Alison Zacarias

P ACL Rockies

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKCOL	12	12	41	3.48	3.54	14.9%	13.3%	—	K 10.1% · BB 16.6% · FIP 4.34
2026	20	ROKCOL	13	4	25	9.00	7.54	14.4%	23.7%	—	K 9.8% · BB 29.7% · FIP 8.24
2027PROJ	21	MLBCOL	7	7	36	6.79	6.79	10.0%	20.0%	-0.7
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBCOL	4	4	19	6.30	6.14	13.4%	17.4%	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff20Control25Command20

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsMason McGwire (age 20) · Felipito Santos (age 20) · Rubén Menes (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 162154vR 146

ERA6.79

FIP6.79

K%10.0%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-10.0%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL2525

CMD2020

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	6	0	5	27	3	9	1	0%	0.9	11.1%	33.3%	-22.2%	3.7%	6.75	8.42	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	6	0	5	27	3	9	1	0%	0.9	11.1%	33.3%	-22.2%	3.7%	6.75	9.47	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	10	9	39	169	39	24	1	90%	3.9	15.7%	17.8%	-2.1%	0.7%	3.96	4.41	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	10	9	39	169	39	24	1	90%	3.9	15.7%	17.8%	-2.1%	0.7%	3.96	4.41	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	10	9	39	169	39	24	1	90%	3.9	23.1%	14.2%	8.9%	0.6%	3.96	3.28	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	12	12	41	181	27	24	0	100%	3.4	10.1%	16.6%	-6.4%	0.0%	3.48	4.34	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	12	12	41	181	27	24	0	100%	3.4	10.1%	16.6%	-6.4%	0.0%	3.48	4.34	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	12	12	41	181	27	24	0	100%	3.4	14.9%	13.3%	1.7%	0.0%	3.48	3.54	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	13	4	25	139	20	33	4	31%	1.9	9.8%	29.7%	-19.9%	4.0%	9.00	8.24	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	13	4	25	139	20	33	4	31%	1.9	9.8%	29.7%	-19.9%	4.0%	9.00	8.24	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	13	4	25	139	20	33	4	31%	1.9	14.4%	23.7%	-9.4%	2.9%	9.00	7.54	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	COL	7	7	36	152	15	30	4	100%	5.1	10.0%	20.0%	-10.0%	2.9%	6.79	6.79	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	COL	8	8	39	165	22	29	5	100%	4.9	13.4%	17.4%	-4.0%	2.9%	6.30	6.14	-0.5
2028	22	MLB CTX	COL	4	4	19	80	11	14	2	100%	4.8	13.4%	17.4%	-4.0%	2.9%	6.30	6.14	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	81	11	14	2	100%	4.8	13.4%	17.4%	-4.0%	2.9%	6.30	5.76	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	114	146	21	100%	5.1	13.4%	17.4%	-4.0%	2.9%	6.30	5.76	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		41	25	110	516	61	110	8	61%	2.7	11.9%	21.4%	-9.5%	1.5%	5.06	5.63	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	45	200	935	111	200	14	61%	2.7	11.9%	21.4%	-9.5%	1.5%	5.06	5.63	-2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alison Zacarias (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.79	10.0%	20.0%	2.9%	—	6.14	13.4%	-4.0%	39	-0.65	—	—	—
Mason McGwire R 2024 · 6.46 FIP	20	SP-	6.46	11.7%	21.2%	3.0%	.298	4.11	21.4%	10.7%	79	-2.35	4.11	155	89
Felipito Santos R 2019 · 7.57 FIP	20	SP-	7.57	4.3%	25.3%	3.0%	.358	5.32	13.7%	-5.9%	58	-2.25	4.83	106	89
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	87
Jatnk Diaz R 2024 · 7.33 FIP	19	SP-	7.33	12.1%	24.0%	4.0%	.318	5.06	13.9%	-0.8%	102	-2.27	4.97	117	84
Samuel Vásquez R 2021 · 6.05 FIP	21	SP-	6.05	11.2%	21.6%	2.1%	.353	5.15	16.0%	-2.8%	111	-0.90	4.01	273	82
Kamdyn Perry R 2024 · 5.61 FIP	18	SW	5.61	12.3%	18.4%	2.2%	.300	5.55	14.9%	1.0%	116	-0.06	5.31	142	81
Jol Concepcion R 2021 · 6.54 FIP	22	SW	6.54	12.2%	20.0%	3.5%	.272	4.60	23.9%	3.9%	50	-1.94	4.60	154	81
Chad Bryant R 2021 · 6.29 FIP	21	SP-	6.29	14.8%	20.7%	3.3%	.337	5.59	16.0%	-3.4%	81	-0.70	3.93	136	81
Orlando Gonzalez R 2024 · 6.34 FIP	21	SP-	6.34	13.8%	18.8%	3.7%	.155	4.18	18.9%	4.9%	71	-2.16	3.83	114	81
Alejandro Chavez R 2019 · 6.79 FIP	20	SP-	6.79	9.8%	20.4%	3.5%	.377	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	109	80
Diego Dugarte R 2024 · 7.15 FIP	21	SP-	7.15	11.3%	19.9%	4.5%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	114	80
Elian Rodriguez R 2018 · 6.43 FIP	21	SW	6.43	11.3%	28.5%	1.2%	.221	6.29	16.9%	-6.1%	61	-0.14	5.60	109	79
Adrian Acosta R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	19	SP-	6.02	7.9%	21.7%	1.5%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	120	79
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	79
Jose Garces R 2024 · 7.21 FIP	20	SW	7.21	11.0%	34.2%	1.3%	.277	6.53	15.6%	-0.5%	96	-0.68	3.49	191	78
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	77
Tyler Baum R 2021 · 7.96 FIP	23	SP-	7.96	11.0%	36.8%	2.1%	.306	4.76	21.2%	4.2%	132	-3.20	3.38	177	77
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	76
Erick Reynoso R 2024 · 7.34 FIP	21	SP-	7.34	13.1%	22.6%	4.5%	.226	6.10	15.5%	-7.0%	107	-1.24	6.06	180	76
Yuliangel De La Cruz R 2024 · 6.64 FIP	19	SP-	6.64	11.7%	28.7%	1.6%	.348	5.51	14.2%	-11.6%	38	-1.13	4.50	123	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	11.8%	18.7%	1.13	6.53
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Denny Bautista ('10)	1.1	45	17.3%	12.7%	0.85	5.89
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Lloyd Allen ('69-'75, -5 WAR*)	1.5	59	19.8%*	13.9%*	0.79*	5.99*