A.J. Ewing — OGILVIE

A.J. EwingSS Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 21 L/R 5'10" / 160 lbs AA H +5%HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 3.0 · 2031

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .296 / .325

PA320

HR4

SB26

K%27

BB%9

MLB%6%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

38↗53

PWR

34↗39

SPD

70↘68

FLD

45↗57

EYE

54↗58

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.8peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.2	$19M	+$18M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.6	$23M	+$22M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.8	$25M	+$24M
2031	Arb-3	$6M	+3.0	$28M	+$22M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+2.9	$28M	+$18M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+2.8	$28M	+$13M
Totals		$33M		$150M	+$116M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	21	16	3	1	0	0	3	9	2	1	0	.188	.381	.250	.631	.062	.429	43	14	.275	69	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2024	19	A	2 teams	382	333	57	10	2	8	43	157	2	13	6	.171	.270	.285	.555	.114	.285	41	11	.253	52	-21	+0	+0	+4	+11	-0.6
2025	20	A+	3 teams	564	511	135	22	8	3	42	135	5	70	11	.264	.326	.356	.682	.092	.348	24	7	.302	89	-7	+10	+0	+6	+16	2.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	68	59	17	5	0	1	9	17	0	10	1	.288	.382	.424	.806	.136	.390	25	13	.361	134	+3	+2	+0	+1	+2	0.7
ROS	21	MLB	NYM	252	225	52	10	2	3	23	67	2	16	3	.231	.308	.333	.641	.102	.314	27	9	.294	83	-5	+2	+1	+3	+7	0.8
TOT	21	MLB	NYM	320	284	69	15	2	4	32	84	2	26	4	.243	.324	.352	.676	.109	.330	26	10	.308	94	-2	+4	+1	+3	+9	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 24%	NYM	537	479	112	20	4	8	49	137	4	31	5	.234	.310	.342	.653	.109	.307	26	9	.294	83	-10	+4	+1	+6	+15	1.6
2028	23	MLB 45%	NYM	581	517	122	22	4	10	55	144	4	30	4	.236	.314	.352	.666	.116	.306	25	9	.304	90	-6	+4	+1	+6	+16	2.2
2029	24	MLB 60%	NYM	609	540	129	23	4	12	59	148	5	28	4	.239	.320	.363	.682	.124	.306	24	10	.309	95	-3	+4	+1	+7	+17	2.6
2030	25	MLB 77%	NYM	626	554	135	24	5	13	62	151	5	27	4	.244	.325	.375	.701	.132	.307	24	10	.313	98	-2	+4	+1	+7	+18	2.8
2031	26	MLB 92%	NYM	633	559	136	24	5	13	64	153	5	25	3	.243	.326	.374	.700	.131	.307	24	10	.315	99	-1	+4	+1	+7	+18	3.0
2032	27	MLB	NYM	633	559	136	24	5	13	64	153	5	23	3	.243	.326	.374	.700	.131	.308	24	10	.315	99	-1	+3	+1	+7	+18	2.9
2033	28	MLB	NYM	628	554	134	24	4	13	64	153	5	21	2	.242	.326	.370	.696	.128	.307	24	10	.314	98	-1	+3	+1	+7	+18	2.8
2034	29	MLB	NYM	618	544	131	23	4	13	64	153	5	19	2	.241	.326	.369	.696	.129	.307	25	10	.312	97	-2	+3	-0	+7	+18	2.5
2035	30	MLB	NYM	608	535	127	22	4	12	63	152	5	18	1	.237	.323	.361	.684	.123	.306	25	10	.309	94	-4	+3	-1	+7	+17	2.3
2036	31	MLB	NYM	594	524	123	22	4	11	61	151	4	15	0	.235	.319	.355	.674	.120	.304	25	10	.305	92	-6	+3	-2	+6	+17	1.9
2037	32	MLB	NYM	575	507	117	20	4	10	59	149	4	14	0	.231	.316	.345	.661	.114	.303	26	10	.301	88	-8	+3	-2	+6	+16	1.6
2038	33	MLB	NYM	545	480	109	19	3	9	56	145	4	12	0	.227	.313	.335	.648	.108	.302	27	10	.295	84	-10	+2	-3	+6	+15	1.1
2039	34	MLB	NYM	498	441	98	17	3	8	51	137	3	11	0	.222	.307	.329	.636	.107	.301	28	10	.289	80	-12	+2	-4	+5	+14	0.6
2040	35	MLB	NYM	442	392	85	14	3	6	44	126	3	10	0	.217	.301	.314	.614	.097	.299	29	10	.282	74	-13	+2	-5	+5	+13	0.2
2041	36	MLB	NYM	381	338	71	12	2	5	38	113	2	9	0	.210	.294	.302	.595	.092	.297	30	10	.274	68	-14	+2	-6	+4	+11	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9727	8608	2012	353	70	170	964	2533	74	393	48	.234	.316	.350	.666	.117	.309	26	10	.301	89	-125	+59	-13	+104	+276	30.7
/ 162G	—			650	575	135	24	5	11	64	169	5	26	3	.235	.317	.351	.668	.117	.311	26	10	.301	89	-8	+4	-1	+7	+18	2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	21	14	4	1	0	0	5	6	2	1	0	.286	.524	.357	.881	.071	.500	29	24	.427	185	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	299	250	57	10	2	5	44	87	2	8	5	.228	.348	.344	.692	.116	.323	29	15	.317	101	+0	-0	—	—	+8	0.9
2024	19	ROK	FCL Mets	83	63	16	3	1	5	19	22	0	5	1	.254	.427	.571	.998	.317	.297	27	23	.427	185	+8	+1	—	—	+2	1.1
2025	20	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	132	121	41	7	2	0	7	29	1	12	2	.339	.380	.430	.810	.091	.432	22	5	.355	129	+4	+2	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	351	299	86	16	4	2	46	66	4	44	7	.288	.390	.388	.778	.100	.361	19	13	.354	129	+11	+6	—	—	+10	2.8
2025	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	81	65	26	3	4	1	15	10	0	14	2	.400	.512	.615	1.128	.215	.455	12	19	.483	228	+12	+2	—	—	+2	1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
A.J. Ewing (OGILVIE)	21	38→53	34→39	70→68	58	.223/.296/.325	.102	.303	4	16	27%	9%	75	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	45→53	43→50	61→55	44	.220/.278/.344	.124	.294	9	27	28%	7%	72	-0.2	.237/.291/.371	.134	.285	13	17	21%	7%	85	+0.7	.244/.299/.375	.131	.283	14	12	19%	6%	86	+0.8
●Mallex Smith 2014 · A	21	49→59	37→45	58→65	48	.230/.300/.300	.070	.295	5	33	23%	8%	70	-0.3	.257/.321/.348	.091	.334	5	44	23%	8%	90	+1.0	.272/.334/.371	.099	.351	5	52	22%	8%	98	+1.2
✕Micah Johnson 2014 · AA	23	51→59	40→45	61→60	43	.241/.289/.339	.099	.318	6	33	26%	6%	74	-0.1	.254/.299/.351	.097	.327	6	28	23%	6%	82	+0.5	.254/.299/.343	.089	.327	6	27	23%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Delino DeShields 2014 · A	21	47→53	41→45	61→65	44	.225/.286/.323	.099	.300	7	35	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.226/.299/.327	.101	.305	8	36	26%	8%	77	+0.1	.226/.309/.316	.089	.304	7	31	25%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Dalton Pompey 2015 · MLB	22	52→58	41→45	61→55	47	.244/.306/.355	.111	.320	7	27	25%	8%	86	+0.8	.249/.305/.347	.098	.317	7	24	22%	7%	83	+0.6	.250/.308/.341	.091	.317	7	25	22%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	42→45	63→65	42	.213/.261/.318	.105	.268	9	34	24%	5%	58	-1.2	.245/.287/.352	.107	.309	8	37	22%	5%	77	+0.1	.258/.299/.360	.102	.324	7	41	22%	5%	80	+0.3
●Garin Cecchini 2013 · A	22	51→61	39→45	58→55	44	.240/.292/.333	.093	.308	5	26	23%	6%	74	-0.1	.250/.315/.352	.102	.327	7	17	24%	8%	89	+1.0	.240/.307/.336	.096	.316	7	13	24%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Ty Morrison 2011 · A	21	46→51	40	63→55	39	.213/.270/.316	.102	.318	6	27	33%	6%	61	-1.0	.227/.276/.309	.082	.324	3	23	29%	5%	61	-1.0	.238/.284/.308	.070	.330	2	23	27%	4%	60	-0.8
✕Grégor Blanco 2006 · AA	22	48→58	42→45	57→60	46	.223/.297/.335	.112	.332	8	22	33%	9%	77	+0.1	.251/.327/.329	.078	.335	3	21	23%	10%	88	+0.9	.264/.341/.367	.103	.318	6	19	17%	10%	96	+1.1
✕Rochest Cruz 2019 · A	20	48	37→40	60→65	54	.225/.302/.299	.073	.268	4	32	17%	9%	70	-0.3	.206/.275/.270	.064	.286	3	24	27%	8%	52	-1.6	.144/.214/.156	.012	.235	0	30	35%	6%	-5	-1.2
●CJ Abrams 2022 · AA	21	51→53	43→55	56→60	43	.247/.296/.367	.120	.312	8	21	23%	6%	85	+0.7	.247/.296/.379	.132	.295	13	29	20%	5%	89	+0.9	.248/.310/.428	.179	.287	18	35	20%	6%	104	+2.1
●Elvis Andrus 2010 · MLB	21	52→59	39→50	59→60	47	.249/.304/.335	.085	.305	6	34	20%	6%	80	+0.4	.264/.329/.333	.069	.308	3	29	14%	8%	89	+1.0	.269/.322/.402	.134	.299	12	19	14%	7%	97	+1.5
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	50	41→45	59→65	52	.234/.322/.340	.106	.284	6	29	19%	9%	90	+1.0	.231/.312/.347	.116	.294	10	19	23%	8%	88	+0.9	.235/.317/.335	.100	.305	7	18	23%	9%	81	+0.1
✕Everth Cabrera 2009 · A	22	48→58	38→40	60→65	43	.228/.283/.312	.085	.304	5	32	26%	6%	66	-0.6	.238/.305/.329	.091	.310	4	33	22%	8%	79	+0.3	.260/.326/.339	.079	.330	3	54	20%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2011 · AA	21	48→58	38→45	58→60	49	.226/.282/.309	.083	.269	5	30	18%	7%	64	-0.8	.254/.296/.349	.095	.295	7	20	16%	6%	80	+0.4	.267/.306/.362	.094	.306	7	16	15%	5%	83	+0.4
✕Ryan Brett 2013 · A	21	51→55	39→45	59→60	45	.241/.288/.332	.092	.293	5	26	20%	6%	72	-0.2	.248/.289/.357	.109	.301	8	23	20%	5%	79	+0.3	.248/.284/.359	.111	.298	9	21	20%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Brandon Roberts 2006 · A	21	49→59	39→40	57→55	43	.236/.287/.322	.086	.295	6	20	22%	5%	69	-0.4	.251/.298/.318	.067	.312	4	23	20%	5%	72	-0.2	.276/.331/.345	.070	.330	4	22	17%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Luisangel Acuña 2023 · AA	21	46→56	44→45	57→60	43	.225/.283/.341	.116	.310	13	30	30%	7%	73	-0.1	.243/.289/.344	.101	.313	9	35	24%	6%	76	+0.0	.250/.292/.338	.089	.311	7	40	21%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Roman Quinn 2016 · AA	23	50→56	42→45	59→65	43	.239/.294/.340	.101	.313	9	34	26%	6%	77	+0.1	.248/.302/.353	.105	.339	7	35	27%	7%	84	+0.6	.253/.308/.365	.112	.348	6	42	27%	7%	86	+0.4
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	46→52	45→50	55	51	.224/.304/.359	.135	.280	11	21	23%	9%	87	+0.8	.231/.318/.378	.147	.301	14	21	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.227/.321/.379	.152	.295	16	24	26%	10%	96	+0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)