Juan Ortega — OGILVIE

Juan OrtegaC Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 177 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION243 act + 22 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .318 / .263

PA22

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP279

ISO53

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$50M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$24M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	41	11	2	2	0	5	13	2	1	1	268	375	415	790	146	393	27	10	349	122	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	131	93	22	6	0	2	18	24	18	12	4	237	450	366	815	129	294	18	14	384	146	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	136	110	29	3	2	4	21	30	4	11	4	264	400	436	836	173	325	22	15	376	140	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	43	7	1	1	0	3	20	2	1	1	163	250	233	483	70	298	41	6	222	36	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	131	100	18	5	0	2	11	35	18	12	4	180	364	290	654	110	220	27	8	274	72	-4	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	136	118	22	2	1	3	13	44	4	11	4	186	289	297	585	110	252	32	10	258	61	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	43	7	1	1	0	3	20	2	1	1	163	250	233	483	70	304	41	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	41	11	2	2	0	5	13	2	1	1	268	375	415	790	146	393	27	10	349	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	131	100	18	5	0	2	11	35	18	12	4	180	364	290	654	110	250	27	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	131	93	22	6	0	2	18	24	18	12	4	237	450	366	815	129	294	18	14	384	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	136	118	22	2	1	3	13	44	4	11	4	186	289	297	585	110	264	32	10	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	136	110	29	3	2	4	21	30	4	11	4	264	400	436	836	173	325	22	15	376	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	44	7	1	1	0	3	20	2	1	1	159	250	227	477	68	298	41	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	131	101	18	5	0	2	11	35	18	12	4	178	364	287	651	109	220	27	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	136	118	22	2	1	3	13	44	4	11	4	186	289	297	585	110	252	32	10	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	44	7	1	1	0	3	20	2	1	1	159	250	227	477	68	298	41	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	131	101	18	5	0	2	11	35	18	12	4	178	364	287	651	109	220	27	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	136	118	22	2	1	3	13	44	4	11	4	186	289	297	585	110	252	32	10	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	BAL	—	243	207	41	5	3	3	15	73	12	14	8	198	291	295	585	97	284	30	6	253	57	-12	-0	+0	+4	+5	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	BAL	—	35	29	10	2	0	1	2	5	2	1	1	345	424	517	941	172	375	14	6	396	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A RAW	BAL	—	208	169	36	4	4	2	22	46	10	13	7	213	338	320	658	107	276	22	11	298	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	BAL	0%	22	19	4	1	0	0	2	6	1	1	0	211	318	263	581	53	275	27	9	278	74	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	BAL	—	265	226	45	6	3	3	17	79	13	15	8	199	293	292	585	93	286	30	6	255	58	-13	-0	+0	+5	+6	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BAL	43%	290	259	56	10	2	5	21	73	8	8	3	216	295	328	623	112	278	25	7	286	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2028	22	MLB MLE	BAL	61%	393	349	77	13	3	8	30	97	11	10	4	221	303	344	646	123	280	25	8	293	85	-7	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.9
2029	23	MLB MLE	BAL	68%	458	408	92	16	4	10	35	111	12	12	5	225	305	358	663	132	281	24	8	297	87	-7	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	BAL	70%	500	444	100	17	4	11	39	121	13	13	5	225	306	356	662	131	282	24	8	300	89	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	BAL	70%	520	461	105	18	4	12	40	125	14	13	6	228	309	362	671	134	282	24	8	301	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	BAL	71%	520	460	105	18	4	12	41	125	14	13	6	228	311	363	674	135	282	24	8	302	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2033	27	MLB MLE	BAL	69%	520	460	104	18	4	12	41	125	14	13	6	226	309	361	670	135	282	24	8	302	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2034	28	MLB MLE	BAL	69%	520	459	104	18	4	12	42	126	14	13	5	227	311	362	672	135	281	24	8	301	90	-6	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	BAL	73%	520	459	104	18	4	12	42	127	14	13	5	227	311	362	672	135	280	24	8	299	88	-7	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	BAL	76%	514	454	101	17	4	11	42	127	13	12	5	222	306	350	657	128	279	25	8	296	87	-8	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.1
2037	31	MLB MLE	BAL	78%	485	430	93	16	3	10	39	121	13	11	5	216	301	337	638	121	277	25	8	292	84	-9	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.7
2038	32	MLB MLE	BAL	79%	453	402	85	14	3	9	36	115	12	10	4	211	296	328	624	117	273	25	8	286	80	-11	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.4
2039	33	MLB MLE	BAL	80%	411	365	76	12	3	8	33	107	10	8	3	208	292	323	615	115	269	26	8	280	76	-12	+0	-4	+7	+9	0.0
2040	34	MLB MLE	BAL	75%	357	317	63	10	2	6	28	95	9	7	3	199	282	300	582	101	264	27	8	272	70	-13	+0	-5	+6	+8	-0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	BAL	43%	125	111	24	4	1	2	9	31	4	3	1	216	298	324	623	108	282	25	7	270	80	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	BAL	61%	239	213	47	8	2	5	18	59	6	6	3	221	300	347	647	127	284	25	8	277	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2029	23	MLB CTX	BAL	68%	312	277	63	11	2	7	24	76	8	8	3	227	307	357	665	130	285	24	8	282	87	-5	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2030	24	MLB CTX	BAL	70%	348	309	71	12	3	8	27	84	9	9	4	230	310	366	676	136	286	24	8	286	89	-4	+0	+0	+6	+8	1.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	BAL	70%	365	324	75	13	3	9	28	88	10	9	4	231	312	373	686	142	286	24	8	287	90	-4	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	BAL	71%	367	325	75	13	3	9	29	88	10	9	4	231	313	372	685	142	286	24	8	287	90	-4	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	BAL	69%	361	320	74	13	3	9	29	87	9	9	4	231	313	375	688	144	286	24	8	287	90	-4	+0	+0	+6	+8	1.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	BAL	69%	357	316	73	13	3	8	29	87	9	9	4	231	314	367	681	136	285	24	8	286	90	-4	+0	-0	+6	+8	1.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	BAL	73%	379	335	76	13	3	9	31	93	10	9	4	227	311	364	675	137	284	25	8	284	88	-5	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.9
2036	30	MLB CTX	BAL	76%	389	345	77	13	3	9	31	96	10	9	4	223	306	357	662	133	283	25	8	281	87	-6	+0	-2	+7	+8	0.8
2037	31	MLB CTX	BAL	78%	377	334	74	13	3	8	30	94	10	8	4	222	305	350	655	129	281	25	8	277	84	-7	+0	-2	+7	+8	0.6
2038	32	MLB CTX	BAL	79%	358	317	68	12	2	7	29	91	9	8	3	215	299	331	630	117	277	25	8	272	80	-9	+0	-3	+6	+8	0.3
2039	33	MLB CTX	BAL	80%	329	292	61	10	2	6	26	85	8	7	3	209	291	318	610	110	273	26	8	265	76	-10	+0	-3	+6	+7	0.0
2040	34	MLB CTX	BAL	75%	270	240	50	8	2	5	21	72	7	5	2	208	291	321	612	113	267	27	8	257	70	-10	+0	-4	+5	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4576	4058	908	156	35	101	361	1131	119	108	47	224	306	354	660	130	283	25	8	279	84	-80	+3	-15	+82	+99	9.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	129	22	5	14	51	161	17	15	7	224	306	352	658	128	284	25	8	279	84	-11	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6799	6007	1316	224	50	143	538	1700	196	181	74	219	304	344	649	125	279	25	8	293	84	-113	+5	-20	+116	+140	13.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	126	21	5	14	51	163	19	17	7	220	304	347	651	127	280	25	8	293	84	-11	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	7.1	4,742	101	113	222	300	348	+85	+44	13.2	11.0
/162	664	14	16	+11.9	+6.2	1.9	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Ortega (OGILVIE)	20	34→39	37→42	57→62	54	208/290/313	105	275	3	6	26%	7%	74	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	74	-0.5	227/292/341	114	308	10	10	28%	6%	80	-0.1	222/278/328	106	295	10	8	27%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	79	-0.2	202/270/304	102	302	9	11	34%	7%	63	-1.3	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	234/287/326	92	283	6	16	20%	5%	74	-0.5	246/305/362	116	287	10	14	17%	6%	89	+0.5	277/338/426	150	303	14	17	13%	6%	118	+1.1
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	232/305/356	123	310	12	12	28%	8%	88	+0.5	236/300/363	127	303	12	16	25%	7%	88	+0.4	241/304/389	148	298	14	15	23%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Jared Serna 2022 · A	20	42→48	39→45	56→50	53	200/298/293	93	253	6	22	22%	10%	72	-0.7	217/285/340	123	274	12	17	24%	7%	78	-0.3	217/277/347	130	268	14	15	24%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2022 · A	20	47→49	45→55	52→50	40	231/262/356	125	263	12	15	18%	3%	72	-0.7	243/280/390	147	305	16	13	25%	4%	86	+0.3	245/282/403	158	315	17	11	27%	4%	89	+0.5
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A	21	46→47	44→50	56→50	44	227/279/354	127	284	10	10	23%	6%	78	-0.3	229/273/336	107	306	6	9	26%	5%	70	-0.8	232/274/341	110	322	5	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Harry Ford 2023 · A	20	46→48	47→45	52→55	51	220/324/358	139	315	14	14	32%	11%	97	+1.1	214/316/335	121	285	12	18	27%	11%	88	+0.5	211/315/326	115	274	12	19	25%	11%	83	+0.1
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	75	-0.5	202/244/277	75	298	6	5	33%	5%	47	-2.6	180/204/231	51	260	9	0	34%	2%	21	-0.8
✕Jeferson Morales 2019 · A	20	47→48	38→45	50	54	218/320/316	97	274	3	15	20%	10%	86	+0.3	207/295/325	118	259	9	9	22%	9%	78	-0.3	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	48→56	42→45	53→60	41	234/277/341	106	294	10	12	24%	5%	74	-0.6	244/290/338	94	290	7	24	18%	5%	78	-0.3	258/299/357	99	298	7	36	16%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	43→53	41→50	53→50	48	209/283/307	98	259	8	11	22%	8%	70	-0.9	206/261/321	115	251	13	9	23%	6%	63	-1.3	248/292/385	137	277	15	10	16%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Jairo Encarnacion 2007 · A	21	44	41→40	52→45	46	212/274/306	95	244	9	8	18%	6%	65	-1.2	229/298/318	89	272	8	7	18%	7%	77	-0.3	246/322/325	79	284	8	4	15%	7%	86	+0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→55	41→45	50	49	236/301/348	112	284	7	12	19%	7%	84	+0.2	250/311/362	112	306	9	14	20%	7%	91	+0.7	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Adan Velazquez 2010 · A	20	44→52	43→45	54→50	43	215/277/331	116	278	9	11	25%	6%	72	-0.7	207/259/299	92	291	6	10	29%	5%	58	-1.7	232/277/328	96	293	7	7	23%	5%	68	-0.4
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	46→45	44→50	49→45	41	225/274/342	117	290	12	9	26%	6%	73	-0.6	226/282/358	132	276	15	7	23%	7%	80	-0.1	215/277/344	129	257	16	4	23%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	42	41→40	48→40	52	203/299/295	93	261	9	6	24%	10%	74	-0.6	189/286/270	81	279	7	4	31%	11%	63	-1.4	163/267/230	67	248	6	2	33%	11%	45	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps