Luigi Hernandez — OGILVIE

Luigi Hernandez P Bradenton Marauders

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.80

FIP5.80

K%20.5%

BB%19.7%

K-BB%0.8%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	12	11	31	147	37	14	3	92%	2.6	17.1%	11.9%	5.2%	3.2%	7.18	4.91	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Gold	12	11	31	147	37	14	3	92%	2.6	25.2%	9.5%	15.6%	2.0%	7.18	3.32	—
2022	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	2	25	114	36	17	2	15%	1.9	23.9%	18.6%	5.3%	1.5%	3.96	4.28	—
2022	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	2	25	114	36	17	2	15%	1.9	31.6%	14.9%	16.7%	1.8%	3.96	3.30	—
2023	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	4	17	78	20	20	0	44%	1.9	25.6%	25.6%	0.0%	0.0%	4.32	4.18	—
2023	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	4	17	78	20	20	0	44%	1.9	25.6%	25.6%	0.0%	0.0%	4.32	4.18	—
2023	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	4	17	78	20	20	0	44%	1.9	25.6%	25.6%	0.0%	0.0%	4.32	4.30	—
2024	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	23	1	57	285	69	56	2	4%	2.5	17.9%	23.2%	-5.3%	0.9%	7.11	5.00	—
2024	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	23	1	57	285	69	56	2	4%	2.5	17.9%	23.2%	-5.3%	0.9%	7.11	5.00	—
2024	20	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	23	1	57	285	69	56	2	4%	2.5	24.2%	19.6%	4.6%	0.7%	7.11	4.08	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	PIT	3	0	3	13	3	2	0	0%	1.0	20.5%	19.7%	0.8%	2.8%	5.80	5.80	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PIT	51	0	53	225	48	37	6	0%	1.0	21.5%	16.5%	5.0%	2.8%	5.44	5.29	-0.4
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	52	0	54	230	51	33	6	0%	1.0	22.2%	14.4%	7.8%	2.8%	5.12	4.96	-0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	PIT	25	0	26	110	24	18	3	0%	1.0	21.5%	16.5%	5.0%	2.8%	5.44	5.29	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	36	0	38	160	36	23	4	0%	1.1	22.2%	14.4%	7.8%	2.8%	5.12	4.96	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		61	0	64	271	59	41	8	0%	1.1	21.9%	15.2%	6.7%	2.8%	5.25	4.72	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	128	25	0%	1.1	21.9%	15.2%	6.7%	2.8%	5.25	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		57	18	130	624	123	125	9	32%	2.3	19.8%	20.0%	-0.2%	1.4%	6.16	4.75	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	28	200	960	190	192	14	32%	2.3	19.8%	20.0%	-0.2%	1.4%	6.16	4.75	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luigi Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.80	20.5%	19.7%	2.8%	—	5.12	21.9%	6.5%	108	-0.68	—	—	—
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	85
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	83
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	83
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	81
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	81
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	81
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	80
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	80
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.74	17.4%	0.9%	149	+0.06	4.54	202	80
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	79
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	79
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	79
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	79
Jared Kelley R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	21	SW	5.03	18.9%	19.4%	1.9%	.365	4.90	16.4%	0.7%	99	-0.13	4.25	250	79
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	79
Cole Aker R 2019 · 5.60 FIP	22	SW	5.60	19.5%	20.6%	2.8%	.239	6.17	12.0%	-9.9%	28	+0.57	3.60	147	78
Jared Johnson R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	22	SW	5.70	21.6%	18.9%	3.7%	.268	4.66	18.1%	7.2%	89	-1.04	3.01	220	78
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	78
Justin Ferrell R 2016 · 5.30 FIP	22	SW	5.30	14.9%	14.0%	3.1%	.261	4.34	20.4%	9.1%	173	-0.96	3.83	300	77
Ronny Lopez R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	20	SW	5.33	15.1%	20.6%	1.6%	.232	5.01	13.7%	-5.7%	85	-0.32	4.23	121	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	49	21.5%	16.6%	1.09	5.42
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48