Colt Emerson

SS Seattle Mariners

Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 195 lbs MLB K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2033 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

MLBD6040-MANExtFA 2034

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	AModesto Nuts	193	.293/.445/.427	2	6	119	—	.275/.393/.388
2025	20	AASEA	161	.282/.362/.430	3	7	102	—	.260/.325/.397
2025	20	A+SEA	412	.281/.394/.453	11	6	101	—	.244/.335/.381
2026	21	MLBSEA	241	.190/.248/.335	8	3	63	-0.1
2027PROJ	22	MLBSEA	315	.200/.272/.341	9	8	75	0.3
2028PROJ82% MLB	23	MLBSEA	449	.204/.277/.352	14	11	79	0.6
2029PROJ82% MLB	24	MLBSEA	462	.206/.279/.358	15	11	81	0.8

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractCONFIRMED

Control thru2033Service0.000First FA2034

2027Ext$4M2028Ext$8M2029Ext$11M2030Ext$14M2031Ext$17M2032Ext$19M2033Ext$20M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Speed40

Barrel%25

Avg EV19

xwOBA10

CompsBrayan Rocchio (age 22) · Corey Patterson (age 22) · Jason Martin (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .272 / .341

PA315

HR9

SB8

K%30

BB%8

BABIP261

ISO145

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$54M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 62 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT62

xAVG

100.196

POWER52

Barrel%

255.0

Avg EV

1986.7

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED50

Sprint

4027.0

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext	$4M	+0.5	$2M	-$2M
2028	Ext	$8M	+0.6	$2M	-$5M
2029	Ext	$11M	+0.8	$3M	-$6M
2030	Ext	$14M	+0.9	$3M	-$7M
2031	Ext	$17M	+0.8	$2M	-$9M
2032	Ext	$19M	+0.8	$2M	-$9M
2033	Ext	$20M	+0.6	$2M	-$9M
Totals		$94M		$16M	-$48M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$48M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	A	Modesto Nuts	—	79	63	19	6	0	1	11	14	4	4	0	302	430	444	875	143	375	18	14	396	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	35	28	15	4	0	1	6	6	1	4	0	536	629	786	1.414	250	667	17	17	605	193	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	139	120	27	5	0	2	15	30	4	9	1	225	331	317	648	92	284	22	11	303	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	193	150	44	12	1	2	35	27	6	6	1	293	445	427	872	133	341	14	18	395	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	62	54	20	9	0	0	6	14	1	8	0	370	443	537	980	167	488	23	10	426	175	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	27	22	8	2	0	2	3	6	1	1	1	364	462	727	1.189	364	400	22	11	488	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	161	142	40	10	1	3	14	31	4	7	0	282	362	430	792	148	339	19	9	354	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	412	342	96	16	5	11	54	68	10	6	4	281	394	453	847	173	316	17	13	375	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	241	221	42	6	1	8	15	83	2	3	1	190	248	335	583	145	258	34	6	259	63	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2026	21	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	169	145	37	8	1	7	17	46	4	10	3	255	349	469	818	214	323	27	10	357	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	241	221	42	6	1	8	15	83	2	3	1	190	248	335	583	145	258	34	6	259	61	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	79	67	19	5	0	1	8	19	4	4	0	284	392	403	795	119	369	24	10	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	35	30	12	3	0	1	4	9	1	4	0	400	486	600	1.086	200	542	26	11	453	193	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	139	125	23	4	0	1	10	40	4	9	1	184	266	240	506	56	260	29	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	193	160	44	10	1	2	25	37	6	6	1	275	393	388	780	112	331	19	13	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	27	24	7	2	0	1	1	7	1	1	1	292	346	500	846	208	357	26	4	421	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	161	146	38	9	1	3	10	36	4	7	0	260	325	397	722	137	319	22	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	412	357	87	14	4	9	39	96	10	6	4	244	335	381	716	137	296	23	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	241	221	42	6	1	8	15	83	2	3	1	190	248	335	583	145	258	34	6	262	63	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2026	21	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	169	150	34	7	1	5	12	55	4	10	3	227	301	387	688	160	315	33	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	114	97	31	8	0	2	12	27	5	8	0	320	421	464	885	144	426	24	11	379	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	114	91	34	10	0	2	17	20	5	8	0	374	491	549	1.041	176	464	18	15	460	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	394	338	79	17	1	4	42	92	11	23	2	234	338	325	663	92	306	23	11	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	3 teams	—	394	324	91	26	1	4	56	71	11	23	2	281	404	404	808	123	345	18	14	367	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	600	526	134	26	5	14	51	139	15	14	5	255	338	403	741	148	315	23	8	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	600	506	144	28	6	16	71	105	15	14	5	285	389	458	847	174	326	18	12	374	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	410	371	77	13	2	13	27	138	6	13	4	208	272	358	631	151	287	34	7	279	75	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2026	21	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	410	366	79	14	2	15	32	129	6	13	4	216	290	388	678	172	284	31	8	299	75	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2023	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	114	96	31	8	0	2	12	27	5	8	0	323	421	469	890	146	422	24	11	379	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	394	338	79	17	1	4	42	92	11	23	2	234	338	325	663	92	301	23	11	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	600	529	134	26	5	14	51	139	15	14	5	253	338	401	739	147	305	23	8	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	410	374	77	13	2	13	27	138	6	13	4	206	272	356	628	150	281	34	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	394	338	79	17	1	4	42	92	11	23	2	234	338	325	663	92	301	23	11	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	600	529	134	26	5	14	51	139	15	14	5	253	338	401	739	147	305	23	8	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	410	374	77	13	2	13	27	138	6	13	4	206	272	356	628	150	281	34	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	468	423	85	15	2	14	35	141	7	11	3	202	274	347	621	145	263	30	7	279	75	-14	+1	+2	+5	+10	0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	315	283	57	10	2	9	24	95	5	8	2	200	272	341	614	141	261	30	8	276	75	-9	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	548	493	102	18	3	17	42	162	8	13	4	206	279	358	637	152	264	30	8	285	79	-14	+1	+2	+6	+12	0.7
2029	24	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	564	508	106	19	3	18	43	165	8	14	4	208	281	364	646	156	265	29	8	288	81	-13	+1	+2	+6	+12	0.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	569	512	107	19	3	19	44	166	8	14	4	209	282	367	649	158	266	29	8	290	82	-12	+1	+2	+6	+12	1.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	569	512	107	19	3	19	44	166	8	13	4	209	283	366	649	158	265	29	8	290	82	-12	+1	+2	+6	+12	1.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	564	507	106	19	3	18	44	165	8	13	4	208	282	364	646	156	265	29	8	289	81	-12	+1	+2	+6	+12	0.9
2033	28	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	556	500	104	18	3	18	43	164	8	11	3	206	280	360	639	153	264	29	8	286	80	-13	+1	+2	+6	+12	0.7
2034	29	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	544	489	99	17	2	17	42	162	8	8	3	204	277	354	631	150	263	30	8	283	77	-15	+0	+1	+6	+12	0.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	532	479	96	17	2	16	41	160	7	6	2	201	274	346	621	145	262	30	8	278	75	-16	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	449	405	83	15	2	14	34	133	7	11	3	204	277	352	629	149	262	30	8	282	79	-11	+1	+2	+5	+10	0.6
2029	24	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	462	416	86	15	2	15	36	135	7	11	3	206	279	358	638	153	263	29	8	285	81	-10	+1	+2	+5	+10	0.8
2030	25	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	467	421	86	15	2	15	36	136	7	11	3	206	280	361	641	154	263	29	8	287	82	-10	+1	+2	+5	+10	0.9
2031	26	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	467	421	86	15	2	15	36	136	7	11	3	206	281	360	641	154	263	29	8	287	82	-10	+1	+2	+5	+10	0.8
2032	27	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	462	416	86	15	2	15	36	135	7	10	3	205	280	358	638	153	262	29	8	285	81	-10	+1	+2	+5	+10	0.8
2033	28	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	456	411	84	15	2	14	36	135	6	9	3	204	278	354	632	150	262	30	8	283	80	-11	+1	+1	+5	+10	0.6
2034	29	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	446	402	81	14	2	14	35	133	6	7	2	202	275	348	623	146	261	30	8	280	77	-12	+1	+1	+5	+10	0.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	436	393	79	14	2	13	34	131	6	5	2	199	272	341	613	142	259	30	8	276	75	-13	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3886	3506	713	124	17	123	298	1157	55	78	23	203	276	354	630	150	263	30	8	282	83	-99	+6	+12	+43	+84	4.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	120	21	3	21	50	194	9	13	4	205	278	358	636	154	265	30	8	282	83	-17	+1	+2	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	6279	5615	1205	220	32	184	499	1801	105	158	41	215	291	363	654	149	278	29	8	291	83	-127	+8	+16	+55	+108	6.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	125	23	3	19	52	186	11	16	4	215	292	363	655	148	279	29	8	291	83	-17	+1	+2	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Paul DeJonglast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,500 PA	5.3	3,500	146	29	229	294	416	+36	+35	16.1	16.0
/162	664	28	6	+6.8	+6.6	3.1	pk7: 16
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Alex Gonzalez'94-'06 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,528 PA	8.3	5,528	137	97	232*	290*	379*	+55	+6	8.3	10.0
/162	664	16	12	+6.6	+0.8	1.0	pk7: 12
#5Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.4	4,237	135	87	206	275	359	+45	+20	6.2	6.0
/162	664	21	14	+7.1	+3.2	1.0	pk7: 6
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colt Emerson (OGILVIE)	22	56→62	48→52	51→50	58	200/272/344	144	263	10	8	30%	7%	75	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brayan Rocchio 2023 · AAA	22	47→56	47→45	46→50	44	233/294/368	135	288	14	13	24%	6%	87	+0.4	234/302/353	119	283	9	16	20%	8%	86	+0.3	225/297/350	125	260	12	16	18%	7%	85	+0.2
●Corey Patterson 2002 · MLB	22	44→54	49→55	52→60	43	226/283/367	141	268	18	14	24%	6%	83	+0.1	258/294/419	161	313	17	20	23%	4%	99	+1.2	263/300/434	170	320	18	24	23%	4%	105	+1.6
✕Jason Martin 2018 · AA	22	43→52	49→60	47→50	41	221/271/374	153	296	16	13	31%	6%	80	-0.2	235/282/374	139	306	13	12	26%	6%	83	+0.1	226/292/414	187	279	24	8	28%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Reid Brignac 2008 · AA	22	47→54	49→55	49→50	43	240/288/392	151	290	17	10	24%	6%	90	+0.6	239/280/373	134	296	13	8	23%	5%	82	+0.0	242/280/370	128	301	12	6	23%	4%	81	-0.1
✕Marcelo Mayer 2024 · AA	21	42→47	49→50	50	43	213/279/366	153	297	17	12	33%	8%	81	-0.1	235/289/373	138	304	15	10	26%	7%	86	+0.3	240/295/371	130	302	14	9	24%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	48→50	47→50	50	43	237/295/379	142	319	15	10	30%	7%	90	+0.6	234/295/375	141	317	14	12	29%	7%	89	+0.5	230/294/371	141	309	14	12	29%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	42→48	48→55	52→55	44	215/274/360	145	274	16	12	28%	7%	78	-0.3	228/295/388	160	293	16	20	27%	8%	92	+0.7	227/300/392	165	291	17	22	27%	9%	94	+0.7
✕Angel Martínez 2024 · AAA	22	47→50	45→50	49→50	45	230/291/357	127	290	12	10	25%	7%	83	+0.1	235/287/374	139	287	14	11	23%	6%	86	+0.3	236/284/389	154	280	16	12	22%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Nick Yorke 2024 · AA	22	48→57	46→50	50→55	43	236/293/366	130	314	14	13	29%	7%	86	+0.3	248/304/358	110	328	11	17	26%	7%	88	+0.4	250/308/351	102	325	10	18	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Oswaldo Cabrera 2022 · AAA	23	44→49	52→55	50	40	229/273/400	170	296	20	15	30%	6%	86	+0.3	228/283/373	145	288	16	15	26%	7%	84	+0.2	241/292/345	104	296	13	9	23%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Eric Duncan 2007 · AAA	22	44	48→50	47→45	46	221/286/361	140	279	15	5	26%	8%	82	+0.0	212/264/330	118	266	12	5	24%	6%	67	-1.1	214/252/344	129	272	15	5	27%	4%	64	-0.8
✕Jason Pridie 2006 · AA	22	43→53	46→50	55	39	215/265/350	135	303	13	16	33%	6%	72	-0.7	235/269/348	113	299	9	17	24%	4%	72	-0.7	249/278/382	133	310	11	22	23%	3%	81	-0.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→45	48→50	57→55	45	200/273/344	144	263	16	19	30%	8%	74	-0.5	218/289/354	136	286	15	17	28%	8%	82	+0.0	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Noelvi Marte 2024 · MLB	22	50→55	48→50	52→55	47	247/311/388	140	308	15	19	24%	8%	98	+1.2	242/287/373	131	305	14	18	25%	5%	85	+0.2	241/280/371	130	301	15	19	24%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Drew Gilbert 2024 · AA	23	49→50	49→50	49→45	47	248/313/399	151	299	17	12	23%	8%	101	+1.4	225/300/374	149	266	16	8	22%	8%	91	+0.7	217/301/368	151	248	17	6	20%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Drew Romo 2024 · AAA	22	46→51	44→50	49→50	43	226/272/344	118	281	11	12	24%	6%	73	-0.6	225/274/353	128	286	14	6	25%	5%	76	-0.4	216/270/344	129	272	15	4	26%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Javier Herrera 2008 · AAA	23	46→53	48→50	48→50	40	228/286/368	139	302	16	14	29%	6%	84	+0.2	232/282/366	134	315	14	12	30%	6%	82	-0.0	240/295/373	133	325	13	14	29%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	38→47	50	49→45	40	199/259/356	156	271	17	9	33%	6%	72	-0.7	217/277/354	137	301	14	7	31%	7%	78	-0.3	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Isan Díaz 2019 · AAA	23	41→43	46→55	50→45	44	205/277/341	136	298	13	10	34%	8%	75	-0.5	217/287/367	150	293	17	6	30%	8%	84	+0.2	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Marco Luciano 2024 · MLB	22	42→51	50	49→45	44	213/286/366	154	304	19	7	35%	9%	84	+0.2	220/302/360	140	318	16	8	33%	10%	88	+0.5	219/303/364	145	307	18	7	32%	10%	87	+0.3

Colt Emerson

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps