Zach Cole

RF Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 26 L/R 6'2" / 190 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

AAA40-MANROOKIEFG #343Arb-1FA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	AAHOU	295	.214/.302/.408	10	14	50	—	.164/.237/.305
2025	24	MLBHOU	52	.255/.327/.553	4	3	145	-0.1
2026	25	MLBHOU	53	.157/.189/.353	3	0	48	-0.6
2027PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBHOU	112	.200/.269/.412	5	3	88	0.0
2028PROJ56% MLB	27	MLBHOU	221	.202/.271/.410	10	6	88	0.1
2029PROJ62% MLB	28	MLBHOU	248	.202/.271/.406	11	6	87	0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.7 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.000First FA2031Super-2

2027Arb-1$0.9M2028Arb-2$0.9M2029Arb-3$1M2030Arb-4$1M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV93

Speed86

Chase%55

BB%36

K%6

Whiff%6

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsNelson Velázquez (age 25) · Sam Hilliard (age 28) · Jack Suwinski (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .269 / .412

PA112

HR5

K%39

BB%7

BABIP284

ISO206

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT27

Whiff%

738.6%

xAVG

100.204

POWER58

Barrel%

9015.8

Avg EV

8291.3

Bat Spd

8575.0

EYE50

Chase%

9014.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

6328.0

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2025

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.9M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.2M
2028	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-4	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	95	20	5	0	2	16	31	6	15	3	211	359	326	685	116	290	26	14	324	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	—	20	20	3	1	0	0	0	6	0	2	0	150	150	200	350	50	214	30	0	155	-51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	175	150	37	5	3	8	21	58	3	12	4	247	351	480	831	233	341	33	12	364	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	312	253	67	15	5	11	45	97	12	25	5	265	400	494	894	229	381	31	14	394	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	295	262	56	17	2	10	24	113	9	14	2	214	302	408	710	195	331	38	8	317	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK	FCL Astros	—	26	22	6	1	1	1	3	8	1	1	0	273	385	545	930	273	385	31	12	405	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB	Houston Astros	—	52	47	12	2	0	4	5	20	0	3	0	255	327	553	880	298	348	38	10	381	145	+3	+1	-1	-5	+1	-0.1
2025	24	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	61	51	18	3	1	5	10	17	0	3	1	353	459	745	1.204	392	448	28	16	508	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	355	307	82	19	6	14	42	129	5	15	6	267	364	505	869	238	412	36	12	381	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	53	51	8	1	0	3	1	21	1	0	0	157	189	353	542	196	185	40	2	237	48	-3	+0	+0	-4	+1	-0.6
2026	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	252	225	45	12	1	8	23	99	4	9	0	200	286	369	655	169	314	39	9	295	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	25	20	5	1	1	1	5	6	0	0	1	250	400	550	950	300	308	24	20	411	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	105	98	20	3	0	7	6	41	1	3	0	204	257	449	706	245	260	39	6	308	95	-1	+1	-1	-9	+2	-0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	100	17	4	0	2	11	43	6	15	3	170	291	270	561	100	263	37	9	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	20	20	2	1	0	0	0	9	0	2	0	100	100	150	250	50	167	45	0	93	-51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	175	159	27	3	2	5	12	78	3	12	4	170	241	308	550	138	297	45	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	312	268	53	11	4	8	30	130	12	25	5	198	306	358	665	160	325	42	10	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	295	269	44	13	2	7	17	137	9	14	2	164	237	305	542	141	297	46	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	26	23	5	1	1	1	2	11	1	1	0	217	308	478	786	261	286	42	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	52	47	12	2	0	4	5	20	0	3	0	255	327	553	880	298	348	38	10	382	145	+3	+1	-1	-5	+1	-0.1
2025	24	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	61	54	16	3	1	4	7	20	0	3	1	296	377	611	988	315	415	33	11	408	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	355	320	72	17	6	10	29	152	5	15	6	225	299	409	709	184	381	43	8	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	53	51	8	1	0	3	1	21	1	0	0	157	189	353	542	196	185	40	2	239	48	-3	+0	+0	-4	+1	-0.6
2026	25	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	252	232	35	9	1	5	16	119	4	9	0	151	218	263	481	112	273	47	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	25	22	5	1	1	1	3	8	0	0	1	227	320	500	820	273	260	32	12	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	137	120	19	5	0	2	11	52	6	17	3	158	263	250	513	92	258	38	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	137	115	23	6	0	2	16	37	6	17	3	200	328	304	633	104	276	27	12	299	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	487	427	80	14	6	13	42	208	15	37	9	187	283	340	623	152	321	43	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	487	403	104	20	8	19	66	155	15	37	9	258	382	489	871	231	366	32	14	384	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	321	292	48	14	2	8	19	149	10	15	2	164	240	308	548	144	296	46	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	321	284	62	18	3	11	27	121	10	15	2	218	308	419	727	201	336	38	8	325	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	468	421	99	21	7	18	41	192	5	21	7	235	310	447	757	211	382	41	9	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	468	405	112	24	7	23	57	166	5	21	7	277	373	541	913	264	410	35	12	397	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	330	305	47	11	2	9	20	148	5	9	1	154	218	292	510	138	257	45	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	330	296	58	14	2	12	29	126	5	9	1	196	279	378	657	182	291	38	9	295	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	137	119	19	5	0	2	11	52	6	17	3	160	263	252	515	92	249	38	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	487	427	80	14	6	13	42	208	15	37	9	187	283	340	623	152	315	43	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	321	289	48	14	2	8	19	149	10	15	2	166	240	311	551	145	296	46	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	468	419	99	21	7	18	41	192	5	21	7	236	310	449	759	212	382	41	9	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	330	302	47	11	2	9	20	148	5	9	1	156	218	295	513	139	258	45	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	321	289	48	14	2	8	19	149	10	15	2	166	240	311	551	145	296	46	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	468	419	99	21	7	18	41	192	5	21	7	236	310	449	759	212	382	41	9	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	330	302	47	11	2	9	20	148	5	9	1	156	218	295	513	139	258	45	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	HOU	45%	380	344	70	13	3	19	28	150	5	11	2	199	268	413	681	214	279	39	7	298	88	-5	+1	+1	-4	+8	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	HOU	45%	112	102	20	4	1	5	8	44	1	3	1	200	269	412	681	212	284	39	7	299	88	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	395	358	72	13	3	19	29	153	5	11	3	200	270	410	680	210	280	39	7	298	88	-6	+1	+1	-4	+9	0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	HOU	62%	403	365	75	14	3	19	30	154	5	10	2	201	270	406	676	205	279	38	7	297	87	-6	+1	+1	-4	+9	0.0
2030	29	MLB MLE	HOU	63%	398	361	72	13	2	18	29	150	5	8	2	201	270	400	670	199	279	38	7	295	86	-7	+1	-0	-4	+9	-0.2
2031	30	MLB MLE	HOU	63%	394	357	71	13	2	17	29	147	5	6	2	201	269	394	663	193	278	37	7	292	84	-8	+0	-1	-4	+9	-0.4
2032	31	MLB MLE	HOU	64%	379	344	69	13	2	16	28	140	4	3	1	199	267	385	652	186	276	37	7	288	81	-8	+0	-2	-4	+8	-0.6
2028	27	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	221	200	40	8	1	10	16	86	3	6	1	202	271	410	680	208	284	39	7	299	88	-3	+1	+1	-2	+5	0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	HOU	62%	248	225	46	9	2	11	18	95	3	6	1	202	271	406	677	203	284	38	7	298	87	-4	+1	+0	-3	+5	0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	HOU	63%	250	227	46	9	2	11	18	94	3	5	1	202	271	400	671	198	283	38	7	296	86	-4	+1	-0	-3	+5	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	HOU	63%	250	227	46	9	1	11	18	93	3	4	1	202	271	393	664	191	282	37	7	293	84	-5	+0	-0	-3	+5	-0.2
2032	31	MLB CTX	HOU	64%	242	219	44	9	1	10	18	89	3	2	1	201	269	385	654	185	280	37	7	289	81	-5	+0	-1	-3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1316	1196	242	47	7	60	94	498	16	26	5	202	270	404	673	202	283	38	7	296	78	-22	+3	-1	-22	+29	-1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	119	23	3	30	46	246	8	13	2	201	268	403	671	201	281	38	7	296	78	-11	+2	-0	-11	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3962	3577	697	139	31	151	296	1592	68	144	34	195	269	378	647	183	295	40	7	284	78	-39	+5	-0	-32	+50	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	115	23	5	25	49	261	11	24	6	196	270	380	650	184	297	40	8	284	78	-11	+1	-0	-9	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Larry Stahl'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	36	22	235*	297*	387*	-16	+11	2.4	2.9
/162	664	13	8	-5.5	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.2	1,428	67	30	202	266	406	+2	-2	2.2	2.3
/162	664	31	14	+0.9	-1.0	1.0	pk7: 2
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Brian Hunter'91-'00 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,742 PA	2.6	1,742	67	4	226*	288*	432*	-29	+4	0.1	0.8
/162	664	26	2	-11.1	+1.6	0.0	pk7: 1
#6Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach Cole (OGILVIE)	26	20→27	60→58	60	50	197/266/409	212	279	12	7	40%	7%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nelson Velázquez 2024 · MLB	25	38→39	58→60	49→50	40	214/275/413	200	286	28	13	35%	7%	91	+0.7	207/275/376	169	264	23	10	30%	8%	82	+0.0	190/263/344	153	238	21	9	29%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Sam Hilliard 2022 · MLB	28	35→45	57→55	55	41	198/261/395	197	267	26	15	36%	8%	82	-0.0	213/286/383	170	292	21	16	33%	9%	88	+0.4	208/281/383	175	283	19	18	32%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Jack Suwinski 2024 · MLB	26	41→43	60	49→50	51	221/316/435	214	289	28	11	33%	11%	112	+2.2	206/288/377	171	276	21	14	32%	9%	88	+0.4	197/274/349	152	263	19	14	31%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	41→39	56→55	53→50	36	222/260/407	185	280	24	17	31%	4%	84	+0.1	222/284/362	140	318	16	10	33%	7%	82	-0.0	224/300/339	115	334	11	5	34%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Jonathan Van Every 2006 · AA	26	41→43	55	49→50	41	209/286/386	178	316	24	15	40%	9%	89	+0.5	225/288/396	171	342	19	11	37%	7%	91	+0.7	226/289/404	177	346	20	8	38%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Niko Hulsizer 2023 · AAA	26	44→30	55→60	52→50	37	211/279/394	184	351	24	16	44%	8%	88	+0.5	196/278/336	140	313	16	11	39%	9%	74	-0.5	159/256/280	121	253	13	8	39%	10%	53	-1.6
✕Jesse Franklin V 2023 · AA	24	38→28	55→60	53→55	36	206/267/389	184	295	24	15	38%	6%	83	+0.1	215/279/376	161	305	20	18	35%	6%	84	+0.1	199/266/371	171	275	23	24	35%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Alex Jackson 2022 · MLB	26	37→38	57→60	48→30	35	200/278/395	195	302	26	5	41%	6%	89	+0.5	204/270/360	156	280	18	5	33%	7%	77	-0.3	181/244/332	151	232	18	2	30%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Bobby Bradley 2022 · MLB	26	37→44	62→65	46→40	40	214/283/433	220	286	32	3	37%	7%	99	+1.3	199/272/360	161	300	20	5	39%	7%	78	-0.3	135/211/251	116	222	14	0	44%	7%	33	-1.3
✕Aristides Aquino 2020 · MLB	26	39→41	62→65	49→50	38	224/270/443	219	267	32	10	30%	5%	97	+1.1	221/290/430	209	285	29	9	32%	8%	101	+1.4	194/272/374	181	273	23	6	37%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Alexander Canario 2024 · MLB	24	41→36	55→60	52→50	40	215/276/403	188	297	24	13	35%	7%	89	+0.5	220/284/380	160	317	20	10	35%	8%	86	+0.3	208/276/362	155	297	21	9	36%	8%	78	-0.1
✕J.J. Matijevic 2023 · MLB	27	44→42	55	52→50	42	229/290/415	186	309	23	12	33%	7%	97	+1.1	224/285/384	160	302	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.4	210/273/367	157	281	15	8	30%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Trey Cabbage 2024 · MLB	27	48	56→55	58→55	38	238/295/431	193	357	24	24	39%	7%	103	+1.5	223/286/389	166	345	19	25	38%	8%	89	+0.5	196/267/358	162	312	17	31	40%	8%	73	-0.4
✕Daniel Palka 2017 · AAA	25	38→43	55	48→50	37	206/260/386	179	298	23	10	38%	7%	79	-0.2	220/271/394	174	294	23	5	33%	6%	84	+0.2	207/274/387	180	261	25	4	31%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Jabari Blash 2016 · AAA	27	39→41	58→60	48→50	44	214/293/415	202	277	26	9	32%	8%	99	+1.2	210/311/399	189	307	24	7	36%	11%	101	+1.4	197/311/390	192	295	25	6	38%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Cody Thomas 2022 · AAA	27	40→49	58→60	49→45	38	215/268/422	207	297	25	5	36%	6%	91	+0.6	233/283/403	170	312	19	6	30%	6%	91	+0.7	246/295/426	180	304	20	5	25%	5%	98	+1.0
●Jo Adell 2024 · MLB	25	42→47	58→65	50	39	224/285/429	205	300	26	11	34%	6%	99	+1.2	226/289/430	204	271	28	11	28%	7%	101	+1.4	228/290/425	197	264	28	9	26%	6%	101	+1.3
✕Stewart Ijames 2016 · AA	27	40	57→60	47→45	38	216/269/411	195	301	26	7	37%	6%	88	+0.5	199/260/346	147	288	17	6	35%	7%	70	-0.9	170/239/303	132	241	15	3	35%	7%	50	-0.9
✕Dérmis Garcia 2024 · MLB	26	42	55	50→45	39	214/281/393	179	319	24	8	39%	8%	89	+0.5	192/255/326	134	279	16	7	36%	7%	63	-1.3	147/211/258	111	207	15	2	36%	7%	29	-2.7
✕Dylan Cozens 2019 · MLB	25	37→47	56→55	49→50	38	196/265/381	186	314	25	12	44%	8%	80	-0.1	203/289/381	178	357	22	15	44%	10%	88	+0.5	140/264/314	174	258	20	22	49%	14%	63	-0.2

Zach Cole

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps