Eduardo Fernandez prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Eduardo Fernandez P DSL Phillies White

Age 21 LHP 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115123vR 131

ERA5.15

FIP5.15

K%21.6%

BB%14.9%

K-BB%6.8%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	14	0	22	98	25	16	2	0%	1.5	17.3%	20.4%	-3.1%	3.6%	4.15	6.19	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	14	0	22	98	25	16	2	0%	1.5	17.3%	20.4%	-3.1%	3.6%	4.15	6.19	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	14	0	22	98	25	16	2	0%	1.5	25.5%	16.3%	9.2%	2.0%	4.15	4.21	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	13	0	25	119	27	17	0	0%	1.9	15.4%	17.9%	-2.4%	0.0%	4.97	4.06	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	13	0	25	119	27	17	0	0%	1.9	15.4%	17.9%	-2.4%	0.0%	4.97	4.06	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	13	0	25	119	27	17	0	0%	1.9	22.7%	14.3%	8.4%	0.0%	4.97	2.98	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	21	MLB	—	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.6%	14.9%	6.8%	3.0%	5.15	5.15	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	—	23	0	24	101	23	13	3	0%	1.0	22.7%	12.8%	9.9%	2.9%	4.90	4.78	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	—	11	0	12	51	12	7	1	0%	1.1	22.7%	12.8%	9.9%	2.9%	4.90	4.78	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	50	11	6	1	0%	1.1	22.7%	12.8%	9.9%	2.9%	4.90	4.40	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	102	17	0%	1.1	22.7%	12.8%	9.9%	2.9%	4.90	4.40	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		27	0	47	217	35	41	4	0%	1.7	16.3%	19.0%	-2.7%	1.6%	4.60	5.02	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		115	0	200	923	150	176	15	0%	1.7	16.3%	19.0%	-2.7%	1.6%	4.60	5.02	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eduardo Fernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.15	21.6%	14.9%	3.0%	—	4.78	22.7%	9.9%	24	-0.37	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	88
Adrian Almeida L 2016 · 5.65 FIP	21	SU	5.65	18.6%	15.3%	4.0%	.295	4.97	18.4%	-4.1%	119	-0.68	4.27	188	85
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	84
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	84
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	84
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	81
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	81
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	81
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	81
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	81
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	80
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	80
Anfernny Reyes L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	19	SU	4.98	21.6%	13.6%	3.6%	.282	4.34	21.0%	1.8%	99	-0.64	2.89	175	80
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.24	22.9%	8.7%	176	+0.05	3.24	203	80
Evan Taylor L 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	28.1%	16.5%	2.7%	.304	3.19	21.9%	10.0%	150	-1.12	3.09	225	79
Manuel Medina L 2023 · 5.09 FIP	21	SU	5.09	22.3%	11.2%	4.5%	.319	2.79	24.2%	15.4%	78	-2.30	1.26	157	79
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	79
Boone Logan L 2006 · 4.69 FIP	21	SU	4.69	16.1%	14.0%	2.1%	.302	4.14	17.2%	10.5%	110	-0.55	2.58	442	79
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	288	79
Enrique Perez L 2018 · 4.81 FIP	20	SU	4.81	16.2%	14.3%	2.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	133	78