Juan Flores
C Rocket City Trash Pandas| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | A+/A2 orgs | 418 | .254/.316/.372 | 5 | 4 | 61 | — | .228/.277/.332 |
| 2025 | 19 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 419 | .218/.298/.356 | 11 | 0 | 52 | — | .168/.240/.275 |
| 2026 | 20 | AA/A+LAA | 398 | .228/.290/.415 | 16 | 0 | 59 | — | .196/.249/.348 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBLAA | 4 | .193/.245/.322 | 0 | 0 | 59 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 22 | MLBLAA | 128 | .199/.254/.337 | 4 | 1 | 66 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ49% MLB | 23 | MLBLAA | 199 | .204/.261/.349 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 0.3 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | — | 197 | 165 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 236 | 354 | 388 | 742 | 152 | 244 | 13 | 8 | 338 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 210 | 188 | 43 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 58 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 229 | 286 | 319 | 605 | 90 | 311 | 28 | 6 | 267 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 208 | 186 | 52 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 40 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 280 | 346 | 425 | 771 | 145 | 340 | 19 | 6 | 341 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 342 | 305 | 63 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 94 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 284 | 341 | 625 | 134 | 262 | 27 | 5 | 282 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 77 | 66 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 360 | 424 | 784 | 152 | 362 | 26 | 6 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 203 | 188 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 61 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 235 | 303 | 538 | 117 | 242 | 30 | 2 | 241 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 195 | 171 | 47 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 347 | 538 | 885 | 263 | 298 | 22 | 8 | 377 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 197 | 169 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 160 | 272 | 260 | 532 | 101 | 160 | 16 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 210 | 191 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 77 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 209 | 256 | 293 | 549 | 84 | 302 | 37 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 208 | 191 | 47 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 57 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 246 | 298 | 372 | 669 | 126 | 320 | 27 | 3 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 342 | 309 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 124 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 168 | 240 | 275 | 515 | 107 | 236 | 36 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 203 | 189 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 210 | 259 | 469 | 95 | 230 | 37 | 2 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 195 | 175 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 289 | 440 | 729 | 211 | 262 | 29 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 197 | 169 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 160 | 272 | 260 | 532 | 101 | 170 | 16 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Angels | — | 197 | 165 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 236 | 354 | 388 | 742 | 152 | 244 | 13 | 8 | 338 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 382 | 85 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 134 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 223 | 272 | 317 | 589 | 94 | 325 | 32 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 418 | 374 | 95 | 27 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 98 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 254 | 316 | 372 | 688 | 118 | 326 | 23 | 6 | 304 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 419 | 377 | 64 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 153 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 170 | 242 | 279 | 521 | 109 | 249 | 37 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 419 | 371 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 114 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 218 | 298 | 356 | 654 | 137 | 281 | 27 | 5 | 294 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 398 | 364 | 71 | 16 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 131 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 249 | 346 | 595 | 151 | 258 | 33 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 398 | 359 | 82 | 19 | 0 | 16 | 20 | 103 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 290 | 415 | 705 | 187 | 269 | 26 | 5 | 307 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 197 | 169 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 160 | 272 | 260 | 532 | 101 | 160 | 16 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 389 | 85 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 134 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 219 | 272 | 311 | 583 | 93 | 311 | 32 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 419 | 380 | 64 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 153 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 168 | 242 | 276 | 518 | 108 | 236 | 37 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 398 | 369 | 71 | 16 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 131 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 249 | 341 | 590 | 149 | 246 | 33 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 389 | 85 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 134 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 219 | 272 | 311 | 583 | 93 | 311 | 32 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 419 | 380 | 64 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 153 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 168 | 242 | 276 | 518 | 108 | 236 | 37 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 398 | 369 | 71 | 16 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 131 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 249 | 341 | 590 | 149 | 246 | 33 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | LAA | 2% | 508 | 470 | 91 | 19 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 161 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 194 | 246 | 323 | 569 | 129 | 259 | 32 | 4 | 255 | 59 | -25 | +0 | +3 | +9 | +11 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB CTX | LAA | 2% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 245 | 322 | 567 | 129 | 257 | 25 | 0 | 254 | 59 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | LAA | 35% | 364 | 336 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 111 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 255 | 338 | 593 | 138 | 262 | 30 | 4 | 265 | 66 | -15 | +0 | +2 | +7 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | LAA | 49% | 408 | 376 | 77 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 121 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 205 | 262 | 349 | 611 | 144 | 264 | 30 | 5 | 273 | 71 | -14 | +0 | +3 | +7 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAA | 53% | 445 | 410 | 85 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 130 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 209 | 267 | 357 | 624 | 148 | 266 | 29 | 5 | 278 | 74 | -14 | +0 | +4 | +8 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | LAA | 55% | 445 | 409 | 86 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 23 | 128 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 271 | 362 | 633 | 151 | 268 | 29 | 5 | 282 | 77 | -12 | +0 | +4 | +8 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAA | 56% | 445 | 408 | 87 | 18 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 126 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 213 | 273 | 364 | 637 | 151 | 269 | 28 | 5 | 284 | 78 | -11 | +0 | +4 | +8 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAA | 55% | 445 | 408 | 86 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 127 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 272 | 361 | 634 | 150 | 268 | 29 | 5 | 282 | 77 | -12 | +0 | +4 | +8 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAA | 55% | 445 | 408 | 86 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 128 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 210 | 270 | 357 | 627 | 147 | 267 | 29 | 5 | 280 | 75 | -13 | +0 | +4 | +8 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAA | 58% | 445 | 409 | 85 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 129 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 207 | 267 | 351 | 618 | 143 | 265 | 29 | 5 | 276 | 73 | -14 | -1 | +3 | +8 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAA | 60% | 445 | 410 | 84 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 23 | 131 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 204 | 264 | 343 | 606 | 138 | 263 | 29 | 5 | 271 | 70 | -16 | -1 | +2 | +8 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | LAA | 35% | 128 | 118 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 199 | 254 | 337 | 591 | 138 | 259 | 30 | 5 | 264 | 66 | -5 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | LAA | 49% | 199 | 183 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 59 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 261 | 349 | 609 | 145 | 261 | 30 | 5 | 272 | 71 | -7 | +0 | +2 | +4 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAA | 53% | 235 | 215 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 69 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 266 | 357 | 623 | 149 | 264 | 29 | 5 | 278 | 74 | -7 | +0 | +2 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | LAA | 55% | 244 | 223 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 70 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 210 | 270 | 361 | 631 | 151 | 265 | 29 | 5 | 281 | 77 | -7 | +0 | +2 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAA | 56% | 248 | 228 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 70 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 272 | 363 | 636 | 152 | 266 | 28 | 5 | 283 | 78 | -6 | +0 | +2 | +4 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAA | 55% | 245 | 225 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 70 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 211 | 271 | 361 | 632 | 150 | 266 | 29 | 5 | 282 | 77 | -7 | -0 | +2 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAA | 55% | 243 | 223 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 70 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 209 | 269 | 356 | 625 | 147 | 264 | 29 | 5 | 279 | 75 | -7 | -0 | +2 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAA | 58% | 258 | 236 | 49 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 75 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 266 | 350 | 616 | 143 | 263 | 29 | 5 | 275 | 73 | -8 | -0 | +2 | +5 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAA | 60% | 268 | 246 | 50 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 203 | 263 | 342 | 605 | 139 | 261 | 29 | 5 | 271 | 70 | -10 | -0 | +1 | +5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2068 | 1897 | 392 | 77 | 1 | 65 | 107 | 601 | 47 | 11 | 7 | 207 | 266 | 351 | 617 | 144 | 264 | 29 | 5 | 277 | 67 | -64 | -1 | +17 | +37 | +45 | 3.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 596 | 122 | 24 | 0 | 20 | 34 | 189 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 205 | 266 | 346 | 611 | 141 | 262 | 29 | 5 | 277 | 67 | -20 | -0 | +5 | +12 | +14 | 1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5529 | 5061 | 1028 | 212 | 10 | 155 | 266 | 1647 | 147 | 31 | 16 | 203 | 263 | 341 | 604 | 138 | 265 | 30 | 5 | 267 | 67 | -132 | -0 | +33 | +73 | +89 | 6.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 121 | 25 | 1 | 18 | 31 | 194 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 203 | 263 | 339 | 602 | 136 | 266 | 30 | 5 | 267 | 67 | -21 | -0 | +5 | +12 | +14 | 1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 203 PAwOBA .236 → .203 (−33)K% 30.0% → 36.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.05% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 1.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 3.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×1.050 | 17.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | ×1.050 | 5.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.995 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 3.31% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .236 → .203; ISO .117 → .096; BABIP .242 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 195 PAwOBA .372 → .308 (−64)K% 21.5% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 29.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 5.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.05% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 1.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.971 | ×1.042 | 17.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.971 | ×1.042 | 7.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.971 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 7.37% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .372 → .308; ISO .263 → .217; BABIP .298 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 342 PAwOBA .275 → .223 (−53)K% 27.5% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.49% | ÷1.019 | ×1.350 | — | — | 36.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷0.975 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 4.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.39% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 3.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.91% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | ×0.976 | ×1.050 | 18.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.21% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×1.050 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.976 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 4.13% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .275 → .223; ISO .134 → .106; BABIP .262 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 210 PAwOBA .265 → .233 (−32)K% 27.6% → 36.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.62% | ÷1.018 | ×1.350 | — | — | 36.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.71% | ÷1.018 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 4.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷0.969 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 22.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.46% | ÷0.950 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 7.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.916 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 1.46% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 94, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .265 → .233; ISO .090 → .079; BABIP .311 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AInland Empire 66ers · 208 PAwOBA .332 → .283 (−48)K% 19.2% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷0.957 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.29% | ÷1.057 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 3.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.37% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.92% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×1.050 | 21.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.96% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.050 | 9.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.139 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×1.050 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.05% | ÷0.882 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.96% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 128, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .332 → .283; ISO .145 → .122; BABIP .340 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Angels · 197 PAwOBA .331 → .224 (−107)K% 12.7% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.69% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.61% | ÷1.018 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 5.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.61% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 5.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.57% | ÷1.028 | ×0.680 | ×0.988 | ×1.022 | 12.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.927 | ×0.600 | ×0.988 | ×1.022 | 3.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.988 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.29% | ÷0.852 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 2.42% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 106, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .331 → .224; ISO .152 → .093; BABIP .244 → .160. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .