Edgardo Fermin
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 25 | INTLCaribes de An… | 51 | .222/.286/.244 | 0 | 1 | 48 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTLNavegantes de… | 42 | .273/.415/.333 | 0 | 0 | 120 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | INTLTigres de Ara… | 20 | .294/.400/.294 | 0 | 0 | 111 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | — | 203 | 164 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 37 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 262 | 386 | 317 | 703 | 55 | 323 | 18 | 13 | 324 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | — | 215 | 174 | 40 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 32 | 27 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 230 | 362 | 316 | 678 | 86 | 265 | 13 | 15 | 311 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | — | 80 | 71 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 352 | 425 | 451 | 876 | 99 | 439 | 18 | 11 | 394 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Columbia Fireflies | — | 471 | 429 | 90 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 108 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 210 | 265 | 343 | 607 | 133 | 256 | 23 | 6 | 266 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 42 | 35 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 314 | 400 | 457 | 857 | 143 | 423 | 24 | 7 | 366 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 137 | 128 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 258 | 307 | 359 | 666 | 102 | 368 | 29 | 5 | 300 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 61 | 60 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 213 | 300 | 513 | 100 | 297 | 36 | 2 | 227 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 66 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 232 | 348 | 375 | 723 | 143 | 306 | 27 | 15 | 331 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 24 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 417 | 389 | 806 | 167 | 333 | 33 | 21 | 376 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Mets | — | 15 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 533 | 400 | 933 | 100 | 500 | 27 | 27 | 441 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 48 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 130 | 167 | 196 | 362 | 65 | 182 | 27 | 4 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 51 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 286 | 244 | 530 | 22 | 256 | 14 | 8 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 42 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 415 | 333 | 748 | 61 | 346 | 19 | 17 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 20 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 294 | 400 | 294 | 694 | 385 | 20 | 10 | 333 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 203 | 171 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 45 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 181 | 289 | 211 | 500 | 29 | 221 | 22 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 215 | 183 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 33 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 153 | 262 | 202 | 464 | 49 | 175 | 15 | 11 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 80 | 74 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 257 | 312 | 324 | 637 | 68 | 355 | 25 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 471 | 439 | 75 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 151 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 171 | 210 | 276 | 486 | 105 | 229 | 32 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 42 | 36 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 306 | 375 | 444 | 819 | 139 | 421 | 26 | 5 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 137 | 130 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 62 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 177 | 219 | 262 | 481 | 85 | 322 | 45 | 4 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 61 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 180 | 250 | 430 | 83 | 267 | 43 | 2 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 66 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 203 | 288 | 339 | 627 | 136 | 285 | 35 | 11 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 24 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 150 | 292 | 300 | 592 | 150 | 289 | 50 | 12 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 467 | 364 | 830 | 91 | 368 | 40 | 20 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 203 | 171 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 45 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 181 | 289 | 211 | 500 | 29 | 236 | 22 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets 1 | — | 203 | 164 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 37 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 262 | 386 | 317 | 703 | 55 | 323 | 18 | 13 | 324 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 215 | 183 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 33 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 153 | 262 | 202 | 464 | 49 | 182 | 15 | 11 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets 1 | — | 215 | 174 | 40 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 32 | 27 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 230 | 362 | 316 | 678 | 86 | 265 | 13 | 15 | 311 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 80 | 74 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 257 | 312 | 324 | 637 | 68 | 352 | 25 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK RAW | Kingsport Mets | — | 80 | 71 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 352 | 425 | 451 | 876 | 99 | 439 | 18 | 11 | 394 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 471 | 439 | 75 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 151 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 171 | 210 | 276 | 486 | 105 | 239 | 32 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A RAW | Columbia Fireflies | — | 471 | 429 | 90 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 108 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 210 | 265 | 343 | 607 | 133 | 256 | 23 | 6 | 266 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 179 | 166 | 35 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 73 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 211 | 260 | 307 | 567 | 96 | 366 | 41 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 179 | 163 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 50 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 270 | 328 | 380 | 708 | 110 | 381 | 28 | 6 | 316 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 166 | 150 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 67 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 173 | 253 | 267 | 520 | 93 | 287 | 40 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 166 | 144 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 52 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 222 | 325 | 347 | 673 | 125 | 318 | 31 | 12 | 309 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | INTL MLE | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 48 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 130 | 167 | 196 | 362 | 65 | 182 | 27 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | INTL RAW | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 48 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 130 | 167 | 196 | 362 | 65 | 182 | 27 | 4 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | INTL MLE | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 51 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 286 | 244 | 530 | 22 | 256 | 14 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | INTL RAW | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 51 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 286 | 244 | 530 | 22 | 256 | 14 | 8 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL MLE | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 42 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 415 | 333 | 748 | 61 | 346 | 19 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL RAW | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 42 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 415 | 333 | 748 | 61 | 346 | 19 | 17 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | INTL MLE | Tigres de Aragua | — | 20 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 294 | 400 | 294 | 694 | 385 | 20 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 27 | INTL RAW | Tigres de Aragua | — | 20 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 294 | 400 | 294 | 694 | 385 | 20 | 10 | 333 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 203 | 175 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 45 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 177 | 289 | 206 | 495 | 29 | 221 | 22 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 215 | 186 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 33 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 151 | 262 | 199 | 461 | 48 | 175 | 15 | 11 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 80 | 74 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 257 | 312 | 324 | 637 | 68 | 355 | 25 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 471 | 446 | 75 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 151 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 168 | 210 | 271 | 482 | 103 | 229 | 32 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 179 | 166 | 35 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 73 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 211 | 260 | 307 | 567 | 96 | 345 | 41 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 166 | 149 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 67 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 174 | 253 | 268 | 521 | 94 | 286 | 40 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1475 | 1324 | 244 | 44 | 12 | 11 | 102 | 421 | 23 | 38 | 17 | 184 | 255 | 261 | 515 | 76 | 257 | 29 | 7 | 201 | 22 | -137 | +1 | +0 | +16 | +32 | -9.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 107 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 186 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 184 | 254 | 259 | 513 | 75 | 256 | 29 | 7 | 201 | 22 | -60 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -3.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 66 PAwOBA .323 → .263 (−60)K% 27.3% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.27% | ÷1.041 | ×1.350 | — | — | 35.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.15% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 10.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.68% | ÷0.957 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 22.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 4.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.925 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 4.71% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 91, 2B 86, 3B 106, K 108, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .323 → .263; ISO .143 → .120; BABIP .306 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 61 PAwOBA .221 → .173 (−48)K% 36.1% → 43.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.07% | ÷1.017 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.64% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 1.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.045 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.027 | 19.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷1.053 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 6.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.995 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.12% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 109, 2B 111, 3B 112, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .221 → .173; ISO .100 → .074; BABIP .297 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ASt. Lucie Mets · 24 PAwOBA .367 → .256 (−111)K% 33.3% → 48.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.945 | ×1.360 | — | — | 47.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.83% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 13.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 3.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 26.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.935 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 8.02% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 106, 2B 87, 3B 127, K 89, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .367 → .256; ISO .167 → .113; BABIP .333 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Mets · 15 PAwOBA .432 → .297 (−136)K% 26.7% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷1.004 | ×1.440 | — | — | 38.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.950 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 16.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.67% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 4.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.040 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 25.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.013 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 11.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 108, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 101, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .432 → .297; ISO .100 → .069; BABIP .500 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+St. Lucie Mets · 137 PAwOBA .289 → .204 (−86)K% 29.2% → 45.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.20% | ÷0.917 | ×1.420 | — | — | 45.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.38% | ÷0.975 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.14% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 22.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.978 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 8.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.062 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.122 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.92% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 110, 2B 96, 3B 112, K 83, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .289 → .204; ISO .102 → .070; BABIP .368 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 42 PAwOBA .365 → .367 (+2)K% 23.8% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷1.083 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷0.942 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 5.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 4.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.00% | ÷1.026 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 27.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷0.945 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.050 | 11.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.050 | 4.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 105, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 117, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .365 → .367; ISO .143 → .155; BABIP .423 → .421. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AColumbia Fireflies · 471 PAwOBA .263 → .211 (−53)K% 22.9% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.93% | ÷0.956 | ×1.340 | — | — | 32.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.94% | ÷1.054 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 3.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.45% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×1.030 | 15.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.92% | ÷0.957 | ×0.820 | ×0.995 | ×1.030 | 5.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.18% | ÷1.066 | ×0.940 | ×0.995 | ×1.030 | 1.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.49% | ÷0.976 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 2.16% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 108, 2B 91, 3B 113, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .263 → .211; ISO .133 → .109; BABIP .256 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKKingsport Mets · 80 PAwOBA .385 → .285 (−100)K% 17.5% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×1.008 | 7.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 26.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 9.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .385 → .285; ISO .099 → .069; BABIP .439 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .