Carson Tucker

SS San Antonio Missions
Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202220ALynchburg Hil…136.137/.257/.22215-6—.090/.184/.156
202321ALynchburg Hil…108.200/.296/.263125—.133/.213/.184
202624AASD310.270/.334/.36321558—.227/.275/.308
2027PROJMLE25MLBSD4.199/.256/.2730052-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB26MLBSD68.202/.260/.2841256-0.1
2029PROJ42% MLB27MLBSD106.203/.262/.2881258-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed71
Whiff%52
wRC+42
Z-Con%41
wOBA37
BB%33
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsChris Givin (age 25) · Chris Roller (age 25) · Logan Warmoth (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .256 / .273
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%6
BABIP276
ISO70
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -10.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.1-0.2272829
Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 31
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT27
scouting grade only
POWER31
scouting grade only
EYE43
scouting grade only
SPEED57
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202119 ROKACL Indians — 2520 3001 540 11 150320300620 150133 1620 295 13 — — — — — —
202220 ALynchburg Hillcats — 136117 16511 18551 50 137257222480 85246 4013 232 -6 — — — — — —
202321 ALynchburg Hillcats — 10895 19301 11422 20 200296263559 63346 3910 265 5 — — — — — —
202624 AASan Antonio Missions — 310278 751622 27860 154 270334363698 94374 289 311 58 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202119 ROK MLEACL Indians — 2522 3001 360 11 136240273513 136113 2412 187 13 — — — — — —
202220 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 136122 11311 13761 50 90184156340 66228 5610 159 -6 — — — — — —
202321 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 10898 13201 8582 20 133213184397 51305 547 176 5 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 310286 651322 191050 154 227275308583 80332 346 254 58 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEACL Indians — 2522 3001 360 11 136240273513 136133 2412 187 13 — — — — — —
202119 ROK RAWACL Indians — 2520 3001 540 11 150320300620 150133 1620 295 13 — — — — — —
202220 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 136122 11311 13761 50 90184156340 66222 5610 159 -6 — — — — — —
202220 A RAWLynchburg Hillcats — 136117 16511 18551 50 137257222480 85246 4013 232 -6 — — — — — —
202321 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 10898 13201 8582 20 133213184397 51308 547 176 5 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWLynchburg Hillcats — 10895 19301 11422 20 200296263559 63346 3910 265 5 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 310286 651322 191050 154 227275308583 80342 346 254 58 — — — — — —
202624 AA RAWSan Antonio Missions — 310278 751622 27860 154 270334363698 94374 289 311 58 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEACL Indians — 2522 3001 360 11 136240273513 136113 2412 187 13 — — — — — —
202220 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 136121 11311 13761 50 91184157341 66228 5610 159 -6 — — — — — —
202321 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 10897 13201 8582 20 134213186399 52305 547 176 5 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 310288 651322 191050 154 226275306581 80332 346 254 58 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202624 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 310288 651322 191050 154 226275306581 80332 346 254 58 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLESD 2% 360331 681423 241022 92 203260280539 77281 287 246 52 -20 +1 +0 +4 +8 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXSD 2% 44 1000 010 00 199256273530 75276 250 242 52 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLESD 31% 219201 41812 15611 51 206264290554 84282 287 252 56 -11 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.4
202927 MLB MLESD 42% 251231 481013 17701 62 207266293559 87282 287 254 58 -13 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.4
202826 MLB CTXSD 31% 6863 12201 5190 20 202260284545 82276 287 248 56 -4 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
202927 MLB CTXSD 42% 10697 20411 7301 21 203262288550 85276 287 250 58 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 174160 32612 12491 41 200260287548 87273 287 249 44 -9 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650598 1192247 451834 154 199260284544 85272 287 249 44 -33 +1 +0 +7 +14 -1.1
Career— MLE — 12351131 21543611 874296 389 190252268520 78292 357 234 44 -34 +1 +0 +7 +14 -1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650595 1142336 462263 205 192253271524 79294 357 234 44 -34 +1 +0 +7 +14 -1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AASan Antonio Missions · 310 PAwOBA .309 → .254 (−54)K% 27.7% → 33.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.74%÷1.000×1.220——33.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.71%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0126.17%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP28.65%÷1.000×0.920×0.973×1.01225.95%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.840×0.973×1.0126.89%
Triples /BIP1.04%÷1.000×0.940×0.973×1.0120.96%
Home runs /BIP1.04%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0120.84%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .309 → .254; ISO .094 → .076; BABIP .374 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ALynchburg Hillcats · 108 PAwOBA .259 → .176 (−83)K% 38.9% → 53.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.89%÷0.981×1.360——53.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.19%÷1.020×0.690—×1.0156.99%
HBP% /PA1.85%—×0.780—×1.0151.47%
Singles /BIP28.30%÷0.992×0.920×0.950×1.01525.30%
Doubles /BIP5.66%÷0.947×0.830×0.950×1.0154.78%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.982×0.910×0.950×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP1.89%÷1.017×0.800—×1.0151.51%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 96, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .259 → .176; ISO .063 → .040; BABIP .346 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ALynchburg Hillcats · 136 PAwOBA .227 → .159 (−68)K% 40.4% → 56.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA40.44%÷0.981×1.360——56.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.24%÷0.973×0.690—×1.0309.67%
HBP% /PA0.74%—×0.780—×1.0300.59%
Singles /BIP14.52%÷0.988×0.920×1.002×1.03013.95%
Doubles /BIP8.06%÷0.955×0.830×1.002×1.0307.23%
Triples /BIP1.61%÷1.150×0.910×1.002×1.0301.32%
Home runs /BIP1.61%÷1.015×0.800—×1.0301.31%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .227 → .159; ISO .085 → .054; BABIP .246 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Indians · 25 PAwOBA .289 → .187 (−102)K% 16.0% → 23.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.00%÷0.978×1.440——23.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.00%÷1.050×0.620—×1.00811.90%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷0.948×0.820—×1.00810.89%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.065×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.990×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP6.25%÷1.488×0.780—×1.0083.30%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 90, 2B 113, 3B 98, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .289 → .187; ISO .150 → .080; BABIP .133 → .113. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).