Yoeilin CespedesSS Greenville Drive
Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 181 lbs A+ H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION328 act + 218 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .254 / .371
PA218
HR7
K%30
BB%5
BABIP269
ISO161
MLB%4%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -21.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-21BATRUN: -1.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-2RUNFLD: -0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +5.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +15.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+15REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.01.12.30.40.91.31.61.71.81.81.6+$68M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 48
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT39
scouting grade only
POWER48
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
DEFENSE45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.3$8M+$8M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.6$9M+$9M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.7$9M+$9M
2032Arb-1$4M+1.8$9M+$7M
2033Arb-2$6M+1.8$8M+$5M
2034Arb-3$8M+1.6$7M+$3M
Totals $21M $52M +$41M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Red Sox Blue — 209197 491035 8362 12 249285406691 157278 174 295 84 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Red Sox Blue — 209191 661546 14242 12 346396560956 215368 117 414 175 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Red Sox — 10595 21614 8261 31 221288432720 211258 258 310 95 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Red Sox — 10591 291015 12191 31 3194046151.019 297353 1811 436 191 — — — — — —
202519 ASalem Red Sox — 477445 7819311 251511 116 175221306526 130232 325 225 30 — — — — — —
202519 ASalem Red Sox — 477428 9724510 411011 116 227295376671 150269 219 297 85 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 A+BOS — 328307 6315112 161061 25 205247378625 173264 325 270 65 -13 -2 +0 +4 +9 -0.2
YTD20 A+BOS — 328298 7920116 25791 25 265324500824 235304 248 356 131 +11 -2 +0 +4 +9 2.3
ROS20 A+BOS 4% 218204 431017 11651 22 210254371625 161265 305 271 66 -8 -0 -1 +2 +6 -0.1
ROS20 MLBBOS 4% 109 1000 130 00 111200111311 272 3010 274 68 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL20 A+BOS — 338316 6415112 171091 25 203246370616 168261 325 270 65 -13 -2 -0 +4 +10 -0.2
TOT20 A+BOS — 546511 10625219 271712 47 207250375625 168266 315 271 65 -21 -2 -1 +6 +15 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBBOS 36% 575535 11526319 331632 55 215263381644 166270 286 285 76 -15 -1 -2 +6 +16 0.4
202822 MLBBOS 49% 591547 12127321 361623 66 221273397670 176272 276 295 84 -11 -1 -2 +6 +17 0.9
202923 MLBBOS 55% 615568 12828323 391643 77 225279407685 181274 276 301 89 -8 -1 -2 +7 +17 1.3
203024 MLBBOS 56% 627578 13229324 411653 77 228283413696 185275 267 306 92 -6 -1 -2 +7 +18 1.6
203125 MLBBOS 56% 634583 13429325 421654 88 230286419705 189275 267 308 94 -4 -2 -2 +7 +18 1.7
203226 MLBBOS 56% 639587 13630325 431674 88 232289421709 189275 267 309 95 -4 -2 -2 +7 +18 1.8
203327 MLBBOS 55% 637585 13429325 431674 88 229286417703 188275 267 309 95 -4 -2 -2 +7 +18 1.8
203428 MLBBOS 55% 631579 13229324 431664 88 228286413699 185275 267 308 94 -4 -2 -3 +7 +18 1.6
203529 MLBBOS 53% 621570 13028324 431643 88 228286414700 186274 267 307 93 -5 -2 -4 +7 +18 1.4
203630 MLBBOS 53% 609559 12728323 421633 77 227285411696 184273 277 304 91 -6 -1 -4 +7 +17 1.2
203731 MLBBOS 52% 595546 12227222 411613 66 223281401682 178271 277 300 88 -8 -1 -5 +6 +17 0.9
203832 MLBBOS 56% 576528 11625221 401583 66 220278394672 174268 277 295 84 -11 -1 -6 +6 +16 0.5
203933 MLBBOS 59% 547501 10723219 381533 55 214273381654 168263 287 288 78 -13 -1 -6 +6 +15 0.1
204034 MLBBOS 54% 499460 9519217 341432 44 207264367632 161257 297 279 71 -16 -1 -7 +5 +14 -0.4
202721 MLBBOS 36% 208193 431017 12591 22 223272394666 171276 286 287 78 -5 -0 -1 +2 +6 0.2
202822 MLBBOS 49% 291270 6014110 18801 33 222273393666 170279 276 296 85 -5 -1 -1 +3 +8 0.5
202923 MLBBOS 55% 335309 7016112 21892 44 227280401681 175281 276 303 90 -4 -1 -1 +4 +9 0.7
203024 MLBBOS 56% 348320 7517213 23912 44 234290422712 188282 267 307 93 -3 -1 -1 +4 +10 0.9
203125 MLBBOS 56% 355327 7717214 23932 44 235290428718 193282 266 309 95 -2 -1 -1 +4 +10 1.0
203226 MLBBOS 56% 360331 7818214 24942 55 236291429720 193282 267 310 95 -2 -1 -1 +4 +10 1.0
203327 MLBBOS 55% 352323 7617214 24922 55 235292430723 195282 267 310 96 -2 -1 -1 +4 +10 1.0
203428 MLBBOS 55% 346317 7317113 24912 44 230289413702 183281 267 309 95 -2 -1 -2 +4 +10 0.9
203529 MLBBOS 53% 332304 7116113 23882 44 234292421713 187281 277 308 94 -2 -1 -2 +4 +9 0.8
203630 MLBBOS 53% 320293 6715112 22862 44 229287410697 181280 277 305 92 -3 -1 -2 +3 +9 0.7
203731 MLBBOS 52% 310283 6415111 22842 33 226287403689 177278 277 301 89 -4 -1 -3 +3 +9 0.5
203832 MLBBOS 56% 324297 6715112 22892 33 226283404688 178274 277 296 85 -6 -1 -3 +3 +9 0.3
203933 MLBBOS 59% 323296 6414111 22902 33 216275382657 166270 287 289 79 -8 -1 -4 +3 +9 0.1
204034 MLBBOS 54% 272251 521119 18781 22 207263367629 159263 297 280 72 -9 -0 -4 +3 +8 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 44864123 93821218165 299120725 5050 228284408691 180278 277 302 89 -56 -10 -27 +48 +127 8.4
/ 162G— — 650597 13731324 431754 77 229286412698 183281 277 302 89 -8 -1 -4 +7 +18 1.2
Career— — 94058667 192042246339 610253949 110104 222277398675 177271 276 296 84 -165 -20 -50 +101 +266 13.5
/ 162G— — 650599 13229323 421753 87 220275394669 174269 276 296 84 -11 -1 -3 +7 +18 0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Red Sox Blue — 209191 661546 14242 12 346396560956 215368 117 414 175 +18 -1 — — +6 2.4
202418 ROKFCL Red Sox — 10591 291015 12191 31 3194046151.019 297353 1811 436 191 +11 +0 — — +3 1.4
202519 ASalem Red Sox — 477428 9724510 411011 116 227295376671 150269 219 297 85 -8 -0 — — +14 0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA
104,42417870230288422+16+3215.215.0
/1626642711+2.4+4.92.3pk7: 15
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA
93,1271105235308414+56-1014.114.8
/162664231+11.9-2.13.0pk7: 16
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA
72,8359025245302422+30+1413.013.0
/162664216+7.1+3.23.0pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
84,49116650225278405+46-169.98.5
/162664257+6.8-2.41.5pk7: 7
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA
73,17810312243306411+14-188.48.4
/162664223+2.8-3.81.8pk7: 8
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Yoeilin Cespedes (OGILVIE) 20 35→39 40→48 45→40 35 207/250/375 168266 194 31% 5% 65 -0.3 ————————— —————————
✕Agustín Ramírez
2022 · A 		20 37→45 44→55 43→55 39 188/247/306 118283 114 36% 7% 50 -1.8 225/286/368 143285 1612 26% 7% 82 +0.5 232/295/411179268221622%7%94+1.3
✕Aderlin Rodríguez
2012 · A 		20 39→47 51→60 45→30 38 212/244/366 154247 213 25% 4% 64 -0.8 210/245/350 140262 163 26% 4% 60 -1.0 238/283/42718828825127%4%94+0.9
✕Carter Kieboom
2018 · A 		20 45→50 49→50 43→45 42 229/288/376 147300 165 29% 6% 85 +0.7 233/302/365 132310 156 28% 8% 88 +0.9 229/307/35412530614528%9%84+0.4
✕Ronny Rodríguez
2013 · A 		21 38→48 50→55 45→50 34 206/232/358 153257 187 29% 3% 56 -1.3 214/240/338 124269 138 25% 3% 53 -1.5 256/283/425169304221323%3%93+1.0
✕Sebastian Valle
2011 · A 		21 42→49 48→50 42→40 38 218/258/361 143277 163 28% 4% 68 -0.5 206/233/315 109291 112 32% 3% 45 -2.1 229/281/37314330316229%6%78+0.1
●Cheslor Cuthbert
2013 · A 		20 42→52 44→50 45 41 214/256/325 111264 135 24% 5% 58 -1.2 220/262/328 108272 107 22% 5% 61 -1.0 258/310/40614830117120%7%100+0.9
✕René Pinto
2017 · A 		20 41 46→60 47→40 39 209/251/339 130263 135 26% 4% 59 -1.1 226/270/321 95293 73 24% 5% 62 -0.9 211/247/38417228824335%4%67-0.3
✕Eric Wood
2013 · A 		20 44→48 43→55 42→45 43 217/276/331 113284 106 27% 6% 68 -0.5 210/257/294 84301 54 30% 5% 50 -1.8 218/275/39017327921629%6%81+0.2
●Jose Miranda
2018 · A 		20 41→51 44→50 41→40 43 207/254/319 112234 135 19% 5% 56 -1.3 219/263/320 101254 92 18% 4% 59 -1.1 261/311/40414329418217%5%99+1.4
✕Edinson Rincon
2011 · A 		20 40→50 45→50 42→30 42 205/254/324 119257 133 26% 6% 57 -1.2 241/278/367 126300 133 24% 5% 78 +0.2 250/287/36511431411123%4%77+0.1
✕Jeferson Quero
2023 · A 		20 44→42 44→50 49→45 41 219/269/335 116284 129 27% 6% 66 -0.6 226/283/364 138283 167 25% 7% 79 +0.3 225/289/37014526918423%7%82+0.3
✕Brendan Rodgers
2017 · A 		20 42→50 43→50 44→45 39 209/256/311 103281 116 30% 5% 54 -1.4 227/270/347 120292 136 26% 4% 69 -0.4 236/292/35912328113020%6%80+0.2
✕Miguel Amaya
2019 · A 		20 43→42 45→50 48→40 45 215/281/332 117268 134 25% 7% 71 -0.3 214/290/343 129271 144 25% 8% 78 +0.2 228/299/36814027116122%7%86+0.3
●Christian Vázquez
2012 · A 		21 42→52 47→50 46→45 41 214/266/345 131276 143 28% 6% 67 -0.5 230/287/334 104290 104 23% 7% 73 -0.1 256/308/40214529318819%7%96+1.0
✕Wilin Rosario
2009 · A 		20 43→49 44→60 44→45 38 213/256/325 112297 125 32% 5% 57 -1.2 230/265/373 143307 174 30% 4% 74 -0.1 234/270/41918427826326%4%85+0.5
●Esmerlyn Valdez
2023 · A 		19 41→43 45→55 44→40 43 204/283/326 122290 125 32% 8% 71 -0.3 195/273/328 133307 154 39% 8% 67 -0.5 202/290/39018828626237%9%87+0.6
✕Russell Mitchell
2006 · A 		21 43→45 48→55 43→45 41 221/268/359 138272 164 25% 5% 72 -0.2 216/255/366 150267 174 26% 4% 69 -0.4 218/260/36815026717525%5%68-0.4
●Raudy Read
2013 · A 		19 37→47 45→55 42→45 41 188/233/309 121213 134 20% 4% 45 -2.1 199/241/294 95237 95 20% 4% 43 -2.2 239/293/44320528327126%6%104+0.9
●Mark Vientos
2021 · A 		21 39→49 45→60 41→30 36 201/244/323 122277 143 32% 4% 53 -1.5 232/284/424 192319 262 35% 6% 97 +1.5 245/305/44720232528032%7%109+2.0
✕Matthew Sweeney
2009 · A 		21 43→40 48→50 44→45 42 221/269/364 143270 156 24% 5% 73 -0.1 203/264/327 124285 124 31% 7% 62 -0.9 175/244/29111625312234%7%42-1.1