Jose Subero — OGILVIE

Jose SuberoSS FCL Mets

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj PA

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .254 / .261

PA57

HR0

K%35

BB%7

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	33	27	2	1	0	0	4	20	1	1	2	74	219	111	330	37	250	61	12	153	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	33	23	2	1	0	0	8	13	1	1	2	87	344	130	474	43	182	39	24	258	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	94	86	15	4	1	0	5	40	2	6	4	174	237	244	481	70	319	43	5	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	94	81	21	6	1	0	10	26	2	6	4	259	355	358	713	99	375	28	11	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	NYM	—	57	52	9	2	0	0	4	20	1	1	0	173	246	212	457	38	290	35	7	239	41	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	NYM	34%	115	104	20	4	1	1	9	39	1	2	0	192	263	279	542	87	291	34	8	251	50	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	NYM	48%	250	226	45	9	2	3	19	81	3	4	1	199	270	296	567	97	292	32	8	259	56	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2027	22	MLB	NYM	34%	40	37	6	1	0	0	3	13	0	1	0	162	225	189	414	27	291	32	8	242	43	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	NYM	48%	121	110	22	4	1	2	9	39	1	2	0	200	267	309	576	109	292	32	7	250	49	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	161	147	28	5	1	2	12	52	1	3	0	190	256	279	535	88	277	32	7	248	48	-9	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	113	20	4	8	48	210	4	12	0	191	255	278	534	88	277	32	7	248	48	-38	+2	+0	+7	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	549	495	91	20	4	4	41	200	8	14	7	184	257	265	522	81	295	36	7	240	42	-36	+0	+0	+6	+16	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	109	24	5	5	49	237	9	17	8	186	259	270	529	84	298	36	8	240	42	-43	+0	+0	+7	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	33	23	2	1	0	0	8	13	1	1	2	87	344	130	474	43	182	39	24	258	55	-2	-1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	94	81	21	6	1	0	10	26	2	6	4	259	355	358	713	99	375	28	11	324	106	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	218	2	4	196	263	288	+2	+6	-0.3	-0.1
	/162	664	7	11	196	263	288	+7.1	+18.3	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Subero (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	185/254/261	76	290	0	1	35%	7%	41	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→29	37→50	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	37	-2.7	181/253/315	134	327	17	16	46%	7%	56	-1.3	164/239/293	129	288	17	19	46%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Max George 2017 · A	21	38→36	39→45	47→55	43	183/270/267	84	278	6	10	34%	8%	50	-1.7	176/256/272	96	242	8	19	29%	7%	46	-2.0	155/243/267	112	213	11	23	32%	7%	36	-1.6
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	38	-2.6	191/272/288	97	316	8	13	39%	7%	56	-1.3	155/237/232	77	334	8	23	51%	6%	25	-1.2
✕Adam Zebrowski 2022 · A	21	44→35	39→45	49→40	38	205/266/291	86	316	5	7	35%	6%	53	-1.5	195/265/316	121	293	13	4	36%	8%	60	-1.0	184/236/312	128	274	18	2	38%	5%	44	-1.1
✕Luis Rubio 2023 · A	21	40	35→30	46→45	39	185/248/243	57	296	2	7	36%	7%	33	-2.9	189/260/250	61	284	3	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	127/221/148	21	194	0	8	31%	10%	-2	-1.3
✕Dale Burdick 2017 · A	21	38	39→45	49→50	38	178/247/265	87	298	5	7	39%	7%	40	-2.4	176/255/272	96	319	7	8	43%	9%	45	-2.1	141/235/232	91	260	8	8	44%	10%	24	-1.3
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	38→36	36→45	47→40	40	182/248/249	67	278	3	8	34%	7%	35	-2.8	175/232/242	67	239	6	4	28%	6%	27	-3.3	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Rafael Morel 2023 · A	21	41	37→40	49→50	34	187/244/260	73	318	4	9	40%	6%	36	-2.7	188/260/270	82	295	8	12	36%	7%	46	-2.0	166/245/237	72	259	8	15	37%	8%	29	-2.0
✕Yeurys Tejeda 2009 · A	21	37	38→40	51→50	36	182/239/256	74	283	6	11	36%	5%	33	-2.9	201/249/290	89	282	7	7	30%	5%	45	-2.1	175/208/266	92	228	10	4	28%	3%	20	-0.8
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	40	40→45	47→60	41	196/258/286	91	287	8	9	33%	7%	49	-1.8	189/245/281	92	306	8	24	38%	6%	41	-2.3	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/269	81	260	6	7	29%	6%	42	-2.3	199/274/280	81	291	6	6	31%	8%	55	-1.4	183/255/250	66	251	6	11	27%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	36→33	37→50	47→30	38	174/239/249	74	275	4	6	36%	6%	31	-3.0	194/253/302	108	317	9	3	39%	7%	51	-1.7	172/240/299	127	285	15	1	43%	7%	44	-1.1
✕Deivis Nadal 2023 · A	21	37	36→40	48→55	37	175/244/240	65	289	3	14	38%	6%	31	-3.0	173/255/277	104	332	9	19	46%	9%	46	-2.0	140/234/249	109	282	11	25	49%	10%	28	-1.4
✕Kadon Morton 2022 · A	21	38→41	37→45	53→55	35	164/239/242	78	335	3	14	48%	8%	30	-3.1	176/246/266	90	340	8	13	47%	7%	39	-2.5	157/229/243	86	303	9	14	48%	7%	23	-2.1
✕Adam Howard 2007 · A	21	37	35→50	50→40	38	179/229/240	61	268	2	6	32%	5%	24	-3.6	196/234/301	105	282	12	4	34%	5%	42	-2.3	184/215/296	112	252	16	2	34%	4%	30	-1.0
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Ranfy Adon 2018 · A	20	38	39→45	52→50	38	185/244/270	85	282	6	12	35%	6%	38	-2.6	208/252/318	110	358	9	11	42%	5%	53	-1.5	173/231/277	105	327	9	25	47%	5%	33	-0.6
✕Sandy Santos 2015 · A	21	38	36→50	50→55	39	184/249/247	63	264	4	12	30%	5%	35	-2.8	189/252/292	103	298	9	11	37%	7%	48	-1.9	153/218/271	119	255	13	12	44%	7%	26	-1.0