Jesus Fernandez — OGILVIE

Jesus FernandezSS Stockton Ports

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 145 lbs A HR -6%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 3.0 · 2032

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .291 / .333

PA123

HR2

K%19

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.0peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.8	$26M	+$25M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.0	$29M	+$28M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.0	$30M	+$29M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+2.9	$29M	+$24M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+2.7	$28M	+$19M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+2.4	$26M	+$14M
Totals		$30M		$168M	+$138M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	229	213	49	6	1	0	9	20	5	9	6	.230	.278	.268	.545	.038	.253	9	4	.238	40	-15	-1	+0	+2	+6	-0.7
2024	18	ROK	ACL Athletics	91	85	16	1	0	0	4	6	0	4	1	.188	.225	.200	.425	.012	.198	7	4	.196	8	-9	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.6
2025	19	A	2 teams	126	119	18	2	0	0	5	18	1	4	1	.151	.192	.168	.360	.017	.178	14	4	.163	-17	-17	+0	+0	+1	+4	-1.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	OAK	123	113	27	5	1	2	8	24	1	2	1	.239	.295	.354	.649	.115	.281	20	7	.284	75	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	OAK	222	201	49	9	1	5	17	42	2	4	1	.244	.309	.373	.682	.129	.284	19	8	.304	91	-2	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.7
2028	22	MLB 28%	OAK	343	309	76	14	2	8	27	64	4	7	2	.246	.315	.382	.697	.136	.285	19	8	.314	98	-1	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.4
2029	23	MLB 48%	OAK	423	380	94	17	2	11	35	77	5	9	2	.247	.319	.389	.709	.142	.286	18	8	.322	105	+2	+1	+0	+5	+12	2.0
2030	24	MLB 62%	OAK	476	427	109	20	3	14	41	86	5	11	2	.255	.328	.415	.742	.159	.287	18	9	.327	108	+5	+1	+0	+5	+13	2.5
2031	25	MLB 80%	OAK	506	451	116	21	3	15	44	90	6	11	3	.257	.331	.417	.748	.160	.287	18	9	.331	111	+6	+1	+0	+5	+14	2.8
2032	26	MLB 94%	OAK	522	464	120	22	3	16	47	93	6	12	3	.259	.335	.422	.757	.164	.288	18	9	.332	112	+7	+1	+0	+6	+15	3.0
2033	27	MLB	OAK	528	469	121	22	3	16	48	95	6	12	2	.258	.335	.420	.755	.162	.288	18	9	.332	113	+7	+2	+0	+6	+15	3.0
2034	28	MLB	OAK	527	468	120	22	3	16	48	96	6	11	2	.256	.333	.419	.752	.162	.287	18	9	.331	112	+7	+1	-1	+6	+15	2.9
2035	29	MLB	OAK	520	461	117	21	3	15	48	96	6	10	2	.254	.332	.410	.742	.156	.287	18	9	.329	110	+6	+1	-1	+6	+15	2.7
2036	30	MLB	OAK	511	453	114	20	3	15	47	96	6	8	1	.252	.330	.408	.738	.157	.285	19	9	.326	108	+4	+1	-2	+5	+14	2.4
2037	31	MLB	OAK	498	444	110	20	2	14	46	96	5	6	0	.248	.325	.396	.722	.149	.284	19	9	.322	105	+3	+1	-3	+5	+14	2.1
2038	32	MLB	OAK	480	428	105	19	2	13	44	95	5	3	0	.245	.323	.390	.713	.145	.283	20	9	.318	101	+1	+1	-4	+5	+14	1.7
2039	33	MLB	OAK	451	402	96	17	2	11	41	92	5	2	0	.239	.317	.373	.690	.134	.281	20	9	.312	97	-2	+0	-4	+5	+13	1.2
2040	34	MLB	OAK	405	361	85	15	2	10	37	86	4	0	0	.235	.313	.371	.685	.136	.279	21	9	.305	92	-4	+0	-5	+4	+11	0.7
2041	35	MLB	OAK	351	314	72	12	2	8	31	78	3	0	0	.229	.305	.357	.661	.127	.277	22	9	.298	86	-6	+0	-6	+4	+10	0.3
2042	36	MLB	OAK	292	261	58	10	1	6	26	68	3	0	0	.222	.300	.337	.637	.115	.274	23	9	.289	79	-7	+0	-6	+3	+8	-0.2
2043	37	MLB	OAK	229	205	43	7	1	4	20	56	2	0	0	.210	.286	.312	.599	.102	.271	24	9	.279	72	-7	+0	-7	+2	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7853	7028	1715	302	40	199	673	1474	86	125	29	.244	.318	.383	.701	.139	.281	19	9	.312	97	-24	+13	-38	+84	+223	26.2
/ 162G	—			650	582	141	25	3	16	56	122	7	10	2	.242	.316	.378	.694	.136	.280	19	9	.312	97	-2	+1	-3	+7	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	229	207	62	9	1	15	14	5	9	6	.300	.361	.353	.714	.053	.320	6	7	.325	107	+2	-1	—	—	+6	0.8
2024	18	ROK	ACL Athletics	91	83	21	2	0	6	4	0	4	1	.253	.303	.277	.580	.024	.259	4	7	.263	60	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	19	A	Stockton Ports	77	72	13	2	0	3	11	1	1	1	.181	.224	.208	.432	.028	.213	14	4	.199	11	-8	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	49	45	8	1	0	4	2	0	3	0	.178	.245	.200	.445	.022	.186	4	8	.212	21	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Fernandez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	.233/.291/.333	.101	.281	2	2	19%	7%	75	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Tyrone Taylor 2014 · A	20	49→52	41→60	48→55	44	.237/.284/.344	.107	.273	8	12	16%	5%	74	-0.1	.234/.276/.330	.096	.273	6	12	16%	5%	67	-0.5	.239/.297/.453	.213	.275	26	12	23%	6%	106	+1.2
●Vaughn Grissom 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→50	51→55	44	.214/.271/.302	.088	.272	7	6	23%	6%	58	-1.2	.265/.329/.388	.123	.318	11	15	19%	7%	105	+2.1	.283/.348/.417	.134	.334	12	17	18%	7%	116	+2.4
●Jonathan Schoop 2012 · A	20	47→56	41→60	46→45	44	.230/.273/.331	.101	.268	9	7	18%	5%	66	-0.6	.226/.273/.351	.125	.274	14	5	23%	5%	72	-0.2	.276/.314/.469	.194	.320	25	1	22%	4%	118	+2.8
✕Edmundo Sosa 2016 · A	20	45→50	41→55	49→50	44	.217/.269/.316	.099	.260	8	8	20%	5%	61	-1.0	.228/.265/.309	.081	.295	6	6	24%	4%	56	-1.3	.254/.298/.423	.169	.308	18	9	23%	4%	99	+0.8
✕Jairo Perez 2009 · A	21	47	41→50	46→50	47	.224/.299/.330	.106	.265	8	9	18%	6%	79	+0.3	.224/.291/.333	.109	.262	9	9	18%	7%	75	-0.0	.267/.323/.417	.150	.303	17	8	17%	5%	108	+1.1
✕Thairo Estrada 2017 · A	21	51→61	41→50	47→55	44	.246/.290/.344	.098	.294	9	12	20%	6%	76	+0.1	.254/.295/.350	.096	.300	8	9	18%	5%	80	+0.4	.270/.326/.420	.150	.314	17	21	19%	5%	108	+1.8
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	48→49	43→60	53→50	45	.233/.286/.344	.111	.281	10	17	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.207/.254/.310	.103	.281	9	15	28%	5%	53	-1.5	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●William Contreras 2018 · A	20	46→56	39→55	46→45	46	.221/.277/.310	.089	.276	6	4	22%	7%	63	-0.9	.219/.267/.327	.108	.291	11	2	27%	5%	63	-0.9	.274/.362/.430	.156	.327	16	6	20%	12%	121	+3.4
●Danny Jansen 2015 · A	20	44→54	41→65	46→45	51	.214/.287/.311	.097	.244	8	5	16%	8%	68	-0.5	.207/.275/.303	.096	.247	9	6	19%	7%	61	-1.0	.238/.319/.479	.241	.247	33	1	20%	9%	123	+1.5
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	.231/.300/.334	.103	.298	6	13	23%	6%	79	+0.3	.214/.266/.312	.098	.287	6	10	26%	5%	59	-1.1	.194/.236/.286	.092	.269	8	8	30%	4%	36	-0.9
●Lorenzo Cain 2006 · A	20	50→60	42→50	53→55	43	.239/.292/.353	.114	.300	8	10	22%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.297/.340	.095	.323	6	16	24%	6%	78	+0.2	.299/.370/.422	.123	.348	12	25	16%	9%	126	+3.3
●Travis d'Arnaud 2009 · A	20	42→52	43→60	47→45	40	.212/.254/.317	.105	.257	11	7	23%	4%	54	-1.4	.218/.262/.349	.131	.265	13	5	23%	5%	67	-0.5	.260/.320/.458	.198	.291	27	1	20%	7%	116	+1.5
●Brett Lawrie 2010 · AA	20	46→56	45→55	47→55	44	.228/.280/.353	.125	.279	13	12	23%	6%	75	-0.0	.252/.301/.407	.155	.311	13	18	22%	6%	98	+1.6	.264/.316/.431	.166	.317	14	20	20%	6%	106	+2.0
●Vinnie Catricala 2010 · A	21	46→56	45→55	51→45	43	.228/.278/.355	.126	.272	13	7	21%	5%	75	-0.0	.248/.304/.397	.149	.303	16	7	23%	6%	97	+1.5	.245/.302/.394	.149	.297	16	7	22%	6%	93	+1.2
●CJ Abrams 2021 · A	20	50→53	42→55	54→60	45	.242/.287/.364	.122	.283	8	14	18%	5%	80	+0.4	.247/.293/.363	.116	.305	9	25	21%	5%	83	+0.6	.248/.310/.428	.179	.287	18	35	20%	6%	104	+2.1
✕Miguel Vargas 2021 · A	21	51→52	40→55	49→50	47	.243/.298/.344	.101	.298	6	9	20%	7%	80	+0.4	.242/.304/.396	.154	.287	17	11	21%	7%	97	+1.5	.232/.307/.393	.161	.272	18	11	21%	9%	95	+1.3
●Wilson Ramos 2008 · A	20	47→57	43→55	45→30	41	.233/.274/.344	.111	.282	10	5	22%	4%	70	-0.3	.245/.283/.364	.119	.308	12	2	24%	4%	79	+0.3	.291/.339/.471	.180	.318	24	0	17%	7%	125	+2.3
●Gleyber Torres 2017 · A	20	48→54	41→60	47→50	43	.230/.287/.330	.100	.315	7	13	28%	7%	72	-0.2	.252/.314/.415	.163	.319	19	11	26%	8%	106	+2.2	.258/.343/.395	.138	.293	16	6	17%	11%	111	+2.7
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	47→56	39→45	48→50	49	.219/.288/.312	.093	.287	4	11	24%	8%	68	-0.5	.242/.304/.357	.115	.297	9	13	20%	7%	86	+0.8	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
●Starlin Castro 2009 · A	19	48→58	38→50	50	44	.228/.274/.310	.082	.276	5	10	19%	5%	61	-1.0	.270/.309/.367	.097	.317	5	15	15%	5%	90	+1.0	.292/.333/.416	.124	.331	8	18	14%	5%	106	+2.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)