Alison Zacarias — OGILVIE

Alison Zacarias P ACL Rockies

Age 20 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 159151vR 143

ERA6.63

FIP6.63

K%10.7%

BB%19.9%

K-BB%-9.2%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL2525

CMD2020

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	6	0	5	27	3	9	1	0%	0.9	11.1%	33.3%	-22.2%	3.7%	6.75	8.42	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	6	0	5	27	3	9	1	0%	0.9	11.1%	33.3%	-22.2%	3.7%	6.75	8.42	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	6	0	5	27	3	9	1	0%	0.9	11.1%	33.3%	-22.2%	3.7%	6.75	9.47	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	10	9	39	169	39	24	1	90%	3.9	15.7%	17.8%	-2.1%	0.7%	3.96	4.41	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	10	9	39	169	39	24	1	90%	3.9	15.7%	17.8%	-2.1%	0.7%	3.96	4.41	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	10	9	39	169	39	24	1	90%	3.9	23.1%	14.2%	8.9%	0.6%	3.96	3.28	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	12	12	41	181	27	24	0	100%	3.4	10.1%	16.6%	-6.4%	0.0%	3.48	4.34	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	12	12	41	181	27	24	0	100%	3.4	10.1%	16.6%	-6.4%	0.0%	3.48	4.34	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	12	12	41	181	27	24	0	100%	3.4	14.9%	13.3%	1.7%	0.0%	3.48	3.54	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	13	4	25	139	20	33	4	31%	1.9	9.8%	29.7%	-19.9%	4.0%	9.00	8.24	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	13	4	25	139	20	33	4	31%	1.9	9.8%	29.7%	-19.9%	4.0%	9.00	8.24	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	COL	13	4	25	139	20	33	4	31%	1.9	14.4%	23.7%	-9.4%	2.9%	9.00	6.47	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	COL	8	8	39	165	22	29	5	100%	4.9	13.5%	17.6%	-4.1%	2.8%	6.21	6.09	-0.5
2027	21	MLB CTX	COL	4	4	19	80	11	14	2	100%	4.8	13.5%	17.6%	-4.1%	2.8%	6.21	6.09	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	81	11	14	2	100%	4.8	13.5%	17.6%	-4.1%	2.8%	6.21	5.71	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	114	146	21	100%	4.8	13.5%	17.6%	-4.1%	2.8%	6.21	5.71	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		41	25	110	516	61	110	8	61%	2.7	11.9%	21.4%	-9.5%	1.5%	5.06	5.63	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	45	200	935	111	200	14	61%	2.7	11.9%	21.4%	-9.5%	1.5%	5.06	5.63	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alison Zacarias (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.63	10.7%	19.9%	2.8%	—	6.09	13.5%	-4.1%	39	-0.54	—	—	—
Erick Reynoso R 2023 · 6.37 FIP	20	SP-	6.37	10.7%	20.4%	2.9%	.305	6.44	14.9%	-7.7%	146	+0.07	6.06	180	96
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	89
Felipito Santos R 2019 · 7.57 FIP	20	SP-	7.57	4.3%	25.3%	3.0%	.358	5.32	13.7%	-5.9%	58	-2.25	4.83	106	89
Gillian Wernet R 2018 · 5.46 FIP	19	SP-	5.46	11.2%	16.6%	2.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	107	88
Vitico Valdez R 2023 · 5.68 FIP	19	SW	5.68	11.3%	19.8%	1.9%	.260	4.04	14.7%	-2.5%	43	-1.64	4.04	132	85
Lisander Brito R 2022 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	14.1%	15.0%	3.3%	.309	3.23	18.9%	5.3%	21	-2.39	3.23	101	82
Alejandro Chavez R 2019 · 6.79 FIP	20	SP-	6.79	9.8%	20.4%	3.5%	.377	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	109	82
Yeri Perez R 2023 · 5.94 FIP	18	SP-	5.94	13.8%	26.5%	1.2%	.292	5.58	16.0%	-9.0%	136	-0.36	4.91	185	82
Sam Pastrone R 2017 · 6.66 FIP	20	SP-	6.66	10.5%	21.7%	3.1%	.341	6.51	11.9%	-17.0%	21	-0.15	3.10	146	82
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	81
Jose Vasquez R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	18	SP-	6.07	12.1%	27.4%	1.0%	.368	5.74	17.6%	-4.3%	96	-0.33	4.12	123	80
Harold Chirino R 2017 · 6.05 FIP	19	SP-	6.05	13.2%	16.0%	3.7%	.327	3.11	19.0%	6.2%	34	-2.94	3.11	321	80
Denis Diaz R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	12.7%	16.6%	2.5%	.264	5.65	11.9%	-4.9%	92	+0.14	3.39	129	80
Karsen Lindell R 2016 · 7.17 FIP	20	SP-	7.17	4.3%	20.7%	3.3%	.326	6.72	9.8%	-9.2%	54	-0.45	4.94	112	79
Jesus Escobar R 2023 · 6.89 FIP	17	SP-	6.89	9.8%	16.4%	4.6%	.220	6.72	10.0%	-3.4%	118	-0.17	6.53	152	79
Daury Cabrera R 2021 · 5.97 FIP	20	SW	5.97	9.7%	14.3%	3.4%	.290	4.15	15.1%	5.0%	44	-1.82	2.86	191	79
Darlin Alcántara R 2022 · 6.23 FIP	20	SP-	6.23	12.3%	22.2%	2.5%	.320	4.64	12.3%	2.5%	31	-1.59	3.61	118	79
Cristian Hernandez R 2023 · 6.11 FIP	18	SP-	6.11	12.5%	25.1%	1.6%	.390	5.12	19.6%	2.9%	87	-0.99	4.39	116	79
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	78
Jorge Juan R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	20	SW	5.47	14.7%	24.8%	0.8%	.323	4.64	25.5%	14.0%	38	-0.83	3.48	238	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	12.4%	18.5%	1.08	6.38
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14