Irvin Gonzalez

P ACL Reds

Age 21 RHP 5'10" / 150 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKCIN	16	0	25	5.04	2.70	24.6%	9.6%	—	K 16.7% · BB 12.1% · FIP 3.90
2026	20	ROKCIN	7	4	27	4.94	3.10	25.0%	12.9%	—	K 17.0% · BB 16.2% · FIP 4.37
2027PROJ	21	MLBCIN	16	0	17	5.09	5.09	19.9%	13.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBCIN	12	0	13	4.85	4.74	21.3%	11.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 95%

CompsJuan Mendez (age 22) · Tanner Cooper (age 21) · Yunior Montero (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%19.9%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%6.5%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	15	0	15	70	17	6	1	0%	1.0	16.5%	10.7%	5.8%	2.2%	5.28	4.26	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	15	0	15	70	17	6	1	0%	1.0	24.3%	8.6%	15.7%	1.4%	5.28	2.90	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	14	12	43	195	27	19	2	86%	3.1	9.4%	12.2%	-2.8%	1.4%	6.07	4.64	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	14	12	43	195	27	19	2	86%	3.1	9.4%	12.2%	-2.8%	1.4%	6.07	4.64	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	14	12	43	195	27	19	2	86%	3.1	13.8%	9.7%	4.1%	1.0%	6.07	3.77	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	16	0	25	114	28	11	1	0%	1.6	16.7%	12.1%	4.6%	1.2%	5.04	3.90	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	16	0	25	114	28	11	1	0%	1.6	16.7%	12.1%	4.6%	1.2%	5.04	3.90	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	16	0	25	114	28	11	1	0%	1.6	24.6%	9.6%	14.9%	0.9%	5.04	2.70	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	7	4	27	116	29	15	1	57%	3.9	17.0%	16.2%	0.8%	1.2%	4.94	4.37	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	7	4	27	116	29	15	1	57%	3.9	17.0%	16.2%	0.8%	1.2%	4.94	4.37	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	7	4	27	116	29	15	1	57%	3.9	25.0%	12.9%	12.1%	0.9%	4.94	3.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	CIN	16	0	17	72	14	10	2	0%	1.1	19.9%	13.4%	6.5%	2.9%	5.09	5.09	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CIN	25	0	26	109	23	13	3	0%	1.0	21.3%	11.8%	9.5%	2.9%	4.85	4.74	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	CIN	12	0	13	55	12	6	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	11.8%	9.5%	2.9%	4.85	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	54	11	6	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	11.8%	9.5%	2.9%	4.85	4.36	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	95	32	0%	1.1	21.3%	11.8%	9.5%	2.9%	4.85	4.36	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		52	16	111	495	69	64	7	31%	2.1	13.9%	12.9%	1.0%	1.4%	5.45	4.35	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	29	200	895	124	115	13	31%	2.1	13.9%	12.9%	1.0%	1.4%	5.45	4.35	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Irvin Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	19.9%	13.4%	2.9%	—	4.74	21.3%	9.5%	26	-0.35	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	90
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	87
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	83
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	82
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	82
Luis Rujano R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	21	SW	4.54	17.0%	12.3%	2.4%	.361	4.80	17.9%	-0.8%	97	+0.26	4.54	203	81
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	81
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	81
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	80
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	80
Jose Vasquez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	19	SW	4.12	21.9%	13.4%	2.1%	.359	6.49	15.6%	-10.2%	66	+2.37	4.12	123	80
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	79
Rafael Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.11 FIP	20	SW	4.11	21.8%	16.3%	1.4%	.303	5.08	15.7%	-4.4%	82	+0.97	3.42	162	79
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	79
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	79
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	79
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	78
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	78
Homer Cruz R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	21	SW	3.93	20.5%	13.7%	1.5%	.286	6.04	13.5%	-1.6%	19	+2.11	3.75	127	78
Victor Espiritu R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	14.6%	12.7%	1.8%	.294	4.04	13.5%	1.8%	60	-0.41	3.49	101	78