Juan Ortega — OGILVIE

Juan OrtegaC Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 177 lbs A HR +8%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.9 · 2032

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .293 / .341

PA131

HR3

K%28

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

34↗39

PWR

40↗45

SPD

58↗63

EYE

52↗57

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.9peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.8	$26M	+$25M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.9	$28M	+$27M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.9	$29M	+$28M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.8	$28M	+$23M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+2.6	$27M	+$18M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+2.4	$26M	+$14M
Totals		$28M		$164M	+$135M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	49	43	7	1	1	0	3	21	2	1	1	.163	.250	.233	.483	.070	.318	43	6	.213	21	-4	-0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	131	101	17	5	0	2	10	36	18	12	4	.168	.349	.277	.626	.109	.234	27	8	.272	66	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	136	118	21	2	1	3	13	44	4	11	4	.178	.281	.288	.570	.110	.250	32	10	.254	53	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	46	40	4	0	2	1	2	18	1	2	0	.100	.163	.275	.438	.175	.143	39	4	.174	-9	-6	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
ROS	20	MLB	BAL	85	77	16	3	1	2	7	25	1	2	0	.208	.282	.351	.633	.143	.271	29	8	.277	71	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
TOT	20	MLB	BAL	131	117	20	3	3	3	9	43	2	4	0	.171	.242	.325	.567	.154	.239	33	7	.241	43	-8	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	BAL	228	202	44	8	2	6	20	55	4	6	1	.218	.301	.366	.667	.149	.262	24	9	.298	86	-4	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.8
2028	22	MLB 28%	BAL	347	306	68	12	3	10	32	81	6	10	2	.222	.308	.379	.687	.157	.265	23	9	.306	93	-3	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.5
2029	23	MLB 48%	BAL	426	375	85	15	4	13	41	97	7	12	2	.227	.314	.392	.706	.165	.267	23	10	.313	98	-1	+2	+0	+8	+12	2.1
2030	24	MLB 62%	BAL	478	420	96	17	5	15	47	107	8	13	2	.229	.318	.400	.718	.171	.268	22	10	.317	101	+1	+2	+0	+9	+14	2.5
2031	25	MLB 80%	BAL	508	444	102	18	5	16	51	113	8	14	2	.230	.320	.401	.721	.171	.268	22	10	.320	103	+2	+2	+0	+9	+14	2.8
2032	26	MLB 94%	BAL	520	453	104	18	5	17	53	116	9	14	2	.230	.322	.404	.726	.174	.269	22	10	.322	105	+3	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.9
2033	27	MLB	BAL	520	452	104	18	5	17	54	116	9	14	2	.230	.324	.405	.729	.175	.269	22	10	.322	105	+3	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.9
2034	28	MLB	BAL	520	453	103	18	5	16	54	117	8	13	2	.227	.320	.395	.716	.168	.268	22	10	.321	104	+2	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.8
2035	29	MLB	BAL	520	452	102	18	5	16	55	119	8	13	2	.226	.320	.394	.714	.168	.267	23	11	.319	102	+1	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.6
2036	30	MLB	BAL	512	445	100	17	5	16	54	119	8	12	1	.225	.320	.393	.713	.169	.266	23	11	.316	100	-0	+2	-2	+9	+15	2.4
2037	31	MLB	BAL	484	422	92	16	4	14	51	114	8	11	0	.218	.314	.374	.688	.156	.264	24	11	.312	97	-2	+2	-3	+9	+14	2.1
2038	32	MLB	BAL	452	395	86	15	4	13	47	109	7	10	0	.218	.312	.375	.686	.157	.263	24	10	.307	93	-3	+2	-4	+8	+13	1.6
2039	33	MLB	BAL	411	359	76	13	4	11	43	102	6	9	0	.212	.306	.362	.668	.150	.261	25	10	.302	89	-5	+2	-4	+7	+12	1.2
2040	34	MLB	BAL	357	312	64	11	3	9	37	92	5	8	0	.205	.299	.346	.646	.141	.259	26	10	.295	84	-6	+2	-5	+6	+10	0.7
2041	35	MLB	BAL	299	262	53	9	3	7	31	80	4	7	0	.202	.296	.340	.636	.137	.256	27	10	.288	78	-7	+1	-6	+5	+8	0.2
2042	36	MLB	BAL	240	210	41	7	2	5	24	67	4	6	0	.195	.290	.319	.609	.124	.253	28	10	.279	72	-8	+1	-6	+4	+7	-0.2
2043	37	MLB	BAL	182	159	31	5	2	4	18	52	3	4	0	.195	.289	.327	.616	.132	.249	29	10	.269	64	-7	+1	-7	+3	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7405	6460	1412	246	69	212	745	1782	137	202	27	.219	.312	.376	.689	.158	.266	24	10	.307	93	-54	+30	-38	+132	+210	28.4
/ 162G	—			650	567	125	22	6	19	65	156	12	18	2	.220	.313	.381	.694	.160	.268	24	10	.307	93	-5	+3	-3	+12	+18	2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	49	41	11	2	2	0	5	13	2	1	1	.268	.375	.415	.790	.146	.393	27	10	.349	125	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	131	93	22	6	0	2	18	24	18	12	4	.237	.450	.366	.815	.129	.294	18	14	.384	152	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	136	110	29	3	2	4	21	30	4	11	4	.264	.400	.436	.836	.173	.325	22	15	.376	146	+7	+1	—	—	+4	1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Ortega (OGILVIE)	20	34→39	40→45	58→63	57	.214/.293/.341	.126	.286	3	3	28%	8%	79	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	48→52	49→55	58→50	45	.235/.304/.393	.158	.314	14	16	29%	8%	96	+1.5	.241/.304/.403	.162	.308	17	10	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.241/.312/.408	.167	.299	18	5	25%	8%	96	+1.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45	41→55	55	43	.216/.285/.315	.099	.290	7	13	27%	7%	68	-0.5	.204/.313/.323	.119	.295	10	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	.202/.308/.336	.135	.284	11	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	48→49	43→60	53→50	45	.233/.286/.344	.111	.281	10	17	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.207/.254/.310	.103	.281	9	15	28%	5%	53	-1.5	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→50	47→55	58→55	39	.214/.256/.353	.139	.265	14	15	25%	4%	65	-0.7	.239/.275/.401	.162	.303	18	22	27%	4%	85	+0.7	.244/.283/.399	.155	.300	17	24	24%	4%	86	+0.7
✕Harry Ford 2023 · A	20	47→48	47→45	52→55	51	.222/.325/.360	.138	.317	14	14	32%	11%	98	+1.6	.212/.315/.336	.124	.285	12	17	27%	11%	87	+0.8	.208/.314/.324	.116	.273	12	19	26%	11%	80	+0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→50	52→50	43	.226/.287/.342	.117	.320	8	10	30%	7%	76	+0.0	.206/.274/.311	.105	.300	9	11	32%	7%	63	-0.9	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A	21	45	44→50	55→50	43	.222/.271/.351	.128	.275	10	10	23%	6%	70	-0.3	.228/.271/.337	.109	.304	7	9	26%	5%	66	-0.6	.233/.276/.342	.109	.324	5	10	28%	4%	67	-0.2
✕Gabriel Moreno 2021 · A	21	47	47→45	52→45	44	.234/.278/.373	.139	.262	13	7	17%	4%	79	+0.3	.273/.326/.410	.137	.323	14	8	19%	6%	109	+2.4	.295/.351/.419	.124	.354	12	9	19%	7%	118	+1.4
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	46→52	45→50	55	51	.224/.304/.359	.135	.280	11	21	23%	9%	87	+0.8	.231/.318/.378	.147	.301	14	21	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.227/.321/.379	.152	.295	16	24	26%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	46→50	52→40	44	.205/.283/.341	.136	.298	13	8	34%	9%	74	-0.1	.199/.260/.324	.125	.272	14	4	31%	7%	60	-1.0	.192/.251/.302	.111	.255	13	1	29%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	49→37	40→45	54→55	45	.229/.303/.328	.098	.328	7	17	30%	8%	79	+0.3	.197/.323/.323	.126	.275	12	20	30%	11%	89	+1.0	.179/.324/.312	.133	.244	14	22	29%	12%	86	+0.5
●Jo Adell 2019 · AA	20	46→44	51→65	54→50	37	.230/.278/.398	.168	.315	18	12	32%	5%	86	+0.8	.220/.270/.377	.157	.318	18	10	35%	5%	78	+0.2	.218/.285/.446	.228	.252	34	12	29%	7%	101	+1.4
●Coby Mayo 2022 · A	20	49→46	51→60	55→45	46	.247/.313/.408	.161	.309	18	12	26%	8%	104	+2.0	.226/.295/.404	.178	.302	21	6	31%	8%	95	+1.4	.224/.304/.422	.198	.291	24	4	30%	9%	102	+1.6
●Alonzo Harris 2009 · A	20	44→50	45→55	50→60	40	.221/.276/.342	.121	.296	13	11	29%	6%	71	-0.3	.205/.243/.307	.102	.275	11	12	29%	4%	46	-2.0	.240/.296/.401	.161	.286	19	35	22%	7%	92	+0.9
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	.231/.300/.334	.103	.298	6	13	23%	6%	79	+0.3	.214/.266/.312	.098	.287	6	10	26%	5%	59	-1.1	.194/.236/.286	.092	.269	8	8	30%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	38→36	49→50	53→50	42	.198/.271/.352	.155	.274	16	13	33%	7%	72	-0.2	.199/.257/.341	.142	.284	16	13	34%	6%	63	-0.8	.197/.258/.362	.165	.284	22	15	38%	7%	67	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)