Carson Tucker — OGILVIE

Carson TuckerSS San Antonio Missions

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AA HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION215 act + 143 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .260 / .292

PA143

HR1

SB5

K%29

BB%6

BABIP296

ISO82

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 31

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT27

scouting grade only

POWER31

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	ACL Indians	—	25	22	2	0	0	0	3	6	0	1	1	91	200	91	291		125	24	12	175	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Indians	—	25	20	3	0	0	1	5	4	0	1	1	150	320	300	620	150	133	16	20	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	136	123	10	3	0	1	12	81	1	5	0	81	169	130	299	49	220	60	9	145	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	136	117	16	5	1	1	18	55	1	5	0	137	257	222	480	85	246	40	13	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	108	99	13	2	0	1	7	62	2	2	0	131	204	182	386	51	333	57	6	166	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	108	95	19	3	0	1	11	42	2	2	0	200	296	263	559	63	346	39	10	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	SD	—	215	200	48	12	1	1	11	72	0	14	1	240	280	325	605	85	359	33	5	264	60	-10	+2	+0	+2	+6	0.1
YTD	24	AA	SD	—	215	195	56	15	1	1	16	56	0	14	1	287	341	390	731	103	387	26	7	323	105	+1	+2	+0	+2	+6	1.2
ROS	24	AA	SD	2%	143	133	28	6	1	1	8	42	1	5	1	210	260	292	552	82	298	29	6	251	50	-8	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	SD	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						294	33	0	244	45	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	SD	—	218	203	48	12	1	1	11	73	0	14	1	236	276	320	596	84	353	33	5	264	60	-10	+2	+0	+2	+6	0.1
TOT	24	AA	SD	—	358	333	76	18	2	2	19	114	1	19	2	228	272	312	584	84	333	32	5	259	56	-18	+3	+0	+4	+10	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SD	31%	289	268	58	13	1	3	17	82	2	9	1	216	268	306	574	90	296	28	6	261	58	-14	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	SD	45%	353	326	72	15	2	5	22	99	2	10	1	221	274	325	599	104	296	28	6	267	63	-15	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2029	27	MLB	SD	49%	377	347	77	16	2	6	24	105	3	10	1	222	278	331	609	110	296	28	6	270	65	-15	+2	+0	+4	+11	0.1
2030	28	MLB	SD	52%	392	360	80	17	2	6	26	109	3	10	1	222	280	331	611	108	296	28	7	271	65	-15	+2	-1	+4	+11	0.1
2027	25	MLB	SD	31%	90	84	18	4	0	1	5	26	1	3	0	214	267	298	564	83	293	29	6	253	52	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	SD	45%	157	145	32	7	1	2	10	44	1	4	1	221	276	324	600	103	293	28	6	259	56	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	SD	49%	185	170	38	8	1	3	12	52	1	5	1	224	279	335	614	112	292	28	6	262	59	-9	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2030	28	MLB	SD	52%	202	186	40	8	1	3	13	56	1	5	1	215	270	317	587	102	292	28	6	262	59	-9	+1	-0	+2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	637	588	128	27	3	9	40	179	4	17	3	218	272	320	592	102	295	28	6	260	57	-31	+2	-0	+7	+18	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	131	28	3	9	41	183	4	17	3	218	273	320	593	102	297	28	6	260	57	-32	+2	-0	+7	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	1823	1678	340	72	8	23	119	586	14	52	6	203	261	296	557	94	294	32	7	250	50	-104	+8	-1	+20	+52	-2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	121	26	3	8	42	209	5	19	2	202	260	296	556	94	294	32	6	250	50	-37	+3	-0	+7	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	ACL Indians	—	25	20	3	0	0	1	5	4	0	1	1	150	320	300	620	150	133	16	20	295	84	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	136	117	16	5	1	1	18	55	1	5	0	137	257	222	480	85	246	40	13	232	36	-10	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2023	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	108	95	19	3	0	1	11	42	2	2	0	200	296	263	559	63	346	39	10	265	61	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	638	9	17	220	272	323	+7	+6	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	9	18	220	272	323	+7.1	+6.2	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carson Tucker (OGILVIE)	24	27	31	62	40	228/272/312	84	333	2	19	32%	5%	56	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	43	207/272/268	61	283	4	14	27%	7%	50	-1.7	224/273/295	71	281	4	18	21%	5%	56	-1.3	231/275/288	57	282	1	27	18%	4%	52	-0.8
✕Michael Suiter 2016 · A	24	40→38	38→40	49→50	37	196/245/270	75	262	6	12	27%	4%	39	-2.5	211/265/302	91	297	8	10	30%	5%	56	-1.3	210/270/301	91	300	10	8	32%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Eduardo Torrealba 2023 · A	24	44	39→30	54→50	45	212/266/293	81	256	6	17	20%	6%	53	-1.5	211/270/285	74	267	5	14	22%	6%	53	-1.5	206/268/255	49	259	3	15	20%	6%	43	-1.1
✕Rand Smith 2011 · A	24	41→39	36→30	53→50	46	195/260/260	66	263	4	15	26%	8%	43	-2.2	207/272/280	73	299	5	10	30%	8%	53	-1.5	186/262/225	39	288	1	4	32%	9%	32	-1.1
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	43	36→30	51→55	46	204/264/272	68	264	3	8	23%	7%	47	-1.9	214/293/289	75	298	5	18	27%	8%	65	-0.7	202/296/247	46	288	2	28	27%	8%	54	-0.6
✕Oliver Marmol 2010 · A	24	37	37→40	51→55	38	177/252/249	72	262	4	15	32%	5%	38	-2.6	200/280/300	100	309	7	12	35%	6%	63	-0.8	168/266/287	118	282	8	12	39%	7%	54	-0.3
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	39→41	38→40	54→55	42	186/251/269	83	279	5	13	33%	8%	41	-2.3	201/275/292	91	299	6	20	32%	9%	58	-1.2	205/267/297	93	281	9	23	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Casio Grider 2012 · A	24	41→40	38→40	57→55	37	195/253/281	86	296	4	20	34%	5%	45	-2.1	200/257/285	85	302	5	22	33%	5%	48	-1.9	189/247/269	80	290	5	27	34%	5%	36	-1.2
✕Maverick Handley 2022 · A	24	39	41→40	53→50	40	184/267/283	99	306	9	16	39%	8%	53	-1.5	197/288/298	101	277	10	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	191/290/281	90	261	9	10	28%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	42	35→30	53→50	40	195/250/250	55	290	2	14	32%	6%	35	-2.8	219/281/290	71	320	3	12	30%	7%	59	-1.1	227/294/286	60	334	2	11	30%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Alfredo González 2015 · A	23	42	38→40	52→45	43	203/264/285	81	271	6	9	26%	6%	50	-1.7	230/291/295	65	314	4	6	26%	7%	64	-0.8	225/288/284	59	300	4	5	25%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Wynston Sawyer 2016 · A	24	43	39→45	53→45	44	209/265/298	89	267	6	7	24%	6%	54	-1.4	221/297/324	103	288	8	6	24%	8%	76	+0.0	220/307/327	107	283	10	2	24%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Agustin Septimo 2008 · A	24	41→34	40	56→55	42	202/255/293	91	269	8	19	28%	6%	49	-1.8	204/254/291	87	284	7	14	29%	6%	47	-1.9	197/227/259	62	279	3	11	30%	4%	24	-0.8
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2013 · A	23	41	36→40	52→50	47	193/261/264	71	245	3	7	22%	7%	44	-2.1	203/279/287	84	272	6	8	26%	8%	58	-1.2	196/277/278	82	262	7	8	26%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Brantley Bell 2019 · A	24	42	37→40	52→55	38	203/250/275	72	279	5	18	28%	5%	42	-2.3	203/254/284	81	265	7	14	25%	5%	46	-2.0	185/236/257	72	252	6	15	28%	5%	29	-1.4