A.J. Ewing — OGILVIE

A.J. EwingCF New York Mets

Age 21 L/R 5'10" / 160 lbs MLB H -5% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION570 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†99

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP316

ISO109

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$59M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 53 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT53

xAVG

600.259

POWER39

Barrel%

417.0

Avg EV

5489.4

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED68

Sprint

9029.5

DEFENSE57

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%25%·25% over 105 PA (30d) · proj 25%

BB%8%·8% over 163 PA (45d) · proj 9%

ISO.095▼.083 over 192 AB (60d) · proj .109

HR/BB1.8%·1.4% over 141 BBE (60d) · proj 2.4%

BABIP.302·.302 over 139 BIP (60d) · proj .302

SLASH.230/.298/.325▼proj .231/.302/.340

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.7M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$16M	+$15M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$17M	+$17M
2029	Arb-1	$8M	+2.7	$18M	+$12M
2030	Arb-2	$14M	+2.8	$18M	+$8M
2031	Arb-3	$22M	+2.8	$16M	+$4M
Totals		$46M		$86M	+$56M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	21	14	4	1	0	0	5	6	2	1	0	286	524	357	881	71	500	29	24	427	175	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	299	250	57	10	2	5	44	87	2	8	5	228	348	344	692	116	323	29	15	317	101	+0	-0	—	—	+6	0.6
2024	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	83	63	16	3	1	5	19	22	0	5	1	254	427	571	998	317	297	27	23	427	175	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2025	20	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	132	121	41	7	2	0	7	29	1	12	2	339	380	430	810	91	432	22	5	355	126	+4	+2	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	351	299	86	16	4	2	46	66	4	44	7	288	390	388	778	100	361	19	13	354	125	+11	+6	—	—	+8	2.5
2025	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	81	65	26	3	4	1	15	10	0	14	2	400	512	615	1.128	215	455	12	19	483	213	+11	+2	—	—	+2	1.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	21	16	3	1	0	0	3	9	2	1	0	188	381	250	631	62	388	43	14	283	78	-1	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	299	262	45	8	1	5	32	125	2	8	5	172	267	267	534	95	294	42	11	244	51	-17	-0	—	—	+6	-1.1
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	83	71	13	2	1	4	11	33	0	5	1	183	293	408	701	225	235	40	13	295	86	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	20	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	132	124	41	7	2	0	4	35	1	12	2	331	357	419	776	89	426	27	3	336	114	+2	+2	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	20	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	351	315	73	13	3	2	30	87	4	44	7	232	307	311	618	79	309	25	9	274	72	-12	+6	—	—	+8	0.2
2025	20	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	81	69	24	3	3	1	11	13	0	14	2	348	438	522	959	174	397	16	14	411	164	+6	+2	—	—	+2	1.0
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	21	16	3	1	0	0	3	9	2	1	0	188	381	250	631	62	429	43	14	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	21	14	4	1	0	0	5	6	2	1	0	286	524	357	881	71	500	29	24	427	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	382	333	57	10	2	8	43	157	2	13	6	171	270	285	555	114	285	41	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	382	313	73	13	3	10	63	109	2	13	6	233	365	390	755	157	318	29	16	341	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	564	508	138	23	8	3	45	136	5	70	11	272	337	366	703	94	360	24	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	564	485	153	26	10	3	68	105	5	70	11	315	405	429	834	113	392	19	12	372	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	21	16	3	1	0	0	3	9	2	1	0	188	381	250	631	62	388	43	14	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	382	334	57	10	2	8	43	157	2	13	6	171	270	284	554	114	281	41	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	564	509	138	23	8	3	45	136	5	70	11	271	337	365	702	94	349	24	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	21	16	3	1	0	0	3	9	2	1	0	188	381	250	631	62	388	43	14	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	382	334	57	10	2	8	43	157	2	13	6	171	270	284	554	114	281	41	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	564	509	138	23	8	3	45	136	5	70	11	271	337	365	702	94	349	24	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	MLB MLE	NYM	—	570	504	136	28	3	11	55	135	2	40	9	270	344	403	747	133	344	24	10	325	106	+4	+4	+0	+2	+12	2.3
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	21	MLB RAW	NYM	—	438	388	98	19	1	9	40	111	2	23	8	253	326	376	702	124	327	25	9	312	106	+3	+1	+0	+2	+9	1.6
YTD	21	AA RAW	NYM	—	81	63	22	6	1	2	17	15	0	12	1	349	487	571	1.059	222	426	19	21	458	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AAA RAW	NYM	—	51	46	15	3	1	0	5	5	0	5	0	326	392	435	827	109	366	10	10	371	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	MLB RAW	NYM	—	438	388	98	19	1	9	40	111	2	23	8	253	326	376	702	124	327	25	9	312	97	-1	+1	+0	+2	+9	1.1
ROS	21	MLB MLE	NYM	100%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		325	20	10	314	99	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	21	MLB CTX	NYM	100%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		316	20	10	305	99	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	21	MLB A+C	NYM	—	448	397	100	19	1	9	41	113	2	24	8	252	325	373	698	121	326	25	9	312	106	+3	+2	+0	+2	+10	1.7
TOT	21	MLB MLE	NYM	—	580	513	138	28	3	11	56	137	2	41	9	269	343	400	743	131	343	24	10	325	106	+4	+5	+0	+2	+13	2.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYM	92%	616	550	139	26	4	11	58	149	3	41	9	253	327	375	702	122	325	24	9	316	100	-0	+5	+2	+2	+13	2.2
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYM	92%	658	588	150	28	4	13	62	156	3	44	9	255	329	383	712	128	325	24	9	322	104	+3	+5	+2	+2	+14	2.7
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYM	92%	648	578	150	28	4	14	62	151	3	43	9	260	334	394	729	135	326	23	10	326	107	+5	+5	+2	+2	+14	2.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYM	92%	648	577	150	28	4	14	63	150	3	43	9	260	336	395	731	135	326	23	10	328	108	+6	+5	+2	+2	+14	3.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYM	92%	648	576	151	28	4	15	63	150	4	43	9	262	339	403	742	141	326	23	10	329	109	+7	+5	+2	+2	+14	3.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYM	92%	643	570	150	28	4	15	64	149	4	43	9	263	342	405	747	142	326	23	10	330	109	+7	+5	+2	+2	+14	3.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYM	92%	635	564	146	27	4	14	63	148	3	40	8	259	337	395	732	137	326	23	10	329	109	+6	+5	+1	+2	+14	2.9
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYM	92%	623	553	142	26	4	14	62	147	3	36	8	257	335	394	729	137	323	24	10	326	107	+5	+4	+0	+2	+13	2.6
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYM	92%	611	542	137	25	3	13	61	146	3	32	7	253	332	382	714	129	321	24	10	322	104	+3	+4	-0	+2	+13	2.2
2036	31	MLB MLE	NYM	92%	596	528	131	24	3	12	60	144	3	27	6	248	328	373	701	125	317	24	10	317	101	+0	+3	-1	+2	+13	1.8
2037	32	MLB MLE	NYM	92%	577	511	125	23	3	11	58	142	3	22	5	245	325	366	691	121	312	25	10	311	96	-3	+2	-2	+2	+13	1.3
2038	33	MLB MLE	NYM	92%	547	486	116	20	3	10	54	137	2	16	3	239	317	354	671	115	309	25	10	304	92	-5	+2	-3	+2	+12	0.8
2039	34	MLB MLE	NYM	88%	499	445	103	17	3	9	49	128	2	11	2	231	310	344	654	112	303	26	10	295	86	-8	+1	-3	+2	+11	0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	NYM	92%	567	506	125	23	4	10	53	137	3	38	8	247	322	368	690	121	316	24	9	306	100	-0	+4	+2	+2	+12	2.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYM	92%	605	540	135	25	4	12	57	143	3	40	8	250	325	378	703	128	317	24	9	312	104	+3	+5	+2	+2	+13	2.5
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYM	92%	596	531	135	25	4	13	57	139	3	39	8	254	330	390	720	136	317	23	10	316	107	+5	+5	+2	+2	+13	2.7
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYM	92%	596	530	135	25	4	13	58	138	3	39	8	255	332	391	722	136	317	23	10	319	108	+6	+5	+2	+2	+13	2.8
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYM	92%	596	530	135	25	4	13	58	138	3	39	8	255	332	391	722	136	317	23	10	320	109	+6	+5	+2	+2	+13	2.8
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYM	92%	592	525	133	24	4	13	59	138	3	39	8	253	332	389	721	135	317	23	10	320	109	+6	+5	+2	+2	+13	2.8
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYM	92%	584	518	132	24	4	13	58	137	3	37	8	255	333	392	725	137	317	23	10	319	109	+6	+4	+1	+2	+13	2.7
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYM	92%	573	508	126	23	3	12	57	135	3	34	7	248	327	376	703	128	315	24	10	316	107	+5	+4	+0	+2	+12	2.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYM	92%	562	498	123	22	3	12	56	134	3	30	6	247	327	376	702	129	312	24	10	313	104	+3	+4	-0	+2	+12	2.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	NYM	92%	548	485	118	21	3	11	55	132	3	25	5	243	324	367	691	124	309	24	10	308	101	+0	+3	-1	+2	+12	1.7
2037	32	MLB CTX	NYM	92%	531	470	112	20	3	10	53	130	3	20	4	238	319	357	677	119	304	24	10	302	96	-2	+2	-2	+2	+12	1.2
2038	33	MLB CTX	NYM	92%	503	446	104	18	3	9	50	126	2	15	3	233	313	348	661	114	300	25	10	295	92	-5	+2	-2	+2	+11	0.7
2039	34	MLB CTX	NYM	88%	437	389	87	15	2	7	43	112	2	9	2	224	304	326	631	103	295	26	10	287	86	-7	+1	-3	+2	+9	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	7300	6485	1602	290	45	148	715	1741	37	405	83	247	325	374	699	127	314	24	10	311	100	+25	+48	+4	+26	+158	26.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	143	26	4	13	64	155	3	36	7	248	326	374	700	127	316	24	10	311	100	+2	+4	+0	+2	+14	2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	8926	7934	1990	362	57	176	871	2201	48	526	110	251	329	377	706	127	324	25	10	317	100	+27	+51	+4	+28	+172	28.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	145	26	4	13	63	160	3	38	8	251	327	377	704	126	324	25	10	317	100	+2	+4	+0	+2	+14	2.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1José Reyeslast yr '18 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,240 PA	12.4	8,240	145	517	283	334	427	+83	+62	56.0	48.3
/162	664	12	42	+6.7	+5.0	4.5	pk7: 40
#2Elvis Andruslast yr '23 career totals — 15 seasons, 8,603 PA	13.0	8,603	102	347	269	325	370	+89	+140	45.9	38.5
/162	664	8	27	+6.9	+10.8	3.5	pk7: 31
#3Jacoby Ellsburylast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,375 PA	8.1	5,375	104	343	284	342	417	+17	+34	33.4	31.8
/162	664	13	42	+2.1	+4.2	4.1	pk7: 30
#4Jean Seguralast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,937 PA	8.9	5,937	110	211	281	327	401	+48	+53	31.6	30.4
/162	664	12	24	+5.4	+5.9	3.5	pk7: 29
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	12.2	8,079	165	452	253	327	382	+78	+41	37.3	30.3
/162	664	14	37	+6.4	+3.4	3.1	pk7: 23
#5B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#6Michael Bournlast yr '16 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,312 PA	8.0	5,312	36	340	266	330	358	+17	+56	22.0	21.6
/162	664	4	42	+2.1	+7.0	2.8	pk7: 21

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
A.J. Ewing (OGILVIE)	21	43→53	36→39	68	58	250/323/371	121	325	6	25	24%	9%	99	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mallex Smith 2015 · A	22	53→62	39→45	62→65	48	246/316/334	88	325	5	44	25%	8%	86	+0.3	260/317/353	93	336	5	43	22%	7%	91	+0.6	265/331/371	106	338	4	43	21%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Micah Johnson 2014 · AA	23	53→59	40→45	63→60	43	249/298/351	102	329	6	35	25%	6%	83	+0.1	256/301/349	93	330	5	28	23%	6%	84	+0.1	254/299/339	85	328	5	27	23%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Delino DeShields 2015 · AA	22	48→55	42→45	62→65	46	229/300/335	106	305	9	41	26%	8%	82	-0.0	234/309/333	99	313	7	32	25%	9%	84	+0.2	239/318/333	94	320	6	34	25%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	46→54	43→50	61→55	45	223/282/346	122	298	9	28	27%	7%	77	-0.3	240/293/371	131	287	13	16	20%	7%	87	+0.4	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
●Yoán Moncada 2016 · A	21	49→59	44→55	63→60	43	233/302/354	121	326	11	34	30%	7%	87	+0.4	231/306/370	139	346	13	24	34%	9%	92	+0.7	276/361/458	182	366	19	5	27%	11%	129	+2.7
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	49	41→45	59→65	52	232/323/340	107	283	6	29	19%	9%	92	+0.7	232/310/353	121	294	11	18	23%	8%	90	+0.6	226/310/337	111	288	7	11	22%	9%	81	-0.0
●Elvis Andrus 2010 · MLB	21	54→61	39→50	60	47	255/310/343	88	307	6	34	19%	7%	86	+0.3	263/329/334	71	306	3	28	14%	8%	91	+0.7	277/330/414	137	310	11	19	14%	7%	105	+1.6
✕Desmond Jennings 2010 · AAA	23	55→59	44→50	63→60	51	268/330/399	131	306	10	34	16%	8%	107	+1.8	247/316/376	129	297	10	33	19%	8%	97	+1.1	243/323/397	154	290	15	28	21%	9%	102	+1.5
✕Everth Cabrera 2009 · A	22	51→59	39→40	61→65	43	238/293/326	89	318	5	34	26%	6%	76	-0.4	240/307/329	89	313	4	33	22%	8%	82	+0.0	263/328/345	82	334	3	54	21%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2015 · MLB	22	52→58	42→45	62→55	47	246/307/360	113	325	7	27	25%	8%	89	+0.5	246/303/340	94	313	7	24	22%	7%	83	+0.1	248/306/335	87	314	7	25	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Ben Revere 2009 · A	21	62→64	38→40	63→65	46	295/335/391	96	336	2	29	13%	5%	105	+1.7	279/324/342	63	314	2	32	11%	5%	91	+0.6	300/329/358	58	330	1	38	9%	4%	93	+0.7
✕Luisangel Acuña 2023 · AA	21	47→55	44→45	58→60	44	226/287/337	111	315	12	31	30%	8%	77	-0.3	244/289/339	95	312	8	35	23%	6%	77	-0.3	249/291/334	85	310	6	40	21%	5%	74	-0.5
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2010 · A	22	55→65	37→40	60→65	42	257/297/336	79	317	3	30	20%	4%	79	-0.2	259/296/326	67	317	2	40	18%	4%	76	-0.4	310/342/386	76	360	3	52	14%	4%	104	+1.6
●Carlos Gómez 2007 · AA	21	51→57	41→60	61→65	40	243/291/346	103	310	7	34	24%	4%	80	-0.2	241/290/341	100	306	7	34	22%	5%	78	-0.3	274/334/472	198	328	22	40	23%	6%	123	+2.8
✕Rochest Cruz 2019 · A	20	49	37→40	61→65	54	226/303/299	73	269	4	34	16%	9%	74	-0.5	206/274/271	65	290	3	23	28%	7%	57	-1.8	144/214/156	12	235	0	30	35%	6%	7	-1.1
●Garin Cecchini 2013 · A	22	53→63	39→45	59→55	45	250/306/346	96	325	5	27	24%	7%	85	+0.2	248/313/347	99	326	6	16	24%	8%	88	+0.5	238/304/329	91	314	6	13	24%	8%	78	-0.2
●Jonathan Villar 2014 · MLB	23	47→57	42→50	61→65	42	226/282/333	107	322	9	36	31%	7%	74	-0.5	236/301/356	120	330	11	42	29%	8%	86	+0.3	263/334/402	139	351	15	44	27%	9%	106	+1.6
●B.J. Upton 2007 · MLB	22	52→60	42→60	59→60	49	248/316/358	110	315	9	37	23%	8%	93	+0.8	265/350/409	144	341	14	33	24%	11%	117	+2.6	265/358/417	152	341	15	35	24%	12%	118	+2.7
✕Vidal Bruján 2021 · AA	23	51→59	41→45	60→65	48	243/300/344	101	291	7	34	19%	7%	83	+0.1	219/278/329	110	265	10	36	20%	7%	72	-0.7	224/301/331	107	277	8	25	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Grégor Blanco 2006 · AA	22	49→59	41→45	58→60	48	229/304/338	110	332	7	22	31%	10%	83	+0.1	255/331/329	74	335	3	21	22%	10%	91	+0.7	272/348/379	107	328	6	19	17%	10%	103	+1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps