Hyungchan UmC Columbia Fireflies
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION248 act + 165 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .274 / .303
PA165
HR3
K%31
BB%7
BABIP273
ISO108
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -19.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-19BATRUN: +1.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +7.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+7POSREP: +11.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.40.70.91.01.00.9+$37M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$5M+$5M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $8M +$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202319 INTL2 teams 181163 24402 14661 20 147219209428 61224 368 200 11
202319 INTL2 teams 181167 40505 10441 20 240287359646 120289 246 286 77
202420 A3 teams 469420 711309 3317814 72 169253264517 95265 387 233 37
202420 A3 teams 469405 10518118 4712014 72 259355442797 183325 2610 356 130
202521 A2 teams 293263 441302 21856 41 167245240484 72237 297 221 27
202521 A2 teams 293251 581503 33586 41 231334327661 96288 2011 304 91
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 AKC 248216 43426 20807 70 199288319608 120278 328 262 59 -12 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.1
YTD22 AKC 248205 48527 31567 70 234354380734 146283 2312 330 110 +3 +1 +0 +4 +7 1.6
ROS22 AKC 0% 165148 29513 12514 30 196274303577 108270 317 262 59 -8 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.1
ROS22 MLBKC 0% 01 0000 000 00 266 242 43 +0 +0
FULL22 AKC 248217 43426 20807 70 198288318606 120276 328 262 59 -12 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.1
TOT22 AKC 413364 72939 3213111 100 198282313595 115276 328 262 59 -19 +2 +0 +7 +12 0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBKC 34% 390349 701318 301158 61 201279312591 112271 298 271 65 -15 +1 +0 +7 +11 0.4
202824 MLBKC 46% 446399 8315210 351289 71 208287331618 123274 298 278 71 -15 +1 +0 +8 +13 0.7
202925 MLBKC 52% 473423 8916211 381339 71 210289336625 125275 288 282 74 -14 +1 +0 +8 +13 0.9
203026 MLBKC 54% 487436 9116212 391379 71 209287337624 128275 288 284 75 -14 +1 +0 +9 +14 1.0
203127 MLBKC 54% 491438 9317212 4013810 81 212293342635 130275 288 284 75 -14 +1 +0 +9 +14 1.0
203228 MLBKC 58% 488436 9016211 401389 71 206287328615 122274 288 283 75 -14 +1 -1 +9 +14 0.9
202723 MLBKC 34% 134120 23403 10393 20 192271300571 108268 297 252 51 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
202824 MLBKC 46% 206184 38714 16594 30 207284321605 114270 298 260 57 -10 +1 +0 +4 +6 0.0
202925 MLBKC 52% 244218 45815 19695 40 206285321606 115271 288 264 60 -11 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.1
203026 MLBKC 54% 264236 49916 21745 40 208286331617 123272 288 266 62 -11 +1 +0 +5 +7 0.2
203127 MLBKC 54% 266237 49916 22755 40 207288329617 122271 288 266 62 -12 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.2
203228 MLBKC 58% 285253 51916 24816 41 202286316602 115271 288 265 61 -13 +0 -0 +5 +8 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 13991249 25546530 11239728 211 204285321606 117272 288 263 60 -64 +4 -0 +25 +40 0.4
/ 162G 650580 11821214 5218413 100 203284319603 116270 288 263 60 -30 +2 -0 +12 +18 0.2
Career 38833475 6841281280 302116979 589 197276310586 113269 308 266 62 -169 +8 -1 +69 +110 1.8
/ 162G 650582 11421213 5119613 102 196276306582 110269 308 266 62 -28 +1 -0 +12 +18 0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202319 ROKACL Royals 5950 11201 7150 10 220316320636 100278 2512 284 76 -2 +0 +2 0.0
202319 INTLBrisbane Bandits 122117 29304 3291 10 248273376649 128294 242 286 77 -3 +0 +3 0.1
202420 AColumbia Fireflies 198166 34504 25567 11 205333307641 102283 2813 303 90 -2 -0 +6 0.3
202420 ROKACL Royals 116100 31704 12253 30 310397500897 190380 2210 396 162 +8 +1 +3 1.2
202420 INTLBrisbane Bandits 155139 406110 10394 31 288353561914 273330 256 393 159 +10 +0 +4 1.5
202521 AColumbia Fireflies 262222 501303 32546 41 225338324663 99283 2112 307 93 -2 +0 +7 0.6
202521 ROKACL Royals 3129 8200 140 00 276300345645 69320 133 281 73 -1 +0 +1 -0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,7193725206282325+31+162.42.5
/1626641410+11.9+6.20.9pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Hyungchan Um (OGILVIE) 22 35 30 45 50 198/282/313 115276 910 32% 8% 59 +0.2
Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A
22 40 38→40 49→40 40 194/261/274 80272 67 29% 6% 47 -1.9 217/294/301 84283 84 25% 7% 69 -0.4 216/298/285692797123%7%66-0.3
Andy Paz
2015 · A
22 38 38→40 45 44 185/245/261 75253 65 28% 7% 37 -2.7 210/264/277 67293 46 28% 7% 48 -1.9 226/270/274482963723%6%46-0.7
Claudio Finol
2022 · A
22 40 39→40 46→45 40 193/251/277 85270 56 30% 6% 43 -2.2 194/250/277 83275 79 30% 6% 43 -2.2 181/246/2587726091232%7%35-0.7
Franklin Tineo
2017 · A
22 36 38→45 46→50 45 179/245/253 75239 510 26% 7% 35 -2.8 198/277/298 100282 810 30% 8% 60 -1.0 201/298/325124262101225%10%74-0.0
Alexander Campos
2022 · A
22 43 41→40 46→45 48 206/290/308 102278 86 27% 9% 69 -0.4 221/302/309 88318 76 30% 9% 74 -0.1 242/332/316743358627%10%86+0.3
Wilkin Grullon
2022 · A
22 40 37→30 46→45 41 189/263/263 74280 54 32% 7% 46 -2.0 197/259/295 98320 85 38% 7% 51 -1.7 156/214/26010425511042%6%20-0.7
Alex Todd
2012 · A
22 38 37→40 44→45 38 185/246/256 71259 44 29% 5% 37 -2.7 220/285/305 85299 66 27% 5% 65 -0.7 236/303/318833176526%5%73-0.1
Glenn Santiago
2023 · A
22 42 41→40 46→45 39 204/256/303 99288 98 31% 6% 52 -1.6 199/262/282 83293 79 32% 7% 50 -1.8 183/253/253702696832%7%37-1.1
Victor Duarte
2022 · A
21 39 38→30 48→45 42 188/251/269 81260 67 29% 6% 42 -2.3 199/274/280 81291 66 31% 8% 55 -1.4 183/255/2506625161127%8%37-0.7
Deivi Mejia
2011 · A
21 40 39→40 43→30 44 193/264/278 85266 75 29% 8% 50 -1.8 212/259/304 92276 74 25% 4% 53 -1.5 224/268/311872676118%3%59-0.4
Taylor Krick
2011 · A
23 43 38→30 48→40 51 205/292/282 77270 67 25% 10% 63 -0.8 226/312/290 64313 35 26% 8% 73 -0.1 233/324/284513282226%8%74-0.0
Willy Diaz
2016 · A
22 39 38→40 43→40 46 187/275/268 81281 63 33% 9% 53 -1.5 189/257/267 78337 45 41% 7% 43 -2.2 169/224/243753182444%5%20-1.2
Narbe Cruz
2023 · A
22 41 38→40 44→45 40 197/250/273 76268 57 28% 5% 42 -2.3 215/268/305 90308 86 31% 5% 58 -1.2 215/271/305903139632%5%54-0.7
Luis De La Cruz
2011 · A
22 39 40 47→30 38 193/229/294 101252 66 26% 4% 37 -2.6 234/265/316 82286 56 19% 4% 58 -1.2 263/286/335713104416%3%67-0.2
David Narodowski
2011 · A
22 36 40 42→45 46 181/257/264 83246 87 29% 8% 43 -2.2 200/260/286 86282 78 29% 7% 50 -1.8 185/240/258732574728%7%30-0.7
Adrian Abreu
2012 · A
21 39 38→40 47→55 47 190/263/273 82247 59 24% 8% 47 -1.9 212/292/300 88256 817 19% 9% 67 -0.5 209/299/2908024192516%10%66-0.2
Alexis Wilson
2019 · A
22 41 38→40 48→30 45 195/262/274 79263 54 27% 8% 47 -1.9 219/268/308 89279 85 24% 6% 58 -1.2 222/264/2987626710121%4%51-0.6
Abrahan Gutierrez
2021 · A
21 44→45 40 46→40 43 215/264/301 87273 86 24% 6% 54 -1.4 227/296/326 99305 84 26% 8% 75 -0.0 220/294/315952958226%8%68-0.2
Yoel Romero
2021 · A
23 43 38→40 46→50 45 205/266/285 80275 69 27% 7% 52 -1.6 212/262/306 94320 84 34% 6% 55 -1.4 201/249/291903048035%5%43-0.9
Jon Karcich
2010 · A
22 40 41→40 47→45 46 197/275/295 98258 95 26% 8% 59 -1.1 201/267/299 98284 76 30% 7% 56 -1.3 191/257/290982737630%7%47-1.0