Hendry Chivilli
P
FCL Twins
Age 20
RHP
6'3" / 165 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.2%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Twins | 7 | 5 | 14 | 60 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 71% | 2.0 | 17.0% | 20.8% | -3.8% | 0.0% | 2.51 | 4.30 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Twins | 7 | 5 | 14 | 60 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 71% | 2.0 | 25.0% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 2.51 | 3.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 12 | 3 | 40 | 168 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 25% | 3.3 | 12.1% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.28 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIN | 8 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.38 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 48 | 204 | 37 | 15 | 4 | — | — | 18.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 4.29 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 3.87 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 19 | 8 | 54 | 228 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 42% | 2.9 | 13.4% | 11.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.81 | 4.44 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 29 | 200 | 839 | 113 | 100 | 15 | 42% | 2.9 | 13.4% | 11.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.81 | 4.44 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hendry Chivilli (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 23.2% | 9.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.25 | 23.6% | 14.4% | 20 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Carson Rudd R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 83 |
| Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 81 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2027 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 81 |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.42 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 2.7% | .275 | 4.69 | 16.3% | 6.9% | 299 | +0.27 | 4.13 | 397 | 79 |
| Simon Mathews R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 79 |
| Joelvis Del Rosario R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.85 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .315 | 4.81 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 197 | +0.96 | 3.13 | 286 | 79 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 78 |
| Cole Stapler R 2028 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 78 |
| Adrián Martinez R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.30 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .329 | 4.09 | 17.3% | 7.6% | 92 | -0.21 | 2.02 | 526 | 77 |
| Connor Cooke R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 77 |
| Daniel Bies R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 77 |
| Amilcar Chirinos R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.26 | 25.6% | 12.3% | 1.4% | .349 | 4.01 | 19.3% | 6.3% | 147 | +0.75 | 2.86 | 212 | 76 |
| Clark Beeker R 2029 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 76 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2029 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 76 |
| Deretd Parra R 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 75 |
| Franco Aleman R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 75 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2028 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 75 |
| Rodolfo Sanchez R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.72 | 23.0% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.07 | 19.9% | 6.3% | 104 | +0.35 | 3.59 | 255 | 75 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.14 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .310 | 4.49 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 90 | +0.35 | 4.09 | 196 | 75 |
| Joey Matulovich R 2027 · 3.22 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.22 | 22.8% | 12.0% | 1.0% | .317 | 5.29 | 21.3% | 8.1% | 107 | +2.07 | 3.22 | 201 | 75 |