Samuel Sanchez — OGILVIE

Samuel Sanchez P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 20 RHP 5'11" / 150 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.68

FIP4.68

K%17.1%

BB%7.1%

K-BB%10.0%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	4	4	6	29	6	2	1	100%	1.5	20.7%	6.9%	13.8%	3.4%	7.50	4.12	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	4	4	6	29	6	2	1	100%	1.5	20.7%	6.9%	13.8%	3.4%	7.50	4.12	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	4	4	6	29	6	2	1	100%	1.5	20.7%	6.9%	13.8%	3.4%	7.50	4.27	—
2024	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	10	40	166	46	7	4	77%	3.1	20.1%	6.3%	13.8%	3.2%	4.69	3.96	—
2024	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	10	40	166	46	7	4	77%	3.1	20.1%	6.3%	13.8%	3.2%	4.69	3.96	—
2024	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	10	40	166	46	7	4	77%	3.1	27.7%	4.2%	23.5%	2.4%	4.69	2.63	—
2025	19	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	11	7	39	173	28	10	7	64%	3.5	12.0%	6.8%	5.2%	5.0%	5.31	5.69	—
2025	19	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	11	7	39	173	28	10	7	64%	3.5	12.0%	6.8%	5.2%	5.0%	5.31	5.69	—
2025	19	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	11	7	39	173	28	10	7	64%	3.5	16.2%	5.8%	10.4%	4.0%	5.31	4.77	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	20	MLB	LAA	1	1	2	8	1	1	0	100%	2.0	17.1%	7.1%	10.0%	3.2%	4.68	4.68	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	LAA	8	8	38	161	30	11	5	100%	4.8	18.7%	7.1%	11.6%	3.1%	4.56	4.50	+0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	LAA	4	4	19	80	15	6	2	100%	4.8	18.7%	7.1%	11.6%	3.1%	4.56	4.50	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	79	15	6	2	100%	4.7	18.7%	7.1%	11.6%	3.1%	4.56	4.12	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	160	64	21	100%	4.8	18.7%	7.1%	11.6%	3.1%	4.56	4.12	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		28	21	85	368	60	24	15	75%	3.0	16.3%	6.6%	9.7%	4.1%	5.17	4.79	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	49	200	862	141	57	35	75%	3.0	16.3%	6.6%	9.7%	4.1%	5.17	4.79	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Samuel Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	17.1%	7.1%	3.2%	—	4.50	18.7%	11.6%	38	-0.18	—	—	—
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	84
Juan Bello R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	18	SP	4.02	18.3%	6.9%	2.9%	.256	3.93	18.2%	7.6%	155	-0.09	3.77	187	84
Fraynel Nova R 2022 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP-	3.83	16.4%	7.9%	2.0%	.296	4.17	14.9%	4.9%	110	+0.34	3.38	129	83
Jack Perkins R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	21	SP-	4.34	13.6%	5.4%	3.1%	.312	4.91	16.4%	7.5%	156	+0.57	4.34	176	83
Alejandro Manzano R 2022 · 4.89 FIP	20	SP-	4.89	14.8%	8.6%	3.5%	.347	4.81	15.6%	6.5%	199	-0.08	4.28	273	83
Alex Valverde R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	20	SP-	4.01	15.0%	5.0%	2.8%	.194	5.74	13.8%	2.3%	174	+1.73	3.62	423	82
Pedro Garcia R 2022 · 4.69 FIP	20	SP-	4.69	15.5%	6.8%	3.7%	.221	5.80	13.9%	0.2%	139	+1.11	4.69	247	82
Donal Montas R 2022 · 5.29 FIP	20	SP-	5.29	17.3%	9.1%	4.5%	.217	5.03	10.2%	-3.8%	91	-0.26	4.10	156	82
Lucas Long R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	22	SP-	4.84	14.5%	5.9%	4.0%	.300	3.94	15.0%	9.1%	386	-0.90	3.42	441	82
Porter Hodge R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	20	SP-	4.20	19.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.336	3.40	24.2%	10.6%	249	-0.80	2.97	349	81
Ryan Fernandez R 2018 · 4.44 FIP	20	SP-	4.44	19.2%	6.8%	3.8%	.357	3.37	20.8%	13.2%	53	-1.07	3.02	360	81
Saul Gonzalez R 2021 · 3.66 FIP	21	SP-	3.66	16.1%	8.4%	1.6%	.320	3.24	19.8%	9.6%	70	-0.42	2.94	110	81
Donny Troconis R 2023 · 5.31 FIP	17	SP-	5.31	16.0%	9.4%	4.3%	.293	5.06	14.9%	2.2%	180	-0.25	3.15	224	81
Keiverson Ramírez R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	17	SP-	4.77	12.0%	5.9%	3.5%	.320	3.68	15.0%	6.1%	80	-1.09	2.96	120	80
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	80
Roger Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	20	SP-	5.15	16.4%	9.6%	4.0%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	128	80
Logan Gragg R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	20	SP	4.14	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.343	5.20	15.2%	8.2%	202	+1.06	4.14	412	80
Mitchell Jordan R 2016 · 3.67 FIP	21	SP	3.67	14.0%	6.2%	1.8%	.316	4.87	15.7%	7.4%	342	+1.20	3.67	380	80
Emilker Guzman R 2018 · 3.76 FIP	19	SP-	3.76	13.4%	7.5%	1.5%	.299	3.36	17.8%	11.4%	52	-0.40	2.83	227	79
Sean Paul Liñan R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	18	SP-	4.05	17.7%	8.3%	2.5%	.324	4.30	22.1%	10.2%	210	+0.25	3.29	272	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	18.1%	7.1%	1.21	4.60
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97