Josh Springer — OGILVIE

Josh SpringerC Hickory Crawdads

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION209 act + 19 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .263 / .278

PA19

HR0

K%16

BB%5

BABIP278

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$35M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$8M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$12M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	46	41	9	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	1	220	256	268	524	49	209	2	4	224	38	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	133	116	33	9	0	1	11	9	4	3	1	284	366	388	754	103	299	7	8	339	115	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	46	42	9	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	214	233	262	494	48	190	2	2	214	31	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	133	121	26	6	0	1	6	13	4	3	1	215	275	289	564	74	229	10	5	246	53	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	179	163	35	8	0	1	7	15	4	4	2	215	264	282	547	67	225	8	4	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	179	157	42	11	0	1	13	10	4	4	2	268	339	357	696	89	273	6	7	309	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	179	166	35	8	0	1	7	15	4	4	2	211	264	277	541	66	219	8	4	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	179	166	35	8	0	1	7	15	4	4	2	211	264	277	541	66	219	8	4	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	TEX	—	209	188	49	7	0	1	11	16	7	5	1	261	325	314	639	53	277	8	5	285	79	-5	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	TEX	—	209	180	52	8	0	1	18	11	7	5	1	289	374	350	724	61	300	5	9	330	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	TEX	0%	19	18	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	222	263	278	541	56	276	16	5	281	76	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	TEX	—	228	206	53	8	0	1	12	19	7	5	1	257	320	311	631	53	277	8	5	285	79	-6	+1	-0	+4	+5	0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	25%	280	257	63	11	1	4	16	45	5	5	1	245	302	342	645	97	279	16	6	291	83	-6	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	38%	386	352	88	15	2	7	24	62	7	7	2	250	311	364	674	114	281	16	6	298	88	-6	+1	-0	+7	+8	1.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	45%	454	414	104	18	2	9	29	74	8	8	2	251	313	370	682	118	282	16	6	303	91	-5	+1	-0	+8	+10	1.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	498	454	114	20	2	10	32	81	9	9	2	251	313	370	683	119	283	16	6	305	93	-4	+1	-0	+9	+11	1.6
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	50%	520	472	119	21	2	10	34	84	9	10	2	252	315	369	683	117	283	16	7	306	94	-4	+1	-0	+9	+11	1.8
2032	26	MLB MLE	TEX	50%	520	472	120	21	2	11	34	84	9	10	3	254	317	377	694	123	283	16	7	307	94	-4	+1	-0	+9	+11	1.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	TEX	50%	520	472	117	20	2	10	34	85	9	10	3	248	311	362	673	114	283	16	7	307	94	-4	+1	-0	+9	+11	1.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	TEX	50%	520	471	117	20	2	10	35	85	9	10	2	248	313	363	676	115	283	16	7	306	93	-4	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.7
2035	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	520	471	117	20	2	10	35	87	9	9	2	248	313	363	676	115	282	17	7	304	92	-5	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.5
2036	30	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	518	469	116	20	2	10	35	87	9	9	2	247	312	362	674	115	281	17	7	301	90	-6	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.3
2037	31	MLB MLE	TEX	58%	489	445	108	18	2	9	33	84	8	8	2	243	307	353	659	110	279	17	7	297	87	-8	+1	-3	+9	+11	1.0
2038	32	MLB MLE	TEX	59%	457	415	98	16	1	8	31	80	8	7	2	236	302	337	639	101	276	18	7	291	83	-9	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.6
2039	33	MLB MLE	TEX	61%	416	378	88	14	1	7	28	75	7	6	2	233	298	331	629	98	272	18	7	284	79	-11	+0	-4	+7	+9	0.2
2040	34	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	362	329	74	12	1	5	24	68	6	5	1	225	290	313	603	88	266	19	7	276	73	-12	+1	-5	+6	+8	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	TEX	25%	70	65	16	3	0	1	4	11	1	1	0	246	300	338	638	92	281	16	6	281	83	-1	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	38%	148	135	35	6	1	3	9	24	3	3	1	259	320	385	705	126	283	16	6	289	88	-2	+0	-0	+3	+3	0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	45%	206	187	47	8	1	4	13	34	4	4	1	251	314	369	683	118	284	17	6	294	91	-2	+0	-0	+4	+4	0.6
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	239	218	56	10	1	5	15	39	4	4	1	257	316	381	697	124	285	16	6	297	93	-2	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.8
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	50%	258	234	60	10	1	6	17	42	5	5	1	256	320	385	705	128	286	16	7	298	94	-2	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.9
2032	26	MLB CTX	TEX	50%	263	239	60	10	1	6	17	43	5	5	1	251	314	377	691	126	285	16	6	298	94	-2	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.9
2033	27	MLB CTX	TEX	50%	260	236	60	10	1	6	17	42	5	5	1	254	318	381	699	127	285	16	7	298	94	-2	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.9
2034	28	MLB CTX	TEX	50%	259	235	60	10	1	6	17	43	5	5	1	255	319	383	702	128	285	17	7	297	93	-2	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.8
2035	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	276	250	63	11	1	6	19	46	5	5	1	252	318	376	694	124	284	17	7	295	92	-3	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.8
2036	30	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	289	262	65	11	1	6	20	49	5	5	1	248	314	366	680	118	283	17	7	292	90	-3	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2037	31	MLB CTX	TEX	58%	283	257	63	11	1	5	19	49	5	5	1	245	310	354	664	109	281	17	7	288	87	-4	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.6
2038	32	MLB CTX	TEX	59%	272	247	60	10	1	5	18	48	5	4	1	243	307	352	660	109	277	18	7	282	83	-5	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.4
2039	33	MLB CTX	TEX	61%	253	230	54	9	1	4	17	46	4	4	1	235	299	335	634	100	274	18	7	276	79	-6	+0	-3	+5	+5	0.1
2040	34	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	203	185	43	7	1	3	13	38	3	3	1	232	294	330	623	97	268	19	6	267	73	-7	+0	-3	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3279	2980	742	126	13	66	215	554	59	58	13	249	312	366	679	117	285	17	7	290	88	-45	+6	-14	+59	+71	7.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	147	25	3	13	43	110	12	11	3	249	313	367	680	118	285	17	7	290	88	-9	+1	-3	+12	+14	1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6658	6052	1482	255	24	121	432	1099	116	117	30	245	308	355	662	110	280	17	6	298	88	-87	+11	-24	+116	+140	15.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	145	25	2	12	42	107	11	11	3	245	307	355	663	110	279	16	6	298	88	-9	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.2	3,461	63	60	245	305	356	+62	+0	11.0	9.1
/162	664	12	12	+11.9	+0.0	2.1	pk7: 7
#5Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#6Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	4.2	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.7	7.1
/162	664	11	12	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Springer (OGILVIE)	20	40	40	50	45	238/294/320	83	276	2	4	16%	5%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	75	-0.5	202/244/277	75	298	6	5	33%	5%	47	-2.6	180/204/231	51	260	9	0	34%	2%	21	-0.8
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	234/287/326	92	283	6	16	20%	5%	74	-0.5	246/305/362	116	287	10	14	17%	6%	89	+0.5	277/338/426	150	303	14	17	13%	6%	118	+1.1
✕Jairo Encarnacion 2007 · A	21	44	41→40	52→45	46	212/274/306	95	244	9	8	18%	6%	65	-1.2	229/298/318	89	272	8	7	18%	7%	77	-0.3	246/322/325	79	284	8	4	15%	7%	86	+0.1
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→41	43→50	48→40	44	212/277/322	110	267	11	4	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/288/334	124	267	13	4	25%	8%	78	-0.3	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	215/280/308	92	280	6	5	24%	6%	68	-1.0	216/268/311	95	281	7	4	24%	6%	63	-1.3	233/296/372	139	280	15	2	22%	7%	88	+0.1
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	229/273/319	90	284	5	5	21%	5%	67	-1.1	231/268/304	73	271	5	6	16%	4%	61	-1.5	233/267/296	63	268	5	5	15%	4%	58	-0.8
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	47	42→45	48→45	45	228/296/337	109	289	9	6	24%	7%	80	-0.1	219/274/328	109	275	11	5	24%	5%	70	-0.8	212/264/322	110	252	12	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/320	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	69	-0.9	188/230/267	79	283	6	4	34%	4%	39	-3.1	147/184/208	60	226	4	0	36%	2%	5	-1.5
✕Wilmer Perez 2018 · A	20	46	39→45	47→45	42	221/272/317	96	280	6	6	23%	5%	67	-1.1	221/269/307	86	282	5	7	23%	5%	63	-1.4	204/251/263	59	263	3	6	22%	3%	47	-0.6
✕Juan Aponte 2008 · A	20	45	42→45	46→40	43	220/289/325	105	273	9	4	22%	5%	76	-0.4	204/263/283	79	279	5	4	27%	6%	55	-1.9	199/234/217	18	292	0	0	30%	3%	29	-0.8
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	46→45	44→50	49→45	41	225/274/342	117	290	12	9	26%	6%	73	-0.6	226/282/358	132	276	15	7	23%	7%	80	-0.1	215/277/344	129	257	16	4	23%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Sherman Lacrus 2014 · A	20	51	39→30	47→50	48	243/318/320	77	276	7	9	14%	6%	85	+0.2	217/284/305	88	264	7	7	19%	7%	69	-0.9	193/256/279	86	239	6	6	21%	6%	51	-0.7
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	79	-0.2	202/270/304	102	302	9	11	34%	7%	63	-1.3	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	74	-0.5	227/292/341	114	308	10	10	28%	6%	80	-0.1	222/278/328	106	295	10	8	27%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	50	40→45	51→50	44	234/303/337	103	302	5	13	23%	6%	83	+0.1	213/264/311	98	288	6	9	27%	5%	62	-1.4	195/238/286	91	273	8	8	31%	4%	44	-0.9
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Alejandro Segovia 2009 · A	19	45	41→50	47→30	46	219/276/313	93	249	9	6	16%	5%	68	-1.0	222/269/317	95	258	8	4	17%	4%	65	-1.2	221/290/366	146	257	17	1	21%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	232/305/356	123	310	12	12	28%	8%	88	+0.5	236/300/363	127	303	12	16	25%	7%	88	+0.4	241/304/389	148	298	14	15	23%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	204/258/281	77	261	3	10	22%	6%	53	-2.1	205/283/290	85	253	7	15	20%	9%	65	-1.2	194/284/274	80	231	8	20	19%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→30	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	86	+0.3	212/313/285	73	291	4	7	26%	10%	76	-0.4	204/326/266	62	270	4	7	22%	12%	75	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps