Nelly Taylor

OF Portland Sea Dogs

Age 24 L/L 6'0" / 180 lbs AA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #871MiLBFA 2034

ETA2029FG ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+BOS	473	.216/.358/.349	7	29	35	—	.150/.241/.234
2025	22	INTLSalt River Ra…	45	.139/.295/.139	0	7	38	—
2026	23	AABOS	380	.188/.306/.325	8	23	42	—	.158/.247/.262
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBBOS	6	.181/.265/.286	0	0	53	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	25	MLBBOS	111	.187/.271/.303	2	4	59	-0.3
2029PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBBOS	177	.191/.275/.315	3	6	63	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$3M2032Ext$5M2033Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed83

BB%77

Chase%65

ISO43

Z-Con%31

Whiff%28

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsTyler Callihan (age 24) · Jonny Butler (age 25) · Michael Siani (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .265 / .286

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%17

BABIP276

ISO102

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	41	38	11	2	1	2	3	13	0	2	1	289	341	553	894	263	391	32	7	387	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	434	369	84	24	3	6	60	106	2	31	9	228	339	358	696	130	300	24	14	317	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	473	384	83	24	3	7	81	133	4	29	12	216	358	349	707	133	306	28	17	326	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	45	36	5	0	0	0	8	19	0	7	0	139	295	139	434		278	42	18	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	380	320	60	18	1	8	51	116	4	23	5	188	306	325	631	138	261	31	13	289	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	41	39	7	1	1	1	2	18	0	2	1	179	220	333	553	154	334	44	5	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	434	387	66	17	2	5	42	152	2	31	9	171	255	264	519	93	258	35	10	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	473	419	63	16	2	5	46	186	4	29	12	150	241	234	475	84	245	39	10	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	380	336	53	15	1	6	36	141	4	23	5	158	247	262	509	104	237	37	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	475	426	74	18	3	6	44	170	2	33	10	174	254	272	527	99	269	36	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	475	407	95	26	4	8	63	119	2	33	10	233	339	376	715	143	307	25	13	323	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	518	459	70	17	3	6	50	204	4	36	12	153	242	242	484	89	252	39	10	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	518	420	88	24	3	7	89	152	4	36	12	210	353	331	684	121	305	29	17	317	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	380	336	53	15	1	6	36	141	4	23	5	158	247	262	509	104	245	37	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	380	320	60	18	1	8	51	116	4	23	5	188	306	325	631	138	261	31	13	289	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	475	426	74	18	3	6	44	170	2	33	10	174	254	272	527	99	265	36	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	518	459	70	17	3	6	50	204	4	36	12	153	242	242	484	89	245	39	10	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	380	337	53	15	1	6	36	141	4	23	5	157	247	261	508	104	237	37	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	475	426	74	18	3	6	44	170	2	33	10	174	254	272	527	99	265	36	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	518	459	70	17	3	6	50	204	4	36	12	153	242	242	484	89	245	39	10	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	380	337	53	15	1	6	36	141	4	23	5	157	247	261	508	104	237	37	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BOS	2%	380	338	60	15	2	6	36	134	3	14	4	175	259	277	536	102	265	35	9	247	53	-21	+1	-1	-2	+8	-1.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	BOS	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	181	265	286	551	105	276	33	17	253	53	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	31%	357	317	58	14	2	6	34	123	3	12	4	181	265	294	559	113	267	34	10	256	59	-17	+1	-1	-2	+8	-1.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	45%	398	355	66	15	2	8	37	135	3	13	4	185	269	306	575	121	269	34	9	262	63	-17	+1	-1	-2	+9	-1.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	BOS	49%	414	369	69	16	2	8	39	139	3	12	4	187	271	308	579	121	270	34	9	264	65	-17	+1	-1	-2	+9	-1.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	421	376	70	16	2	8	39	139	3	11	4	188	271	309	580	120	270	33	9	264	65	-18	+1	-1	-3	+9	-1.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	31%	111	99	18	5	0	2	10	38	1	4	1	187	271	303	574	116	278	34	9	262	59	-5	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	45%	177	157	30	8	1	3	17	60	1	6	2	191	275	315	590	123	280	34	10	268	63	-8	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	BOS	49%	204	181	35	9	1	4	19	68	2	6	2	193	276	317	594	124	280	33	9	270	65	-9	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	217	193	37	9	1	4	20	72	2	6	2	195	277	318	595	123	280	33	9	270	65	-9	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	709	630	120	31	3	13	66	238	6	22	7	190	274	311	585	121	279	34	9	268	53	-31	+2	-1	-4	+15	-2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	110	28	3	12	61	218	6	20	6	190	275	311	587	121	278	34	9	268	53	-28	+1	-1	-4	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3283	2922	509	123	16	53	309	1164	25	151	46	174	259	282	541	107	264	35	9	247	53	-87	+4	-4	-11	+41	-5.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	100	24	3	10	61	230	5	30	9	173	257	276	534	104	262	35	9	247	53	-30	+1	-1	-4	+14	-2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.1	715	14	21	187	267	307	-4	+0	-1.4	-0.7
/162	664	13	20	-4.0	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0
#5Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3
#6Fritz Mollwitz'13-'19 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,904 PA	2.9	1,904	1	70	242*	287*	361*	-34	-8	-5.1	-5.1
/162	664	0	24	-11.8	-2.8	-1.8	pk7: -5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nelly Taylor (OGILVIE)	24	30→38	39→47	59	44	173/257/274	101	265	5	11	35%	9%	53	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Callihan 2024 · AA	24	43	42→45	55	41	210/263/318	108	284	8	18	28%	6%	63	-1.3	219/281/337	118	311	12	21	31%	7%	75	-0.5	213/281/334	121	303	14	24	32%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Jonny Butler 2024 · AA	25	41→33	44→50	61→55	41	203/266/328	125	283	11	21	32%	7%	68	-1.0	188/263/297	109	256	9	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	164/247/265	101	220	7	12	27%	9%	44	-1.4
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	38→45	39→45	55→60	43	187/258/272	85	276	7	25	33%	8%	52	-2.2	210/281/311	101	279	9	30	26%	8%	69	-0.9	211/284/306	95	276	9	33	25%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Oliver Dunn 2022 · AA	24	39→46	44→45	53→55	46	188/273/305	116	293	11	14	37%	10%	65	-1.2	220/303/367	147	343	14	14	36%	10%	91	+0.6	203/286/331	129	310	11	20	35%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Danny Payne 2011 · A	25	39→41	41→45	55→50	48	190/277/293	103	282	8	19	33%	10%	64	-1.3	198/279/320	122	314	11	14	37%	10%	71	-0.8	175/269/315	140	286	13	11	40%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA	25	40→41	43→45	54→55	43	199/264/310	111	274	10	17	30%	7%	62	-1.4	205/268/307	102	282	8	19	28%	7%	63	-1.3	191/255/287	97	258	7	25	27%	7%	51	-1.7
✕Duke Ellis 2022 · A	24	37→47	38→40	55→80	36	182/235/256	74	279	7	24	36%	6%	39	-3.1	208/267/293	85	315	8	43	34%	6%	59	-1.6	238/288/332	95	331	8	94	29%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA	24	43	43→50	55	42	201/276/319	118	316	10	19	37%	8%	70	-0.9	201/292/340	139	322	14	23	38%	11%	80	-0.1	193/290/335	142	306	15	26	38%	11%	76	-0.4
✕Donta' Williams 2024 · AA	25	39→34	40	52→55	46	188/278/281	93	282	7	22	33%	9%	62	-1.4	189/266/267	78	286	5	16	33%	8%	54	-2.0	165/243/216	51	252	1	15	32%	8%	31	-1.1
✕Max Ferguson 2024 · A	24	37→35	40	61→60	47	178/265/267	89	273	7	30	35%	10%	54	-2.0	184/259/278	94	263	9	26	31%	9%	54	-2.0	179/256/271	92	242	11	27	29%	9%	48	-1.7
✕Jared Mitchell 2014 · AAA	25	37→46	42→45	54→55	39	174/253/285	110	308	9	17	43%	8%	53	-2.1	198/271/311	113	325	12	17	39%	8%	66	-1.1	193/269/309	116	311	13	17	39%	8%	62	-1.0
✕Gavin Cross 2024 · A	23	37→40	47→50	55	42	190/264/327	138	277	14	18	35%	8%	68	-1.0	203/255/336	133	283	15	23	32%	6%	65	-1.2	200/247/333	133	277	16	26	33%	5%	59	-1.3
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA	24	40	44→50	55→60	37	197/257/316	119	307	11	20	38%	6%	61	-1.5	204/272/327	123	301	11	26	34%	7%	70	-0.9	195/271/326	131	284	11	34	33%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Phillip Sikes 2024 · AA	25	38→37	44→45	58→55	39	190/260/306	116	291	11	27	37%	7%	60	-1.6	192/259/305	113	293	12	21	37%	6%	60	-1.6	176/247/286	110	265	13	20	37%	6%	49	-1.2
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	37	41→45	54→65	34	178/235/270	92	300	9	24	42%	6%	42	-2.9	219/296/330	111	331	12	25	34%	9%	80	-0.2	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Corey Ray 2019 · AA	24	39→37	47→50	55	36	194/250/333	139	305	14	22	39%	6%	63	-1.4	196/250/328	132	320	14	15	41%	6%	61	-1.5	170/215/299	128	268	15	12	41%	5%	39	-1.3
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	38	39→45	60→55	35	183/230/277	93	286	5	18	36%	5%	41	-3.0	202/245/291	89	293	6	17	31%	5%	50	-2.3	206/229/274	68	271	5	26	26%	2%	36	-0.8
✕Nelson Ward 2017 · AA	24	44→48	40	54→50	43	210/273/306	96	295	7	18	30%	7%	65	-1.2	217/277/297	80	314	5	15	30%	7%	63	-1.3	224/280/273	49	335	2	12	31%	6%	55	-1.0
✕Grant Witherspoon 2021 · A	24	39→46	40→50	52→50	40	194/244/287	93	272	8	13	31%	6%	49	-2.4	217/271/362	145	296	17	13	31%	7%	77	-0.3	212/271/360	149	286	18	14	32%	7%	74	-0.4

Nelly Taylor

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps