Pablo Nunez — OGILVIE

Pablo NunezOF Daytona Tortugas

Age 19 L/L 5'10" / 145 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 62 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .303 / .238

PA62

HR0

K%19

BB%11

BABIP258

ISO37

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+1.6	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+1.4	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$19M		$43M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	171	150	29	4	2	0	14	24	3	11	2	193	275	247	522	53	225	14	8	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	171	140	36	6	3	0	24	16	3	11	2	257	377	343	720	86	283	9	14	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	INTL	2 teams	—	326	262	67	6	2	2	49	18	11	21	8	256	394	317	711	61	267	6	15	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	INTL	2 teams	—	326	243	80	8	2	1	68	25	11	21	8	329	494	391	885	62	362	8	21	410	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	CIN	—	94	74	13	1	0	0	14	16	5	4	0	176	344	189	533	14	224	17	15	262	58	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
YTD	19	A	CIN	—	94	68	14	1	0	0	20	11	5	4	0	206	419	221	640	15	246	12	21	326	108	+1	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.4
ROS	19	A	CIN	0%	62	54	11	2	0	0	7	12	1	2	0	201	303	238	541	37	281	19	11	289	79	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.0
ROS	19	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	273	67	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	A	CIN	—	94	75	13	1	0	0	14	16	5	4	0	173	344	187	531	13	220	17	15	262	58	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
TOT	19	A	CIN	—	156	128	24	3	0	0	21	28	6	6	0	187	328	210	537	23	238	18	13	272	67	-6	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CIN	34%	245	212	50	8	2	3	26	49	5	6	1	236	333	335	668	99	285	20	11	300	88	-3	+1	+0	-1	+7	0.3
2028	21	MLB	CIN	48%	367	317	74	12	2	5	39	72	8	9	2	233	332	331	664	98	286	20	11	308	94	-3	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.7
2029	22	MLB	CIN	54%	454	393	93	15	3	7	48	89	10	11	2	237	335	344	678	107	288	20	11	313	97	-1	+1	+0	-3	+13	1.0
2030	23	MLB	CIN	57%	511	441	106	17	3	9	54	100	11	12	2	240	338	354	692	113	289	20	11	316	100	-0	+2	+0	-3	+14	1.3
2031	24	MLB	CIN	57%	548	472	114	19	3	10	59	107	12	13	3	242	341	358	699	117	289	20	11	318	102	+1	+1	+0	-3	+16	1.5
2032	25	MLB	CIN	57%	569	491	120	19	4	11	61	110	12	14	3	244	342	367	709	122	289	19	11	319	103	+2	+2	+0	-3	+16	1.6
2033	26	MLB	CIN	56%	580	501	122	20	4	11	62	113	12	14	3	244	341	365	706	122	289	19	11	320	103	+2	+2	+0	-3	+16	1.7
2034	27	MLB	CIN	55%	582	502	122	20	4	11	63	113	12	14	3	243	341	365	706	122	289	19	11	320	103	+2	+2	+0	-3	+16	1.7
2035	28	MLB	CIN	55%	579	499	120	19	3	11	63	114	12	14	3	240	340	357	696	116	289	20	11	319	102	+2	+2	-1	-3	+16	1.6
2036	29	MLB	CIN	53%	570	490	117	19	3	10	63	113	12	13	3	239	340	351	691	112	288	20	11	317	101	+1	+1	-1	-3	+16	1.4
2037	30	MLB	CIN	53%	560	481	114	18	3	10	62	112	12	13	2	237	339	349	688	112	287	20	11	314	99	-1	+2	-2	-3	+16	1.2
2038	31	MLB	CIN	52%	546	470	110	17	3	9	60	111	11	12	2	234	335	340	675	106	285	20	11	310	96	-3	+2	-3	-3	+15	0.9
2027	20	MLB	CIN	34%	84	73	18	3	1	1	9	17	2	2	0	247	345	356	701	110	287	20	11	286	77	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.0
2028	21	MLB	CIN	48%	178	153	37	6	1	3	19	35	4	4	1	242	341	353	694	111	289	20	11	294	83	-3	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2029	22	MLB	CIN	54%	246	213	51	8	2	4	26	48	5	6	1	239	336	352	688	113	290	20	11	299	87	-4	+1	+0	-1	+7	0.3
2030	23	MLB	CIN	57%	289	250	61	10	2	5	31	57	6	7	1	244	341	360	701	116	291	20	11	303	90	-3	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2031	24	MLB	CIN	57%	310	267	66	11	2	6	33	60	7	8	1	247	345	371	716	124	292	19	11	305	92	-3	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.5
2032	25	MLB	CIN	57%	322	277	68	11	2	6	35	62	7	8	2	245	345	365	709	119	292	19	11	306	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.5
2033	26	MLB	CIN	56%	328	283	69	11	2	6	35	64	7	8	2	244	342	360	702	117	292	20	11	307	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.6
2034	27	MLB	CIN	55%	323	278	68	11	2	6	35	63	7	8	2	245	344	363	707	119	292	20	11	307	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.6
2035	28	MLB	CIN	55%	318	273	67	11	2	6	35	62	7	8	1	245	346	366	712	121	291	19	11	306	92	-3	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.5
2036	29	MLB	CIN	53%	305	262	64	10	2	6	34	60	6	7	1	244	344	366	711	122	290	20	11	304	91	-3	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.4
2037	30	MLB	CIN	53%	295	255	61	10	2	5	32	59	6	7	1	239	338	353	691	114	289	20	11	302	89	-4	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.3
2038	31	MLB	CIN	52%	285	246	57	9	1	5	31	58	6	6	1	232	332	337	670	106	287	20	11	298	86	-5	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3283	2831	687	111	21	59	355	645	70	79	14	243	342	359	701	117	293	20	11	303	90	-37	+10	-4	-20	+93	4.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	136	22	4	12	70	128	14	16	3	242	341	360	701	118	292	20	11	303	90	-7	+2	-1	-4	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	6670	5735	1369	215	41	109	730	1257	144	179	39	239	339	347	687	109	286	19	11	314	99	-9	+20	-7	-40	+189	15.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	559	134	21	4	11	71	122	14	17	4	240	340	351	691	111	286	19	11	314	99	-1	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	171	140	36	6	3	0	24	16	3	11	2	257	377	343	720	86	283	9	14	327	108	+2	+1	—	—	+5	0.8
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	157	104	34	4	1	1	41	6	9	16	4	327	545	413	959	87	337	4	26	442	196	+17	+2	—	—	+4	2.4
2025	18	INTL	Sydney Blue Sox	—	169	139	46	4	1	0	27	19	2	5	4	331	446	374	821	43	383	11	16	380	149	+9	-1	—	—	+5	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Grégor Blancolast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,301 PA	9	3,301	26	120	256	340	350	-9	-5	7.7	8.5
	/162	664	5	24	256	340	350	-1.8	-1.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,429	59	81	240	335	354	-21	+0	8.2	7.1
	/162	664	12	16	240	335	354	-4.0	+0.0	1.6	pk7: 6
#4Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Jose Offermanlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,767 PA	5	1,767	27	15	253	342	362	-14	-2	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	10	6	253	342	362	-5.4	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pablo Nunez (OGILVIE)	19	60	20	60	60	187/328/210	23	238	0	6	18%	13%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	52	233/301/304	71	285	4	11	19%	9%	70	-0.3	238/285/305	67	306	4	12	22%	6%	64	-0.8	278/336/369	91	334	5	15	17%	7%	97	+1.5
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	77	+0.1	246/292/306	60	294	1	19	16%	6%	66	-0.6	304/363/386	81	348	4	36	13%	8%	114	+2.3
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→58	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	73	-0.1	221/273/317	96	291	7	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
●Ben Revere 2008 · A	20	51→61	37→40	58→65	45	235/286/320	85	278	2	18	16%	5%	68	-0.5	286/330/362	76	326	2	30	12%	5%	97	+1.5	298/344/366	68	335	2	36	11%	5%	100	+1.3
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	50→58	38→45	58→60	49	232/294/325	93	280	3	14	18%	7%	73	-0.1	235/293/308	73	293	3	19	19%	6%	68	-0.5	259/317/353	94	332	5	34	22%	7%	85	+0.4
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	50→58	37→45	50	49	234/297/309	75	304	3	13	23%	8%	70	-0.3	246/314/341	95	294	8	13	18%	9%	86	+0.8	264/356/391	126	308	11	2	17%	11%	114	+2.9
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→53	37→40	55→45	52	227/294/304	76	279	3	16	19%	8%	68	-0.5	235/294/322	87	301	4	9	22%	7%	72	-0.2	239/296/325	86	300	4	8	20%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	49→53	39→45	51→45	51	232/297/329	97	272	5	7	16%	8%	76	+0.0	218/285/291	73	279	5	5	22%	8%	61	-1.0	257/332/370	113	311	11	7	20%	9%	99	+1.0
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	52	37→40	46→50	53	241/307/322	81	285	3	10	16%	8%	78	+0.2	207/265/272	65	271	2	6	22%	7%	47	-1.9	177/232/223	46	237	0	2	24%	6%	19	-1.0
●Cedric Hunter 2007 · A	19	55→59	37→55	53→50	54	254/323/334	79	295	3	14	14%	9%	88	+0.9	248/289/330	82	285	6	8	15%	5%	72	-0.2	250/305/429	179	267	20	9	15%	6%	104	+1.4
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	48→49	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/308	87	276	3	15	20%	12%	79	+0.3	223/313/311	88	314	5	21	27%	11%	79	+0.3	222/315/321	99	301	8	23	26%	12%	81	+0.2
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	49	39→45	60→65	52	227/313/330	103	311	4	16	26%	10%	83	+0.6	207/274/300	93	331	6	26	36%	7%	59	-1.1	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Magneuris Sierra 2015 · A	19	53→57	37→40	52→60	44	249/295/323	74	309	4	13	20%	6%	72	-0.2	239/271/305	66	320	3	15	25%	4%	57	-1.2	229/277/304	76	301	5	32	24%	6%	55	-0.7
●Alex Verdugo 2015 · A	19	53→58	40→50	56→45	48	252/304/355	103	287	6	11	15%	6%	85	+0.7	254/292/365	111	290	10	7	16%	5%	82	+0.5	285/346/439	154	321	16	7	16%	8%	120	+2.1
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→45	54→50	43	225/276/311	86	292	5	14	24%	6%	62	-0.9	252/298/346	94	308	6	11	19%	6%	80	+0.4	274/322/369	95	316	5	8	14%	6%	95	+1.2
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	35→30	52→60	54	219/315/281	62	294	3	16	24%	11%	72	-0.2	215/296/270	55	306	2	18	27%	9%	61	-1.0	232/319/263	31	312	0	30	23%	9%	67	-0.2
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	65	-0.7	215/298/294	79	281	4	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	259/359/388	129	285	11	20	12%	12%	115	+2.3
✕Victor Padron 2013 · A	19	46	37→30	53→55	51	217/289/294	76	266	4	10	19%	8%	63	-0.8	230/291/277	47	289	1	15	19%	8%	59	-1.1	242/307/262	20	301	0	20	18%	9%	58	-0.4
✕Miguel Chacoa 2008 · A	19	51	38→30	52→50	47	238/298/316	77	309	5	17	24%	7%	72	-0.2	235/296/294	59	278	3	14	15%	7%	66	-0.6	241/304/284	43	277	1	17	12%	7%	63	-0.3