Kendal Meza

P ACL Mariners

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKSEA	13	4	20	7.65	6.40	22.6%	23.6%	—	K 15.4% · BB 29.5% · FIP 7.99
2026	20	ROKSEA	7	5	16	7.71	6.22	21.7%	19.3%	—	K 14.7% · BB 24.1% · FIP 7.68
2027PROJ	21	MLBSEA	2	2	12	5.96	5.96	20.4%	20.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBSEA	2	2	10	5.56	5.39	21.7%	16.6%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsChris Viall (age 20) · Wilian Bormie (age 22) · Jace Beck (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.96

FIP5.96

K%20.4%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%0.4%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	8	1	13	70	16	16	2	12%	1.6	15.5%	28.6%	-13.0%	3.9%	12.08	7.53	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	8	1	13	70	16	16	2	12%	1.6	22.9%	22.9%	0.0%	2.9%	12.08	6.42	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	12	11	36	162	48	32	0	92%	3.0	20.1%	24.7%	-4.5%	0.0%	2.25	4.53	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	12	11	36	162	48	32	0	92%	3.0	20.1%	24.7%	-4.5%	0.0%	2.25	4.53	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	12	11	36	162	48	32	0	92%	3.0	29.6%	19.8%	9.9%	0.0%	2.25	3.10	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	13	4	20	106	24	25	3	31%	1.5	15.4%	29.5%	-14.1%	4.5%	7.65	7.99	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	13	4	20	106	24	25	3	31%	1.5	15.4%	29.5%	-14.1%	4.5%	7.65	7.99	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	13	4	20	106	24	25	3	31%	1.5	22.6%	23.6%	-0.9%	2.8%	7.65	6.40	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	7	5	16	83	18	16	3	71%	2.3	14.7%	24.1%	-9.3%	5.1%	7.71	7.68	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	7	5	16	83	18	16	3	71%	2.3	14.7%	24.1%	-9.3%	5.1%	7.71	7.68	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	7	5	16	83	18	16	3	71%	2.3	21.7%	19.3%	2.4%	3.6%	7.71	6.22	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	SEA	2	2	12	51	10	10	2	100%	6.0	20.4%	20.0%	0.4%	3.0%	5.96	5.96	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SEA	4	4	20	84	18	14	3	100%	5.0	21.7%	16.6%	5.0%	3.0%	5.56	5.39	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	SEA	2	2	10	42	9	7	1	100%	5.0	21.7%	16.6%	5.0%	3.0%	5.56	5.39	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	9	7	1	100%	4.9	21.7%	16.6%	5.0%	3.0%	5.56	5.01	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	183	142	20	100%	5.1	21.7%	16.6%	5.0%	3.0%	5.56	5.01	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		40	21	85	421	72	111	12	52%	2.1	17.1%	26.4%	-9.3%	2.8%	6.04	6.52	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	49	200	991	170	262	27	52%	2.1	17.1%	26.4%	-9.3%	2.8%	6.04	6.52	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kendal Meza (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.96	20.4%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.39	21.7%	5.0%	20	-0.57	—	—	—
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	88
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	87
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	216	84
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	83
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	83
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	83
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	83
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	82
Alex Makarewich R 2024 · 6.15 FIP	22	SP-	6.15	19.7%	26.7%	2.4%	.425	5.15	26.4%	-3.3%	83	-1.00	4.26	110	81
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	80
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	79
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	78
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	78
Chad Bryant R 2021 · 6.29 FIP	21	SP-	6.29	14.8%	20.7%	3.3%	.337	5.59	16.0%	-3.4%	81	-0.70	3.93	136	77
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	76
Aneudis Mejia R 2023 · 7.12 FIP	19	SW	7.12	18.7%	29.9%	3.3%	.404	5.03	16.9%	1.3%	102	-2.09	4.36	122	76
Gunner Mayer R 2021 · 6.96 FIP	21	SP-	6.96	19.5%	20.8%	5.2%	.400	5.07	20.7%	4.0%	179	-1.89	4.32	288	76
Wellington Aracena R 2024 · 5.43 FIP	19	SP-	5.43	18.9%	24.7%	1.5%	.343	3.94	20.0%	4.8%	196	-1.49	3.20	304	76
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	76
Jesús Palacios R 2024 · 5.24 FIP	19	SP-	5.24	19.7%	20.5%	2.2%	.279	4.92	20.4%	-0.6%	36	-0.32	2.43	128	76