Logan Tabeling
P
Great Lakes Loons
+0.7
WAR
Age 24
RHP
5'11" / 197 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.2 · 2028
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.4%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%10.0%
IP89
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.2peak
2028
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 27 | 15 | 89 | 400 | 113 | 58 | 1 | 21.1% | 17.0% | 0.3% | 4.06 | 3.64 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.80 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 16 | 16 | 89 | 375 | 84 | 47 | 9 | 22.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.7 |
| 2026 Total | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 94 | 395 | 89 | 50 | 9 | 22.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | 4.36 | 4.26 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 19 | 19 | 102 | 430 | 98 | 48 | 11 | 22.8% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 4.39 | 4.34 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 20 | 20 | 109 | 459 | 105 | 50 | 12 | 22.9% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 4.34 | 4.31 | +1.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 20 | 20 | 112 | 473 | 108 | 51 | 12 | 22.9% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.32 | +1.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 20 | 20 | 112 | 474 | 108 | 51 | 12 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.34 | +1.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 20 | 20 | 110 | 464 | 105 | 50 | 12 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 4.36 | 4.39 | +1.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 19 | 19 | 106 | 450 | 101 | 49 | 12 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 2.7% | 4.41 | 4.45 | +1.0 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 19 | 19 | 103 | 434 | 97 | 48 | 12 | 22.2% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 4.48 | 4.52 | +0.9 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 18 | 18 | 99 | 417 | 92 | 47 | 12 | 22.0% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.61 | +0.8 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 17 | 17 | 94 | 398 | 86 | 45 | 12 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.65 | 4.71 | +0.6 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 16 | 16 | 90 | 378 | 81 | 44 | 12 | 21.3% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.75 | 4.82 | +0.4 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 15 | 15 | 84 | 356 | 75 | 42 | 11 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 4.86 | 4.94 | +0.2 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 14 | 14 | 79 | 333 | 75 | 37 | 11 | 22.5% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.82 | 4.80 | +0.3 |
| 2039 | 37 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 73 | 309 | 68 | 36 | 11 | 22.1% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 4.90 | 4.95 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 29 | 16 | 94 | 420 | 89 | 71 | 1 | 21.3% | 16.9% | 0.3% | 3.94 | 3.60 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 34 | 200 | 897 | 190 | 152 | 2 | 21.3% | 16.9% | 0.3% | 3.94 | 3.60 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Logan Tabeling (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 22.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | — | 4.32 | 22.9% | 11.9% | 323 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Roman Angelo R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.02 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .291 | 5.45 | 17.7% | 4.3% | 141 | +1.43 | 4.02 | 262 | 88 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.67 | 24.3% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .280 | 6.90 | 17.1% | 1.8% | 38 | +3.23 | 3.67 | 270 | 88 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.58 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 2.8% | .296 | 5.08 | 18.4% | 6.8% | 57 | +0.50 | 4.27 | 238 | 86 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.15 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.15 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.5% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.23 | 4.15 | 212 | 85 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.03 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.80 | 18.2% | 4.1% | 73 | -0.23 | 3.80 | 154 | 85 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .300 | 4.44 | 18.2% | 7.0% | 78 | +0.55 | 3.89 | 183 | 85 |
| Trent Sellers R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.41 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 1.1% | .211 | 4.51 | 21.8% | 8.5% | 96 | +1.10 | 3.41 | 178 | 85 |
| Alex Pham R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.07 | 22.6% | 11.1% | 2.7% | .284 | 3.78 | 23.7% | 14.8% | 41 | -0.29 | 3.78 | 293 | 84 |
| Will Warren R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.19 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .287 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 15.7% | 313 | -0.17 | 3.31 | 571 | 84 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.51 | 19.1% | 14.3% | 2.2% | .290 | 4.25 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 143 | -0.26 | 3.75 | 283 | 84 |
| Emerson Hancock R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .288 | 4.37 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 313 | +0.06 | 2.50 | 554 | 84 |
| Noah Davis R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.75 | 19.4% | 11.8% | 1.5% | .264 | 5.04 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 312 | +1.29 | 2.95 | 492 | 84 |
| Zach Fruit R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 19.3% | 14.1% | 1.9% | .258 | 5.07 | 15.4% | -0.2% | 44 | +0.79 | 4.28 | 151 | 84 |
| Cole Sands R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.65 | 23.3% | 11.5% | 1.9% | .269 | 3.55 | 25.1% | 17.3% | 216 | -0.10 | 2.31 | 462 | 84 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.30 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .329 | 3.95 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 118 | -0.35 | 2.58 | 199 | 83 |
| George Klassen R 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.73 | 22.2% | 11.0% | 2.0% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 196 | 83 |
| Brett Daniels R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.95 | 18.5% | 12.1% | 1.6% | .266 | 4.47 | 21.4% | 7.9% | 152 | +0.52 | 3.95 | 270 | 82 |
| Patrick Reilly R 2024 · 4.92 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.92 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 3.7% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.92 | 119 | 82 |
| Kyle Bradish R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.60 | 26.4% | 10.6% | 2.5% | .333 | 3.28 | 24.9% | 17.2% | 345 | -0.32 | 2.16 | 615 | 82 |
| David Lebron R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.30 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.8% | .336 | 5.70 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +1.40 | 4.30 | 144 | 82 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.2 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.1 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.0 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.8 | $4M | +$1M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.6 | $3M | +$0.2M |
| Totals | $10M | $42M | +$32M | ||