42%	7%	49	-1.8	175/248/341	166	298	20	3	46%	8%	58	-0.6
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A	20	41	40→45	47→50	40	198/265/294	96	288	7	11	32%	6%	54	-1.4	218/287/329	111	286	11	9	26%	7%	72	-0.2	218/293/335	117	266	14	9	23%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	39→45	47→45	45	181/267/268	87	282	7	6	36%	9%	49	-1.8	190/265/267	77	299	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Juan Silva 2011 · A	20	40→46	39→45	52→55	40	190/249/284	95	293	5	8	35%	7%	43	-2.2	211/280/310	99	307	8	13	31%	8%	64	-0.8	224/306/325	101	305	8	29	27%	10%	77	+0.1
✕Ryan Mount 2007 · A	20	42	42→50	49→50	42	207/266/309	103	292	10	8	32%	7%	58	-1.2	223/268/340	117	294	12	11	27%	5%	66	-0.6	251/293/410	160	306	19	8	24%	5%	95	+0.5
✕Yeicok Calderon 2012 · A	20	42	44→45	49→45	40	205/264/325	120	302	11	7	34%	7%	61	-1.0	193/243/315	122	313	13	5	40%	6%	50	-1.8	182/230/304	122	290	15	3	41%	6%	39	-0.8
✕Isan Díaz 2015 · A	19	34→42	39→55	47→45	39	169/233/258	89	267	6	8	37%	7%	31	-3.0	206/271/341	135	300	13	8	33%	8%	69	-0.4	208/287/373	164	275	21	5	31%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	35→45	42→55	45→50	44	176/254/278	102	265	9	7	35%	9%	46	-2.0	196/287/331	135	277	14	9	32%	11%	73	-0.1	224/298/396	172	291	21	8	29%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	205/280/294	89	283	5	16	27%	8%	59	-1.1	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→55	53→50	41	180/242/256	76	271	4	13	33%	7%	33	-2.9	213/262/339	126	310	10	6	32%	6%	63	-0.8	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2017 · A	20	43→45	44→55	51→50	37	215/261/332	117	300	12	6	32%	5%	62	-0.9	202/261/329	127	290	12	7	33%	6%	61	-1.0	208/281/368	159	278	20	6	31%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Creed Willems 2023 · A	20	37→44	40→50	47→30	35	181/239/272	91	272	7	4	35%	4%	37	-2.6	188/250/322	134	253	16	3	32%	6%	56	-1.3	203/272/343	140	248	18	1	26%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	37	-2.7	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	36	-2.7	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	7	-1.5
✕Brian Pointer 2012 · A	20	41→43	44→45	56→50	38	203/257/327	124	300	11	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	192/263/308	116	299	11	12	37%	7%	57	-1.2	201/281/329	128	296	13	13	34%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Thomas Milone 2015 · A	20	41→44	36→45	51→55	38	194/246/266	72	293	3	10	33%	6%	37	-2.6	192/245/252	60	278	3	13	30%	6%	33	-2.9	243/298/369	125	340	8	17	29%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	41	41→50	46→45	44	205/260/295	90	268	9	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	207/258/303	96	281	7	7	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/277/353	132	285	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.1