Carlos Mateo

P FCL Pirates
Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK
Overview
ROKPROSPECT
ETA2028MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
202418ROKPIT1372311.746.4016.0%26.7%—K 10.9% · BB 33.4% · FIP 7.05
202519ROKPIT1621615.987.0219.8%32.4%—K 13.5% · BB 40.5% · FIP 7.10
202620MIX2 levels220243.753.1839.8%23.1%—K 24.6% · BB 36.5% · FIP 5.64
2027PROJ21MLBPIT100105.785.7821.6%20.0%-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB22MLBPIT100115.395.2322.6%16.6%-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsMichael Perez (age 21) · Will Varmette (age 21) · Hudson Leach (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127
ERA5.78
FIP5.78
K%21.6%
BB%20.0%
K-BB%1.5%
Proj IP10
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -1.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+0STAMTotal WAR: -0.14 (10 IP)-0.1WAR
-0.1-0.12728
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
202317ROK MLEDSL Pirates Black13712861830054%0.914.2%43.6%-29.4%0.0%18.757.42—
202317ROK RAWDSL Pirates Black13712861830054%0.920.9%34.9%-14.0%0.0%18.757.60—
202418ROK MLEFCL Pirates137231312135154%1.810.9%33.4%-22.5%1.2%11.747.05—
202418ROK MLEFCL Pirates137231312135154%1.810.9%33.4%-22.5%1.2%11.747.05—
202418ROK RAWFCL Pirates137231312135154%1.816.0%26.7%-10.7%0.8%11.746.40—
202519ROK MLEFCL Pirates162161112236012%1.013.5%40.5%-27.1%0.0%15.987.10—
202519ROK MLEFCL Pirates162161112236012%1.013.5%40.5%-27.1%0.0%15.987.10—
202519ROK RAWFCL Pirates162161112236012%1.019.8%32.4%-12.6%0.0%15.987.02—
202620MIX MLE2 levels22024108432510%1.124.6%36.5%-11.9%0.0%3.755.64—
202620MIX MLE2 levels22024108432510%1.124.6%36.5%-11.9%0.0%3.755.64—
202620MIX RAW2 levels22024108432510%1.139.8%23.1%16.7%0.9%3.753.18—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
202721MLBPIT10010429810%1.021.6%20.0%1.5%2.9%5.785.78-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
202822MLB MLEPIT2202396221630%1.022.6%16.6%6.0%2.8%5.395.23-0.2
202822MLB CTXPIT100114611810%1.122.6%16.6%6.0%2.8%5.395.23-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW110114711810%1.022.6%16.6%6.0%2.8%5.394.85-0.0
/ 200 IP— RAW1900200844197143180%1.122.6%16.6%6.0%2.8%5.394.85-0.7
Career— MLE64167543668166225%1.215.6%38.0%-22.4%0.3%11.236.79-0.2
/ 200 IP— MLE170422001158181440425%1.215.6%38.0%-22.4%0.3%11.236.79-1.6