Janero Miller

P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 21 LHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	17	ROKDSL Miami	10	9	28	7.07	4.81	16.9%	16.9%	—	K 11.5% · BB 21.2% · FIP 6.05
2025	19	ROKMIA	11	3	28	3.49	2.99	33.6%	14.8%	—	K 22.8% · BB 18.6% · FIP 4.39
2026	20	MIX2 levels	14	2	13	14.21	9.26	21.1%	19.7%	—	K 21.1% · BB 19.7% · FIP 7.43
2027PROJ	21	MLBMIA	16	0	17	4.99	4.99	23.3%	14.6%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBMIA	12	0	13	4.67	4.56	24.2%	12.6%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsMatt Osterberg (age 22) · Lucas Knowles (age 23) · Spencer Giesting (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%23.3%

BB%14.6%

K-BB%8.7%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	10	9	28	130	22	22	2	90%	2.8	11.5%	21.2%	-9.6%	2.3%	7.07	6.05	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	10	9	28	130	22	22	2	90%	2.8	16.9%	16.9%	0.0%	1.5%	7.07	4.81	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	3	28	128	43	19	2	27%	2.6	22.8%	18.6%	4.3%	1.6%	3.49	4.39	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	3	28	128	43	19	2	27%	2.6	22.8%	18.6%	4.3%	1.6%	3.49	4.39	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	11	3	28	128	43	19	2	27%	2.6	33.6%	14.8%	18.8%	1.6%	3.49	2.99	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	2	13	76	16	15	5	14%	0.9	21.1%	19.7%	1.3%	6.6%	14.21	7.43	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	2	13	76	16	15	5	14%	0.9	21.1%	19.7%	1.3%	6.6%	14.21	7.43	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	2	13	76	16	15	5	14%	0.9	21.1%	19.7%	1.3%	6.6%	14.21	9.26	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	MIA	16	0	17	72	17	10	2	0%	1.1	23.3%	14.6%	8.7%	3.0%	4.99	4.99	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIA	26	0	27	113	27	14	3	0%	1.0	24.2%	12.6%	11.6%	2.9%	4.75	4.64	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIA	12	0	13	55	13	7	2	0%	1.1	24.2%	12.6%	11.6%	2.8%	4.67	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	56	13	7	2	0%	1.0	24.2%	12.6%	11.6%	2.8%	4.67	4.18	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	197	106	30	0%	1.1	24.2%	12.6%	11.6%	2.8%	4.67	4.18	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		35	14	69	334	60	66	10	40%	2.0	18.0%	19.8%	-1.8%	3.0%	6.91	5.73	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		101	41	200	968	174	192	29	40%	2.0	18.0%	19.8%	-1.8%	3.0%	6.91	5.73	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Janero Miller (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	23.3%	14.6%	3.0%	—	4.64	24.2%	11.6%	27	-0.35	—	—	—
Matt Osterberg L 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	20.2%	12.3%	1.7%	.255	4.04	15.6%	9.3%	274	+0.16	3.70	294	79
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	78
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.30	19.0%	8.0%	394	-1.50	3.58	460	78
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	77
Jonah Wesely L 2016 · 4.36 FIP	21	SW	4.36	26.0%	12.3%	3.5%	.450	3.51	20.5%	7.6%	86	-0.85	2.91	134	76
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	75
Felix Doubront L 2010 · 4.00 FIP	22	SW	4.00	20.4%	8.8%	2.7%	.312	4.02	21.6%	11.6%	323	+0.02	3.44	719	74
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.26	33.2%	19.8%	102	-1.31	2.95	256	74
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	73
Taylor Hearn L 2016 · 3.99 FIP	21	SW	3.99	26.1%	10.6%	3.2%	.347	4.01	22.3%	11.7%	236	+0.02	3.72	572	73
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	73
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	72
Destin Dotson L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	21	SU	3.90	22.3%	12.2%	2.1%	.288	5.84	23.0%	3.1%	48	+1.94	2.90	113	72
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	71
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	71
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	71
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	71
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	71
Evan Taylor L 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	28.1%	16.5%	2.7%	.304	3.19	21.9%	10.0%	150	-1.12	3.09	225	70
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	70