Adrian Meza2B
FCL Blue Jays
Age 21
S/R
5'8" / 155 lbs
ROK
HR +12%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 1.8 · 2031
wRC+†71
AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .288 / .320
PA105
HR2
K%25
BB%8
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.8peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.8 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.8 | $18M | +$17M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.6 | $16M | +$15M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.3 | $14M | +$11M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.1 | $12M | +$8M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.7 | $4M | +$0.4M |
| Totals | $13M | $80M | +$68M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 217 | 186 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 27 | 10 | 13 | 5 | .220 | .329 | .242 | .571 | .022 | .256 | 12 | 9 | .256 | 54 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | 2 teams | 166 | 148 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 2 | .142 | .235 | .155 | .390 | .014 | .196 | 25 | 7 | .185 | 0 | -19 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | TOR | 105 | 95 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .232 | .298 | .358 | .656 | .126 | .284 | 25 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | TOR | 163 | 147 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .224 | .296 | .340 | .636 | .116 | .287 | 24 | 8 | .296 | 85 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | TOR | 287 | 256 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 67 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .238 | .316 | .379 | .695 | .141 | .288 | 23 | 9 | .307 | 93 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | TOR | 376 | 335 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 86 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .239 | .316 | .385 | .701 | .146 | .289 | 23 | 9 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | TOR | 429 | 382 | 92 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 98 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .241 | .319 | .390 | .709 | .149 | .290 | 23 | 9 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 1.6 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | TOR | 462 | 411 | 99 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 105 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .241 | .320 | .394 | .714 | .153 | .291 | 23 | 9 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 1.8 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | TOR | 477 | 424 | 102 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 109 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .241 | .321 | .396 | .717 | .156 | .291 | 23 | 9 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 1.8 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 482 | 428 | 104 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 45 | 111 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .243 | .324 | .400 | .723 | .157 | .290 | 23 | 9 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 1.8 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 479 | 425 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 45 | 112 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .238 | .319 | .386 | .705 | .148 | .290 | 23 | 9 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 472 | 418 | 98 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 112 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .234 | .318 | .380 | .698 | .146 | .288 | 24 | 10 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 461 | 408 | 94 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 44 | 111 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .230 | .314 | .370 | .685 | .140 | .287 | 24 | 10 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 444 | 394 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 42 | 109 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .228 | .311 | .363 | .674 | .135 | .285 | 25 | 9 | .305 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +13 | 0.7 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 416 | 369 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 105 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .225 | .308 | .358 | .665 | .133 | .284 | 25 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 371 | 329 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 97 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .225 | .307 | .359 | .666 | .134 | .282 | 26 | 9 | .293 | 83 | -7 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2040 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 318 | 282 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 86 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .216 | .298 | .340 | .639 | .124 | .280 | 27 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -8 | +0 | -6 | +1 | +9 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6125 | 5437 | 1256 | 221 | 32 | 150 | 559 | 1441 | 88 | 86 | 20 | .231 | .313 | .366 | .679 | .135 | .285 | 24 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -62 | +9 | -25 | +22 | +174 | 12.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 577 | 133 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 59 | 153 | 9 | 9 | 2 | .231 | .311 | .364 | .675 | .133 | .285 | 24 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -7 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +18 | 1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 217 | 175 | 48 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 5 | .274 | .412 | .303 | .715 | .029 | .306 | 9 | 14 | .342 | 120 | +5 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 1.2 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 38 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .171 | .237 | .200 | .437 | .029 | .231 | 24 | 8 | .208 | 17 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 128 | 106 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | .179 | .320 | .198 | .518 | .019 | .221 | 16 | 12 | .262 | 59 | -6 | -0 | — | — | +4 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Adrian Meza (OGILVIE) | 21 | — | — | — | — | .218/.288/.320 | .102 | .284 | 2 | 2 | 25% | 8% | 71 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A |
20 | 45→48 | 42→50 | 49→45 | 46 | .222/.285/.324 | .103 | .281 | 10 | 12 | 24% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .230/.313/.368 | .138 | .279 | 13 | 9 | 21% | 10% | 94 | +1.3 | .226/.311/.371 | .145 | .266 | 15 | 9 | 20% | 10% | 91 | +1.0 |
|
✕Ronny Simon 2021 · A |
21 | 45→53 | 41→50 | 52→55 | 46 | .215/.277/.324 | .109 | .271 | 6 | 13 | 22% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .212/.263/.367 | .155 | .273 | 18 | 19 | 29% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .239/.300/.355 | .117 | .301 | 11 | 27 | 23% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
●Colin Walsh 2011 · A |
21 | 45→53 | 41→45 | 52→50 | 52 | .215/.295/.312 | .097 | .270 | 8 | 10 | 22% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .225/.300/.348 | .123 | .272 | 11 | 8 | 20% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .212/.320/.332 | .121 | .306 | 11 | 7 | 31% | 13% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Jose Lobatón 2006 · A |
21 | 45 | 39→45 | 50→30 | 46 | .215/.277/.302 | .088 | .284 | 6 | 8 | 25% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .215/.286/.335 | .120 | .300 | 12 | 3 | 30% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .241/.325/.370 | .129 | .305 | 12 | 0 | 23% | 11% | 94 | +0.6 |
|
●TJ Friedl 2017 · A |
21 | 48→53 | 42→50 | 51→55 | 42 | .228/.286/.337 | .109 | .309 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .226/.293/.326 | .100 | .295 | 6 | 15 | 24% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .246/.337/.381 | .136 | .276 | 15 | 18 | 16% | 10% | 103 | +1.8 |
|
✕Blake Perkins 2018 · A |
21 | 42→52 | 40→50 | 51→55 | 43 | .206/.261/.296 | .090 | .274 | 8 | 14 | 27% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .202/.269/.286 | .084 | .291 | 7 | 17 | 30% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .228/.311/.359 | .130 | .302 | 13 | 25 | 27% | 10% | 87 | +0.5 |
|
●Tyler Nevin 2018 · A |
21 | 46→54 | 41→50 | 45 | 43 | .225/.276/.329 | .104 | .286 | 8 | 9 | 24% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .231/.283/.339 | .108 | .294 | 10 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .240/.318/.386 | .146 | .290 | 17 | 4 | 22% | 8% | 98 | +1.1 |
|
✕Francisco Mejía 2016 · A |
20 | 43→53 | 41→55 | 47→40 | 43 | .211/.267/.303 | .093 | .260 | 9 | 5 | 23% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .250/.290/.373 | .123 | .301 | 13 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .258/.304/.423 | .165 | .305 | 16 | 1 | 21% | 5% | 101 | +0.9 |
|
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A |
21 | 41→43 | 44→55 | 50 | 43 | .203/.259/.325 | .122 | .273 | 11 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .199/.278/.352 | .153 | .276 | 18 | 12 | 33% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .216/.308/.399 | .183 | .269 | 22 | 12 | 28% | 11% | 97 | +1.2 |
|
✕Ehire Adrianza 2012 · A |
22 | 46→50 | 39→50 | 49→50 | 45 | .220/.276/.313 | .093 | .282 | 5 | 13 | 23% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .218/.275/.308 | .090 | .282 | 5 | 13 | 23% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .239/.324/.368 | .129 | .285 | 11 | 1 | 19% | 10% | 95 | +0.4 |
|
●Adael Amador 2022 · A |
19 | 45→54 | 41→50 | 45→55 | 47 | .219/.281/.317 | .098 | .274 | 8 | 11 | 23% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .241/.317/.373 | .132 | .280 | 15 | 17 | 19% | 9% | 97 | +1.5 | .233/.312/.369 | .136 | .267 | 17 | 23 | 19% | 9% | 90 | +0.8 |
|
●Cody Freeman 2022 · A |
21 | 43→53 | 41→50 | 52→50 | 48 | .209/.284/.307 | .097 | .260 | 8 | 12 | 22% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .202/.255/.318 | .116 | .243 | 13 | 9 | 22% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .230/.273/.378 | .148 | .260 | 18 | 9 | 19% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A |
20 | 42→48 | 40→50 | 49→50 | 44 | .205/.261/.303 | .099 | .264 | 7 | 10 | 25% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .223/.284/.349 | .126 | .283 | 12 | 10 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .227/.291/.359 | .132 | .280 | 13 | 10 | 23% | 7% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
●Aaron Hicks 2010 · A |
20 | 46→56 | 41→60 | 49→55 | 49 | .223/.289/.330 | .107 | .285 | 8 | 12 | 24% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .224/.302/.340 | .116 | .311 | 8 | 14 | 28% | 10% | 81 | +0.4 | .247/.358/.450 | .204 | .280 | 25 | 11 | 21% | 14% | 127 | +2.4 |
|
✕Max Moroff 2014 · A |
21 | 41→51 | 40→50 | 43→50 | 46 | .201/.264/.291 | .090 | .263 | 8 | 8 | 26% | 8% | 52 | -1.6 | .217/.279/.307 | .090 | .309 | 6 | 11 | 29% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .230/.309/.353 | .123 | .307 | 12 | 10 | 27% | 10% | 85 | +0.6 |
|
✕Edmundo Sosa 2016 · A |
20 | 45→50 | 41→55 | 49→50 | 44 | .217/.269/.316 | .099 | .260 | 8 | 8 | 20% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .228/.265/.309 | .081 | .295 | 6 | 6 | 24% | 4% | 56 | -1.3 | .254/.298/.423 | .169 | .308 | 18 | 9 | 23% | 4% | 99 | +0.8 |
|
✕Harold Garcia 2008 · A |
21 | 46→56 | 39→45 | 48→55 | 44 | .219/.295/.306 | .087 | .279 | 5 | 10 | 22% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .235/.295/.342 | .107 | .304 | 8 | 19 | 24% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .250/.302/.360 | .110 | .333 | 8 | 26 | 26% | 4% | 85 | +0.4 |
|
✕Luis Torrens 2017 · A |
21 | 43→49 | 41→55 | 46→30 | 47 | .210/.281/.305 | .094 | .262 | 9 | 6 | 23% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .214/.267/.307 | .093 | .269 | 7 | 3 | 22% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .228/.285/.376 | .148 | .288 | 19 | 0 | 27% | 7% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕John Aiello 2019 · A |
22 | 47 | 40→45 | 47→45 | 44 | .219/.299/.315 | .095 | .320 | 7 | 7 | 31% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .205/.278/.311 | .106 | .340 | 9 | 6 | 40% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .226/.306/.342 | .115 | .345 | 12 | 3 | 34% | 7% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Ryan Kalish 2009 · A |
21 | 48→51 | 39→50 | 50→55 | 45 | .228/.286/.311 | .083 | .303 | 6 | 12 | 26% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .241/.299/.373 | .132 | .302 | 14 | 19 | 24% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .245/.304/.385 | .141 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 23% | 7% | 91 | +0.8 |