A.J. Ewing — OGILVIE

A.J. EwingSS New York Mets

Age 21 L/R 5'10" / 160 lbs MLB Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION354 act + 236 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†104

AVG/OBP/SLG.256 / .329 / .393

PA236

HR5

SB17

K%24

BB%9

BABIP327

ISO137

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT53

xwOBA

780.341

POWER39

Barrel%

467.7

Avg EV

5789.6

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED68

Sprint

9029.5

DEFENSE57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+1.6	$13M	+$13M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.0	$30M	+$29M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.3	$30M	+$29M
2029	Arb-1	$10M	+4.4	$28M	+$21M
2030	Arb-2	$17M	+4.6	$27M	+$16M
2031	Arb-3	$26M	+4.6	$25M	+$10M
Totals		$55M		$153M	+$117M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	21	16	3	1	0	0	3	10	2	1	0	188	381	250	631	62	500	48	14	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	21	14	4	1	0	0	5	6	2	1	0	286	524	357	881	71	500	29	24	427	185	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	382	335	62	11	2	10	41	160	2	13	6	185	278	319	597	134	308	42	11	264	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	382	313	73	13	3	10	63	109	2	13	6	233	365	390	755	157	318	29	16	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	3 teams	—	564	508	137	23	8	3	45	136	5	70	11	270	335	364	699	94	357	24	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	3 teams	—	564	485	153	26	10	3	68	105	5	70	11	315	405	429	834	113	392	19	12	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	MLB	NYM	—	354	312	89	17	3	9	37	82	1	26	7	285	363	446	808	160	359	23	10	351	127	+11	+2	+0	+4	+10	2.8
YTD	21	MLB	NYM	—	354	305	91	18	3	9	44	77	1	26	7	298	389	466	854	167	371	22	12	377	146	+19	+2	+0	+4	+10	3.5
ROS	21	MLB	NYM	100%	236	211	54	10	2	5	22	57	1	17	4	256	329	393	722	137	327	24	9	321	104	+1	+2	+1	+3	+7	1.3
ROS	21	MLB	NYM	100%	236	211	54	10	2	5	22	57	1	17	4	256	329	393	722	137	327	24	9	317	101	+0	+2	+1	+3	+7	1.2
FULL	21	MLB	NYM	—	590	523	143	27	5	14	59	139	2	43	11	273	349	424	774	151	346	24	10	337	116	+11	+4	+1	+6	+17	4.0
TOT	21	MLB	NYM	—	590	523	143	27	5	14	59	139	2	43	11	273	349	424	774	151	346	24	10	339	118	+12	+4	+1	+6	+17	4.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	NYM	92%	660	588	150	27	5	13	63	160	4	44	10	255	331	384	716	129	328	24	10	322	105	+4	+5	+2	+7	+19	3.7
2028	23	MLB	NYM	92%	658	585	151	27	5	14	64	156	4	44	10	258	335	393	729	135	328	24	10	328	109	+7	+5	+2	+7	+19	4.0
2029	24	MLB	NYM	92%	648	575	151	27	5	15	64	152	4	43	10	263	341	405	746	143	329	23	10	332	112	+9	+5	+2	+7	+18	4.2
2030	25	MLB	NYM	92%	648	575	151	27	5	15	64	151	4	43	10	263	341	405	746	143	329	23	10	334	114	+10	+5	+2	+7	+18	4.3
2031	26	MLB	NYM	92%	648	574	152	27	5	16	65	150	4	43	10	265	344	413	757	148	329	23	10	336	115	+11	+5	+2	+7	+18	4.4
2032	27	MLB	NYM	92%	643	569	149	26	5	15	65	150	4	43	10	262	342	404	746	142	329	23	10	336	115	+11	+5	+2	+7	+18	4.4
2033	28	MLB	NYM	92%	635	561	147	26	5	15	65	149	4	40	9	262	343	406	749	144	329	23	10	335	114	+10	+4	+1	+7	+18	4.2
2034	29	MLB	NYM	92%	623	550	144	25	5	15	64	147	4	37	8	262	343	407	750	145	328	24	10	333	113	+9	+4	+1	+7	+18	3.9
2035	30	MLB	NYM	92%	611	540	140	24	5	14	63	146	3	33	7	259	340	400	740	141	327	24	10	330	111	+8	+4	-0	+7	+17	3.6
2036	31	MLB	NYM	92%	596	527	135	23	5	13	61	144	3	28	6	256	337	393	730	137	325	24	10	326	108	+5	+3	-1	+6	+17	3.2
2037	32	MLB	NYM	92%	577	510	128	22	4	12	59	142	3	22	5	251	332	380	713	129	322	25	10	321	104	+3	+2	-2	+6	+16	2.6
2038	33	MLB	NYM	92%	547	483	120	20	4	11	56	137	3	16	4	248	330	375	705	126	319	25	10	314	99	-1	+2	-2	+6	+15	2.0
2039	34	MLB	NYM	88%	499	444	106	17	4	9	50	128	2	11	2	239	319	356	674	117	313	26	10	306	92	-4	+1	-3	+5	+14	1.4
2040	35	MLB	NYM	83%	443	394	91	14	3	8	44	117	2	7	2	231	311	343	654	112	307	26	10	296	85	-8	+1	-4	+5	+13	0.6
2041	36	MLB	NYM	74%	382	339	76	11	3	6	38	104	2	4	1	224	306	327	634	103	302	27	10	286	77	-10	+0	-5	+4	+11	0.0
2042	37	MLB	NYM	65%	316	281	60	8	2	4	31	89	1	2	0	214	294	299	593	85	295	28	10	275	69	-11	+0	-6	+3	+9	-0.4
2027	22	MLB	NYM	92%	607	541	139	25	5	12	58	147	3	41	9	257	332	388	720	131	327	24	10	318	102	+1	+5	+2	+7	+17	3.2
2028	23	MLB	NYM	92%	605	538	140	25	5	13	59	144	3	40	9	260	337	398	734	138	328	24	10	324	106	+4	+4	+2	+6	+17	3.5
2029	24	MLB	NYM	92%	596	530	140	25	5	14	58	140	3	40	9	264	340	409	750	145	329	23	10	328	109	+6	+4	+2	+6	+17	3.6
2030	25	MLB	NYM	92%	596	529	140	25	5	14	59	139	3	40	9	265	342	410	752	146	329	23	10	330	111	+7	+4	+2	+6	+17	3.8
2031	26	MLB	NYM	92%	596	528	139	24	5	14	60	138	3	40	9	263	342	407	749	144	329	23	10	331	111	+8	+4	+2	+6	+17	3.8
2032	27	MLB	NYM	92%	592	524	138	24	5	14	60	138	3	40	9	263	342	408	751	145	329	23	10	331	112	+8	+4	+2	+6	+17	3.8
2033	28	MLB	NYM	92%	584	516	136	24	5	14	60	137	3	37	8	264	344	411	755	147	328	23	10	330	111	+7	+4	+1	+6	+17	3.6
2034	29	MLB	NYM	92%	573	506	132	23	5	13	59	135	3	34	8	261	342	403	745	142	328	24	10	329	110	+6	+4	+1	+6	+16	3.4
2035	30	MLB	NYM	92%	562	496	128	22	4	13	58	134	3	30	7	258	339	397	736	139	327	24	10	326	108	+5	+3	-0	+6	+16	3.1
2036	31	MLB	NYM	92%	548	484	124	22	4	12	56	133	3	25	6	256	337	393	730	136	325	24	10	322	105	+3	+3	-1	+6	+16	2.7
2037	32	MLB	NYM	92%	531	469	118	20	4	11	54	131	3	20	5	252	333	382	714	130	322	25	10	317	101	+1	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.2
2038	33	MLB	NYM	92%	503	445	110	18	4	10	51	126	2	15	3	247	327	373	700	126	319	25	10	311	96	-2	+2	-2	+5	+14	1.7
2039	34	MLB	NYM	88%	437	388	93	15	3	8	44	112	2	9	2	240	320	356	676	116	313	26	10	302	90	-5	+1	-3	+5	+12	1.0
2040	35	MLB	NYM	83%	368	326	75	11	3	6	37	97	2	6	1	230	312	337	650	107	307	26	10	293	82	-7	+1	-3	+4	+10	0.5
2041	36	MLB	NYM	74%	283	252	56	8	2	4	28	77	1	3	1	222	302	317	620	95	301	27	10	283	75	-8	+0	-4	+3	+8	-0.1
2042	37	MLB	NYM	65%	205	182	39	5	1	3	20	57	1	1	0	214	296	302	598	88	295	28	10	272	67	-8	+0	-4	+2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	8422	7465	1901	326	67	180	843	2042	42	438	99	255	334	389	722	134	326	24	10	319	103	+25	+48	-3	+90	+239	40.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	146	25	5	14	65	158	3	34	8	253	332	387	719	134	324	24	10	319	103	+2	+4	-0	+7	+18	3.1
Career	—			—	10337	9165	2307	396	82	213	1027	2585	61	561	125	252	331	383	714	131	326	25	10	320	103	+33	+62	-7	+111	+293	50.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	145	25	5	13	65	163	4	35	8	252	332	380	712	128	328	25	10	320	103	+2	+4	-0	+7	+18	3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	21	14	4	1	0	0	5	6	2	1	0	286	524	357	881	71	500	29	24	427	185	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	299	250	57	10	2	5	44	87	2	8	5	228	348	344	692	116	323	29	15	317	101	+0	-0	—	—	+8	0.9
2024	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	83	63	16	3	1	5	19	22	0	5	1	254	427	571	998	317	297	27	23	427	185	+8	+1	—	—	+2	1.1
2025	20	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	132	121	41	7	2	0	7	29	1	12	2	339	380	430	810	91	432	22	5	355	129	+4	+2	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	351	299	86	16	4	2	46	66	4	44	7	288	390	388	778	100	361	19	13	354	129	+11	+6	—	—	+10	2.8
2025	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	81	65	26	3	4	1	15	10	0	14	2	400	512	615	1.128	215	455	12	19	483	228	+12	+2	—	—	+2	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1José Reyeslast yr '18 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,240 PA	16	8,240	145	517	283	334	427	+83	+62	56.0	48.2
	/162	664	12	42	283	334	427	+6.7	+5.0	4.5	pk7: 40
#2Elvis Andruslast yr '23 career totals — 15 seasons, 8,603 PA	15	8,603	102	347	269	325	370	+89	+140	45.9	38.5
	/162	664	8	27	269	325	370	+6.9	+10.8	3.5	pk7: 31
#3Rafael Furcallast yr '12 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,200 PA	13	7,200	113	314	281	346	403	+51	+30	41.2	36.6
	/162	664	10	29	281	346	403	+4.7	+2.8	3.8	pk7: 32
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons	16	8,759	189	455	255	330	390	+85	+47	43.2	34.5
	/162	664	14	34	255	330	390	+6.4	+3.6	3.3	pk7: 26
#4Orlando Cabreralast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 7,543 PA	12	7,543	112	207	273	318	388	+48	+79	34.1	32.1
	/162	664	10	18	273	318	388	+4.2	+7.0	3.0	pk7: 30
#5Jean Seguralast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,937 PA	12	5,937	110	211	281	327	401	+48	+53	31.6	30.4
	/162	664	12	24	281	327	401	+5.4	+5.9	3.5	pk7: 29
#6B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	12	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
	/162	664	19	34	243	321	402	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
A.J. Ewing (OGILVIE)	21	43→53	36→39	68	58	273/349/424	151	346	14	43	24%	10%	118	+4.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Yoán Moncada 2016 · A	21	49→59	44→55	63→60	44	235/305/356	121	326	11	34	30%	7%	87	+0.8	227/302/366	139	345	14	24	35%	9%	89	+0.9	275/360/455	180	364	19	5	27%	11%	131	+3.1
●Mallex Smith 2015 · A	22	52→61	39→45	62→65	49	243/316/333	90	322	6	44	25%	9%	85	+0.7	258/316/354	96	335	6	43	23%	7%	89	+1.0	262/328/367	105	334	4	43	21%	8%	96	+1.0
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	47→54	44→50	61→55	44	226/282/354	129	300	9	28	27%	7%	76	+0.1	240/293/376	136	286	14	16	21%	7%	86	+0.8	254/312/374	120	299	11	11	18%	7%	92	+1.0
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	49	41→45	60→65	51	234/321/343	109	284	7	29	19%	8%	91	+1.1	235/310/360	125	296	12	18	23%	8%	91	+1.1	230/307/354	124	286	8	13	21%	9%	82	+0.1
✕Delino DeShields 2015 · AA	22	47→55	42→45	62→65	45	225/295/333	109	304	9	41	28%	8%	77	+0.1	235/310/338	103	316	7	32	26%	9%	84	+0.6	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
✕Micah Johnson 2014 · AA	23	52→60	40→45	63→60	44	247/298/348	101	326	6	35	25%	7%	80	+0.4	257/301/351	94	334	6	28	23%	6%	82	+0.5	255/298/342	87	332	5	27	24%	6%	75	+0.0
●CJ Abrams 2022 · AA	21	53	43→60	56→60	42	252/301/376	124	329	9	22	26%	6%	89	+1.0	248/297/383	135	294	13	29	20%	5%	90	+1.0	255/324/446	192	293	22	28	21%	7%	115	+2.5
●Desmond Jennings 2010 · AAA	23	55→59	45→50	63→60	51	268/330/405	136	307	11	34	16%	8%	109	+2.4	247/316/380	133	296	12	33	19%	8%	97	+1.5	245/325/405	160	290	16	28	20%	9%	105	+2.2
✕Everth Cabrera 2010 · MLB	23	53→60	39→40	61→65	49	248/318/348	100	319	5	34	22%	8%	89	+1.0	240/306/326	86	315	4	37	23%	8%	79	+0.3	262/328/346	84	335	4	54	21%	8%	89	+0.7
●B.J. Upton 2007 · MLB	22	52→60	44→60	59→60	49	251/317/368	118	316	11	37	23%	8%	95	+1.4	265/350/411	146	341	15	33	24%	11%	120	+3.1	265/358/417	152	341	15	35	24%	12%	120	+3.2
✕Ben Revere 2009 · A	21	62→64	38→40	63→65	46	295/335/391	96	336	2	29	13%	5%	106	+2.2	277/322/341	64	312	2	32	11%	5%	88	+0.9	298/328/356	58	329	1	38	9%	4%	91	+1.0
✕Luisangel Acuña 2023 · AA	21	46→55	44→45	58→60	43	225/285/338	113	311	12	31	31%	8%	73	-0.1	243/288/343	100	312	9	35	24%	6%	76	+0.0	248/291/339	91	311	7	40	22%	5%	72	-0.2
✕Dalton Pompey 2015 · MLB	22	52→59	41→45	62→55	46	245/305/357	112	325	7	27	26%	8%	86	+0.8	246/301/342	96	317	7	24	23%	7%	80	+0.4	249/306/339	90	319	7	25	23%	7%	79	+0.2
●Grégor Blanco 2006 · AA	22	49→59	42→45	58→60	47	225/301/338	112	336	8	22	33%	10%	79	+0.3	253/330/329	76	335	3	21	22%	10%	89	+1.0	276/352/384	108	333	6	19	17%	10%	106	+1.6
●Carlos Gómez 2007 · AA	21	50→58	41→60	61→65	39	242/290/347	105	311	8	34	24%	4%	77	+0.1	240/289/341	101	305	7	34	23%	5%	76	+0.0	279/340/490	211	332	24	40	23%	6%	133	+3.8
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2010 · A	22	55→65	37→40	60→65	42	257/297/336	79	317	3	30	20%	4%	76	+0.1	254/291/320	66	313	2	40	18%	4%	69	-0.4	313/345/388	75	364	3	52	14%	4%	106	+2.1
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2016 · A	21	58	36→40	61→60	54	261/352/335	74	357	2	25	25%	11%	101	+1.8	227/286/306	79	337	4	19	31%	7%	65	-0.7	222/262/299	77	310	6	25	29%	5%	49	-0.6
✕Tyson Gillies 2010 · A	21	58→64	42→45	57→55	47	278/340/388	110	339	8	25	20%	6%	108	+2.3	258/314/361	103	332	7	17	23%	6%	91	+1.1	235/280/342	107	317	7	15	27%	4%	67	-0.3
●Garin Cecchini 2013 · A	22	54→62	39→45	59→55	44	253/306/345	92	329	5	27	24%	6%	83	+0.6	249/313/349	100	330	6	16	24%	8%	88	+0.9	240/305/335	95	320	7	13	25%	8%	77	+0.1
●Brice Turang 2023 · AAA	23	50→60	43→50	56→60	47	243/300/350	107	307	11	23	24%	8%	82	+0.5	250/312/363	113	307	11	31	21%	8%	91	+1.1	270/345/412	142	330	14	32	21%	10%	114	+2.5