Blake Mitchell — OGILVIE

Blake MitchellC Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 202 lbs A+ HR -5%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 2.3 · 2031

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .269 / .296

PA274

HR7

SB8

K%42

BB%11

MLB%4%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

24↗34

PWR

42↗57

SPD

45↘33

FLD

37↗53

EYE

63↘56

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.3peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.7	$15M	+$14M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.1	$19M	+$18M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.3	$21M	+$20M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.3	$22M	+$17M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.2	$22M	+$14M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+2.0	$20M	+$10M
Totals		$25M		$119M	+$94M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	ACL Royals	52	40	4	1	0	0	11	20	0	1	0	.100	.294	.125	.419	.025	.190	38	21	.222	28	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
2024	19	A	2 teams	486	428	69	12	2	14	48	219	7	26	7	.161	.257	.297	.553	.136	.278	45	10	.246	46	-29	+2	+0	+9	+14	-0.5
2025	20	A+	3 teams	338	283	46	9	1	3	48	138	5	14	5	.163	.295	.233	.528	.071	.301	41	14	.247	47	-20	+1	+0	+6	+10	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	62	48	6	0	0	3	13	28	0	3	2	.125	.311	.312	.624	.188	.167	45	21	.304	91	-1	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
ROS	21	MLB	KC	212	182	31	5	1	6	26	90	2	5	2	.170	.281	.308	.589	.137	.278	42	12	.266	62	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
TOT	21	MLB	KC	274	230	37	5	1	9	39	118	2	8	4	.161	.288	.309	.597	.148	.267	43	14	.274	68	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 15%	KC	324	278	51	9	1	10	40	122	3	7	3	.183	.293	.331	.624	.147	.272	38	12	.283	75	-9	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.6
2028	23	MLB 31%	KC	409	352	67	11	1	14	50	147	4	8	3	.190	.298	.347	.645	.156	.276	36	12	.295	84	-7	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.2
2029	24	MLB 48%	KC	465	399	79	13	2	17	58	163	5	8	3	.198	.307	.368	.676	.170	.278	35	12	.303	90	-5	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.7
2030	25	MLB 62%	KC	496	426	86	14	2	19	62	171	5	7	3	.202	.310	.378	.688	.176	.280	34	12	.308	94	-3	+0	+0	+9	+14	2.1
2031	26	MLB 79%	KC	514	439	89	15	2	20	65	178	5	7	2	.203	.312	.383	.695	.180	.281	35	13	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2032	27	MLB 94%	KC	520	443	90	15	2	20	67	180	5	6	2	.203	.315	.381	.696	.178	.281	35	13	.311	96	-2	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2033	28	MLB	KC	520	443	90	15	2	20	67	181	5	5	2	.203	.315	.381	.696	.178	.280	35	13	.310	95	-3	+0	-0	+9	+15	2.2
2034	29	MLB	KC	513	437	87	14	2	19	66	180	5	4	1	.199	.311	.371	.682	.172	.279	35	13	.308	94	-4	+0	-1	+9	+15	2.0
2035	30	MLB	KC	505	430	85	14	2	19	65	179	5	4	1	.198	.310	.372	.682	.174	.277	35	13	.305	91	-5	+0	-2	+9	+14	1.7
2036	31	MLB	KC	477	408	78	13	1	17	62	171	4	2	0	.191	.304	.353	.657	.162	.275	36	13	.301	88	-6	+0	-2	+9	+14	1.4
2037	32	MLB	KC	446	381	72	12	1	16	58	162	4	1	0	.189	.302	.352	.654	.163	.273	36	13	.296	85	-8	+0	-3	+8	+13	1.0
2038	33	MLB	KC	405	346	64	10	1	14	52	150	4	1	0	.185	.299	.341	.640	.156	.271	37	13	.290	80	-9	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.6
2039	34	MLB	KC	351	300	54	9	1	11	45	133	3	1	0	.180	.293	.327	.620	.147	.269	38	13	.284	75	-10	+0	-5	+6	+10	0.2
2040	35	MLB	KC	294	253	44	7	1	9	37	114	2	1	0	.174	.284	.316	.600	.142	.266	39	13	.276	69	-10	+0	-5	+5	+8	-0.2
2041	36	MLB	KC	235	201	34	5	1	7	30	94	2	1	0	.169	.283	.308	.592	.139	.262	40	13	.267	63	-10	+0	-6	+4	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7562	6469	1220	203	26	255	957	2792	75	109	34	.189	.300	.346	.646	.158	.279	37	13	.292	82	-157	+8	-26	+135	+214	17.8
/ 162G	—			650	556	104	17	2	22	82	240	6	9	3	.187	.298	.344	.641	.156	.276	37	13	.292	82	-13	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	ACL Royals	52	34	5	1	0	0	17	14	0	1	0	.147	.431	.176	.608	.029	.238	27	33	.322	105	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	19	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	20	18	2	0	0	0	1	7	1	1	0	.111	.200	.111	.311	.000	.182	35	5	.162	-18	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	466	378	90	16	3	18	79	142	6	25	7	.238	.378	.439	.817	.201	.326	30	17	.366	138	+20	+2	—	—	+13	3.6
2025	20	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	216	169	35	7	1	2	45	71	0	9	4	.207	.374	.296	.670	.089	.340	33	21	.318	102	+0	+0	—	—	+6	0.7
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	39	28	8	2	0	1	8	10	3	3	1	.286	.487	.464	.951	.179	.412	26	21	.435	191	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	20	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	83	61	14	2	0	1	20	22	2	2	0	.230	.434	.311	.745	.082	.342	27	24	.362	135	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blake Mitchell (OGILVIE)	21	24→34	42→57	45→33	56	.171/.269/.296	.125	.288	7	6	42%	11%	59	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Nolan Gorman 2021 · A	21	40→43	48→60	43→45	37	.201/.259/.345	.145	.302	16	3	38%	6%	65	-0.7	.224/.278/.400	.176	.300	24	6	33%	7%	88	+0.9	.225/.289/.424	.199	.290	29	6	33%	8%	95	+1.2
✕Randy Florentino 2022 · A	22	35	40→50	42→45	40	.174/.240/.257	.083	.272	8	5	37%	8%	33	-2.9	.189/.243/.277	.088	.263	9	6	30%	6%	40	-2.4	.183/.230/.260	.077	.238	8	4	26%	5%	28	-1.0
✕Michael Pérez 2015 · A	22	37	44→50	41→40	40	.184/.249/.302	.119	.288	11	3	38%	8%	50	-1.8	.193/.252/.290	.097	.268	8	4	29%	7%	47	-1.9	.224/.284/.351	.127	.286	14	0	26%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	41→50	41	.168/.252/.259	.091	.262	9	8	37%	8%	41	-2.3	.197/.275/.307	.110	.307	11	5	36%	9%	63	-0.9	.204/.303/.338	.134	.292	14	2	32%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Max Stassi 2012 · A	21	40→43	44→55	43→40	41	.198/.260/.309	.111	.287	12	5	34%	7%	56	-1.3	.218/.270/.362	.144	.290	17	4	30%	5%	74	-0.1	.208/.295/.359	.151	.271	20	0	30%	10%	81	+0.2
✕Isan Díaz 2017 · A	21	41→40	46→55	45	43	.207/.273/.343	.136	.289	13	8	32%	8%	70	-0.3	.201/.272/.338	.137	.290	15	8	34%	8%	69	-0.4	.204/.284/.367	.164	.263	21	5	30%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	37→42	47→50	42→40	46	.185/.275/.321	.137	.291	15	3	39%	11%	66	-0.6	.198/.295/.349	.151	.306	17	3	37%	12%	82	+0.5	.196/.301/.351	.156	.289	18	2	35%	13%	83	+0.4
✕Abimelec Ortiz 2023 · A	21	36→39	50→60	43→40	41	.192/.265/.337	.145	.271	19	7	35%	8%	66	-0.6	.210/.271/.394	.184	.280	25	4	34%	7%	83	+0.6	.207/.272/.399	.191	.261	26	2	31%	7%	82	+0.4
✕Dylan Johnston 2009 · A	22	42	45→55	44→50	36	.204/.259/.328	.123	.318	13	9	38%	6%	60	-1.0	.196/.250/.312	.116	.349	13	8	44%	6%	53	-1.5	.129/.190/.200	.071	.267	9	6	52%	7%	-4	-1.8
✕Omar Martinez 2022 · A	21	40→38	42→45	41→40	46	.192/.281/.292	.100	.290	10	4	34%	10%	61	-1.0	.200/.284/.323	.123	.291	14	5	33%	10%	70	-0.3	.180/.261/.303	.123	.268	16	3	37%	9%	53	-1.1
✕Albert Fabian 2023 · A	21	37→34	49→50	41→40	37	.195/.255/.340	.145	.291	18	5	38%	6%	62	-0.9	.201/.258/.341	.140	.265	17	5	30%	6%	64	-0.8	.199/.257/.331	.132	.246	16	3	26%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Eric Haase 2015 · A	22	39→41	48→65	42→40	38	.201/.253/.347	.146	.286	16	3	35%	6%	63	-0.9	.194/.252/.355	.161	.294	18	4	39%	6%	65	-0.7	.218/.277/.437	.219	.284	32	2	35%	7%	94	+0.9
✕Aaron Bracho 2022 · A	21	34→38	44→45	44→40	41	.177/.247/.288	.112	.267	12	5	37%	8%	45	-2.1	.181/.246/.300	.119	.261	14	4	35%	7%	48	-1.9	.192/.255/.327	.134	.243	18	4	29%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
●Ryan McMahon 2015 · A	20	41→51	46→55	43→45	39	.206/.261/.343	.136	.298	13	6	34%	6%	65	-0.7	.230/.283/.380	.150	.335	15	7	34%	6%	84	+0.6	.230/.314/.391	.161	.298	19	6	28%	10%	98	+1.6
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	.188/.259/.305	.117	.281	12	9	36%	7%	55	-1.4	.194/.278/.291	.097	.346	7	8	42%	9%	59	-1.1	.146/.273/.221	.075	.359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	38→47	43→50	46→50	46	.188/.269/.299	.110	.273	10	7	33%	10%	58	-1.2	.198/.288/.331	.133	.275	13	9	30%	11%	74	-0.1	.206/.294/.357	.151	.275	17	10	30%	11%	81	+0.4
✕Drew Robinson 2013 · A	21	44→41	43→55	46→50	46	.210/.293/.320	.110	.311	10	9	33%	9%	73	-0.1	.194/.270/.320	.126	.290	12	9	35%	9%	63	-0.8	.207/.288/.362	.155	.320	17	12	37%	10%	78	+0.1
●MJ Melendez 2019 · A	20	37→47	48→60	44→50	35	.191/.247/.335	.144	.299	15	5	40%	6%	57	-1.2	.179/.239/.336	.157	.290	19	6	43%	7%	55	-1.4	.220/.307/.417	.197	.267	25	4	27%	11%	100	+1.7
✕Owen Caissie 2023 · A	21	46→52	44→55	44→45	42	.213/.285/.329	.116	.337	12	8	38%	9%	72	-0.2	.229/.302/.382	.153	.355	17	8	37%	9%	92	+1.2	.232/.307/.401	.170	.348	19	7	36%	9%	96	+1.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)