Nelly Taylor — OGILVIE

Nelly TaylorOF Portland Sea Dogs

Age 23 L/L 6'0" / 180 lbs AA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION380 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP254

ISO95

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	41	38	11	2	1	2	3	13	0	2	1	289	341	553	894	263	391	32	7	387	148	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	434	369	84	24	3	6	60	106	2	31	9	228	339	358	696	130	300	24	14	317	101	+0	+3	—	—	+9	1.3
2025	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	473	384	83	24	3	7	81	133	4	29	12	216	358	349	707	133	306	28	17	326	107	+4	+1	—	—	+10	1.5
2025	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	45	36	5	0	0	0	8	19	0	7	0	139	295	139	434		278	42	18	225	38	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	41	39	8	1	1	1	2	18	0	2	1	205	244	359	603	154	343	44	5	269	68	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	434	392	65	16	2	5	37	159	2	31	9	166	241	255	496	89	257	37	9	226	39	-31	+3	—	—	+9	-2.0
2025	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	473	415	63	16	2	5	50	191	4	29	12	152	249	236	486	84	255	40	11	224	38	-35	+1	—	—	+10	-2.4
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	475	431	73	18	3	6	39	177	2	33	10	169	242	267	508	97	267	37	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	475	407	95	26	4	8	63	119	2	33	10	233	339	376	715	143	307	25	13	323	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	518	455	69	17	3	5	54	209	4	36	12	152	248	235	483	84	260	40	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	518	420	88	24	3	7	89	152	4	36	12	210	353	331	684	121	305	29	17	317	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	475	431	73	18	3	6	39	177	2	33	10	169	242	267	508	97	264	37	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	518	455	69	17	3	5	54	209	4	36	12	152	248	235	483	84	255	40	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	475	431	73	18	3	6	39	177	2	33	10	169	242	267	508	97	264	37	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	518	455	69	17	3	5	54	209	4	36	12	152	248	235	483	84	255	40	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	BOS	—	380	337	51	15	1	6	35	141	4	23	5	151	239	255	495	104	233	37	9	223	37	-28	+3	+0	-2	+8	-2.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA RAW	BOS	—	380	320	60	18	1	8	51	116	4	23	5	188	306	325	631	138	261	31	13	289	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	BOS	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		248	33	11	234	45	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	BOS	—	389	345	52	15	1	6	36	144	4	23	5	151	239	252	491	101	232	37	9	223	37	-29	+3	+0	-2	+8	-2.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BOS	31%	513	456	79	20	2	9	48	178	4	19	5	173	258	285	543	112	254	35	9	248	54	-28	+2	+0	-3	+11	-1.9
2027	24	MLB CTX	BOS	31%	159	142	25	6	1	3	15	55	1	6	2	176	259	296	555	120	260	35	9	244	54	-9	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	159	142	25	6	1	3	15	55	1	6	2	176	259	296	555	120	259	35	9	244	45	-9	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	102	25	4	12	61	225	4	25	8	176	259	294	553	119	259	35	9	244	45	-36	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1515	1350	222	55	8	20	142	567	10	88	27	164	249	261	510	97	261	37	9	234	45	-29	+2	+0	-3	+11	-1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	96	24	3	9	61	243	4	38	12	166	250	264	514	98	262	37	9	234	45	-36	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nelly Taylor (OGILVIE)	23	30	35	55	60	159/245/257	98	248	4	15	36%	9%	45	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron Knapp 2018 · A	23	40→37	37→30	52→55	40	188/256/257	69	300	5	19	36%	8%	47	-2.5	199/278/268	69	304	4	19	32%	10%	58	-1.7	193/282/251	58	291	3	21	31%	11%	54	-1.2
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	194/259/307	113	262	9	19	28%	7%	58	-1.3
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	37→34	39→40	63→60	52	176/280/265	89	267	6	32	33%	12%	60	-1.6	181/266/271	90	273	8	28	33%	10%	55	-2.0	178/257/269	91	255	10	28	32%	9%	48	-1.6
✕Izzy Wilson 2021 · A	23	40→33	41→45	52→55	38	184/254/281	97	322	9	15	42%	8%	52	-2.2	203/266/343	140	298	17	21	36%	8%	71	-0.8	189/253/333	145	264	20	25	35%	8%	61	-0.9
✕Chris Grayson 2013 · A	23	40→38	43→45	56→50	42	200/263/314	115	273	9	20	29%	7%	63	-1.4	197/262/295	98	268	7	15	28%	7%	58	-1.7	187/254/275	87	252	6	15	27%	7%	49	-1.6
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	38→45	39→40	55→60	42	185/255/269	84	272	7	25	33%	8%	50	-2.3	206/277/304	98	273	9	30	26%	8%	65	-1.2	207/279/299	92	270	8	33	25%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Donta' Williams 2023 · A	24	44→33	39→40	56→55	48	204/291/294	90	301	5	21	31%	10%	70	-0.9	186/272/268	82	284	5	20	33%	9%	57	-1.8	164/254/234	71	252	5	20	34%	9%	40	-1.3
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→32	40→45	50	44	198/272/292	93	297	7	13	34%	8%	61	-1.5	201/266/314	113	295	12	11	34%	7%	64	-1.3	180/254/288	108	265	12	11	34%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Kyle Von Tungeln 2014 · A	23	41	38→40	55	52	195/285/277	82	271	4	20	27%	11%	63	-1.3	204/274/281	77	314	4	13	33%	8%	59	-1.6	185/253/226	41	311	0	10	37%	8%	36	-0.9
✕Willie Joe Garry Jr. 2023 · A	23	38	39→45	58→55	39	171/249/264	93	313	5	21	43%	8%	47	-2.6	187/248/296	109	316	9	21	40%	7%	53	-2.1	185/237/313	128	328	10	29	44%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	44→45	49→50	45	195/276/305	110	270	12	10	31%	8%	67	-1.1	191/265/303	112	284	10	13	34%	8%	61	-1.5	178/252/295	117	273	8	16	35%	8%	53	-1.1
✕Jeren Kendall 2019 · A	23	34→26	42→50	53→60	35	170/227/273	103	286	10	23	42%	7%	40	-3.0	172/243/312	140	311	16	22	46%	8%	56	-1.9	138/221/277	139	244	17	30	48%	9%	38	-1.6
✕Jacob Pearson 2021 · A	23	40→39	39→40	50	43	196/251/285	90	265	7	12	28%	7%	51	-2.2	189/252/285	96	262	8	15	29%	7%	52	-2.2	168/237/260	92	235	8	19	30%	7%	39	-1.2
✕Evan Chambers 2012 · A	23	38→37	43→40	47→50	47	187/278/293	106	270	10	17	32%	10%	65	-1.2	184/269/264	80	300	6	13	37%	10%	55	-2.0	146/242/188	42	259	2	14	40%	11%	28	-2.2
✕Agustin Septimo 2008 · A	24	41→34	40	56→55	42	202/255/293	91	269	8	19	28%	6%	55	-2.0	204/254/291	87	284	7	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	197/227/259	62	279	3	11	30%	4%	33	-0.8
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	41→40	54→60	55	164/295/260	96	258	8	24	35%	14%	66	-1.1	190/306/293	103	293	8	20	33%	12%	76	-0.4	190/308/293	103	292	8	21	33%	12%	74	-0.3
✕Jared Carr 2023 · A	24	41→37	37→40	47→55	40	193/265/262	69	304	5	14	36%	7%	52	-2.2	201/268/282	81	312	6	17	35%	8%	57	-1.8	189/259/267	78	294	6	24	35%	8%	49	-1.5
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→28	40	54→55	41	172/263/265	93	309	7	18	42%	9%	53	-2.1	179/260/262	83	375	6	20	48%	9%	51	-2.3	94/200/138	45	245	2	38	56%	10%	0	-1.6
✕Cody Rogers 2012 · A	23	39→41	44→45	56→50	41	195/256/313	117	263	11	16	29%	6%	60	-1.6	203/262/296	93	297	7	16	32%	6%	58	-1.7	193/253/268	75	294	4	19	34%	6%	47	-1.8
✕Shard Munroe 2019 · A	23	42	42→40	50	43	204/267/306	102	286	9	15	31%	7%	63	-1.4	191/262/288	97	295	8	11	35%	8%	57	-1.8	137/227/224	88	214	8	9	37%	10%	30	-1.4