Nelly TaylorOF
Portland Sea Dogs
Age 23
L/L
6'0" / 180 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†24
AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .258 / .283
PA320
HR5
SB11
K%37
BB%9
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
35→35
SPD
55→55
EYE
52↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.9peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-12M | $-35M | -$23M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$23M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$23M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | 2 teams | 475 | 431 | 75 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 174 | 2 | 33 | 10 | .174 | .246 | .278 | .524 | .104 | .269 | 37 | 8 | .231 | 35 | -35 | +3 | +0 | -3 | +13 | -2.2 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | 518 | 459 | 70 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 200 | 4 | 36 | 12 | .153 | .242 | .242 | .484 | .089 | .248 | 39 | 10 | .221 | 27 | -43 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -2.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 50 | 46 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .065 | .122 | .087 | .209 | .022 | .150 | 54 | 4 | .121 | -49 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | BOS | 270 | 243 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 106 | 2 | 9 | 3 | .165 | .243 | .263 | .506 | .099 | .268 | 39 | 9 | .235 | 38 | -19 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -1.3 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | BOS | 320 | 289 | 43 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 133 | 3 | 11 | 3 | .149 | .224 | .235 | .459 | .087 | .253 | 42 | 8 | .217 | 24 | -27 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -2.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 11% | BOS | 524 | 467 | 84 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 48 | 166 | 4 | 16 | 5 | .180 | .262 | .289 | .551 | .109 | .254 | 32 | 9 | .255 | 53 | -28 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -1.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 26% | BOS | 554 | 492 | 93 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 52 | 171 | 5 | 16 | 5 | .189 | .273 | .311 | .584 | .122 | .258 | 31 | 9 | .263 | 60 | -25 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +16 | -1.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 44% | BOS | 571 | 507 | 97 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 54 | 174 | 5 | 15 | 4 | .191 | .276 | .318 | .593 | .126 | .260 | 30 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -24 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +16 | -1.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 59% | BOS | 576 | 511 | 98 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 55 | 175 | 5 | 14 | 4 | .192 | .277 | .317 | .594 | .125 | .261 | 30 | 10 | .270 | 64 | -23 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +16 | -0.9 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 69% | BOS | 575 | 510 | 98 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 55 | 176 | 5 | 13 | 4 | .192 | .277 | .318 | .595 | .125 | .260 | 31 | 10 | .268 | 64 | -24 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +16 | -1.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 86% | BOS | 568 | 503 | 95 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 55 | 175 | 5 | 12 | 3 | .189 | .275 | .310 | .585 | .121 | .259 | 31 | 10 | .266 | 62 | -24 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +16 | -1.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 559 | 495 | 92 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 54 | 174 | 5 | 11 | 3 | .186 | .273 | .303 | .576 | .117 | .258 | 31 | 10 | .263 | 60 | -25 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +16 | -1.4 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 546 | 484 | 88 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 53 | 172 | 4 | 9 | 2 | .182 | .268 | .293 | .561 | .112 | .256 | 32 | 10 | .259 | 57 | -27 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +15 | -1.7 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 528 | 468 | 84 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 51 | 170 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .179 | .266 | .286 | .552 | .107 | .254 | 32 | 10 | .255 | 53 | -28 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +15 | -1.9 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 499 | 444 | 77 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 48 | 164 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .173 | .260 | .275 | .535 | .101 | .252 | 33 | 10 | .250 | 49 | -29 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +14 | -2.1 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 452 | 403 | 69 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 152 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .171 | .256 | .270 | .527 | .099 | .250 | 34 | 10 | .243 | 44 | -28 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +13 | -2.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7215 | 6417 | 1160 | 265 | 33 | 130 | 680 | 2349 | 57 | 205 | 57 | .181 | .265 | .293 | .558 | .112 | .259 | 33 | 9 | .255 | 53 | -381 | +18 | -20 | -43 | +204 | -22.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 578 | 105 | 24 | 3 | 12 | 61 | 212 | 5 | 18 | 5 | .182 | .266 | .296 | .561 | .114 | .260 | 33 | 9 | .255 | 53 | -34 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +18 | -2.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 41 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .289 | .341 | .553 | .894 | .263 | .391 | 32 | 7 | .387 | 154 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | 434 | 369 | 84 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 60 | 106 | 2 | 31 | 9 | .228 | .339 | .358 | .696 | .130 | .300 | 24 | 14 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +3 | — | — | +12 | 1.6 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 473 | 384 | 83 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 81 | 133 | 4 | 29 | 12 | .216 | .358 | .349 | .707 | .133 | .306 | 28 | 17 | .326 | 107 | +4 | +1 | — | — | +13 | 1.9 |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | 45 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 0 | .139 | .295 | .139 | .434 | .000 | .278 | 42 | 18 | .225 | 30 | -4 | +1 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Nelly Taylor (OGILVIE) | 23 | 30 | 35 | 55 | 60 | .177/.258/.283 | .106 | .279 | 5 | 10 | 37% | 9% | 49 | -0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Izzy Wilson 2021 · A |
23 | 39→32 | 41→50 | 52→55 | 38 | .182/.249/.280 | .098 | .312 | 9 | 15 | 42% | 8% | 44 | -2.1 | .202/.266/.350 | .148 | .304 | 19 | 21 | 38% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .188/.253/.344 | .156 | .267 | 22 | 25 | 37% | 8% | 59 | -0.6 |
|
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A |
23 | 38→41 | 41→45 | 53→55 | 41 | .189/.248/.285 | .096 | .268 | 9 | 16 | 32% | 7% | 44 | -2.1 | .197/.260/.311 | .114 | .269 | 10 | 17 | 29% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .193/.260/.305 | .112 | .262 | 10 | 19 | 29% | 7% | 52 | -1.2 |
|
✕Estee Harris 2008 · A |
23 | 35→30 | 41→50 | 49→50 | 36 | .178/.225/.274 | .096 | .274 | 9 | 13 | 38% | 6% | 31 | -3.0 | .215/.262/.336 | .121 | .370 | 12 | 12 | 42% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .212/.254/.349 | .137 | .373 | 14 | 14 | 45% | 4% | 59 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2021 · AA |
23 | 42 | 40 | 50 | 50 | .204/.287/.297 | .093 | .275 | 8 | 18 | 27% | 10% | 64 | -0.8 | .198/.261/.293 | .095 | .307 | 9 | 11 | 36% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .146/.208/.211 | .065 | .238 | 7 | 8 | 40% | 6% | 5 | -1.2 |
|
✕Brian Pointer 2015 · A |
23 | 39→41 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 40 | .192/.266/.307 | .115 | .289 | 11 | 13 | 36% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .214/.286/.346 | .132 | .318 | 14 | 11 | 34% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .211/.286/.358 | .146 | .306 | 16 | 10 | 34% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A |
23 | 39→44 | 39→45 | 55→60 | 42 | .190/.257/.273 | .083 | .272 | 7 | 25 | 31% | 7% | 45 | -2.1 | .206/.276/.312 | .106 | .273 | 10 | 30 | 27% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.278/.306 | .099 | .269 | 10 | 33 | 26% | 8% | 60 | -0.8 |
|
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A |
22 | 40→33 | 41→45 | 50 | 44 | .196/.269/.293 | .097 | .285 | 8 | 12 | 32% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .202/.266/.324 | .122 | .299 | 13 | 11 | 35% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .179/.252/.298 | .118 | .265 | 14 | 11 | 36% | 8% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Aaron Knapp 2018 · A |
23 | 39→35 | 38→30 | 52→55 | 39 | .186/.249/.258 | .071 | .290 | 6 | 19 | 36% | 7% | 37 | -2.6 | .195/.273/.264 | .069 | .298 | 5 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 50 | -1.8 | .188/.276/.247 | .059 | .286 | 4 | 21 | 32% | 11% | 45 | -1.2 |
|
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA |
23 | 35 | 41→45 | 54→55 | 54 | .169/.297/.268 | .099 | .266 | 8 | 23 | 35% | 14% | 64 | -0.8 | .189/.306/.297 | .108 | .297 | 8 | 20 | 34% | 13% | 74 | -0.1 | .191/.310/.302 | .111 | .299 | 9 | 21 | 34% | 12% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Brenden Webb 2013 · A |
23 | 39→37 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 45 | .187/.275/.304 | .117 | .294 | 11 | 10 | 37% | 10% | 62 | -0.9 | .180/.248/.290 | .110 | .299 | 11 | 10 | 41% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .166/.220/.264 | .098 | .274 | 10 | 10 | 42% | 6% | 25 | -2.2 |
|
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A |
24 | 39→33 | 44→40 | 54→55 | 51 | .190/.295/.305 | .115 | .292 | 12 | 19 | 36% | 12% | 71 | -0.3 | .186/.265/.277 | .091 | .307 | 8 | 19 | 38% | 9% | 50 | -1.7 | .159/.224/.221 | .061 | .275 | 5 | 22 | 41% | 7% | 15 | -2.3 |
|
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA |
23 | 40→43 | 42→50 | 50 | 42 | .194/.271/.297 | .103 | .298 | 9 | 12 | 36% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .202/.279/.332 | .130 | .296 | 12 | 11 | 33% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .195/.272/.328 | .134 | .276 | 13 | 10 | 32% | 8% | 64 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A |
23 | 39→34 | 44→45 | 50 | 45 | .197/.277/.309 | .111 | .273 | 12 | 10 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .192/.266/.304 | .112 | .282 | 10 | 13 | 33% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .182/.255/.299 | .117 | .273 | 8 | 16 | 34% | 8% | 48 | -0.9 |
|
✕Donta' Williams 2023 · A |
24 | 43→32 | 39→40 | 56→55 | 47 | .203/.285/.294 | .091 | .294 | 6 | 20 | 30% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .186/.272/.271 | .085 | .286 | 6 | 20 | 34% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .163/.253/.236 | .073 | .255 | 5 | 20 | 35% | 9% | 33 | -1.2 |
|
✕Travis Swaggerty 2021 · A |
23 | 43→45 | 40→45 | 50→55 | 44 | .206/.271/.299 | .093 | .295 | 8 | 14 | 31% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .214/.279/.329 | .115 | .301 | 10 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .209/.277/.321 | .112 | .309 | 8 | 20 | 32% | 8% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A |
24 | 40→29 | 42→45 | 51→55 | 40 | .197/.258/.305 | .108 | .275 | 10 | 12 | 31% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .182/.252/.277 | .095 | .281 | 8 | 12 | 36% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .181/.273/.314 | .132 | .266 | 14 | 28 | 35% | 10% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA |
23 | 39 | 44→45 | 51→55 | 40 | .195/.268/.308 | .113 | .290 | 12 | 13 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.270/.300 | .100 | .307 | 9 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .166/.253/.240 | .073 | .276 | 4 | 11 | 37% | 10% | 33 | -0.6 |
|
✕Chris Grayson 2013 · A |
23 | 40→36 | 43→45 | 56→50 | 42 | .198/.257/.312 | .114 | .266 | 9 | 19 | 29% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .194/.257/.292 | .098 | .263 | 8 | 16 | 28% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .185/.252/.273 | .088 | .251 | 6 | 15 | 27% | 7% | 42 | -1.5 |
|
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A |
23 | 40 | 40 | 54→65 | 40 | .192/.269/.282 | .090 | .299 | 8 | 28 | 36% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .216/.284/.315 | .099 | .302 | 7 | 27 | 29% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .225/.290/.320 | .095 | .304 | 4 | 32 | 25% | 7% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A |
23 | 44→33 | 40→50 | 50→55 | 42 | .208/.269/.298 | .090 | .302 | 7 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .200/.265/.310 | .110 | .283 | 9 | 15 | 31% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .175/.253/.291 | .117 | .236 | 10 | 18 | 29% | 8% | 46 | -1.1 |