Cam Kozeal — OGILVIE

Cam Kozeal2B Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 22 L/R A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .278 / .346

PA68

HR2

K%28

BB%7

ISO131

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	48	42	9	2	0	2	6	10	0	1	1	214	312	405	717	190	233	21	12	322	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	48	44	8	2	0	2	4	14	0	1	1	182	250	364	614	182	206	29	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	48	44	8	2	0	2	4	14	0	1	1	182	250	364	614	182	214	29	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	48	42	9	2	0	2	6	10	0	1	1	214	312	405	717	190	233	21	12	322	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	48	44	8	2	0	2	4	14	0	1	1	182	250	364	614	182	206	29	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	48	44	8	2	0	2	4	14	0	1	1	182	250	364	614	182	206	29	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	158	144	32	6	1	4	12	45	1	2	1	218	281	349	630	131	286	28	8	282	77	-4	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	25%	164	150	33	6	1	4	12	46	1	3	1	221	284	355	638	134	287	28	7	285	79	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIA	36%	280	255	57	11	1	7	21	78	2	4	1	223	286	359	645	136	288	28	8	288	81	-6	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIA	43%	352	320	71	13	2	9	27	97	2	6	2	224	288	362	650	138	288	28	8	290	83	-7	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIA	47%	399	363	81	15	2	10	30	108	3	6	2	225	290	364	654	139	288	27	8	292	84	-8	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	422	384	86	16	2	11	32	114	3	7	2	225	290	364	654	139	288	27	8	292	84	-8	+1	-2	+2	+9	0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	433	394	87	16	2	11	33	118	3	6	2	223	288	359	647	136	287	27	8	289	82	-9	+0	-3	+2	+9	-0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	433	394	87	16	2	11	33	119	3	6	2	221	285	353	638	132	285	27	8	286	79	-11	+0	-3	+2	+9	-0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIA	47%	429	392	85	16	2	10	32	120	2	5	3	217	282	345	627	128	283	28	7	281	76	-12	-0	-4	+2	+9	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	25%	41	38	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	213	277	339	616	126	278	29	7	276	79	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIA	36%	101	91	18	3	0	2	8	28	1	2	0	215	279	343	623	128	279	28	8	279	81	-2	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIA	43%	150	137	30	5	1	4	11	41	1	2	1	217	281	346	627	130	279	27	7	281	83	-3	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIA	47%	186	169	37	6	1	5	14	51	1	3	1	217	283	348	631	131	279	27	8	283	84	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	201	183	40	7	1	5	15	54	1	3	1	217	283	348	631	130	278	27	7	283	84	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	209	190	41	7	1	5	16	57	1	3	1	216	281	343	624	128	277	27	8	280	82	-4	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	206	187	40	7	1	5	16	57	1	3	1	213	278	337	616	124	276	28	8	277	79	-5	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIA	47%	202	184	40	7	1	5	15	56	1	3	1	210	275	330	605	120	274	28	7	272	76	-6	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1296	1179	253	43	6	32	98	356	7	20	6	215	279	343	621	128	277	27	8	279	81	-29	+2	-8	+5	+28	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	127	22	3	16	49	179	4	10	3	215	280	343	623	129	278	28	8	279	81	-15	+1	-4	+2	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3028	2759	609	114	14	77	229	833	19	45	16	221	285	356	641	135	286	28	8	287	81	-67	+3	-18	+11	+65	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	131	24	3	17	49	179	4	10	3	221	285	358	643	137	286	28	8	287	81	-15	+1	-4	+2	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
/162	664	13	4	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.1	1,363	34	20	223	284	359	+5	-13	1.3	1.3
/162	664	17	10	+2.4	-6.2	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cam Kozeal (OGILVIE)	22	30→45	40→50	45	40	216/278/346	130	286	2	1	28%	7%	77	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	40→43	47→55	45	43	202/273/336	134	296	14	8	35%	8%	72	-0.7	214/284/363	149	300	16	8	32%	8%	82	+0.0	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Leandro Pineda 2024 · A	22	39→49	42→50	48→45	42	191/259/302	111	275	9	6	33%	7%	59	-1.6	213/280/341	128	279	13	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	43→48	45	47→55	44	214/274/339	125	284	11	11	28%	7%	72	-0.7	217/269/335	118	286	12	10	27%	6%	70	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Anthony Hatch 2006 · A	22	42→49	45→50	46→40	38	210/256/338	129	287	12	4	31%	5%	65	-1.2	228/283/370	142	278	13	5	22%	6%	83	+0.1	227/283/367	140	272	14	3	22%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Luis Liberato 2019 · A	23	42→50	47→50	44→50	41	213/260/351	139	283	14	6	30%	6%	70	-0.8	225/272/352	127	297	14	7	28%	6%	74	-0.5	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Alexander Ovalles 2023 · AA	22	43→41	47→50	46→50	45	217/281/349	132	278	14	8	27%	7%	78	-0.3	214/279/323	109	308	11	11	32%	8%	71	-0.8	177/255/227	50	295	4	15	38%	10%	36	-0.7
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	37→42	46→55	44→50	48	186/273/317	131	265	13	8	33%	10%	68	-1.0	200/284/350	150	294	15	9	35%	9%	80	-0.2	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	38	45→55	47→45	46	195/271/314	120	240	13	8	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/270/381	166	280	21	4	31%	6%	82	-0.0	212/261/402	190	265	27	0	32%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	38→42	48→55	46→50	35	200/242/343	143	282	16	6	35%	5%	61	-1.5	216/272/376	160	285	20	8	31%	6%	81	-0.1	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Daniel Palka 2014 · A	22	44→43	44→55	44→50	44	216/276/336	120	286	11	5	28%	7%	73	-0.6	206/262/372	166	293	20	9	35%	7%	76	-0.4	207/274/387	180	261	25	4	31%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Imanol Vargas 2021 · A	23	42→43	44→50	46→45	47	204/287/322	118	294	12	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	206/286/361	155	328	19	4	39%	10%	83	+0.1	198/285/355	157	311	19	2	39%	10%	79	-0.2
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2019 · A	22	40→45	44→50	50	38	198/259/324	126	291	11	7	34%	6%	64	-1.3	217/266/355	138	298	15	9	31%	5%	74	-0.6	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Creed Willems 2024 · A	21	33→43	47→50	45→30	38	180/243/305	126	255	16	3	35%	6%	55	-2.0	206/269/346	140	260	17	3	27%	6%	74	-0.6	210/277/346	136	255	18	1	25%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43	43→50	44→45	47	212/287/326	114	278	11	8	27%	8%	75	-0.5	230/291/359	129	287	12	8	23%	7%	84	+0.1	225/286/348	123	283	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Ademar Rifaela 2017 · A	22	39→45	46→50	44→45	38	202/248/330	128	280	14	5	33%	5%	61	-1.5	221/267/351	130	318	14	5	33%	5%	73	-0.6	221/268/350	129	317	13	3	33%	5%	71	-0.6
✕Isiah Gilliam 2018 · A	22	42→47	47→55	46→55	40	213/267/352	138	293	14	6	31%	6%	74	-0.6	198/250/317	119	325	13	7	40%	6%	59	-1.7	219/300/388	170	334	20	19	38%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Jason Vosler 2016 · A	22	41→44	44→55	42→40	46	206/266/320	113	241	12	5	20%	6%	65	-1.2	206/267/330	124	263	13	3	26%	6%	68	-1.0	215/279/377	162	266	21	3	27%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A	22	44→43	43→55	49→50	46	211/294/330	119	311	10	8	33%	9%	78	-0.3	196/273/340	144	288	15	11	35%	9%	73	-0.6	211/288/384	173	313	19	12	36%	9%	85	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps