Blake Mitchell

C Quad Cities River Bandits
Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 202 lbs A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP45OGV rank#54ETA2028MLB%4%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419A+/AKC486.232/.371/.424182659—.164/.269/.294
202520A+/ROK/INTL2 orgs338.221/.402/.31841474—.165/.296/.245
202621A+KC511.234/.419/.459232791—.179/.324/.341
2027PROJMLE22MLBKC9.176/.305/.30900820.0
2028PROJ45% MLB23MLBKC200.184/.310/.33265900.7
2029PROJ59% MLB24MLBKC262.191/.314/.34686941.1
Next 3 projected WAR 1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$4M2032Arb-2$7M2033Arb-3$10M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
BB%97
Chase%90
wOBA84
wRC+83
ISO82
Speed51
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 16, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 81%
CompsZack Collins (age 23) · Isan Díaz (age 22) · Daniel Vellojin (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†82
AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .305 / .309
PA9
HR0
K%33
BB%11
BABIP279
ISO136
MLB%4%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.00.91.80.00.71.11.31.31.31.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$31M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.7$3M+$2M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.1$8M+$7M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.3$8M+$8M
2031Arb-1$4M+1.3$8M+$5M
2032Arb-2$7M+1.3$7M+$3M
2033Arb-3$10M+1.2$6M+$0.8M
Totals $24M $39M +$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202318 ROKACL Royals — 5234 5100 17140 10 147431176608 29238 2733 322 37 — — — — — —
202419 A+Quad Cities River Bandits — 2018 2000 171 10 111200111311 182 355 162 -24 — — — — — —
202419 AColumbia Fireflies — 466378 9016318 791426 257 238378439817 201326 3017 366 63 — — — — — —
202520 A+Quad Cities River Bandits — 216169 35712 45710 94 207374296670 89340 3321 318 50 — — — — — —
202520 ROKACL Royals — 3928 8201 8103 31 286487464951 179412 2621 435 88 — — — — — —
202520 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 8361 14201 20222 20 230434311745 82342 2724 362 131 — — — — — —
202621 A+Quad Cities River Bandits — 511381 8917023 1131749 276 234419459879 226346 3422 390 91 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202318 ROK MLEACL Royals — 5240 4100 11200 10 100294125419 25188 3821 223 37 — — — — — —
202419 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 2018 2000 191 10 111200111311 176 455 132 -24 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 466404 6712213 532006 257 166272302574 136278 4311 261 63 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 216182 29512 32900 94 159285231516 71288 4215 242 50 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Royals — 3931 6101 5153 31 194359323682 129315 3813 299 88 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 511414 7413018 802219 276 179324341665 162296 4316 302 91 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Royals — 5240 4100 11200 10 100294125419 25190 3821 223 37 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWACL Royals — 5234 5100 17140 10 147431176608 29238 2733 322 37 — — — — — —
202419 A MLE2 teams — 486422 6912213 542097 267 164269294563 130276 4311 256 59 — — — — — —
202419 A RAW2 teams — 486396 9216318 801497 267 232371424795 192319 3116 357 59 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE3 teams — 338282 46913 491385 145 163298234532 71303 4114 251 56 — — — — — —
202520 A+ RAW3 teams — 338258 571114 731035 145 221402318720 97349 3022 343 56 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 511414 7413018 802219 276 179324341665 162308 4316 302 91 — — — — — —
202621 A+ RAWQuad Cities River Bandits — 511381 8917023 1131749 276 234419459879 226346 3422 390 91 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Royals — 5241 4100 11200 10 98294122416 24188 3821 223 37 — — — — — —
202419 A MLE2 teams — 486422 6912213 542097 267 164269294563 130274 4311 256 59 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE3 teams — 338281 46913 491385 145 164298235532 71292 4114 251 56 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 511417 7413018 802219 276 177324338662 161296 4316 302 91 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 A MLE2 teams — 486422 6912213 542097 267 164269294563 130274 4311 256 59 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE3 teams — 338281 46913 491385 145 164298235532 71292 4114 251 56 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 511417 7413018 802219 276 177324338662 161296 4316 302 91 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEKC 4% 603505 9016117 862337 164 179307320628 141282 3914 290 82 -13 +2 +1 +11 +13 0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202722 MLB CTXKC 4% 98 1000 130 00 176305309614 133279 3311 285 82 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEKC 45% 445374 7012115 631665 113 188313344657 156284 3714 301 90 -6 +1 +1 +8 +10 1.5
202924 MLB MLEKC 59% 445375 7313116 621625 102 194317359676 165286 3614 307 94 -3 +1 +2 +8 +10 1.8
203025 MLB MLEKC 65% 445376 7413116 611585 92 199319369688 170287 3614 312 97 -2 +1 +2 +8 +10 1.9
203126 MLB MLEKC 68% 445377 7513116 601555 82 202320374694 172287 3513 314 98 -1 +1 +2 +8 +10 2.0
203227 MLB MLEKC 68% 445378 7714116 591535 72 203319373692 170286 3413 313 98 -1 +1 +2 +8 +10 1.9
203328 MLB MLEKC 68% 445378 7613116 591545 52 201317368685 167285 3513 310 96 -2 +0 +1 +8 +10 1.7
203429 MLB MLEKC 66% 445378 7413115 591565 41 198314361675 163283 3513 306 93 -4 +0 +0 +8 +10 1.5
203530 MLB MLEKC 66% 445379 7413115 591574 31 195310353663 158280 3513 301 90 -5 +0 -0 +8 +10 1.2
203631 MLB MLEKC 65% 426363 7012114 561524 31 191305342648 152276 3613 296 86 -7 +0 -1 +8 +9 0.9
203732 MLB MLEKC 65% 407347 6511113 531474 21 186299329629 144271 3613 288 81 -9 +0 -2 +7 +9 0.5
203833 MLB MLEKC 65% 387331 5910011 501423 21 179292314606 135265 3713 279 75 -12 +0 -3 +7 +8 0.1
202823 MLB CTXKC 45% 200168 31606 28752 51 184310332642 147281 3814 295 90 -2 +1 +1 +4 +4 0.7
202924 MLB CTXKC 59% 262220 42818 37953 61 191314346660 156283 3614 302 94 -2 +1 +1 +5 +6 1.1
203025 MLB CTXKC 65% 290245 499110 401033 61 195316355671 161283 3614 305 97 -1 +1 +1 +5 +6 1.3
203126 MLB CTXKC 68% 304257 519110 411063 51 198316360677 163284 3513 307 98 -1 +1 +1 +5 +7 1.3
203227 MLB CTXKC 68% 303257 519110 401043 51 199315360675 161283 3413 306 98 -1 +1 +1 +5 +7 1.3
203328 MLB CTXKC 68% 303257 519110 401053 41 197313355668 158282 3513 304 96 -1 +0 +1 +5 +7 1.2
203429 MLB CTXKC 66% 296252 509110 391033 31 195311348659 154280 3513 300 93 -2 +0 +0 +5 +6 1.0
203530 MLB CTXKC 66% 292249 47819 381033 21 191307340647 149277 3513 296 90 -3 +0 -0 +5 +6 0.8
203631 MLB CTXKC 65% 277236 44808 36993 21 187302330632 143273 3613 290 86 -5 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.6
203732 MLB CTXKC 65% 263225 41708 34952 21 182296318614 136269 3613 283 81 -6 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.3
203833 MLB CTXKC 65% 250214 37607 32922 10 176289303592 127263 3713 274 75 -7 +0 -2 +4 +5 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 30402580 49488796 405108030 4110 191308343651 151281 3613 297 86 -32 +4 +2 +54 +66 9.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650552 10619121 872316 92 192309344653 152281 3613 297 86 -7 +1 +0 +12 +14 2.1
Career— MLE — 63775390 101117813203 865237173 13837 188308338646 151283 3714 295 86 -55 +6 +4 +89 +108 15.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650549 10318121 882427 144 188307339646 151283 3714 295 86 -7 +1 +0 +12 +14 2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 511 PAwOBA .386 → .302 (−84)K% 34.1% → 43.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.05%÷1.000×1.270——43.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.92%÷1.000×0.710—×1.01215.75%
HBP% /PA1.76%—×0.790—×1.0121.41%
Singles /BIP23.67%÷1.000×0.920×0.971×1.01221.39%
Doubles /BIP8.21%÷1.000×0.810×0.971×1.0126.54%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×0.971×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP11.11%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0129.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .386 → .302; ISO .226 → .178; BABIP .346 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 216 PAwOBA .310 → .242 (−68)K% 32.9% → 41.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.87%÷1.007×1.270——41.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.91%÷0.981×0.710—×1.02714.79%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP25.51%÷1.027×0.920×0.955×1.02722.40%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.055×0.810×0.955×1.0275.38%
Triples /BIP1.02%÷1.012×0.850×0.955×1.0270.84%
Home runs /BIP2.04%÷0.983×0.800—×1.0271.71%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 105, 2B 111, 3B 102, K 101, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .310 → .242; ISO .089 → .068; BABIP .340 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Royals · 39 PAwOBA .425 → .299 (−127)K% 25.6% → 37.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.64%÷0.985×1.440——37.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.51%÷0.971×0.620—×0.98512.90%
HBP% /PA7.69%—×0.720—×0.9855.46%
Singles /BIP27.78%÷1.019×0.820—×0.98522.01%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷0.975×0.720—×0.9858.08%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.070×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP5.56%÷0.939×0.780—×0.9854.54%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 114, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .425 → .299; ISO .179 → .133; BABIP .412 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AColumbia Fireflies · 466 PAwOBA .357 → .261 (−96)K% 30.5% → 43.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.47%÷0.964×1.360——43.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.52%÷1.028×0.690—×1.03011.43%
HBP% /PA1.29%—×0.780—×1.0301.03%
Singles /BIP22.46%÷1.037×0.920×0.950×1.03019.49%
Doubles /BIP6.78%÷0.935×0.830×0.950×1.0305.89%
Triples /BIP1.27%÷1.008×0.910×0.950×1.0301.12%
Home runs /BIP7.63%÷1.020×0.800—×1.0306.16%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 107, 2B 87, 3B 102, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .357 → .261; ISO .201 → .146; BABIP .326 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 20 PAwOBA .159 → .132 (−27)K% 35.0% → 43.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.00%÷1.024×1.270——43.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.00%÷0.967×0.710—×1.0423.83%
HBP% /PA5.00%—×0.790—×1.0424.12%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷0.988×0.920—×1.04217.64%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.113×0.810—×1.0420.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850—×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.959×0.800—×1.0420.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 98, 2B 123, 3B 130, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .159 → .132; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .182 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Royals · 52 PAwOBA .323 → .223 (−100)K% 26.9% → 38.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.92%÷1.000×1.440——38.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA32.69%÷0.982×0.620—×1.00820.79%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.029×0.820—×1.00816.05%
Doubles /BIP5.00%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0083.63%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.932×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 106, 2B 100, 3B 86, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .323 → .223; ISO .029 → .022; BABIP .238 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .