Hendry Chivilli

P Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 165 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2032

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKMIN	7	5	14	2.51	3.10	25.0%	16.7%	—	K 17.0% · BB 20.8% · FIP 4.30
2026	20	MIX2 levels	23	3	59	4.14	3.94	18.5%	8.5%	—	K 13.2% · BB 10.4% · FIP 5.04
2027PROJ	21	MLBMIN	30	0	31	5.12	5.12	17.1%	11.2%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBMIN	26	0	27	4.89	4.78	19.2%	10.1%	-0.1
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBMIN	40	0	42	4.68	4.56	20.5%	9.4%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsBrandon Komar (age 20) · Josnier Parra (age 21) · Joangel Gonzalez (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.12

FIP5.12

K%17.1%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%6.0%

Proj IP31

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	7	5	14	60	15	10	0	71%	2.0	17.0%	20.8%	-3.8%	0.0%	2.51	4.30	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	7	5	14	60	15	10	0	71%	2.0	17.0%	20.8%	-3.8%	0.0%	2.51	4.30	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	7	5	14	60	15	10	0	71%	2.0	25.0%	16.7%	8.3%	0.0%	2.51	3.10	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	3	59	248	46	21	6	13%	2.6	13.2%	10.4%	2.9%	3.2%	4.14	5.04	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	3	59	248	46	21	6	13%	2.6	13.2%	10.4%	2.9%	3.2%	4.14	5.04	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	3	59	248	46	21	6	13%	2.6	18.5%	8.5%	10.1%	2.4%	4.14	3.94	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	MIN	30	0	31	131	22	15	4	0%	1.0	17.1%	11.2%	6.0%	3.0%	5.12	5.12	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIN	53	0	55	234	45	24	7	0%	1.0	19.2%	10.1%	9.1%	3.0%	4.88	4.77	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIN	55	0	58	243	50	23	7	0%	1.0	20.5%	9.4%	11.1%	2.9%	4.67	4.55	0.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIN	56	0	59	249	53	23	7	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.0%	12.2%	2.9%	4.52	4.42	+0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIN	57	0	60	252	55	22	7	0%	1.0	21.7%	8.8%	12.9%	2.9%	4.42	4.35	+0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIN	57	0	60	252	55	22	7	0%	1.0	21.9%	8.8%	13.1%	2.9%	4.37	4.33	+0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIN	26	0	27	114	22	12	3	0%	1.0	19.2%	10.1%	9.1%	3.0%	4.89	4.78	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIN	40	0	42	177	36	17	5	0%	1.1	20.5%	9.4%	11.1%	2.9%	4.68	4.56	0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIN	47	0	49	207	44	19	6	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.0%	12.2%	2.9%	4.53	4.43	+0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIN	50	0	53	224	49	20	7	0%	1.1	21.7%	8.8%	12.9%	2.9%	4.43	4.36	+0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIN	51	0	54	228	50	20	7	0%	1.1	21.9%	8.8%	13.1%	2.9%	4.38	4.34	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		214	0	225	950	201	87	28	0%	1.1	21.1%	9.1%	12.0%	2.9%	4.54	4.08	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	77	25	0%	1.1	21.1%	9.1%	12.0%	2.9%	4.54	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		30	8	73	308	43	38	8	27%	2.4	14.0%	12.4%	1.6%	2.6%	3.82	4.90	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	22	200	844	118	105	22	27%	2.4	14.0%	12.4%	1.6%	2.6%	3.82	4.90	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hendry Chivilli (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.12	17.1%	11.2%	3.0%	—	4.58	20.4%	10.8%	172	-0.54	—	—	—
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	90
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	88
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	87
Francisco Moreno R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	21	SU	4.36	14.9%	11.5%	1.9%	.297	6.32	9.9%	-2.0%	84	+1.96	3.88	162	86
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	86
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	85
Luis F. Castillo R 2016 · 4.51 FIP	21	SU	4.51	16.7%	10.5%	2.7%	.337	3.50	19.7%	12.3%	96	-1.01	2.95	254	85
Jack Carey R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	16.8%	10.9%	3.1%	.333	4.31	19.5%	8.2%	156	-0.46	3.79	250	85
Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.9%	10.0%	3.1%	.315	4.02	15.7%	8.1%	123	-0.61	3.80	155	84
Miguel Guerrero R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	21	SU	5.00	16.4%	12.9%	3.0%	.349	4.96	17.5%	5.4%	115	-0.04	4.56	171	84
Luis Rujano R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	21	SW	4.54	17.0%	12.3%	2.4%	.361	4.80	17.9%	-0.8%	97	+0.26	4.54	203	83
Ezequiel Ventura R 2023 · 5.62 FIP	21	SW	5.62	13.5%	11.7%	4.0%	.302	4.71	14.1%	5.7%	32	-0.91	3.77	151	83
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	83
Victor Espiritu R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	14.6%	12.7%	1.8%	.294	4.04	13.5%	1.8%	60	-0.41	3.49	101	82
Nolan Kingham R 2018 · 4.70 FIP	21	SW	4.70	12.1%	8.7%	2.8%	.338	4.22	13.1%	7.0%	260	-0.48	3.93	544	82
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	82
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	82
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	82
Adam Bernero R 2000 · 4.15 FIP	23	SW	4.15	14.2%	8.5%	2.1%	.283	4.88	14.2%	6.3%	247	+0.73	3.45	376	82
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	54	20.6%	9.4%	1.13	4.62
Jacob Barnes ('25)	1.7	48	22.0%	9.2%	1.15	4.79
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*