Carson Tucker — OGILVIE

Carson TuckerSS San Antonio Missions

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION310 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP298

ISO75

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 31

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT27

scouting grade only

POWER31

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	19	ROK	ACL Indians	—	25	20	3	0	0	1	5	4	0	1	1	150	320	300	620	150	133	16	20	295	86	-0	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	136	117	16	5	1	1	18	55	1	5	0	137	257	222	480	85	246	40	13	232	43	-9	+1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2023	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	108	95	19	3	0	1	11	42	2	2	0	200	296	263	559	63	346	39	10	265	66	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	25	22	3	0	0	1	3	6	0	1	1	136	240	273	513	136	112	24	12	185	11	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	136	123	10	3	0	1	12	80	1	5	0	81	169	130	299	49	223	59	9	146	-15	-19	+1	—	—	+3	-1.5
2023	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	108	99	13	2	0	1	7	61	2	2	0	131	204	182	386	51	307	56	6	168	0	-13	+0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	25	22	3	0	0	1	3	6	0	1	1	136	240	273	513	136	133	24	12	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Indians	—	25	20	3	0	0	1	5	4	0	1	1	150	320	300	620	150	133	16	20	295	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	136	123	10	3	0	1	12	80	1	5	0	81	169	130	299	49	214	59	9	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	136	117	16	5	1	1	18	55	1	5	0	137	257	222	480	85	246	40	13	232	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	108	99	13	2	0	1	7	61	2	2	0	131	204	182	386	51	324	56	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	108	95	19	3	0	1	11	42	2	2	0	200	296	263	559	63	346	39	10	265	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	25	22	3	0	0	1	3	6	0	1	1	136	240	273	513	136	112	24	12	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	136	122	10	3	0	1	12	80	1	5	0	82	169	131	300	49	223	59	9	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	108	98	13	2	0	1	7	61	2	2	0	133	204	184	387	51	307	56	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	108	98	13	2	0	1	7	61	2	2	0	133	204	184	387	51	307	56	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	SD	—	310	286	66	13	2	2	19	105	0	15	4	231	279	311	590	80	348	34	6	256	59	-15	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	SD	—	310	278	75	16	2	2	27	86	0	15	4	270	334	363	698	94	374	28	9	311	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	SD	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		301	30	10	249	55	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	SD	—	320	295	67	13	2	2	20	108	0	15	4	227	276	305	581	78	342	34	6	256	59	-16	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SD	31%	285	264	56	11	1	3	18	84	1	8	2	212	265	295	560	83	299	29	6	259	61	-13	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	SD	45%	350	322	71	14	2	5	23	101	2	9	2	220	277	323	600	102	299	29	7	266	66	-14	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	SD	49%	376	345	75	15	2	5	26	108	2	9	2	217	276	316	592	99	298	29	7	269	68	-14	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	SD	52%	391	359	78	15	2	6	27	112	2	9	2	217	276	320	596	103	298	29	7	270	69	-15	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	SD	56%	392	359	78	15	2	6	28	113	2	9	2	217	278	320	598	103	297	29	7	268	68	-15	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	SD	59%	391	358	77	15	2	5	28	114	2	8	2	215	276	310	586	95	296	29	7	266	66	-16	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.5
2027	25	MLB CTX	SD	31%	88	82	16	3	0	1	6	26	0	2	1	195	250	268	518	73	296	30	7	254	61	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	SD	45%	156	144	31	6	1	2	10	45	1	4	1	215	271	312	583	97	296	29	6	261	66	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	SD	49%	185	169	37	7	1	3	13	53	1	5	1	219	279	325	604	107	295	29	7	264	68	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	SD	52%	202	185	40	8	1	3	14	58	1	5	1	216	275	319	594	103	295	29	7	264	69	-8	+1	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	SD	56%	219	201	43	8	1	3	15	63	1	5	1	214	272	308	580	95	294	29	7	263	68	-8	+1	-1	+2	+5	-0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	SD	59%	230	211	45	9	1	3	16	67	1	5	1	213	272	308	580	95	293	29	7	260	66	-9	+1	-1	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1080	992	212	41	5	15	74	312	5	26	6	214	272	310	582	97	294	29	7	262	59	-43	+3	-2	+12	+23	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	128	25	3	9	45	188	3	16	4	214	273	312	584	97	295	29	7	262	59	-26	+2	-1	+7	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2464	2260	462	90	11	33	173	782	14	60	13	204	265	298	563	93	295	32	7	255	59	-87	+6	-4	+24	+48	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	123	24	3	9	46	206	4	16	3	206	268	302	570	96	297	32	7	255	59	-26	+2	-1	+7	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,083	15	25	218	274	317	+12	+9	0.0	0.1
/162	664	9	15	+7.1	+5.5	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carson Tucker (OGILVIE)	24	27	31	57	43	208/260/284	76	301	1	6	31%	6%	55	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	42	183/275/240	57	297	3	13	36%	8%	52	-2.2	223/279/284	61	291	3	17	23%	6%	61	-1.5	242/289/295	53	301	2	23	19%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Rand Smith 2011 · A	24	41→39	37→30	53→50	45	197/260/265	67	265	5	15	26%	7%	50	-2.3	210/272/283	73	296	5	10	28%	8%	59	-1.7	198/269/240	42	290	1	4	30%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→31	37→45	48→50	42	196/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	52	-2.2	202/269/324	122	288	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	182/251/303	121	254	14	15	33%	8%	55	-1.1
✕Oliver Marmol 2010 · A	24	37	37→40	51→55	38	177/252/249	72	262	4	15	32%	5%	45	-2.7	200/280/299	99	307	7	12	35%	7%	68	-1.0	167/267/280	114	275	8	12	38%	7%	58	-0.4
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	41	35→30	53→50	40	195/250/249	55	288	2	14	32%	6%	42	-2.9	220/280/292	72	318	3	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	229/294/291	62	333	2	11	29%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Alfredo González 2015 · A	23	42	38→30	52→45	43	203/264/285	81	271	6	9	26%	6%	56	-1.9	233/294/295	62	311	4	6	24%	7%	70	-0.9	228/291/282	54	298	4	5	23%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	49	-2.4	199/265/283	84	347	5	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	146/235/232	85	299	4	14	47%	8%	34	-0.6
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	46	208/267/277	69	268	3	8	23%	7%	55	-1.9	217/297/293	76	304	5	18	28%	8%	72	-0.7	206/303/255	49	297	2	28	28%	9%	63	-0.6
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	40	-3.0	198/251/261	63	306	3	10	34%	6%	46	-2.6	192/247/244	53	300	3	10	35%	6%	37	-1.7
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	44	185/253/266	81	273	5	13	32%	8%	48	-2.5	202/277/292	90	295	6	20	31%	9%	63	-1.3	211/276/297	86	290	7	22	28%	8%	61	-0.9
✕Michael Suiter 2016 · A	24	40→39	38→45	49→50	38	196/246/268	72	259	5	12	26%	4%	46	-2.6	213/268/307	94	293	9	10	29%	5%	63	-1.4	217/277/315	98	299	12	8	30%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	179/213/275	95	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/264/299	83	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/278	87	253	5	11	26%	6%	51	-2.2	186/241/310	124	254	15	9	32%	5%	55	-2.0	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Richard Nunez 2019 · A	24	40	36→30	47→55	46	190/265/263	73	271	3	9	29%	8%	52	-2.2	209/276/302	93	290	7	6	28%	8%	65	-1.2	196/275/293	97	250	9	3	24%	9%	61	-0.3
✕Nick Roscetti 2018 · A	24	43	36→30	50→45	38	205/239/277	72	276	3	8	26%	4%	44	-2.8	208/249/261	53	314	2	8	32%	5%	44	-2.8	230/270/266	36	318	0	8	26%	5%	51	-1.2
✕Chris Paul 2017 · A	24	41→37	38→40	52→40	36	196/243/274	79	285	5	5	32%	4%	46	-2.6	221/263/317	96	300	7	4	27%	4%	63	-1.4	232/270/335	103	304	8	2	26%	3%	67	-0.6
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	39	36→40	51→50	37	180/249/244	64	298	3	13	38%	6%	42	-2.9	204/267/282	78	290	4	12	29%	7%	57	-1.8	201/266/271	70	279	2	15	26%	6%	51	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps