Logan Tabeling
P
Great Lakes Loons
Age 24
RHP
5'11" / 197 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.8 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 114
ERA5.01
FIP5.01
K%22.5%
BB%16.5%
K-BB%6.0%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 89 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 15 | 89 | 400 | 113 | 58 | 1 | 56% | 3.3 | 21.1% | 17.0% | 4.1% | 0.3% | 4.06 | 3.63 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 15 | 89 | 400 | 113 | 58 | 1 | 56% | 3.3 | 28.2% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 0.2% | 4.06 | 2.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 6 | 5 | 24 | 100 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 83% | 4.1 | 24.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 1.2% | 2.22 | 3.16 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 61 | 45 | 7 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.5% | 16.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 5.01 | 5.01 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | 16.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 4.97 | 4.97 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 89 | 374 | 93 | 55 | 8 | — | — | 25.0% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 2.1% | 4.25 | 4.51 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.5% | 16.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 4.97 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 19 | 19 | 109 | 461 | 108 | 67 | 11 | 100% | 5.7 | 23.4% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 4.79 | 4.70 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 20 | 20 | 121 | 511 | 122 | 71 | 13 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.9% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 2.5% | 4.66 | 4.60 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 20 | 20 | 119 | 504 | 120 | 69 | 13 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.8% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 4.63 | 4.62 | +1.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 19 | 19 | 116 | 489 | 116 | 67 | 13 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.7% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 4.67 | 4.70 | +0.9 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 8 | 8 | 47 | 198 | 46 | 29 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.4% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 2.4% | 4.75 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 80 | 338 | 81 | 47 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.9% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 2.4% | 4.62 | 4.56 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 15 | 15 | 92 | 388 | 93 | 53 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.8% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 4.59 | 4.58 | +0.7 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 16 | 16 | 97 | 410 | 97 | 56 | 11 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.7% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 4.63 | 4.66 | +0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 53 | 53 | 317 | 1340 | 318 | 186 | 34 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.8% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 4.63 | 4.23 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 117 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.8% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 4.63 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 33 | 20 | 113 | 500 | 109 | 79 | 2 | 61% | 3.4 | 21.8% | 15.9% | 5.9% | 0.5% | 3.66 | 3.54 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 35 | 200 | 885 | 193 | 140 | 4 | 61% | 3.4 | 21.8% | 15.9% | 5.9% | 0.5% | 3.66 | 3.54 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Logan Tabeling (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.01 | 22.5% | 16.5% | 2.4% | — | 4.64 | 23.8% | 9.7% | 350 | -0.37 | — | — | — |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.55 | 19.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.24 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 143 | -0.31 | 3.72 | 283 | 84 |
| Ramsey David R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 18.6% | 17.4% | 2.7% | .219 | 7.27 | 19.1% | -0.7% | 30 | +2.04 | 5.23 | 107 | 82 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 82 |
| R.J. Freure R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.83 | 21.7% | 16.2% | 4.6% | .298 | 6.05 | 20.3% | 0.1% | 26 | +0.22 | 5.19 | 196 | 80 |
| Cory Lewis R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 20.9% | 19.5% | 2.6% | .354 | 5.34 | 19.5% | 4.8% | 44 | +0.11 | 3.39 | 284 | 80 |
| Jackson Finley R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.04 | 18.0% | 12.8% | 1.5% | .361 | 3.85 | 20.7% | 11.4% | 49 | -0.19 | 3.85 | 132 | 79 |
| David Lebron R 2027 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 79 |
| Reid Johnston R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.90 | 19.5% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .256 | 5.86 | 17.2% | 2.4% | 31 | +0.96 | 3.72 | 234 | 78 |
| Niko Mazza R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.41 | 22.0% | 15.9% | 2.1% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 165 | 78 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 78 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 17.0% | 14.3% | 1.6% | .335 | 4.05 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 99 | -0.30 | 3.59 | 327 | 78 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 78 |
| Phillippe Aumont R 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.64 | 19.6% | 18.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.31 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 64 | +0.67 | 4.64 | 147 | 78 |
| Zach Fruit R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.26 | 19.3% | 14.1% | 1.8% | .258 | 4.83 | 15.4% | -0.2% | 44 | +0.57 | 4.26 | 151 | 77 |
| Carlos Tavera R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.54 | 19.6% | 17.3% | 3.5% | .267 | 5.35 | 19.4% | 4.8% | 114 | -0.19 | 4.12 | 263 | 76 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 76 |
| Matt Ball R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.63 | 21.3% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 312 | 76 |
| Deylen Miley R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.65 | 21.7% | 18.4% | 1.9% | .320 | 5.05 | 22.3% | 4.8% | 88 | +0.40 | 2.07 | 185 | 76 |
| Casey Anderson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.06 | 17.3% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .328 | 5.96 | 19.3% | 4.0% | 45 | +1.90 | 4.06 | 229 | 76 |
| Sean Mooney R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 111 | 23.5% | 14.3% | 0.99 | 4.74 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| Ian Anderson ('22) | 3 | 91 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 0.96 | 3.97 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |