Moises Semerite — OGILVIE

Moises SemeriteSS DSL Red Sox Blue

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 151 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .253 / .267

PA3

HR0

K%36

BB%8

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	150	122	27	8	2	0	23	51	3	9	4	221	358	320	678	98	370	34	15	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	40	34	6	2	2	1	5	18	1	1	0	176	300	441	741	265	333	45	12	325	106	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	150	132	18	5	1	0	14	75	3	9	4	136	236	189	426	53	291	50	9	198	20	-14	+0	—	—	+3	-1.1
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	40	36	4	1	1	1	3	26	1	1	0	111	200	278	478	167	233	65	8	167	-1	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	150	131	18	5	1	0	14	75	3	9	4	137	236	191	427	53	310	50	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	150	122	27	8	2	0	23	51	3	9	4	221	358	320	678	98	370	34	15	314	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	40	36	4	1	1	1	3	26	1	1	0	111	200	278	478	167	333	65	8	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	40	34	6	2	2	1	5	18	1	1	0	176	300	441	741	265	333	45	12	325	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	150	132	18	5	1	0	14	75	3	9	4	136	236	189	426	53	291	50	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	40	36	4	1	1	1	3	26	1	1	0	111	200	278	478	167	233	65	8	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	150	132	18	5	1	0	14	75	3	9	4	136	236	189	426	53	291	50	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	40	36	4	1	1	1	3	26	1	1	0	111	200	278	478	167	233	65	8	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						289	33	0	241	49	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	116	105	20	4	1	1	9	40	1	2	0	190	261	276	537	86	291	34	8	254	58	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	260	235	47	9	2	4	20	86	3	4	1	200	271	306	578	106	292	33	8	263	64	-11	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	364	328	67	13	3	6	29	118	4	6	1	204	277	317	594	113	293	32	8	269	68	-14	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	435	393	81	15	4	8	34	140	5	7	2	206	278	326	603	120	294	32	8	273	71	-15	+1	+0	+5	+9	-0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	477	430	89	17	4	9	38	153	6	8	2	207	281	328	608	121	294	32	8	275	72	-16	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	501	450	94	18	4	10	40	161	6	8	2	209	282	333	616	124	294	32	8	276	73	-16	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	BOS	60%	513	461	95	18	4	10	41	165	6	9	2	206	280	328	607	121	294	32	8	276	73	-16	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	BOS	62%	515	462	95	18	4	10	42	166	6	8	2	206	280	327	607	121	293	32	8	275	72	-17	+1	-1	+6	+11	-0.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	BOS	63%	510	457	94	18	4	10	42	166	6	8	2	206	281	328	609	123	293	33	8	274	71	-17	+1	-1	+5	+11	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	40	37	6	1	0	0	3	14	0	1	0	162	225	189	414	27	295	35	8	247	58	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	126	114	24	5	1	2	10	42	1	2	0	211	280	325	605	114	296	33	8	256	64	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	197	177	35	7	1	3	16	64	2	3	1	198	272	299	571	102	297	32	8	262	68	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	241	217	45	9	2	4	19	77	3	4	1	207	280	323	603	115	298	32	8	266	71	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	267	241	50	10	2	5	21	86	3	4	1	207	279	328	607	120	299	32	8	267	72	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	282	255	53	11	2	5	22	90	3	5	1	208	279	325	604	118	298	32	8	269	73	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	BOS	60%	306	274	57	11	2	6	25	98	4	5	1	208	284	328	612	120	298	32	8	269	73	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	BOS	62%	318	285	59	12	2	6	26	103	4	5	1	207	283	326	609	119	298	32	8	268	72	-10	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	BOS	63%	320	287	60	12	2	6	26	104	4	5	1	209	284	328	611	118	297	32	8	266	71	-11	+1	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2097	1887	389	78	14	37	168	678	24	34	7	206	279	321	601	115	298	32	8	266	68	-72	+4	-1	+22	+45	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	120	24	4	11	52	210	7	11	2	205	278	316	594	111	297	32	8	266	68	-22	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3884	3491	704	136	32	69	312	1297	47	70	18	202	276	318	594	117	296	33	8	269	68	-129	+6	-2	+40	+80	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	118	23	5	12	52	217	8	12	3	202	276	320	597	118	295	33	8	269	68	-23	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.2	2,138	40	35	206	276	326	+23	+18	1.2	1.3
/162	664	12	11	+7.1	+5.6	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Moises Semerite (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	183/253/267	84	289	0	1	36%	8%	49	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	40	37→50	50→45	41	186/263/256	70	295	4	13	35%	8%	50	-2.3	197/264/292	95	299	9	5	35%	6%	59	-1.6	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Jase Bowen 2021 · A	20	41→40	36→50	50→55	39	192/247/263	71	293	3	8	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/249/299	109	289	12	14	37%	5%	55	-2.0	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Ethan Workinger 2022 · A	20	38→43	40→45	50→45	37	182/243/275	92	287	7	6	37%	6%	47	-2.6	200/251/316	116	278	11	5	31%	6%	59	-1.7	199/256/318	119	244	14	9	24%	7%	58	-1.1
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	39	176/249/261	85	299	6	10	40%	8%	47	-2.6	197/277/297	100	311	7	14	35%	9%	65	-1.2	144/220/221	77	270	5	19	45%	8%	24	-1.3
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	32	-3.7	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	57	-1.8	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	47	-2.5	186/287/267	81	289	6	15	34%	11%	63	-1.3	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	191/260/268	77	304	6	15	36%	7%	51	-2.2	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Miguel Jerez 2018 · A	20	36	37→60	47→40	38	175/233/245	70	281	4	5	37%	7%	36	-3.4	176/241/304	128	277	16	4	40%	7%	53	-2.1	137/212/274	137	203	19	1	42%	7%	35	-1.3
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→41	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	59	-1.7	214/277/357	143	320	16	4	36%	7%	78	-0.3	203/271/348	146	303	18	4	37%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Brendon Davis 2017 · A	20	43	38→50	48→50	33	202/241/278	76	320	6	7	37%	5%	45	-2.7	192/254/277	85	305	7	4	36%	7%	51	-2.3	194/266/353	159	252	19	9	30%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Emilio Guerrero 2013 · A	20	38→42	37→45	47→45	37	184/233/259	75	278	4	7	34%	5%	38	-3.2	213/258/302	89	294	7	8	29%	5%	57	-1.8	218/255/332	114	290	9	5	28%	4%	61	-0.8
✕Todd Glaesmann 2011 · A	20	39→44	40→50	50	32	188/236/287	99	294	6	11	37%	4%	47	-2.6	196/241/300	104	302	9	9	37%	4%	51	-2.2	207/238/349	142	264	15	7	28%	3%	59	-0.9
✕Johnni Turbo 2009 · A	20	37→47	37→40	54→55	36	184/222/257	73	263	4	13	31%	4%	33	-3.6	211/247/290	79	307	4	16	31%	4%	50	-2.3	254/283/341	87	306	5	19	18%	3%	73	-0.4
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	42	40→45	54→60	47	195/295/296	102	308	7	8	35%	10%	72	-0.7	202/299/283	81	274	6	17	26%	10%	71	-0.8	180/307/230	50	224	5	30	19%	12%	61	-0.5
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→44	40→45	54→50	40	185/249/285	100	275	6	9	34%	7%	51	-2.2	203/274/314	111	281	9	13	29%	8%	68	-1.0	202/276/313	110	274	9	14	28%	9%	65	-1.0
✕Alex Jackson 2016 · A	20	38→37	38→55	45→30	34	181/238/262	82	294	5	5	38%	5%	42	-2.9	193/251/322	129	292	14	3	37%	5%	61	-1.5	191/262/354	163	266	20	2	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Mike Ohlman 2011 · A	20	39→49	37→45	50→40	38	183/244/258	75	302	5	5	39%	7%	42	-2.9	214/279/307	93	307	6	3	30%	8%	67	-1.1	234/296/341	107	316	7	2	26%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	39→38	39→45	54→55	42	186/270/274	88	290	7	14	35%	8%	57	-1.8	186/268/290	104	258	9	15	30%	8%	60	-1.6	164/253/286	122	221	13	23	31%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	47	-2.5	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps