Brailer Guerrero

RF Charleston RiverDogs

Age 21 L/R 6'2" / 215 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

Scout OFP48ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ATB	220	.251/.344/.403	6	9	67	—	.212/.284/.328
2025	19	INTLMesa Solar Sox	29	.077/.172/.077	0	2	-23	—
2026	20	ATB	206	.215/.335/.343	5	6	51	—	.177/.266/.276
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBTB	316	.212/.290/.338	7	6	78	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBTB	92	.220/.298/.361	2	2	86	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBTB	177	.226/.304/.378	5	3	92	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

BB%70

Chase%58

ISO48

wRC+40

wOBA36

K%22

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsAbimelec Ortiz (age 21) · Nicky Delmonico (age 22) · Will Benson (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 192 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .288 / .335

PA192

HR4

K%29

BB%9

ISO126

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 59

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER59

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED46

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	29	23	6	3	0	0	4	6	1	0	1	261	393	391	784	130	333	21	14	348	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	126	103	34	4	2	2	22	32	1	13	3	330	452	466	918	136	464	25	17	414	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	220	191	48	7	2	6	25	64	2	9	1	251	344	403	747	152	341	29	11	334	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	29	26	2	0	0	0	3	16	0	2	0	77	172	77	249		200	55	10	135	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	206	172	37	7	0	5	30	62	1	6	1	215	335	343	678	128	296	30	15	309	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	29	24	4	2	0	0	3	7	1	0	1	167	286	250	536	83	219	24	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	126	111	25	3	1	1	14	47	1	13	3	225	317	297	615	72	389	37	11	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	220	198	42	7	2	4	18	86	2	9	1	212	284	328	613	116	338	39	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	206	181	32	6	0	4	21	84	1	6	1	177	266	276	542	99	284	41	10	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	29	24	4	2	0	0	3	7	1	0	1	167	286	250	536	83	222	24	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	29	23	6	3	0	0	4	6	1	0	1	261	393	391	784	130	333	21	14	348	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	126	111	25	3	1	1	14	47	1	13	3	225	317	297	615	72	381	37	11	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	126	103	34	4	2	2	22	32	1	13	3	330	452	466	918	136	464	25	17	414	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	249	224	47	8	2	4	21	98	2	11	1	210	283	317	600	107	347	39	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	249	217	50	7	2	6	28	80	2	11	1	230	324	364	688	134	331	32	11	311	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	206	181	32	6	0	4	21	84	1	6	1	177	266	276	542	99	292	41	10	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	206	172	37	7	0	5	30	62	1	6	1	215	335	343	678	128	296	30	15	309	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	29	25	4	2	0	0	3	7	1	0	1	160	286	240	526	80	219	24	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	126	110	25	3	1	1	14	47	1	13	3	227	317	300	617	73	389	37	11	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	249	224	47	8	2	4	21	98	2	11	1	210	283	317	600	107	338	39	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	206	182	32	6	0	4	21	84	1	6	1	176	266	275	541	99	284	41	10	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	126	110	25	3	1	1	14	47	1	13	3	227	317	300	617	73	389	37	11	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	249	224	47	8	2	4	21	98	2	11	1	210	283	317	600	107	338	39	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	206	182	32	6	0	4	21	84	1	6	1	176	266	275	541	99	284	41	10	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TB	0%	316	281	59	11	1	7	29	90	3	6	1	212	290	338	628	126	281	28	9	284	78	-8	+1	-1	-3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	34%	269	240	52	10	1	7	25	75	2	5	1	219	297	362	659	143	283	28	9	296	86	-4	+1	-1	-3	+6	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	TB	48%	365	326	73	13	2	11	33	100	3	7	1	224	302	380	682	156	284	27	9	305	92	-3	+1	-1	-4	+8	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	TB	53%	431	384	88	16	2	14	40	117	4	8	2	228	306	393	699	164	286	27	9	311	97	-2	+1	-1	-5	+9	0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	TB	55%	467	417	95	17	2	16	43	125	4	8	2	231	309	401	710	170	287	27	9	316	100	-0	+1	-0	-5	+10	0.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	487	435	101	18	2	18	45	129	4	8	2	233	310	407	717	174	287	26	9	318	101	+1	+1	-0	-5	+11	0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	495	442	102	18	2	18	46	132	4	8	2	232	309	404	713	172	286	27	9	317	100	+0	+1	-0	-5	+11	0.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	496	443	101	18	2	17	46	134	4	7	2	230	307	399	706	169	285	27	9	314	99	-1	+1	-1	-5	+11	0.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	489	437	100	18	2	17	45	133	4	6	2	227	304	393	697	165	284	27	9	310	96	-2	+0	-2	-5	+11	0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	TB	53%	481	430	96	17	2	16	44	133	4	6	2	224	301	384	685	160	281	28	9	305	93	-4	+0	-2	-5	+10	-0.1
2037	31	MLB MLE	TB	52%	468	420	92	16	2	15	42	131	3	4	3	220	296	374	670	155	278	28	9	299	89	-6	-0	-3	-5	+10	-0.5
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	34%	92	83	17	3	0	2	8	26	1	2	0	220	298	361	659	140	286	28	9	296	86	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	TB	48%	177	158	35	6	1	5	16	49	1	3	1	226	304	378	682	152	287	28	9	305	92	-2	+0	-1	-2	+4	0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	TB	53%	227	202	46	8	1	7	21	62	2	4	1	230	308	391	698	161	289	27	9	311	97	-1	+0	-0	-2	+5	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	TB	55%	256	228	53	9	1	9	24	69	2	4	1	232	310	399	709	167	290	27	9	315	100	-0	+0	-0	-3	+6	0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	271	242	57	10	1	10	25	72	2	5	1	234	312	404	716	170	290	27	9	318	101	+0	+1	-0	-3	+6	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	272	243	56	10	1	9	25	73	2	4	1	233	310	401	712	168	289	27	9	316	100	+0	+0	-0	-3	+6	0.3
2034	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	271	242	56	10	1	9	25	73	2	4	1	231	308	397	705	166	288	27	9	314	99	-0	+0	-0	-3	+6	0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	261	233	53	9	1	9	24	71	2	3	1	228	306	390	696	162	287	27	9	310	96	-1	+0	-1	-3	+6	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	TB	53%	253	226	51	9	1	8	23	70	2	3	1	225	302	382	684	157	284	28	9	305	93	-2	+0	-1	-3	+5	-0.0
2037	31	MLB CTX	TB	52%	244	218	48	8	1	8	22	68	2	2	1	221	297	372	669	151	281	28	9	299	89	-3	+0	-2	-3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2324	2075	472	82	9	76	213	633	18	34	9	227	305	386	690	158	288	27	9	310	92	-11	+3	-6	-25	+50	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	132	23	3	21	60	177	5	10	3	228	306	386	692	159	288	27	9	310	92	-3	+1	-2	-7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5250	4685	1044	187	23	162	485	1500	43	100	26	223	302	376	678	153	289	29	9	303	92	-27	+6	-12	-50	+101	1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	129	23	3	20	60	186	5	12	3	222	300	376	676	153	289	29	9	303	92	-4	+1	-2	-7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Kirkland'58-'66 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,882 PA	5.8	3,882	148	52	237*	302*	437*	-37	-0	8.1	8.5
/162	664	25	9	-6.3	-0.1	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	4.0	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
/162	664	27	9	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#3Clyde Vollmer'42-'54 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,285 PA	3.4	2,285	69	7	242*	313*	428*	-14	-2	4.3	5.3
/162	664	20	2	-3.9	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 6
#4Jimmy Walsh'12-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,100 PA	3.2	2,100	6	92	232*	326*	393*	-12	+5	5.0	5.0
/162	664	2	29	-3.9	+1.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.8	2,516	83	38	227	301	390	-16	-4	4.3	4.0
/162	664	22	10	-4.2	-1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brailer Guerrero (OGILVIE)	21	29→40	46→59	46	55	210/288/335	125	281	4	3	29%	9%	78	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Abimelec Ortiz 2023 · A	21	36→42	47→60	43→40	43	188/265/318	130	263	16	7	34%	8%	65	-1.2	216/279/399	183	284	24	4	32%	7%	89	+0.5	215/282/406	191	269	25	2	30%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Nicky Delmonico 2014 · A	22	40→48	49→55	48→45	47	207/285/351	144	272	17	8	30%	9%	80	-0.1	221/278/364	143	299	14	6	29%	7%	80	-0.1	237/306/397	160	290	18	4	24%	8%	96	+0.8
●Will Benson 2019 · A	21	29→39	47→55	46→55	44	160/255/287	127	254	16	9	41%	10%	56	-1.9	180/264/334	154	281	19	14	40%	10%	70	-0.9	224/328/404	179	321	17	26	32%	12%	107	+1.3
●Jack Suwinski 2019 · A	21	41→43	41→60	47→50	40	200/258/299	99	283	8	6	31%	6%	57	-1.8	196/265/325	129	294	14	6	36%	8%	66	-1.1	212/308/419	207	282	28	10	34%	11%	104	+1.4
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	40→48	41→55	46→55	42	198/255/291	92	273	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	206/267/338	132	276	14	13	29%	7%	70	-0.8	229/297/399	170	285	18	21	26%	8%	94	+0.9
✕Jason Martin 2017 · A	21	43→52	47→60	49→50	45	219/279/359	140	286	14	13	28%	8%	79	-0.2	231/278/376	145	308	14	12	28%	6%	82	+0.0	226/292/414	187	279	24	8	28%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Kevin Padlo 2017 · A	21	37→42	47→55	46→50	47	190/279/325	135	275	14	9	34%	10%	73	-0.6	191/275/329	138	281	14	8	34%	9%	72	-0.7	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Isan Díaz 2017 · A	21	43	47→55	45	43	212/278/355	143	302	14	8	33%	8%	78	-0.3	207/279/349	142	299	15	8	34%	8%	78	-0.3	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	41→46	44→55	51→50	42	206/261/333	127	283	11	7	30%	7%	66	-1.1	204/287/354	150	283	17	13	32%	10%	82	-0.0	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	35→45	50→60	51→45	45	190/273/335	145	258	19	8	33%	9%	73	-0.6	230/295/421	191	285	24	6	28%	8%	100	+1.3	232/298/432	200	280	25	7	26%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Conner Capel 2018 · A	21	39→48	47→45	49→55	42	203/257/343	140	262	14	11	28%	6%	68	-1.0	215/268/332	117	289	11	11	28%	6%	69	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Josh Ockimey 2017 · A	21	39→46	48→50	47→30	47	197/280/339	142	281	16	4	34%	10%	76	-0.4	208/288/354	146	317	17	2	36%	10%	82	+0.0	199/287/353	154	300	19	1	37%	10%	81	-0.1
●Triston Casas 2021 · A	21	41→49	48→60	47→40	42	210/274/356	146	292	16	5	33%	7%	77	-0.3	240/324/415	175	298	21	5	25%	11%	109	+2.0	243/339/436	193	292	24	3	24%	12%	119	+2.0
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	38→48	42→55	45→50	49	189/279/298	109	272	9	7	32%	11%	66	-1.1	205/296/340	135	284	14	9	30%	11%	82	-0.0	233/312/421	188	299	22	7	28%	10%	105	+1.6
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2021 · A	22	40→47	42→55	46→45	40	199/252/305	106	273	10	9	30%	6%	57	-1.8	221/280/394	173	275	22	8	27%	7%	88	+0.5	223/287/404	181	270	24	8	27%	8%	92	+0.5
✕Alexander Ovalles 2022 · A	21	45→41	43→50	45→50	45	221/286/331	110	288	10	6	26%	7%	75	-0.5	214/279/336	122	291	13	10	29%	7%	74	-0.5	204/271/332	129	273	15	11	30%	8%	67	-0.5
●Aristides Aquino 2015 · A	21	36→41	47→65	50	35	192/232/329	137	256	14	11	31%	4%	55	-2.0	203/241/343	140	272	14	9	30%	4%	61	-1.5	218/281/448	230	271	34	9	33%	7%	100	+0.8
●Chris Parmelee 2009 · A	21	39→49	49→55	47→45	43	196/274/346	150	297	17	5	38%	9%	75	-0.5	231/300/364	133	301	14	3	26%	9%	88	+0.5	259/324/406	147	305	15	1	19%	8%	107	+1.8
✕John Whittleman 2008 · A	21	42→45	45→50	42→45	49	209/284/334	124	282	12	5	29%	9%	76	-0.4	204/287/321	117	280	10	3	28%	10%	74	-0.5	172/259/320	148	230	18	1	32%	11%	63	-1.0

Brailer Guerrero

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps