Julio Marte

P Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 24 RHP 6'5" / 195 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	ROKDSL Astros Or…	13	2	36	1.25	1.74	33.6%	8.2%	—	K 22.8% · BB 10.3% · FIP 2.87
2024	21	AHOU	21	11	75	6.84	3.34	25.5%	11.3%	—	K 18.9% · BB 13.4% · FIP 4.29
2027PROJ	24	MLBHOU	50	0	52	4.71	4.71	21.9%	11.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBHOU	22	0	23	4.60	4.55	22.5%	10.7%	0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBHOU	33	0	35	4.54	4.51	22.7%	10.5%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsShohei Tomioka (age 25) · Danny Kirwin (age 24) · Jeff Niemann (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 106

ERA4.71

FIP4.71

K%21.9%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%10.4%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	13	2	36	146	49	12	1	15%	2.8	22.8%	10.3%	12.5%	0.7%	1.25	2.87	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	13	2	36	146	49	12	1	15%	2.8	33.6%	8.2%	25.3%	0.7%	1.25	1.74	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	21	11	75	353	90	40	6	52%	3.6	18.9%	13.4%	5.5%	2.0%	6.84	4.29	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	21	11	75	353	90	40	6	52%	3.6	18.9%	13.4%	5.5%	2.0%	6.84	4.29	—
2024	21	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	21	11	75	353	90	40	6	52%	3.6	25.5%	11.3%	14.2%	1.7%	6.84	3.34	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	HOU	50	0	52	220	48	25	7	0%	1.0	21.9%	11.5%	10.4%	3.0%	4.71	4.71	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	51	0	53	225	50	24	7	0%	1.0	22.5%	10.7%	11.8%	3.0%	4.60	4.55	0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	HOU	51	0	53	225	51	24	7	0%	1.0	22.7%	10.5%	12.2%	3.0%	4.54	4.51	+0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	HOU	50	0	52	221	50	23	7	0%	1.0	22.8%	10.5%	12.2%	3.0%	4.54	4.54	+0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	22	0	23	97	22	10	3	0%	1.0	22.5%	10.7%	11.8%	3.0%	4.60	4.55	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	HOU	33	0	35	148	34	16	4	0%	1.1	22.7%	10.5%	12.2%	3.0%	4.54	4.51	+0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	HOU	38	0	40	169	38	18	5	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.5%	12.2%	3.0%	4.54	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		94	0	98	416	94	44	12	0%	1.0	22.7%	10.5%	12.1%	3.0%	4.55	4.15	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	89	24	0%	1.1	22.7%	10.5%	12.1%	3.0%	4.55	4.15	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		34	13	111	499	100	62	8	38%	3.3	20.0%	12.5%	7.6%	1.6%	5.03	3.87	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	23	200	899	180	112	14	38%	3.3	20.0%	12.5%	7.6%	1.6%	5.03	3.87	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Julio Marte (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.71	21.9%	11.5%	3.0%	—	4.53	22.7%	12.1%	159	-0.18	—	—	—
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	85
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	83
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	83
Austin Bergner R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	24	SW	4.99	24.0%	10.9%	4.6%	.277	4.87	21.6%	10.0%	274	-0.12	4.06	464	82
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	82
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	82
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	82
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	81
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	81
Peyton Pallette R 2024 · 4.38 FIP	23	SW	4.38	20.7%	10.9%	3.0%	.309	3.59	25.9%	13.5%	119	-0.79	3.54	273	80
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	80
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	79
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	4.95	18.3%	5.2%	131	-0.32	4.34	382	79
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	79
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	78
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	78
T.J. Weir R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	24	SW	3.97	20.0%	9.1%	2.5%	.319	3.43	19.0%	9.6%	190	-0.54	3.15	349	78
David Phelps R 2012 · 3.98 FIP	25	SW	3.98	23.2%	8.7%	3.2%	.250	3.86	18.3%	10.1%	312	-0.12	2.50	672	77
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	77
Thomas Ponticelli R 2021 · 4.50 FIP	24	SW	4.50	17.2%	9.7%	3.0%	.264	5.25	15.1%	3.8%	163	+0.75	2.59	367	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	53	22.5%	10.8%	1.15	4.60
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35