A.J. Ewing

CF New York Mets
Age 22 L/R 5'10" / 160 lbs MLB H -5% Svc 0.808 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419A/ROKNYM382.233/.365/.390101360—.182/.275/.305
202520AA/A+/ANYM564.315/.405/.42937097—.274/.335/.368
202621AAA/AANYM132.339/.450/.514217143—.331/.412/.498
202621MLBNYM492.252/.326/.37611251021.6
2027PROJ22MLBNYM556.239/.315/.3551135951.8
2028PROJ23MLBNYM614.242/.319/.3631339992.3
2029PROJ24MLBNYM614.244/.321/.36913391012.5
Last 3 seasons WAR 1.6  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 6.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.808First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$7M2031Arb-2$12M2032Arb-3$18M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2026
Speed90
xwOBA60
Avg EV57
Barrel%45
Form.260/.336/.395 ▲▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .246/.319/.364
CompsMallex Smith (age 24) · Johan Rojas (age 23) · Tyler Black (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†95
AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .315 / .355
PA556
HR11
SB35
K%24
BB%9
BABIP302
ISO119
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +6.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+7RUNFLD: +1.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+2FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +12.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: +2.60+2.6WAR
0.01.53.02.62.32.52.52.52.427282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$79M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT
xAVG
550.255
POWER
Barrel%
457.5
Avg EV
5789.6
SPEED
Sprint
9029.4
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%22%▲21% over 104 PA (60d) · proj 24%
BB%10%▲11% over 104 PA (60d) · proj 9%
ISO.135▲.165 over 91 AB (60d) · proj .118
HR/BB4.0%▲5.7% over 70 BBE (60d) · proj 2.9%
BABIP.316·.364 over 66 BIP (60d) · proj .312
SLASH.260/.336/.395▲▲proj .246/.319/.364
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0.808 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.6$21M+$21M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.3$17M+$16M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.5$17M+$17M
2030Arb-1$7M+2.5$16M+$11M
2031Arb-2$12M+2.5$15M+$7M
2032Arb-3$18M+2.4$13M+$3M
Totals $39M $99M +$74M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202318 ROKFCL Mets — 2114 4100 562 10 286524357881 71500 2924 427 78 — — — — — —
202419 ASt. Lucie Mets — 299250 571025 44872 85 228348344692 116323 2915 317 53 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Mets — 8363 16315 19220 51 254427571998 317297 2723 427 85 — — — — — —
202520 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies — 132121 41720 7291 122 339380430810 91432 225 355 130 — — — — — —
202520 A+Brooklyn Cyclones — 351299 861642 46664 447 288390388778 100361 1913 354 68 — — — — — —
202520 ASt. Lucie Mets — 8165 26341 15100 142 4005126151.128 215455 1219 483 167 — — — — — —
202621 MLBNew York Mets — 492436 11019111 461252 258 252326376703 124326 259 313 102 +1 +2 +0 +2 +11 1.6
202621 AAASyracuse Mets — 5146 15310 550 50 326392435827 109366 1010 371 111 — — — — — —
202621 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies — 8163 22612 17150 121 3494875711.059 222426 1921 458 163 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 492436 11019111 461252 258 252326376703 124326 259 313 98 -1 +2 +0 +2 +11 1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202318 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 2116 3100 392 10 188381250631 62391 4314 284 78 — — — — — —
202419 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 299264 48815 301202 85 182270277547 95296 4010 246 53 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 8371 13214 11330 51 183293408701 225233 4013 294 85 — — — — — —
202520 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 132124 43720 4351 122 347372435808 89458 273 360 130 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEBrooklyn Cyclones — 351317 731332 28864 447 230301309610 79300 258 268 68 — — — — — —
202520 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 8170 24331 10130 142 343425514939 171401 1612 415 167 — — — — — —
202621 MLB MLENew York Mets — 492437 11320111 451252 258 259331384715 126326 259 319 102 +1 +2 +0 +2 +11 1.6
202621 AAA MLESyracuse Mets — 5147 15310 460 50 319373426798 106351 128 332 111 — — — — — —
202621 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 8168 23612 12180 121 338438544982 206412 2215 409 163 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 2116 3100 392 10 188381250631 62429 4314 284 78 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWFCL Mets — 2114 4100 562 10 286524357881 71500 2924 427 78 — — — — — —
202419 A MLE2 teams — 382335 601028 411522 136 179272293565 113291 4011 256 60 — — — — — —
202419 A RAW2 teams — 382313 7313310 631092 136 233365390755 157318 2916 341 60 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE3 teams — 564510 1402293 431335 7011 275337371708 96361 248 311 96 — — — — — —
202520 A+ RAW3 teams — 564485 15326103 681055 7011 315405429834 113392 1912 372 96 — — — — — —
202621 MLB MLE3 teams — 624552 15028313 611492 429 272346404750 132347 2410 331 110 +8 +5 +0 +2 +14 2.9
202621 MLB RAW3 teams — 624545 14728313 681452 429 270353404757 134342 2311 336 110 +8 +5 +0 +2 +14 2.9
202318 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 2116 3100 392 10 188381250631 62391 4314 284 78 — — — — — —
202419 A MLE2 teams — 382336 601028 411522 136 179272292564 113282 4011 256 60 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE3 teams — 564511 1402293 431335 7011 274337370707 96351 248 311 96 — — — — — —
202621 MLB MLE3 teams — 624556 15028313 611492 429 270346401747 131339 2410 331 110 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 A MLE2 teams — 382336 601028 411522 136 179272292564 113282 4011 256 60 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE3 teams — 564511 1402293 431335 7011 274337370707 96351 248 311 96 — — — — — —
202621 MLB MLE3 teams — 624556 15028313 611492 429 270346401747 131339 2410 331 110 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLENYM 100% 648579 14324313 611553 417 246322365686 118312 249 309 95 -4 +5 +2 +2 +14 2.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202722 MLB CTXNYM 100% 556496 12020311 521333 356 239315355670 115302 249 302 95 -3 +5 +2 +2 +12 1.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLENYM 100% 614548 13723313 581443 397 249325373699 124313 239 314 99 -1 +5 +3 +2 +13 2.3
202924 MLB MLENYM 100% 614547 13723313 591433 397 251328379706 127313 2310 317 101 +1 +5 +3 +2 +13 2.5
203025 MLB MLENYM 100% 614547 13823314 591423 397 252329381710 129314 2310 318 102 +1 +5 +3 +2 +13 2.5
203126 MLB MLENYM 100% 614546 13823314 601423 397 252329381710 129313 2310 318 102 +1 +5 +3 +2 +13 2.5
203227 MLB MLENYM 100% 606539 13523313 591413 387 251328378706 127313 2310 317 101 +0 +5 +3 +2 +13 2.4
203328 MLB MLENYM 100% 592527 13222313 571393 336 249326374700 125312 2310 314 99 -1 +4 +2 +2 +13 2.1
203429 MLB MLENYM 100% 571509 12621312 551362 295 247323368691 121311 2410 311 97 -2 +4 +2 +2 +12 1.8
203530 MLB MLENYM 100% 555495 12220311 531342 234 244320360680 116310 2410 307 94 -4 +3 +1 +2 +12 1.4
203631 MLB MLENYM 100% 536478 11519210 511312 173 240315351666 111307 2410 301 90 -7 +2 +0 +2 +12 0.9
203732 MLB MLENYM 100% 512458 1081729 481281 113 235309339648 104304 259 294 85 -9 +1 -1 +2 +11 0.4
203833 MLB MLENYM 100% 476428 971527 441221 52 229302324627 96299 269 285 79 -12 +0 -2 +2 +10 -0.1
202823 MLB CTXNYM 100% 614548 13322313 581443 397 242319363682 121303 239 307 99 -1 +5 +3 +2 +13 2.3
202924 MLB CTXNYM 100% 614547 13322313 591433 397 244321369690 124304 2310 310 101 +1 +5 +3 +2 +13 2.5
203025 MLB CTXNYM 100% 614547 13422314 591423 397 245322371693 126304 2310 312 102 +1 +5 +3 +2 +13 2.5
203126 MLB CTXNYM 100% 614546 13422314 601423 397 245322371693 126304 2310 311 102 +1 +5 +3 +2 +13 2.5
203227 MLB CTXNYM 100% 606539 13121313 591413 387 244321368689 124303 2310 310 101 +0 +5 +3 +2 +13 2.4
203328 MLB CTXNYM 100% 592527 12921313 571393 336 242320364683 122303 2310 308 99 -1 +4 +2 +2 +13 2.1
203429 MLB CTXNYM 100% 571509 12320312 551362 295 240317358675 118302 2410 304 97 -2 +4 +2 +2 +12 1.8
203530 MLB CTXNYM 100% 555495 11719211 531342 234 237314350664 113300 2410 300 94 -4 +3 +1 +2 +12 1.4
203631 MLB CTXNYM 100% 536478 11218210 511312 173 233309341650 108298 2410 294 90 -7 +2 +0 +2 +12 0.9
203732 MLB CTXNYM 100% 512458 1051629 481281 113 228303329633 101294 259 287 85 -9 +1 -1 +2 +11 0.4
203833 MLB CTXNYM 100% 476428 951427 441221 52 222296315612 93290 269 279 79 -12 +0 -2 +2 +10 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 67966058 145623630140 649162728 33766 240317359675 118304 2410 304 95 -34 +41 +19 +25 +147 20.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650579 13923313 621563 326 240316358674 117305 2410 304 95 -3 +4 +2 +2 +14 1.9
Career— MLE — 84517531 186131147164 803207840 47390 247323366689 119318 2510 309 95 -37 +46 +20 +27 +159 21.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 14424413 621603 367 249325371696 123320 2510 309 95 -3 +4 +2 +2 +14 1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 81 PAwOBA .453 → .409 (−44)K% 18.5% → 22.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.52%÷1.000×1.220——22.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.99%÷1.000×0.700—×1.04215.31%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP27.08%÷1.000×0.970—×1.04227.37%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.860—×1.04211.20%
Triples /BIP2.08%÷1.000×0.950—×1.0422.06%
Home runs /BIP4.17%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0423.39%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .453 → .409; ISO .222 → .203; BABIP .426 → .412. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAASyracuse Mets · 51 PAwOBA .361 → .332 (−29)K% 9.8% → 11.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.80%÷1.000×1.200——11.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.80%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0507.10%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP26.83%÷1.000×0.930—×1.05026.20%
Doubles /BIP7.32%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0506.38%
Triples /BIP2.44%÷1.000×0.970—×1.0502.48%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .361 → .332; ISO .109 → .102; BABIP .366 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 351 PAwOBA .347 → .268 (−79)K% 18.8% → 24.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.80%÷1.011×1.310——24.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.11%÷1.022×0.600—×1.0277.90%
HBP% /PA1.14%—×0.770—×1.0270.90%
Singles /BIP27.47%÷1.021×0.870×0.968×1.02723.27%
Doubles /BIP6.87%÷0.989×0.780×0.968×1.0275.38%
Triples /BIP1.72%÷1.051×0.850×0.968×1.0271.38%
Home runs /BIP0.86%÷1.073×0.880—×1.0270.72%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 110, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .347 → .268; ISO .100 → .081; BABIP .361 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 132 PAwOBA .351 → .360 (+9)K% 22.0% → 26.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.97%÷1.015×1.220——26.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.55%÷0.983×0.700—×1.0503.40%
HBP% /PA0.76%—×0.850—×1.0500.68%
Singles /BIP34.78%÷0.982×0.970×1.034×1.05037.33%
Doubles /BIP7.61%÷0.941×0.860×1.034×1.0507.55%
Triples /BIP2.17%÷0.911×0.950×1.034×1.0502.46%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.990×0.780—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 96, 2B 88, 3B 82, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .351 → .360; ISO .091 → .095; BABIP .432 → .458. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASt. Lucie Mets · 81 PAwOBA .475 → .415 (−60)K% 12.3% → 15.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.35%÷1.060×1.360——15.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.28%÷0.953×0.690—×1.01512.70%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP32.73%÷0.977×0.920×0.950×1.01529.72%
Doubles /BIP5.45%÷0.903×0.830×0.950×1.0154.83%
Triples /BIP7.27%÷1.150×0.910×0.950×1.0155.55%
Home runs /BIP1.82%÷0.855×0.800—×1.0151.73%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 95, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 112, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .475 → .415; ISO .215 → .188; BABIP .455 → .401. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ASt. Lucie Mets · 299 PAwOBA .313 → .246 (−67)K% 29.1% → 40.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.10%÷0.990×1.360——39.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.72%÷1.030×0.690—×1.03010.15%
HBP% /PA0.67%—×0.780—×1.0300.54%
Singles /BIP24.54%÷0.957×0.920×0.950×1.03023.08%
Doubles /BIP6.13%÷0.954×0.830×0.950×1.0305.22%
Triples /BIP1.23%÷1.150×0.910×0.950×1.0300.95%
Home runs /BIP3.07%÷0.826×0.800—×1.0303.06%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 91, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .313 → .246; ISO .116 → .096; BABIP .323 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Mets · 83 PAwOBA .422 → .294 (−128)K% 26.5% → 39.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.51%÷0.973×1.440——39.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.89%÷1.068×0.620—×0.99513.22%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP17.07%÷0.979×0.820—×0.99514.22%
Doubles /BIP7.32%÷0.952×0.720—×0.9955.50%
Triples /BIP2.44%÷0.900×0.720—×0.9951.94%
Home runs /BIP12.20%÷0.974×0.780—×0.9959.71%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 95, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .422 → .294; ISO .317 → .241; BABIP .297 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Mets · 21 PAwOBA .418 → .284 (−134)K% 28.6% → 43.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.57%÷0.949×1.440——43.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.81%÷1.004×0.620—×1.00814.81%
HBP% /PA9.52%—×0.720—×1.0086.91%
Singles /BIP37.50%÷1.046×0.820—×1.00829.61%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷0.953×0.720—×1.0089.51%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.979×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.040×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 109, 2B 91, 3B 96, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .418 → .284; ISO .071 → .050; BABIP .500 → .391. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).