Pablo Nunez — OGILVIE

Pablo NunezOF Daytona Tortugas

Age 19 L/L 5'10" / 145 lbs A HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 13 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .231 / .167

PA13

HR0

K%23

BB%8

BABIP283

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$25M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$10M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	171	140	36	6	3	0	24	16	3	11	2	257	377	343	720	86	283	9	14	327	108	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	157	104	34	4	1	1	41	6	9	16	4	327	545	413	959	87	337	4	26	442	185	+16	+2	—	—	+3	2.1
2025	18	INTL	Sydney Blue Sox	—	169	139	46	4	1	0	27	19	2	5	4	331	446	374	821	43	383	11	16	380	143	+9	-1	—	—	+4	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	171	150	29	4	2	0	14	24	3	11	2	193	275	247	522	53	225	14	8	245	52	-10	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	157	121	32	3	1	1	24	9	9	16	4	264	422	331	753	66	264	6	15	337	114	+3	+2	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	171	150	29	4	2	0	14	24	3	11	2	193	275	247	522	53	225	14	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	171	140	36	6	3	0	24	16	3	11	2	257	377	343	720	86	283	9	14	327	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	326	260	67	7	2	2	51	18	11	21	8	258	401	323	724	65	270	6	16	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	326	243	80	8	2	1	68	25	11	21	8	329	494	391	885	62	362	8	21	410	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	171	152	29	4	2	0	14	24	3	11	2	191	275	243	519	53	225	14	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	326	261	67	7	2	2	51	18	11	21	8	257	401	322	722	65	264	6	16	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	171	152	29	4	2	0	14	24	3	11	2	191	275	243	519	53	225	14	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	326	261	67	7	2	2	51	18	11	21	8	257	401	322	722	65	264	6	16	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	CIN	—	94	74	13	1	0	0	14	16	5	4	0	176	344	189	533	14	224	17	15	262	63	-4	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	CIN	—	31	23	6	1	0	0	6	5	2	4	0	261	452	304	756	43	333	16	19	370	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A RAW	CIN	—	63	45	8	0	0	0	14	6	3	0	0	178	403	178	581		205	10	22	305	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	CIN	0%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	167	231	167	397		280	23	8	290	83	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	CIN	—	107	86	15	1	0	0	15	19	5	4	0	174	330	186	516	12	224	18	14	265	66	-4	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	245	211	50	8	2	3	27	48	5	6	1	237	337	336	674	100	284	20	11	302	90	-3	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.2
2028	21	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	367	316	74	12	2	5	40	71	8	9	2	234	335	332	667	98	286	19	11	309	95	-2	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.5
2029	22	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	454	392	93	15	3	7	49	88	10	11	2	237	337	344	681	107	287	19	11	314	99	-1	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.8
2030	23	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	511	440	106	17	3	9	55	98	11	12	2	241	340	355	694	114	288	19	11	317	101	+1	+2	+0	-3	+11	1.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	548	472	115	19	3	10	59	105	12	13	3	244	343	360	703	117	289	19	11	320	102	+2	+1	+0	-3	+12	1.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	569	490	121	20	4	11	62	109	12	14	3	247	346	371	717	124	289	19	11	321	103	+2	+2	+0	-3	+12	1.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	580	500	122	20	4	11	63	111	12	14	3	244	343	366	709	122	289	19	11	321	104	+3	+2	+0	-3	+13	1.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	582	501	122	20	4	11	64	111	12	14	3	244	343	365	708	122	289	19	11	322	104	+3	+2	+0	-3	+13	1.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	579	498	121	20	3	11	64	112	12	14	3	243	343	361	705	118	288	19	11	321	103	+2	+2	-1	-3	+13	1.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	570	490	118	19	3	11	63	111	12	13	3	241	342	359	701	118	288	19	11	319	102	+1	+1	-1	-3	+12	1.0
2037	30	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	560	481	114	18	3	10	62	110	12	13	2	237	339	349	688	112	287	20	11	316	100	-0	+2	-2	-3	+12	0.9
2038	31	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	546	469	110	17	3	9	61	109	11	12	2	235	336	341	678	107	284	20	11	312	97	-2	+2	-3	-3	+12	0.6
2039	32	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	528	453	104	16	3	8	59	108	11	11	2	230	333	331	664	102	282	20	11	306	94	-4	+1	-4	-3	+11	0.2
2040	33	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	498	430	95	14	2	7	55	104	10	10	2	221	323	312	635	91	278	21	11	300	89	-6	+1	-4	-3	+11	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	84	73	18	3	1	1	9	16	2	2	0	247	345	356	701	110	287	19	11	289	90	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	178	153	37	6	1	3	19	35	4	4	1	242	341	353	694	111	289	20	11	297	95	-1	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	246	212	52	9	2	4	27	48	5	6	1	245	344	363	707	118	290	20	11	303	99	-0	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	289	250	62	10	2	6	31	56	6	7	1	248	345	376	721	128	291	19	11	306	101	+0	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.6
2031	24	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	310	267	66	11	2	6	33	59	7	8	1	247	345	371	716	124	292	19	11	309	102	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	322	277	69	11	2	7	35	61	7	8	2	249	348	379	727	130	292	19	11	310	103	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	328	282	70	11	2	7	36	63	7	8	2	248	348	376	724	128	292	19	11	310	104	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	323	278	69	11	2	7	35	62	7	8	2	248	347	378	725	129	292	19	11	311	104	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	318	273	67	11	2	6	35	61	7	8	1	245	346	366	712	121	291	19	11	310	103	+1	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.7
2036	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	305	262	64	10	2	6	34	59	6	7	1	244	344	366	711	122	291	19	11	308	102	+1	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.6
2037	30	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	295	254	62	10	2	6	33	58	6	7	1	244	345	370	715	126	289	20	11	305	100	-0	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.5
2038	31	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	285	245	57	9	1	5	32	57	6	6	1	233	336	339	674	106	287	20	11	301	97	-1	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.3
2039	32	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	274	236	55	9	1	5	30	56	6	6	1	233	335	343	678	110	284	20	11	295	94	-2	+1	-2	-2	+6	0.1
2040	33	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	279	240	55	8	1	5	31	58	6	5	1	229	332	333	665	104	281	21	11	289	89	-4	+1	-2	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3836	3302	803	129	23	74	420	749	82	90	16	243	343	363	706	120	292	20	11	304	99	-2	+12	-8	-23	+83	6.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	560	137	22	4	13	71	127	14	15	3	245	344	368	712	123	293	20	11	304	99	-0	+2	-1	-4	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7647	6565	1563	246	46	125	849	1440	164	198	43	238	340	347	687	109	285	19	11	314	99	-5	+20	-15	-43	+155	11.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	133	21	4	11	72	122	14	17	4	238	340	349	689	111	285	19	11	314	99	-0	+2	-1	-4	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Grégor Blancolast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,301 PA	5.0	3,301	26	120	256	340	350	-9	-5	7.7	8.5
/162	664	5	24	-1.8	-1.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#4Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.0	3,982	68	92	240	336	352	-24	+0	9.2	7.8
/162	664	11	15	-4.0	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#5Alejandro De Azalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,819 PA	4.2	2,819	51	89	259	325	396	-6	-12	7.0	7.2
/162	664	12	21	-1.4	-2.8	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pablo Nunez (OGILVIE)	19	60	20	60	60	222/325/290	69	280	1	4	20%	11%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	250/296/311	61	297	1	19	15%	6%	73	-0.6	302/361/382	79	347	4	36	13%	8%	110	+1.8
✕L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	52	233/301/304	71	285	4	11	19%	9%	74	-0.6	238/285/305	67	306	4	12	22%	6%	68	-1.0	274/333/360	86	328	5	15	17%	7%	95	+0.9
●Ben Revere 2008 · A	20	51→61	37→40	58→65	45	235/286/320	85	278	2	18	16%	5%	72	-0.7	287/332/363	76	327	2	30	12%	5%	98	+1.2	301/347/367	66	339	2	36	11%	5%	101	+1.0
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	54	218/314/294	76	289	3	19	23%	10%	78	-0.3	190/273/272	82	291	5	10	33%	10%	57	-1.8	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Cedric Hunter 2007 · A	19	55→57	37→50	53→50	54	254/323/334	79	295	3	14	14%	9%	89	+0.5	248/290/330	82	285	6	8	14%	5%	75	-0.5	242/299/392	150	263	15	9	14%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	50→58	38→45	58→60	49	232/294/325	93	280	3	14	18%	7%	76	-0.4	234/293/308	74	292	3	19	19%	6%	72	-0.7	260/317/349	89	329	5	34	21%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→53	37→40	55→45	52	227/294/304	76	279	3	16	19%	8%	72	-0.7	235/294/322	87	300	4	9	22%	7%	76	-0.4	240/296/326	86	300	4	8	20%	6%	74	-0.5
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	222/274/319	97	291	7	16	25%	6%	68	-1.0	253/326/354	101	349	8	50	27%	9%	92	+0.5
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→40	54→50	43	225/276/311	86	292	5	14	24%	6%	66	-1.1	253/298/346	93	309	6	11	19%	6%	82	+0.0	272/321/361	89	314	4	8	14%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	49→56	39→45	51→45	51	232/296/328	96	272	5	7	16%	8%	78	-0.3	222/288/298	76	282	5	5	21%	8%	68	-1.0	258/330/364	106	310	10	6	19%	9%	97	+0.8
✕Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	59→50	55	210/300/285	75	272	4	16	22%	11%	70	-0.8	230/288/322	92	306	6	11	25%	7%	74	-0.6	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
●Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	69	-0.9	218/303/296	78	282	4	15	22%	9%	74	-0.5	257/357/385	127	281	12	19	12%	12%	112	+2.1
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→54	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	72	-0.7	243/298/367	124	326	10	10	27%	7%	87	+0.4	246/302/387	142	310	12	11	24%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Luis Durango 2022 · A	19	49	38→30	54→65	43	230/293/302	72	309	5	25	26%	6%	72	-0.7	209/284/263	54	281	2	28	24%	7%	59	-1.6	251/307/296	45	331	0	54	22%	4%	70	-0.3
●Alex Verdugo 2015 · A	19	53→58	40→50	56→45	48	252/304/355	103	287	6	11	15%	6%	86	+0.3	254/291/360	106	291	9	7	16%	5%	83	+0.1	288/348/443	155	325	15	7	16%	8%	119	+1.8
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	50→58	37→45	50	49	234/297/309	75	303	3	13	23%	8%	74	-0.6	243/310/336	93	291	7	13	18%	9%	85	+0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
●Brice Turang 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→50	53→60	49	216/286/282	66	296	3	14	26%	9%	64	-1.3	213/285/281	68	287	4	16	25%	9%	63	-1.3	266/344/401	135	328	13	29	21%	10%	110	+2.1
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	87	+0.4	246/316/336	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	88	+0.4	234/303/348	114	293	12	10	23%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	51	37→40	46→50	53	240/305/319	80	282	3	10	16%	8%	79	-0.2	208/265/274	66	271	2	6	22%	7%	53	-2.1	181/234/228	47	241	0	2	23%	6%	30	-0.9
●Andrés Giménez 2018 · A	19	51→60	39→50	48→55	48	240/307/330	90	287	6	11	18%	6%	83	+0.1	233/289/339	106	300	7	23	24%	5%	78	-0.3	260/325/413	154	312	16	25	21%	5%	105	+1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps