Pedro Catuy

OF Visalia Rawhide

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 150 lbs A HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	17	ROKDSL Arizona B…	192	.288/.363/.441	4	18	35	—	.172/.242/.247
2025	19	ROKARI	158	.221/.297/.329	2	5	13	—	.146/.206/.229
2026	20	AARI	289	.240/.312/.388	8	21	51	—	.197/.256/.307
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBARI	399	.196/.247/.295	6	8	52	-0.6
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBARI	78	.207/.259/.318	1	2	57	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed81

ISO58

wOBA30

K%29

wRC+27

Chase%23

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%

CompsVictor Duarte (age 21) · Misael Urbina (age 21) · Jose Cordoba (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 174 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .245 / .293

PA174

HR3

K%29

BB%5

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	192	170	49	10	2	4	15	33	5	18	2	288	363	441	804	153	336	17	8	356	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	158	140	31	7	1	2	12	42	3	5	1	221	297	329	625	107	293	27	8	281	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	289	258	62	12	1	8	22	81	5	21	4	240	312	388	700	147	318	28	8	311	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	192	174	30	5	1	2	11	41	5	18	2	172	242	247	489	75	212	21	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	158	144	21	4	1	2	8	64	3	5	1	146	206	229	436	83	224	41	5	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	289	264	52	9	1	6	16	110	5	21	4	197	256	307	563	110	297	38	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	192	174	30	5	1	2	11	41	5	18	2	172	242	247	489	75	212	21	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	192	170	49	10	2	4	15	33	5	18	2	288	363	441	804	153	336	17	8	356	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	158	144	21	4	1	2	8	64	3	5	1	146	206	229	436	83	235	41	5	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	158	140	31	7	1	2	12	42	3	5	1	221	297	329	625	107	293	27	8	281	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	289	264	52	9	1	6	16	110	5	21	4	197	256	307	563	110	309	38	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	289	258	62	12	1	8	22	81	5	21	4	240	312	388	700	147	318	28	8	311	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	192	174	30	5	1	2	11	41	5	18	2	172	242	247	489	75	212	21	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	158	146	21	4	1	2	8	64	3	5	1	144	206	226	432	82	224	41	5	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	289	266	52	9	1	6	16	110	5	21	4	195	256	305	561	109	297	38	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	158	146	21	4	1	2	8	64	3	5	1	144	206	226	432	82	224	41	5	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	289	266	52	9	1	6	16	110	5	21	4	195	256	305	561	109	297	38	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	399	371	73	14	2	6	20	114	5	8	2	196	247	295	542	99	262	29	5	244	52	-23	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	226	209	42	8	1	4	12	63	3	4	1	201	254	308	562	107	264	28	5	253	57	-12	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	78	73	15	3	1	1	4	22	1	2	0	207	259	318	577	111	274	28	5	259	57	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	78	73	15	3	1	1	4	22	1	2	0	205	256	315	571	110	280	28	5	259	44	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	124	25	8	8	33	183	8	17	0	204	254	311	565	107	278	28	5	259	44	-33	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1039	952	177	32	5	17	56	328	18	52	9	186	245	284	528	98	261	32	5	233	44	-22	+1	+0	-2	+9	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	111	20	3	11	35	205	11	33	6	186	245	285	530	99	260	32	5	233	44	-35	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AVisalia Rawhide · 289 PAwOBA .304 → .243 (−61)K% 28.0% → 38.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.03%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	38.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.61%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.030	5.41%
HBP% /PA	1.73%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	1.39%
Singles /BIP	23.16%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.017	×1.030	22.31%
Doubles /BIP	6.78%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.017	×1.030	5.89%
Triples /BIP	0.56%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.017	×1.030	0.54%
Home runs /BIP	4.52%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.030	3.72%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .304 → .243; ISO .147 → .112; BABIP .318 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL D-backs · 158 PAwOBA .279 → .188 (−90)K% 26.6% → 40.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.58%	÷0.952	×1.440	—	—	40.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.59%	÷0.942	×0.620	—	×1.008	5.03%
HBP% /PA	1.90%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	1.38%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷1.030	×0.820	×0.971	×1.008	16.70%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷0.945	×0.720	×0.971	×1.008	5.33%
Triples /BIP	1.02%	÷0.939	×0.720	×0.971	×1.008	0.77%
Home runs /BIP	2.04%	÷0.862	×0.780	—	×1.008	1.86%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 106, 2B 89, 3B 88, K 90, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .279 → .188; ISO .107 → .075; BABIP .293 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Arizona Black · 192 PAwOBA .349 → .220 (−129)K% 17.2% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.19%	÷0.994	×1.220	—	—	21.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.81%	÷0.989	×0.700	—	×1.022	5.65%
HBP% /PA	2.60%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	1.86%
Singles /BIP	24.09%	÷1.004	×0.680	×0.971	×1.022	16.20%
Doubles /BIP	7.30%	÷1.084	×0.600	×0.971	×1.022	4.01%
Triples /BIP	1.46%	÷0.992	×0.600	×0.971	×1.022	0.88%
Home runs /BIP	2.92%	÷1.039	×0.470	—	×1.022	1.35%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 117, 3B 98, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .349 → .220; ISO .153 → .079; BABIP .336 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
#6Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	252	4	5	199	247	300	-2	+0	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	11	13	-4.0	+0.0	-2.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pedro Catuy (OGILVIE)	21	25	25	45	25	194/245/293	98	262	3	4	29%	5%	52	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→32	41→40	49→50	45	190/258/293	104	259	8	12	29%	8%	57	-1.8	179/258/267	88	262	6	9	31%	9%	51	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	38	39→30	46→50	37	187/233/269	82	257	6	5	29%	4%	40	-3.0	193/240/271	78	304	5	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	142/192/178	36	239	0	6	38%	6%	1	-1.0
✕Orlando Sandoval 2007 · A	21	37	38→40	46→50	36	181/230/261	81	267	5	9	33%	5%	38	-3.2	199/233/277	78	317	5	8	37%	3%	42	-2.9	209/253/309	99	321	7	9	35%	3%	54	-1.0
✕Daniel Berg 2006 · A	21	38	37→40	44→40	40	184/249/253	69	256	5	9	29%	6%	45	-2.7	189/255/279	90	281	7	4	33%	7%	52	-2.2	188/258/276	89	278	8	2	33%	7%	51	-1.2
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	37→41	42→45	45	39	187/239/300	113	260	9	5	31%	6%	51	-2.3	205/255/326	121	270	13	6	28%	6%	63	-1.4	198/253/321	123	239	15	9	24%	6%	58	-1.1
✕Rafael Mejia 2018 · A	20	34	41→30	47→50	37	178/224/272	94	244	9	6	31%	5%	38	-3.2	210/249/338	128	300	15	8	34%	4%	63	-1.3	203/230/369	166	271	24	10	35%	2%	59	-0.4
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Anderson De Los Santos 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	43→50	40	192/247/282	89	269	7	8	30%	6%	49	-2.4	183/261/280	97	274	9	12	34%	9%	55	-1.9	173/266/275	101	253	10	13	33%	10%	53	-1.5
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	39→26	40→45	50	39	190/272/284	94	273	6	12	31%	5%	61	-1.5	170/238/291	121	318	15	12	49%	5%	49	-2.4	137/207/253	116	269	16	13	53%	5%	27	-1.7
✕Carlos Torres 2014 · A	21	37	37→30	47→50	44	181/246/248	67	236	5	9	25%	7%	42	-2.9	186/227/255	69	255	5	6	28%	4%	34	-3.5	181/213/238	56	245	3	4	27%	3%	23	-1.2
✕Justin Twine 2016 · A	20	36→33	38→40	48→50	29	179/209/257	78	263	5	7	34%	2%	28	-3.9	191/230/268	77	296	5	8	36%	3%	39	-3.1	216/252/305	89	320	6	14	33%	3%	54	-1.1
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Jetsy Extrano 2010 · A	21	37	40→30	49→45	40	184/244/279	95	248	8	7	28%	6%	48	-2.5	187/249/272	85	275	6	8	32%	6%	49	-2.4	168/229/228	60	254	4	9	33%	5%	28	-1.3
✕Edgardo Fermin 2019 · A	21	37→32	40	46→45	39	185/232/282	96	255	7	7	30%	5%	43	-2.8	198/248/296	98	310	7	10	36%	5%	53	-2.1	189/249/277	88	322	6	11	41%	6%	47	-0.7
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2024 · A	21	31→24	39→45	47→60	38	161/223/240	80	247	7	10	36%	6%	31	-3.7	167/231/270	103	253	11	20	37%	7%	42	-2.9	159/229/271	111	233	12	30	36%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	45	179/256/239	60	261	4	7	31%	8%	44	-2.8	203/263/257	54	283	2	4	27%	7%	49	-2.4	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	31	39→40	40→50	43	157/245/233	76	238	7	8	35%	8%	39	-3.1	186/267/280	94	282	8	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	172/284/270	98	232	9	2	27%	12%	64	-0.5
✕Riccio Torrez 2012 · A	22	41→34	43→40	46→45	39	205/249/308	103	258	11	7	25%	4%	56	-1.9	193/249/284	91	245	8	5	24%	4%	51	-2.2	184/240/270	86	233	7	4	24%	4%	42	-1.5

Pedro Catuy

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps