JD Dix

2B Hillsboro Hops

Age 21 S/R 6'2" / 180 lbs A+ HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #129MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP46ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	AARI	230	.261/.393/.335	1	19	66	—	.216/.319/.281
2025	19	ROKARI	178	.342/.429/.493	1	9	74	—	.233/.303/.340
2026	20	A+ARI	251	.251/.332/.372	3	17	54	—	.196/.260/.278
2026	20	AARI	235	.253/.383/.468	9	19	88	—	.210/.313/.375
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBARI	2	.206/.289/.319	0	0	68	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	22	MLBARI	181	.214/.297/.341	3	6	77	-0.0
2029PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBARI	275	.219/.302/.357	6	8	83	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$3M2033Arb-2$5M2034Arb-3$6M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed88

Z-Con%57

Whiff%42

Chase%40

BB%39

wRC+35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 82%

CompsDalton Pompey (age 21) · Alex Freeland (age 22) · Brainer Bonaci (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .289 / .319

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%9

BABIP304

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$6M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	230	188	49	7	2	1	38	51	3	19	4	261	393	335	728	74	350	22	17	340	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	178	152	52	12	4	1	20	34	3	9	4	342	429	493	922	151	425	19	11	403	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	251	223	56	12	3	3	26	71	1	17	4	251	332	372	704	121	353	28	10	318	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	235	190	48	10	2	9	32	53	8	19	1	253	383	468	851	216	298	23	14	372	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	230	199	43	6	2	1	27	71	3	19	4	216	319	281	600	65	314	31	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	178	159	37	8	3	1	13	51	3	9	4	233	303	340	642	107	315	29	7	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	251	230	45	9	2	2	19	96	1	17	4	196	260	278	538	83	328	38	8	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	235	200	42	8	2	7	22	72	8	19	1	210	313	375	688	165	268	31	9	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	408	358	78	14	5	1	40	122	6	28	8	218	307	293	600	75	322	30	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	408	340	101	19	6	2	58	85	6	28	8	297	408	406	814	109	385	21	14	368	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	486	430	88	18	4	9	41	168	9	36	5	205	287	328	615	123	307	35	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	486	413	104	22	5	12	58	124	9	36	5	252	356	416	773	165	327	26	12	344	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	408	359	78	14	5	1	40	122	6	28	8	217	307	292	599	75	314	30	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	486	433	88	18	4	9	41	168	9	36	5	203	287	326	613	122	299	35	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	408	359	78	14	5	1	40	122	6	28	8	217	307	292	599	75	314	30	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	486	433	88	18	4	9	41	168	9	36	5	203	287	326	613	122	299	35	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	596	529	105	20	4	9	54	194	8	20	4	200	283	306	589	106	292	33	9	269	68	-22	+2	-2	+2	+13	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	206	289	319	608	112	304	50	0	276	68	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	35%	525	465	96	18	4	10	48	166	7	17	3	207	291	330	621	122	293	32	9	282	77	-15	+2	-1	+2	+11	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	ARI	49%	567	503	107	20	4	13	52	174	7	17	3	213	296	346	643	134	294	31	9	290	83	-12	+2	-1	+2	+12	0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	612	542	117	22	4	15	57	184	8	18	3	217	300	358	658	141	295	30	9	296	87	-10	+2	-0	+2	+13	0.8
2031	25	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	627	556	121	22	4	16	58	186	8	17	3	220	303	365	667	145	295	30	9	300	89	-8	+2	-0	+2	+14	1.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	634	562	124	23	4	17	59	186	8	16	3	221	304	368	672	147	294	29	9	301	90	-7	+2	-0	+2	+14	1.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	634	562	124	23	4	17	59	187	8	16	3	220	303	365	668	145	294	29	9	300	89	-8	+2	-0	+2	+14	1.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	629	558	121	22	4	16	58	187	8	14	3	218	301	361	662	143	293	30	9	298	88	-9	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.7
2035	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	619	550	118	22	4	15	57	185	7	12	2	216	298	355	653	139	292	30	9	294	85	-11	+2	-2	+2	+13	0.5
2036	30	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	609	541	116	21	4	15	56	184	7	11	2	213	295	348	643	134	290	30	9	290	82	-13	+1	-2	+2	+13	0.2
2037	31	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	595	529	111	20	4	14	54	182	7	8	2	209	290	338	629	129	287	31	9	284	78	-15	+1	-3	+2	+13	-0.3
2038	32	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	576	513	104	19	3	12	52	179	6	6	3	204	285	326	611	122	284	31	9	277	74	-18	+0	-4	+2	+12	-0.8
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	35%	181	160	34	7	2	3	17	57	2	6	1	214	297	341	638	128	304	31	9	288	77	-5	+1	-0	+1	+4	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	ARI	49%	275	244	53	11	2	6	25	85	4	8	1	219	302	357	659	138	305	31	9	297	83	-6	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	323	286	65	13	3	8	30	97	4	9	2	223	306	368	674	145	306	30	9	302	87	-5	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	343	304	68	14	3	8	32	102	4	9	2	226	308	375	683	149	306	30	9	306	89	-5	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	353	313	71	14	3	9	33	103	4	9	2	227	309	378	687	151	305	29	9	307	90	-4	+1	-0	+1	+8	0.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	349	310	70	14	3	9	32	103	4	9	2	226	308	375	684	149	305	30	9	306	89	-4	+1	-0	+1	+8	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	344	305	68	14	3	8	32	102	4	8	1	224	306	371	677	146	304	30	9	303	88	-5	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	330	293	65	13	3	8	30	99	4	6	1	222	304	365	668	143	303	30	9	300	85	-6	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	320	284	62	13	2	7	29	97	4	6	1	219	300	357	657	138	301	30	9	296	82	-7	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	310	276	59	12	2	7	28	95	3	4	1	215	295	348	643	133	298	31	9	290	78	-8	+0	-2	+1	+7	-0.1
2038	32	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	324	289	61	12	2	7	29	101	3	4	2	210	289	336	625	126	294	31	9	282	74	-10	+0	-2	+1	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3452	3064	676	137	28	80	317	1041	40	78	16	221	302	362	664	141	304	30	9	299	82	-65	+9	-8	+12	+75	2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	127	26	5	15	60	196	8	15	3	220	303	360	663	140	303	30	9	299	82	-12	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	7841	6953	1482	275	54	175	720	2394	100	227	45	213	296	344	640	131	295	31	9	289	82	-139	+20	-16	+25	+151	4.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	123	23	4	15	60	198	8	19	4	214	297	345	642	132	294	30	9	289	82	-13	+2	-2	+2	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Frankie Crosetti'32-'48 * career totals — 15 seasons, 7,273 PA	11.0	7,273	98	113	226*	314*	363*	+73	-6	16.5	16.3
/162	664	9	10	+6.7	-0.5	1.5	pk7: 16
#2Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Alex Gonzalez'94-'06 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,528 PA	8.3	5,528	137	97	232*	290*	379*	+55	+6	8.3	10.0
/162	664	16	12	+6.6	+0.8	1.0	pk7: 12
#6Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	5.2	3,454	85	78	216	295	354	+37	+0	7.6	7.0
/162	664	16	15	+7.1	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
JD Dix (OGILVIE)	21	31→51	35→49	58→59	58	198/281/303	105	292	5	11	33%	9%	68	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	45→55	40→45	57→55	45	215/282/314	100	299	6	21	29%	8%	70	-0.9	257/316/365	108	333	7	26	23%	8%	93	+0.8	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Alex Freeland 2024 · A	22	44→48	42→45	54→55	43	207/282/308	101	319	10	22	36%	9%	69	-0.9	224/310/353	129	306	13	19	28%	10%	90	+0.6	226/317/359	132	301	13	18	27%	11%	92	+0.7
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	45→46	40→45	55→50	53	211/302/310	100	290	7	16	27%	11%	77	-0.3	227/287/348	121	312	12	11	29%	8%	80	-0.2	232/274/365	133	311	17	8	30%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2024 · A	21	39→44	40→50	52→55	44	186/271/278	93	294	7	15	36%	9%	59	-1.7	222/298/356	134	324	13	17	33%	9%	86	+0.3	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Blake Perkins 2018 · A	21	45→51	40→50	51→55	44	216/276/308	92	292	7	15	28%	7%	66	-1.1	204/272/289	85	295	7	17	31%	8%	61	-1.5	227/310/355	127	301	12	25	27%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Roman Quinn 2014 · A	21	44→54	42→45	56→65	41	216/274/320	104	292	10	26	29%	6%	68	-1.0	246/305/348	102	331	8	33	26%	7%	86	+0.3	262/322/362	100	352	7	42	26%	7%	92	+0.4
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Jonatan Clase 2022 · A	20	43→48	40→50	59→65	47	205/283/296	91	289	7	26	30%	9%	66	-1.1	211/287/356	145	315	14	39	35%	9%	82	-0.0	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	41→49	40	53→60	46	191/289/283	92	297	8	16	35%	10%	67	-1.1	200/301/282	82	297	6	18	31%	11%	71	-0.8	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	43→53	40→50	57→55	43	207/267/301	93	294	6	22	30%	7%	61	-1.5	237/294/369	132	297	12	21	23%	7%	86	+0.3	245/302/388	143	293	14	19	20%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	39→49	41→50	54→65	45	193/258/302	109	254	8	22	26%	7%	58	-1.7	195/272/314	119	297	11	25	35%	8%	67	-1.1	242/320/377	134	335	14	46	29%	9%	98	+0.7
✕Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	44→52	40→45	53→50	52	213/295/309	95	271	8	10	23%	10%	74	-0.6	224/297/348	124	275	11	8	21%	9%	84	+0.1	214/321/331	117	302	10	7	29%	13%	87	+0.3
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	40→48	42→45	54→50	51	196/289/300	104	251	9	21	24%	9%	71	-0.8	219/276/335	116	269	11	15	22%	6%	72	-0.7	216/271/322	106	262	11	16	21%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Allan Castro 2024 · A	21	42→45	42→45	52→50	47	205/277/316	111	276	7	12	27%	8%	69	-0.9	213/282/329	116	284	11	15	27%	8%	74	-0.6	212/279/324	113	274	12	17	26%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Geraldo Quintero 2023 · A	21	45→47	41→40	56→60	47	216/284/325	109	278	7	20	24%	8%	73	-0.6	213/279/301	88	280	6	26	25%	7%	66	-1.1	202/273/285	83	265	7	32	25%	7%	57	-1.2
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Alen Hanson 2014 · AA	21	49→53	45→50	56→60	43	240/288/379	139	304	9	20	24%	6%	86	+0.3	247/283/373	126	306	10	25	22%	5%	83	+0.1	253/288/390	138	302	12	30	20%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Adalberto Mondesi 2016 · AA	21	42→52	42→60	56→65	35	208/239/314	106	291	9	18	32%	4%	53	-2.1	229/263/381	152	312	16	33	31%	4%	78	-0.3	254/286/438	184	337	19	49	30%	4%	100	+0.9

JD Dix

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps