Nehomar Ochoa Jr.

OF Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 22 R/R 6'4" / 230 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	AHOU	83	.162/.244/.216	1	1	-4	—	.132/.195/.184
2025	20	ROKHOU	22	.143/.182/.143	0	0	-49	—	.095/.136/.095
2026	21	A+HOU	126	.305/.339/.576	6	11	84	—	.242/.266/.458
2026	21	AHOU	146	.270/.366/.429	5	18	69	—	.214/.290/.336
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBHOU	382	.184/.243/.305	9	13	53	-0.8
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBHOU	106	.192/.252/.322	3	4	60	-0.3
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBHOU	179	.197/.258/.333	5	6	64	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed98

ISO93

wOBA77

wRC+64

Chase%51

Whiff%33

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsJase Bowen (age 22) · Brayan Buelvas (age 22) · Max Wagner (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 261 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .241 / .303

PA261

HR6

SB9

K%36

BB%6

ISO121

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	FCL Astros	—	42	36	8	2	0	3	3	7	2	1	0	222	317	528	845	306	185	17	7	359	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	INTL	Perth Heat	—	113	105	25	6	1	1	4	34	3	3	0	238	286	343	629	105	338	30	4	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	394	343	76	15	1	10	38	116	11	17	5	222	319	359	677	137	301	29	10	308	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	83	74	12	1	0	1	7	26	1	1	2	162	244	216	460	54	229	31	8	217	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	22	21	3	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	143	182	143	325		231	36	5	155	-49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	126	118	36	12	1	6	6	41	0	11	1	305	339	576	915	271	411	33	5	390	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	146	126	34	5	0	5	17	40	2	18	2	270	366	429	794	159	354	27	12	355	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	58	47	10	1	2	1	8	15	3	6	0	213	362	383	745	170	290	26	14	342	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	42	37	6	2	0	2	2	10	2	1	0	162	244	378	622	216	143	24	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	394	354	57	10	1	7	27	154	11	17	5	161	242	254	497	93	252	39	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	83	76	10	1	0	1	5	36	1	1	2	132	195	184	379	53	209	43	6	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	22	21	2	0	0	0	1	12	0	0	0	95	136	95	232		197	55	5	96	-49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	126	120	29	9	1	5	4	54	0	11	1	242	266	458	724	217	351	43	3	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	146	131	28	4	0	4	12	54	2	18	2	214	290	336	626	122	317	37	8	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	155	141	21	6	0	6	7	35	5	4	0	149	216	319	535	170	147	23	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	155	141	33	8	1	4	7	41	5	4	0	234	294	390	684	156	296	26	5	302	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	394	354	57	10	1	7	27	154	11	17	5	161	242	254	497	93	256	39	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	394	343	76	15	1	10	38	116	11	17	5	222	319	359	677	137	301	29	10	308	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	105	98	12	1	0	1	5	47	1	1	2	122	173	163	336	41	216	45	5	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	105	95	15	1	0	1	8	34	1	1	2	158	231	200	431	42	230	32	8	204	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	330	303	67	15	1	10	19	131	5	35	3	221	278	376	655	155	345	40	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	3 teams	—	330	291	80	18	3	12	31	96	5	35	3	275	355	481	836	206	366	29	9	366	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	155	142	21	6	0	6	7	35	5	4	0	148	216	317	533	169	143	23	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	394	353	57	10	1	7	27	154	11	17	5	161	242	255	497	93	252	39	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	105	98	12	1	0	1	5	47	1	1	2	122	173	163	336	41	206	45	5	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	330	303	67	15	1	10	19	131	5	35	3	221	278	376	655	155	333	40	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	394	353	57	10	1	7	27	154	11	17	5	161	242	255	497	93	252	39	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	105	98	12	1	0	1	5	47	1	1	2	122	173	163	336	41	206	45	5	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	330	303	67	15	1	10	19	131	5	35	3	221	278	376	655	155	333	40	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	382	352	65	13	1	9	23	139	4	13	2	184	243	305	549	121	269	36	6	247	53	-21	+2	+0	-2	+8	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	309	284	53	10	1	8	19	109	3	10	2	190	251	320	571	130	271	35	6	256	60	-15	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.9
2029	24	MLB MLE	HOU	46%	388	356	69	13	1	11	25	134	4	12	2	195	256	331	587	136	273	35	6	263	64	-17	+2	+0	-2	+8	-0.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	432	395	78	15	1	12	29	146	5	13	2	198	261	337	598	139	275	34	7	268	67	-17	+2	+0	-3	+9	-0.8
2031	26	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	459	420	83	16	1	13	31	153	5	14	2	200	264	341	605	141	275	33	7	270	69	-17	+2	+0	-3	+10	-0.8
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	106	97	19	4	0	3	7	37	1	4	1	192	252	322	575	130	276	35	7	258	60	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	HOU	46%	179	163	33	7	1	5	12	62	2	6	1	197	258	333	591	135	278	35	7	265	64	-8	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	223	204	41	8	1	6	15	75	2	7	1	200	262	339	602	139	279	34	7	269	67	-9	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	249	227	46	9	1	7	17	83	3	7	1	203	265	343	608	140	280	33	7	272	69	-9	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	757	691	139	28	3	21	51	257	8	24	4	201	264	342	606	140	283	34	7	267	58	-31	+3	+0	-5	+16	-1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	120	24	3	18	44	221	7	21	3	202	266	344	610	142	286	34	7	267	58	-26	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2833	2591	485	95	7	74	178	1004	42	115	20	187	251	315	566	128	269	35	6	254	58	-80	+8	+0	-11	+40	-4.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	112	22	2	17	41	230	10	26	5	189	253	318	571	130	271	35	6	254	58	-28	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.5	1,018	28	33	195	253	328	-6	+0	-1.9	-0.9
/162	664	18	21	-4.0	+0.0	-1.2	pk7: 0
#5Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3
#6Howie Schultz'43-'48 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	24	15	233*	271*	383*	-30	-2	-3.6	-3.6
/162	664	9	6	-11.8	-0.7	-1.4	pk7: -4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nehomar Ochoa Jr. (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	45→50	62→67	47	183/241/303	120	269	6	9	36%	6%	53	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→42	44→50	55	35	195/250/303	109	296	12	14	37%	5%	56	-1.9	203/253/327	124	287	14	19	33%	5%	62	-1.4	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Brayan Buelvas 2024 · AA	22	37→45	46→50	55	41	190/252/319	129	260	13	18	32%	7%	61	-1.5	204/265/326	122	293	11	16	32%	7%	66	-1.1	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Max Wagner 2024 · AA	22	41→38	46→50	55→50	42	204/275/332	128	291	13	18	33%	8%	72	-0.7	195/261/317	122	302	13	12	37%	7%	63	-1.3	190/255/330	140	291	17	7	39%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	38	49→50	54→50	37	197/258/345	148	285	17	14	36%	6%	69	-0.9	206/268/346	140	308	16	13	36%	7%	73	-0.6	188/254/312	124	285	15	12	37%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Miguel Hiraldo 2023 · A	22	41→46	43→45	56→55	38	200/251/308	108	302	10	21	36%	6%	57	-1.8	216/263/319	103	337	10	20	37%	5%	63	-1.3	221/269/319	98	346	9	22	37%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Joe Gray Jr. 2023 · A	23	32→35	47→45	55→50	38	170/244/306	136	269	15	14	41%	8%	55	-1.9	179/236/276	97	270	10	13	36%	6%	44	-2.8	176/220/261	85	252	10	14	34%	4%	32	-2.9
✕P.J. Hilson 2024 · A	23	37	46→50	56→50	35	195/241/325	130	266	14	13	32%	4%	57	-1.8	196/242/318	122	267	15	15	32%	4%	56	-1.9	183/233/293	110	250	15	19	33%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Loidel Chapelli 2024 · A	22	39→36	43→45	56→55	46	196/271/312	116	271	10	18	30%	8%	65	-1.2	196/259/284	88	300	7	17	34%	7%	54	-2.0	176/233/238	63	279	4	20	36%	6%	31	-2.0
✕Michael Crouse 2013 · A	22	37→40	45→50	52→55	37	182/250/306	124	299	13	19	42%	7%	57	-1.8	199/264/316	117	311	10	18	37%	7%	63	-1.3	197/265/323	127	300	12	19	36%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Matt Gorski 2022 · A	24	36→34	46→55	54→55	35	183/236/304	120	288	14	16	40%	6%	51	-2.3	199/250/359	160	279	20	20	35%	6%	69	-0.9	190/239/355	165	267	20	14	36%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Johan Lopez 2022 · A	22	44	44→45	56→55	44	210/292/329	119	303	11	16	32%	8%	78	-0.3	197/269/298	101	299	9	12	35%	8%	62	-1.4	173/246/259	86	259	8	12	34%	7%	43	-1.0
✕Stanley Tucker 2024 · A	22	39	41→45	53→65	36	188/242/288	100	308	9	11	40%	6%	49	-2.4	187/256/270	83	274	7	23	32%	8%	50	-2.3	180/250/264	84	241	8	36	28%	8%	44	-1.3
✕Junior Perez 2024 · A	23	39→40	43→50	55	39	185/256/292	108	313	10	25	42%	8%	56	-1.9	183/253/316	133	294	14	24	40%	8%	60	-1.6	172/245/318	146	265	16	25	39%	8%	56	-1.4
✕Travis Witherspoon 2011 · A	22	42→47	43→45	57→55	34	208/247/314	106	303	11	13	35%	4%	56	-1.9	213/264/325	112	292	12	23	30%	6%	65	-1.2	208/268/334	126	273	14	25	28%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39→44	43→45	59→60	44	194/276/302	108	285	11	31	34%	9%	66	-1.1	210/284/328	118	287	11	35	29%	8%	74	-0.5	210/283/330	120	279	11	40	27%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Gavin Cross 2024 · A	23	37→40	47→50	55	42	190/264/327	138	277	14	18	35%	8%	68	-1.0	203/255/336	133	283	15	23	32%	6%	65	-1.2	200/247/333	133	277	16	26	33%	5%	59	-1.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	43→30	38→45	57→50	41	200/268/280	80	315	5	16	36%	8%	57	-1.8	210/268/332	122	313	12	13	35%	6%	69	-0.9	200/258/307	108	293	11	16	34%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Michael O'Neill 2015 · A	23	43→41	42→45	56→55	37	208/262/309	102	301	10	22	33%	5%	61	-1.5	203/250/299	96	294	8	17	32%	5%	54	-2.0	208/259/316	108	298	10	22	32%	5%	59	-1.2
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	35→44	48→50	56→55	32	181/235/320	139	288	15	20	42%	5%	54	-2.0	206/266/342	136	290	16	22	33%	6%	71	-0.8	211/276/340	129	293	14	25	32%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Monte Harrison 2018 · A	22	41→45	45→50	53→60	34	201/260/324	123	319	13	15	39%	6%	65	-1.2	214/271/342	128	354	14	24	41%	6%	73	-0.6	201/270/324	123	349	15	41	43%	7%	65	-0.6

Nehomar Ochoa Jr.

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps