Josh Springer — OGILVIE

Josh SpringerC Hickory Crawdads

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION172 act + 114 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .282 / .293

PA114

HR1

K%17

BB%5

BABIP265

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$10M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$17M		$46M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	179	163	35	8	0	1	7	15	4	4	2	215	264	282	547	67	225	8	4	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	179	157	42	11	0	1	13	10	4	4	2	268	339	357	696	89	273	6	7	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	TEX	—	172	156	40	6	0	0	8	14	5	4	1	256	314	295	608	38	278	8	5	269	64	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
YTD	20	A	TEX	—	172	150	42	7	0	0	13	10	5	4	1	280	355	327	682	47	296	6	8	311	96	-1	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.8
ROS	20	A	TEX	0%	114	105	24	4	0	1	6	19	2	2	1	227	282	293	575	66	276	17	5	273	67	-4	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.1
ROS	20	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	262	59	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	TEX	—	172	157	40	6	0	0	8	14	5	4	1	255	314	293	607	38	276	8	5	269	64	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
TOT	20	A	TEX	—	286	261	64	10	0	1	14	33	7	6	2	245	301	294	595	50	273	12	5	271	65	-11	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TEX	25%	309	284	68	12	1	4	17	53	5	5	1	239	294	331	625	92	279	17	6	284	75	-9	+1	-0	+6	+9	0.6
2028	22	MLB	TEX	38%	408	374	91	16	2	6	24	70	7	7	2	243	301	345	646	102	280	17	6	291	81	-9	+1	-0	+7	+12	1.1
2029	23	MLB	TEX	45%	469	430	105	19	2	8	29	81	7	9	2	244	303	353	656	109	282	17	6	296	84	-8	+1	-0	+8	+13	1.4
2030	24	MLB	TEX	48%	508	464	114	20	2	9	31	88	8	9	3	246	304	356	660	110	283	17	6	299	87	-8	+1	-0	+9	+14	1.6
2031	25	MLB	TEX	50%	520	475	117	21	2	10	32	90	8	10	3	246	305	362	667	116	283	17	6	300	88	-7	+1	-0	+9	+15	1.8
2032	26	MLB	TEX	50%	520	474	117	21	2	10	33	90	8	10	3	247	307	363	670	116	283	17	6	300	88	-7	+1	-0	+9	+15	1.8
2033	27	MLB	TEX	54%	520	474	117	21	2	10	33	90	8	10	3	247	307	363	670	116	283	17	6	301	88	-7	+1	-0	+9	+15	1.8
2034	28	MLB	TEX	57%	520	473	116	20	2	10	34	91	8	10	3	245	307	359	666	114	282	18	7	299	87	-7	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.7
2035	29	MLB	TEX	59%	520	473	116	20	2	10	34	92	8	9	3	245	307	359	666	114	281	18	7	298	86	-8	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.5
2036	30	MLB	TEX	60%	519	472	114	20	2	9	34	93	8	9	2	242	304	350	653	108	280	18	7	295	84	-10	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.3
2037	31	MLB	TEX	61%	490	447	106	18	2	8	32	89	8	8	2	237	300	340	640	103	278	18	7	291	81	-11	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.0
2038	32	MLB	TEX	62%	458	418	98	17	2	7	30	85	7	7	2	234	297	335	632	100	275	19	7	285	76	-12	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.6
2039	33	MLB	TEX	63%	416	380	86	14	1	6	27	80	6	6	2	226	288	316	604	89	271	19	6	278	71	-14	+0	-4	+7	+12	0.2
2040	34	MLB	TEX	58%	363	332	74	12	1	5	23	72	5	5	1	223	283	310	594	87	266	20	6	269	64	-15	+1	-5	+6	+10	-0.2
2027	21	MLB	TEX	25%	77	72	17	3	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	236	286	319	605	83	280	17	5	273	67	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	22	MLB	TEX	38%	156	144	36	6	1	3	9	27	2	3	1	250	303	368	671	118	282	17	6	281	73	-5	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	23	MLB	TEX	45%	213	195	48	8	1	4	13	37	3	4	1	246	303	359	662	113	283	17	6	286	77	-6	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.5
2030	24	MLB	TEX	48%	244	223	56	10	1	5	15	42	4	5	1	251	310	372	682	121	285	17	6	289	79	-6	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.6
2031	25	MLB	TEX	50%	258	236	58	10	1	5	16	45	4	5	1	246	305	360	665	114	285	17	6	290	80	-6	+1	-0	+5	+7	0.7
2032	26	MLB	TEX	50%	263	241	60	11	1	5	16	45	4	5	1	249	307	365	672	116	284	17	6	290	80	-6	+1	-0	+5	+7	0.7
2033	27	MLB	TEX	54%	283	259	64	11	1	6	18	49	4	5	1	247	306	367	673	120	284	17	6	290	80	-6	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	28	MLB	TEX	57%	298	272	67	12	1	6	19	52	5	5	2	246	307	364	671	118	284	17	6	289	80	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.7
2035	29	MLB	TEX	59%	307	279	69	12	1	6	20	54	5	5	2	247	309	362	671	115	283	18	7	288	78	-8	+0	-1	+5	+9	0.6
2036	30	MLB	TEX	60%	313	285	69	12	1	6	20	56	5	5	1	242	303	354	658	112	282	18	6	285	76	-8	+1	-1	+6	+9	0.5
2037	31	MLB	TEX	61%	301	273	65	11	1	5	20	55	5	5	1	238	302	341	643	103	280	18	7	281	73	-9	+1	-2	+5	+9	0.3
2038	32	MLB	TEX	62%	285	260	61	10	1	5	19	53	4	5	1	235	297	338	635	104	277	19	7	275	69	-10	+1	-2	+5	+8	0.1
2039	33	MLB	TEX	63%	261	238	55	9	1	4	17	50	4	4	1	231	293	328	621	97	273	19	7	269	64	-11	+0	-3	+5	+7	-0.1
2040	34	MLB	TEX	58%	212	193	44	7	1	3	14	42	3	3	1	228	290	321	612	93	267	20	7	260	57	-10	+0	-3	+4	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3471	3171	769	132	13	64	220	620	53	60	15	243	303	353	656	110	282	18	6	283	75	-100	+6	-14	+62	+98	5.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	144	25	2	12	41	116	10	11	3	242	302	352	654	109	281	18	6	283	75	-19	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	6833	6238	1498	263	25	114	426	1198	107	120	35	240	300	345	645	105	279	18	6	291	81	-148	+10	-24	+122	+194	15.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	142	25	2	11	41	114	10	11	3	239	300	344	644	105	278	18	6	291	81	-14	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	46	41	9	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	1	220	256	268	524	49	209	2	4	224	30	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	133	116	33	9	0	1	11	9	4	3	1	284	366	388	754	103	299	7	8	339	117	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	12	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
	/162	664	14	3	250	308	370	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,673	63	64	241	298	349	+66	+0	9.2	7.8
	/162	664	11	12	241	298	349	+11.9	+0.0	1.7	pk7: 6
#5Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	9	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
	/162	664	12	5	261	285	388	+6.4	-3.1	1.0	pk7: 8
#6Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	8	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.8	7.1
	/162	664	11	12	259	303	375	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Springer (OGILVIE)	20	40	40	50	43	245/301/294	50	273	1	6	12%	5%	65	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	72	-0.2	201/244/277	76	295	6	5	32%	5%	39	-2.5	180/204/231	51	257	9	0	33%	2%	11	-0.8
✕Jairo Encarnacion 2007 · A	21	44	41→40	52→45	46	212/274/306	95	244	9	8	18%	6%	61	-1.0	229/298/318	89	272	8	7	18%	7%	74	-0.1	246/322/325	79	284	8	4	15%	7%	85	+0.3
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	234/287/326	92	283	6	16	20%	5%	71	-0.3	246/305/362	116	287	10	14	17%	6%	88	+0.9	277/338/426	150	303	14	17	13%	6%	120	+1.3
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Wilmer Perez 2018 · A	20	46	39→45	47→45	42	221/272/317	96	280	6	6	23%	5%	63	-0.9	221/269/307	86	282	5	7	23%	5%	58	-1.2	203/248/262	59	262	3	6	23%	3%	39	-0.6
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	204/258/281	77	261	3	10	22%	6%	46	-2.0	205/283/290	85	253	7	15	20%	9%	61	-1.0	194/284/274	80	231	8	20	19%	10%	56	-0.4
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/320	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	65	-0.7	186/228/266	80	283	6	4	35%	3%	30	-3.1	145/181/205	60	226	4	0	37%	2%	-9	-1.6
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	229/273/319	90	284	5	5	21%	5%	63	-0.9	229/267/303	74	268	6	6	16%	4%	56	-1.3	231/265/295	64	264	6	5	15%	4%	51	-0.8
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2011 · A	20	43	40→45	49→45	42	209/255/300	91	272	7	5	26%	6%	50	-1.7	218/253/304	86	275	8	5	23%	4%	50	-1.7	247/278/359	111	273	14	5	15%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Juan Castillo 2010 · A	20	46	39→45	45→40	47	218/281/301	83	260	6	6	18%	6%	62	-0.9	230/278/340	110	266	10	5	17%	5%	71	-0.3	229/268/315	87	284	7	1	21%	5%	58	-0.5
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	215/280/308	92	280	6	5	24%	6%	64	-0.8	216/268/311	95	281	7	4	24%	6%	59	-1.1	233/296/376	142	280	16	2	22%	7%	87	+0.3
●Leo Jiménez 2021 · A	20	44→49	37→45	50→45	46	209/267/287	78	267	4	6	23%	7%	52	-1.6	236/347/327	91	303	7	8	22%	10%	99	+1.7	226/327/323	97	289	8	8	22%	9%	87	+0.4
✕José Caballero 2018 · A	21	47→45	39→45	54→70	39	224/275/317	93	301	6	7	27%	5%	63	-0.8	223/291/334	111	281	10	19	23%	7%	76	+0.0	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→40	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	215/317/292	77	291	4	7	25%	10%	77	+0.1	211/334/282	71	273	4	7	21%	12%	79	+0.1
✕Jose Colmenares 2009 · A	19	47	38→45	46→40	46	222/279/294	72	254	6	9	15%	5%	59	-1.1	231/293/338	107	259	11	7	15%	6%	77	+0.1	239/304/362	123	251	15	4	12%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	47	-1.9	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	63	-0.8	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Glenn Santiago 2022 · A	21	43	40	51→45	49	207/278/298	91	250	7	11	20%	7%	60	-1.0	201/261/288	87	294	7	8	32%	7%	50	-1.7	184/247/261	77	274	7	8	33%	7%	35	-1.1
✕Jauri Custodio 2022 · A	20	47	41→40	50	45	228/275/327	98	272	8	13	19%	6%	66	-0.6	220/294/330	110	296	7	10	26%	7%	76	+0.0	187/278/284	97	275	4	15	30%	9%	55	-0.3
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	50	-1.7	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	63	-0.9	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	69	-0.1