Julio Marte
P
Fayetteville Woodpeckers
Age 23
RHP
6'5" / 195 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2028
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120110vR 101
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%22.5%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%12.5%
ROS IP46
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Astros Orange | 13 | 2 | 36 | 146 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 15% | 2.8 | 22.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 0.6% | 1.25 | 2.79 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Astros Orange | 13 | 2 | 36 | 146 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 15% | 2.8 | 33.6% | 8.2% | 25.3% | 0.7% | 1.25 | 1.74 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 21 | 11 | 75 | 353 | 90 | 40 | 6 | 52% | 3.6 | 18.9% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 6.84 | 4.18 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 21 | 11 | 75 | 353 | 90 | 40 | 6 | 52% | 3.6 | 25.5% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 1.7% | 6.84 | 3.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | HOU | 44 | 0 | 46 | 193 | 43 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 46 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 45 | 0 | 47 | 200 | 47 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.21 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 45 | 0 | 47 | 200 | 48 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 44 | 0 | 47 | 197 | 47 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 40 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 123 | 0 | 129 | 544 | 128 | 50 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.85 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 199 | 78 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.85 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 34 | 13 | 111 | 499 | 100 | 62 | 7 | 38% | 3.3 | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 1.4% | 5.03 | 3.78 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 23 | 200 | 899 | 180 | 112 | 13 | 38% | 3.3 | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 1.4% | 5.03 | 3.78 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Julio Marte (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.5% | 10.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.23 | 23.5% | 14.3% | 142 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 85 |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 83 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 83 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.40 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .330 | 3.82 | 25.6% | 15.0% | 145 | -0.58 | 2.52 | 275 | 83 |
| Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 82 |
| Brett Gillis R 2028 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 82 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 81 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.29 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 5.23 | 16.8% | 4.6% | 91 | +0.94 | 4.03 | 161 | 81 |
| Colin Fields R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 81 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 80 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 80 |
| Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 80 |
| Michael Santos R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.50 | 17.4% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .289 | 4.91 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 49 | +0.41 | 2.26 | 276 | 80 |
| Grant Ford R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 79 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 79 |
| Jake Christianson R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.92 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .309 | 4.78 | 16.4% | 6.1% | 105 | +0.86 | 3.92 | 188 | 79 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.60 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .239 | 5.26 | 21.3% | 3.7% | 54 | +1.66 | 3.60 | 127 | 79 |
| Adam Leverett R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.08 | 20.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | .338 | 4.11 | 13.8% | 4.8% | 154 | -0.97 | 3.26 | 376 | 79 |
| Sean Matson R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.23 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 1.3% | .267 | 2.83 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 32 | -0.40 | 2.83 | 119 | 79 |
| Peyton Pallette R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.86 | 20.7% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .309 | 3.87 | 26.0% | 13.1% | 101 | -0.99 | 3.80 | 255 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 47 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 1.11 | 4.30 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Cam Bedrosian ('21) | 6 | 45 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 3.68 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |