Juan Flores — OGILVIE

Juan FloresC Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 215 lbs A+ HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.9 · 2032

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .252 / .303

PA320

HR7

K%33

BB%5

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗32

PWR

30↗43

SPD

30↘28

FLD

55↗64

EYE

35↗40

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.8peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.7	$15M	+$14M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.8	$17M	+$16M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.9	$18M	+$17M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.9	$19M	+$15M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.8	$18M	+$13M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.6	$17M	+$9M
Totals		$20M		$104M	+$84M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Angels	197	171	32	6	0	6	9	36	15	6	1	.187	.287	.327	.615	.140	.200	18	5	.261	58	-9	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2024	18	A+	2 teams	418	383	80	21	1	5	15	135	10	4	3	.209	.257	.308	.565	.099	.302	32	4	.239	41	-28	-0	+0	+7	+12	-0.9
2025	19	A+	2 teams	419	380	57	9	0	9	14	158	19	0	1	.150	.218	.245	.463	.095	.222	38	3	.200	11	-42	-0	+0	+7	+12	-2.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	52	43	4	1	0	1	4	22	4	0	0	.093	.235	.186	.421	.093	.150	42	8	.223	29	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
ROS	20	MLB	LAA	268	243	44	10	0	5	14	92	9	2	1	.181	.252	.284	.536	.103	.265	34	5	.249	49	-16	+0	+1	+5	+8	-0.3
TOT	20	MLB	LAA	320	286	48	11	0	6	18	114	13	2	1	.168	.249	.269	.518	.101	.251	36	6	.245	46	-20	+0	+1	+6	+9	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	LAA	397	358	71	15	1	10	24	117	12	3	1	.198	.272	.330	.601	.131	.261	29	6	.271	65	-16	+0	+1	+7	+11	0.4
2028	22	MLB 28%	LAA	476	427	87	18	1	13	32	134	14	4	2	.204	.281	.342	.623	.138	.264	28	7	.283	75	-14	+0	+1	+8	+13	1.0
2029	23	MLB 48%	LAA	520	463	97	20	1	15	37	143	15	5	2	.210	.289	.354	.644	.145	.266	28	7	.290	80	-11	+0	+1	+9	+15	1.4
2030	24	MLB 63%	LAA	520	461	97	20	1	15	39	141	15	5	1	.210	.293	.356	.649	.145	.267	27	8	.295	84	-9	+1	+1	+9	+15	1.7
2031	25	MLB 80%	LAA	520	460	98	20	1	16	40	140	15	4	1	.213	.297	.365	.662	.152	.268	27	8	.299	87	-8	+0	+1	+9	+15	1.8
2032	26	MLB 94%	LAA	520	459	98	20	1	16	41	140	15	4	1	.214	.299	.366	.665	.153	.268	27	8	.300	88	-7	+0	+1	+9	+15	1.9
2033	27	MLB	LAA	520	459	98	20	1	16	41	140	15	4	1	.214	.299	.366	.665	.153	.268	27	8	.300	88	-7	+0	+1	+9	+15	1.9
2034	28	MLB	LAA	520	458	98	20	1	16	42	141	15	3	1	.214	.301	.367	.668	.153	.268	27	8	.299	87	-8	+0	+1	+9	+15	1.8
2035	29	MLB	LAA	520	458	97	20	1	16	42	143	15	3	0	.212	.299	.365	.664	.153	.267	28	8	.297	86	-9	+1	-0	+9	+15	1.6
2036	30	MLB	LAA	520	458	96	20	1	15	42	145	15	2	0	.210	.297	.356	.653	.146	.265	28	8	.294	83	-10	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.4
2037	31	MLB	LAA	504	444	92	19	1	14	41	142	14	1	0	.207	.295	.349	.644	.142	.264	28	8	.290	80	-11	+0	-2	+9	+14	1.1
2038	32	MLB	LAA	489	433	87	18	1	13	39	141	14	1	0	.201	.288	.337	.625	.136	.262	29	8	.285	77	-13	+0	-2	+9	+14	0.8
2039	33	MLB	LAA	457	404	80	16	1	12	37	134	13	1	0	.198	.286	.332	.618	.134	.260	29	8	.280	72	-14	+0	-3	+8	+13	0.4
2040	34	MLB	LAA	401	355	69	14	1	10	32	121	11	1	0	.194	.281	.324	.605	.130	.258	30	8	.273	67	-15	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.0
2041	35	MLB	LAA	340	301	56	11	0	8	27	106	9	1	0	.186	.273	.302	.575	.116	.255	31	8	.266	61	-15	+0	-5	+6	+10	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8526	7575	1534	317	15	230	608	2449	260	54	16	.203	.284	.339	.624	.137	.264	29	7	.281	73	-261	+4	-7	+152	+242	13.4
/ 162G	—			650	577	117	24	1	18	46	187	20	4	1	.203	.285	.341	.626	.139	.263	29	7	.281	73	-20	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Angels	197	165	39	7	0	6	15	25	15	6	1	.236	.354	.388	.742	.152	.244	13	8	.338	116	+4	+1	—	—	+6	1.0
2024	18	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	210	188	43	11	0	2	12	58	3	1	2	.229	.286	.319	.605	.090	.311	28	6	.267	62	-9	-1	—	—	+6	-0.4
2024	18	A	Inland Empire 66ers	208	186	52	16	1	3	12	40	7	3	1	.280	.346	.425	.771	.145	.340	19	6	.341	119	+4	+0	—	—	+6	1.1
2025	19	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	342	305	63	11	0	10	18	94	15	0	1	.207	.284	.341	.625	.134	.262	27	5	.282	74	-10	-0	—	—	+10	-0.1
2025	19	INTL	Salt River Rafters	77	66	18	5	1	1	5	20	4	0	0	.273	.360	.424	.784	.152	.362	26	6	.344	122	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Flores (OGILVIE)	20	20→32	30→43	30→28	40	.192/.252/.303	.111	.275	7	2	33%	5%	52	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Deivy Grullón 2017 · A	21	41→43	42→55	39→30	36	.204/.242/.307	.104	.278	10	2	30%	4%	47	-1.9	.223/.260/.361	.138	.299	17	2	30%	4%	69	-0.4	.218/.265/.393	.175	.292	26	1	34%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Christopher Tamarez 2014 · A	20	41	38→45	36→40	41	.200/.246/.276	.076	.258	5	3	24%	5%	40	-2.4	.201/.243/.257	.056	.285	3	5	29%	5%	33	-2.9	.184/.216/.191	.007	.263	0	3	29%	4%	0	-1.7
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	41→50	41	.168/.252/.259	.091	.262	9	8	37%	8%	41	-2.3	.197/.275/.307	.110	.307	11	5	36%	9%	63	-0.9	.204/.303/.338	.134	.292	14	2	32%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Matt Kennelly 2010 · A	21	40	37→40	35→40	37	.197/.235/.266	.069	.275	5	3	30%	4%	33	-2.9	.210/.259/.293	.083	.277	7	3	25%	6%	50	-1.7	.225/.280/.287	.062	.288	3	2	21%	6%	54	-0.6
✕Cristian Santana 2017 · A	20	39→48	41→50	39→30	35	.197/.228/.291	.094	.267	9	4	30%	4%	37	-2.7	.231/.255/.356	.125	.314	16	2	31%	3%	65	-0.7	.243/.270/.341	.098	.321	11	0	27%	3%	64	-0.5
✕Adinso Reyes 2022 · A	20	38	44→45	41→40	30	.185/.236/.295	.109	.309	12	4	42%	4%	42	-2.3	.185/.238/.291	.106	.355	12	4	48%	6%	42	-2.3	.174/.224/.276	.102	.322	13	2	48%	6%	29	-1.0
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A	20	37→45	43→55	44→50	39	.188/.245/.301	.113	.275	11	4	34%	6%	47	-1.9	.223/.286/.366	.143	.284	16	11	26%	8%	82	+0.5	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Elias Díaz 2011 · A	20	39→49	39→50	40→45	42	.192/.248/.277	.085	.251	7	4	26%	6%	42	-2.3	.185/.232/.261	.076	.239	4	5	23%	5%	30	-3.1	.253/.312/.392	.139	.280	17	0	16%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Jonathan Meyer 2012 · A	21	41→45	40→45	36→40	40	.200/.252/.287	.087	.282	8	3	31%	6%	46	-2.0	.209/.251/.298	.089	.278	9	3	27%	5%	48	-1.9	.188/.231/.267	.079	.243	9	2	26%	4%	29	-2.1
✕Julian Leon 2016 · A	20	40	43→45	42→30	37	.198/.255/.307	.108	.289	12	3	34%	6%	53	-1.5	.192/.254/.306	.114	.305	13	2	39%	6%	53	-1.5	.179/.258/.306	.128	.278	16	0	39%	8%	54	-0.6
✕Darwin Rivera 2013 · A	21	42	40	38→30	37	.206/.250/.295	.089	.291	8	2	31%	5%	47	-1.9	.200/.249/.283	.083	.282	6	4	30%	5%	43	-2.2	.159/.205/.223	.064	.218	5	0	29%	5%	7	-1.3
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	43	39→45	42→40	40	.208/.266/.286	.078	.272	7	6	26%	5%	53	-1.5	.203/.254/.282	.079	.287	6	5	30%	5%	46	-2.0	.147/.189/.214	.067	.208	8	0	33%	3%	-2	-1.0
✕Maurizo Buda 2012 · A	20	39	37→40	37→40	42	.188/.263/.260	.072	.273	5	4	31%	7%	45	-2.1	.203/.280/.278	.075	.290	5	4	29%	8%	56	-1.3	.192/.282/.254	.062	.276	4	1	29%	9%	51	-0.7
✕Joe DeCarlo 2014 · A	20	39→38	42→50	42→30	41	.187/.266/.289	.103	.300	9	3	38%	8%	54	-1.4	.190/.275/.298	.108	.288	10	2	35%	9%	60	-1.0	.192/.273/.343	.151	.263	18	1	33%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Roberto De La Cruz 2012 · A	20	35	48→60	37→30	30	.188/.223/.321	.132	.274	17	2	38%	3%	43	-2.2	.197/.227/.311	.114	.276	13	3	33%	3%	42	-2.3	.177/.191/.259	.083	.244	10	0	32%	1%	8	-1.9
✕Gabriel Lino 2015 · A	22	38	40	36→30	36	.186/.237/.278	.092	.287	8	3	37%	6%	37	-2.6	.200/.247/.287	.087	.293	7	2	32%	5%	43	-2.2	.198/.247/.285	.086	.285	7	0	31%	5%	42	-1.1
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2016 · A	20	38	38→40	40→45	37	.185/.247/.268	.083	.275	6	4	33%	6%	40	-2.4	.170/.250/.244	.074	.259	5	4	34%	8%	36	-2.7	.138/.240/.198	.060	.210	5	4	33%	9%	18	-1.5
✕Max Stassi 2011 · A	20	39→43	45→55	43→40	38	.194/.254/.315	.121	.302	13	5	39%	7%	55	-1.4	.211/.269/.347	.136	.289	16	4	31%	6%	69	-0.4	.208/.295/.359	.151	.271	20	0	30%	10%	81	+0.2
✕Cesar Quintas 2023 · A	20	42→36	37→45	42→50	37	.196/.267/.265	.069	.300	4	5	34%	6%	48	-1.9	.207/.290/.303	.096	.304	8	5	32%	7%	68	-0.5	.200/.289/.313	.113	.283	11	6	31%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Brett Cumberland 2017 · A	22	39	39→50	38→30	36	.187/.257/.275	.088	.292	7	4	36%	6%	46	-2.0	.195/.290/.326	.131	.297	14	2	37%	7%	76	+0.0	.186/.292/.325	.139	.279	16	0	36%	8%	74	-0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)