Juan Flores — OGILVIE

Juan FloresC Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 215 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION250 act + 166 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .249 / .343

PA166

HR5

K%31

BB%4

BABIP261

ISO142

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED28

scouting grade only

DEFENSE64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$9M	+$8M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+1.6	$9M	+$7M
2032	Arb-2	$5M	+1.7	$9M	+$6M
2033	Arb-3	$8M	+1.7	$8M	+$4M
Totals		$19M		$49M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Angels	—	197	171	33	6	0	7	9	36	15	6	1	193	292	351	643	158	202	18	5	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Angels	—	197	165	39	7	0	6	15	25	15	6	1	236	354	388	742	152	244	13	8	338	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+	2 teams	—	418	384	82	21	1	5	14	137	10	4	3	214	260	312	572	99	312	33	3	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+	2 teams	—	418	374	95	27	1	5	24	98	10	4	3	254	316	372	688	118	326	23	6	304	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A+	2 teams	—	419	379	57	10	0	9	15	155	19	0	1	150	220	248	468	98	220	37	4	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A+	2 teams	—	419	371	81	16	1	11	23	114	19	0	1	218	298	356	654	137	281	27	5	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A+	LAA	—	250	230	47	10	0	10	9	78	6	0	0	204	253	378	631	174	255	31	4	271	65	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.2
YTD	20	A+	LAA	—	250	224	60	14	0	13	15	57	6	0	0	268	331	504	835	237	299	23	6	359	133	+9	+0	+0	+4	+7	2.1
ROS	20	A+	LAA	0%	166	154	31	7	0	5	6	51	4	1	0	200	249	343	592	142	256	31	4	257	55	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
ROS	20	MLB	LAA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						255	0	0	237	39	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	20	A+	LAA	—	251	231	47	10	0	10	9	78	6	0	0	203	252	377	629	173	253	31	4	271	65	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.2
TOT	20	A+	LAA	—	416	384	78	17	0	15	15	129	10	1	0	203	251	364	615	161	257	31	4	265	61	-18	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	LAA	35%	452	420	87	18	1	14	19	132	10	2	1	207	258	355	613	148	261	29	4	269	64	-18	+0	+1	+8	+13	0.4
2028	22	MLB	LAA	49%	515	474	101	21	1	17	25	144	11	3	1	213	269	369	638	156	264	28	5	281	73	-16	+0	+1	+9	+15	1.0
2029	23	MLB	LAA	54%	520	477	104	21	1	18	27	142	11	3	1	218	276	379	655	161	266	27	5	288	79	-13	+0	+1	+9	+15	1.3
2030	24	MLB	LAA	55%	520	476	104	21	1	18	28	139	11	3	2	218	278	380	658	162	267	27	5	293	82	-10	-0	+1	+9	+15	1.5
2031	25	MLB	LAA	56%	520	476	105	21	1	19	28	139	11	3	2	221	280	389	668	168	267	27	5	295	84	-9	-0	+1	+9	+15	1.6
2032	26	MLB	LAA	56%	520	475	105	21	1	19	29	138	11	3	2	221	282	389	671	168	267	27	6	297	85	-9	-0	+1	+9	+15	1.7
2033	27	MLB	LAA	55%	520	475	105	21	1	19	29	139	11	3	2	221	282	389	671	168	267	27	6	297	85	-9	-0	+1	+9	+15	1.7
2034	28	MLB	LAA	55%	520	474	105	21	1	19	30	140	11	3	2	222	283	390	674	169	267	27	6	296	84	-9	-0	+1	+9	+15	1.6
2035	29	MLB	LAA	53%	520	474	103	21	1	18	30	141	11	3	2	217	280	380	659	162	266	27	6	294	83	-10	-0	-0	+9	+15	1.4
2036	30	MLB	LAA	53%	520	474	103	21	1	18	30	142	11	3	2	217	280	380	659	162	264	27	6	291	81	-11	-0	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2037	31	MLB	LAA	52%	504	460	99	20	1	17	29	139	10	3	1	215	277	374	650	159	262	28	6	287	78	-13	+0	-2	+9	+14	0.9
2038	32	MLB	LAA	52%	489	448	92	18	0	16	28	137	10	2	1	205	267	353	620	147	258	28	6	281	73	-15	+0	-2	+9	+14	0.6
2039	33	MLB	LAA	52%	458	420	85	16	0	15	26	131	9	2	1	202	264	348	611	145	254	29	6	274	68	-17	+0	-3	+8	+13	0.2
2040	34	MLB	LAA	47%	401	367	71	13	0	12	23	117	8	2	1	193	256	327	583	134	248	29	6	265	61	-18	+0	-4	+7	+11	-0.3
2027	21	MLB	LAA	35%	156	145	30	6	0	5	7	45	3	1	0	207	258	352	610	145	260	29	4	251	50	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	LAA	49%	250	231	48	10	0	8	12	70	5	1	1	208	262	355	617	147	263	28	5	263	59	-11	-0	+1	+4	+7	0.1
2029	23	MLB	LAA	54%	282	260	56	11	1	9	14	77	6	1	1	215	271	369	641	154	265	27	5	271	65	-11	-0	+1	+5	+8	0.3
2030	24	MLB	LAA	55%	288	265	59	12	1	10	15	77	6	2	1	223	280	389	668	166	266	27	5	276	69	-10	+0	+1	+5	+8	0.4
2031	25	MLB	LAA	56%	291	267	59	12	1	10	16	78	6	2	1	221	280	386	666	165	266	27	5	278	71	-10	+0	+1	+5	+8	0.5
2032	26	MLB	LAA	56%	293	269	59	12	1	10	16	78	6	2	1	219	278	383	661	164	266	27	5	279	72	-9	+0	+1	+5	+8	0.5
2033	27	MLB	LAA	55%	288	264	58	12	1	10	16	77	6	2	1	220	280	386	666	167	266	27	6	279	72	-9	+0	+1	+5	+8	0.5
2034	28	MLB	LAA	55%	285	261	56	11	0	10	16	76	6	2	1	215	276	372	647	157	265	27	6	278	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2035	29	MLB	LAA	53%	278	254	55	11	0	10	16	75	6	2	1	217	279	378	657	161	264	27	6	276	70	-10	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.3
2036	30	MLB	LAA	53%	274	250	53	11	0	9	16	75	6	2	1	212	276	364	640	152	263	27	6	274	68	-10	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.2
2037	31	MLB	LAA	52%	263	241	51	10	0	9	15	73	5	1	1	212	272	365	637	154	261	28	6	270	65	-11	-0	-1	+5	+7	0.1
2038	32	MLB	LAA	52%	254	232	47	9	0	8	15	71	5	1	1	203	266	345	611	142	257	28	6	264	61	-11	-0	-1	+5	+7	-0.1
2039	33	MLB	LAA	52%	237	216	43	8	0	7	14	68	5	1	1	199	264	333	597	134	253	29	6	258	55	-12	-0	-2	+4	+7	-0.3
2040	34	MLB	LAA	47%	189	172	34	6	0	6	11	55	4	1	0	198	262	337	599	140	247	29	6	249	49	-11	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3629	3328	708	141	5	121	199	995	75	21	12	213	273	367	640	154	264	27	5	270	65	-143	-1	-1	+65	+103	2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	127	25	1	22	36	178	13	4	2	213	273	369	642	156	263	27	6	270	65	-26	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	8179	7478	1572	318	12	265	425	2299	194	49	26	210	271	362	633	152	263	28	5	279	72	-260	-1	-2	+146	+232	11.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	125	25	1	21	34	183	15	4	2	210	271	362	633	152	264	28	5	279	72	-21	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Angels	—	197	165	39	7	0	6	15	25	15	6	1	236	354	388	742	152	244	13	8	338	116	+4	+1	—	—	+6	1.0
2024	18	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	210	188	43	11	0	2	12	58	3	1	2	229	286	319	605	90	311	28	6	267	62	-9	-1	—	—	+6	-0.4
2024	18	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	208	186	52	16	1	3	12	40	7	3	1	280	346	425	771	145	340	19	6	341	119	+4	+0	—	—	+6	1.1
2025	19	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	342	305	63	11	0	10	18	94	15	0	1	207	284	341	625	134	262	27	5	282	74	-10	-0	—	—	+10	-0.1
2025	19	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	77	66	18	5	1	1	5	20	4	0	0	273	360	424	784	152	362	26	6	344	122	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,628	124	20	215	272	375	+65	+39	7.4	6.5
	/162	664	23	4	215	272	375	+11.9	+7.2	1.3	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Flores (OGILVIE)	20	20→32	30→43	30→28	40	203/251/364	161	257	15	1	31%	4%	61	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christopher Tamarez 2014 · A	20	42	38→45	36→40	41	203/248/281	78	264	6	3	25%	5%	43	-2.2	202/244/257	55	288	3	5	29%	5%	33	-2.9	184/216/191	7	263	0	3	29%	4%	0	-1.7
✕Cristian Santana 2017 · A	20	39→48	42→45	39→30	35	198/229/297	99	268	10	4	30%	4%	38	-2.6	228/252/352	124	317	16	2	33%	3%	63	-0.9	249/275/348	99	334	10	0	28%	3%	68	-0.3
✕Deivy Grullón 2017 · A	21	43→42	43→55	38→30	37	213/254/323	110	294	11	2	31%	5%	56	-1.3	228/266/371	143	305	18	2	30%	5%	74	-0.1	228/269/391	163	297	23	0	31%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Elias Díaz 2011 · A	20	39→49	39→50	40→45	42	190/245/274	84	248	7	4	26%	6%	40	-2.4	188/237/262	74	243	4	5	23%	5%	33	-2.9	245/304/378	133	272	15	0	16%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	40→50	41	166/249/256	90	260	9	8	37%	8%	39	-2.5	197/273/307	110	309	10	5	36%	8%	61	-1.0	204/303/338	134	292	14	2	32%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Matt Kennelly 2010 · A	21	41	37→40	34→40	37	199/239/266	67	282	5	3	30%	5%	34	-2.8	214/264/299	85	281	7	3	25%	6%	54	-1.4	217/271/305	88	273	7	2	22%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Cam Gallagher 2013 · A	20	40	40→45	40→30	44	197/241/287	90	235	8	4	20%	5%	41	-2.3	205/255/300	95	233	8	2	16%	6%	51	-1.7	223/283/334	112	275	10	0	22%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Cameron Garfield 2011 · A	20	39	37→45	38→45	35	193/225/264	72	263	5	4	29%	3%	27	-3.3	211/252/323	112	281	11	4	28%	4%	56	-1.3	202/241/308	106	272	9	5	29%	4%	43	-1.3
✕Eric Wood 2014 · A	21	42→48	40→55	39→45	38	205/249/297	92	281	8	4	30%	5%	47	-1.9	210/263/304	94	296	7	5	30%	6%	55	-1.4	218/275/390	173	279	21	6	29%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Julian Leon 2016 · A	20	38	43→45	41→30	36	194/249/302	108	285	12	2	35%	6%	50	-1.8	190/255/305	115	305	13	2	40%	7%	53	-1.5	177/259/302	125	278	16	0	40%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Juan Fernandez 2019 · A	20	42→52	38→40	39→50	43	202/259/282	81	260	5	4	24%	6%	48	-1.9	205/262/300	95	269	8	5	26%	6%	54	-1.4	239/301/332	93	297	10	9	22%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Darwin Rivera 2013 · A	21	42	40	37→30	38	207/251/296	89	291	8	2	31%	5%	47	-1.9	201/251/284	83	284	6	4	30%	6%	44	-2.1	159/205/223	64	218	5	0	29%	5%	7	-1.3
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2016 · A	20	37	38→40	39→45	37	182/244/264	82	270	6	3	33%	5%	37	-2.6	171/254/244	73	261	5	5	34%	8%	37	-2.6	138/240/198	60	210	5	4	33%	9%	18	-1.5
●Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	44→54	42→45	37→40	44	216/277/321	104	275	9	3	25%	7%	66	-0.6	239/305/344	105	301	8	3	22%	7%	84	+0.6	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	44	38→45	42→40	40	212/269/287	76	277	6	6	25%	5%	54	-1.4	203/254/282	79	289	6	5	30%	5%	46	-2.0	147/189/214	67	208	8	0	33%	3%	-2	-1.0
✕Chadwick Tromp 2015 · A	20	45	41→50	42→40	38	220/259/319	99	281	9	5	25%	4%	57	-1.2	213/252/303	90	279	7	3	25%	4%	50	-1.8	222/279/363	141	273	17	0	25%	7%	74	-0.0
●Raudy Read 2015 · A	21	41→47	41→55	39→45	42	204/246/299	95	238	9	5	19%	4%	46	-2.0	214/255/327	113	259	10	5	21%	5%	57	-1.2	239/293/443	205	283	27	1	26%	6%	104	+0.9
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A	20	37→45	44→55	43→55	39	188/247/306	118	283	11	4	36%	7%	50	-1.8	225/286/368	143	285	16	12	26%	7%	82	+0.5	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Jonathan Meyer 2012 · A	21	41→43	41→40	35→40	39	202/252/291	89	288	9	3	32%	6%	46	-2.0	205/244/291	86	273	9	3	27%	5%	43	-2.2	188/230/265	77	245	8	2	26%	4%	28	-2.1
✕Omar Estévez 2018 · A	20	41	38→45	40	36	202/237/283	81	277	6	3	29%	4%	38	-2.6	206/248/311	105	295	10	3	32%	5%	50	-1.7	194/245/290	96	270	10	1	31%	6%	42	-1.2